Five Reasons Pundits Underestimated Joe Biden
The people who chatter online didn’t see his popularity coming.
by Conor Friedersdorf
May 16, 2019
2 minutes
Joe Biden is much more popular among voters than the left’s intelligentsia anticipated, with staggering leads in every poll of Democratic presidential candidates. Why did so many journalists and Twitter pundits fail to foresee his success?
One reason, Jonathan Chait argues, is that the social democrats who support Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the conservatives who find them useful villains, shared an incentive to overstate the influence of leftists among Democrats and to understate the relative strength of moderates.
Writing on the same question, Michelle Goldberg , “Left-wing Twitter isn’t a microcosm of the
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