Everand Logo

Welcome to Everand!

  • Discover millions of ebooks, audiobooks, and so much more with a free trial

    Only $11.99/month after trial. Cancel anytime.

    2012 Investment Forecast
    2012 Investment Forecast
    2012 Investment Forecast
    Ebook72 pages42 minutes

    2012 Investment Forecast

    By David Urban

    ()

    Read preview

    About this ebook

    This is my first long form Global Investment Forecast so please forgive its length as this tale of an intertwined world and how that affects your investment decisions for 2012 and beyond plays out.
    Contents
    1.Europe – Now it is a Question of Survival
    2.United States – Walking the Tightrope
    3.Asia – The Beginning of a Decoupling or the End of a Dream
    4.Mother Nature Ready to Welcome back El Nino
    5.The Tea Party, OWS, and Economic Low Points
    6.How it all Ends and the Next Bull market Starts
    7.Market Forecast for 2012
    8.Technical Analysis for the Global Markets for 2012
    9.German DAX
    10.French CAC
    11.London Financial Times Index
    12.Dow Jones Industrial Average
    13.Nasdaq 100
    14.Toronto Stock Exchange
    15.Gold
    16.Silver
    17.Gold:Silver Ratio Chart
    18.Hong Kogn Hang Seng Index
    19.Summary of Technical Calls for 2012
    20.3 Long Ideas
    21.Finals

    LanguageEnglish
    PublisherDavid Urban
    Release dateJan 20, 2012
    ISBN9781465814937
    2012 Investment Forecast
    Author

    David Urban

    A writer, trader, and analyst of the global financial markets. Hello and welcome. My experience comes from 10 years of working in the financial services industry at a variety of levels for a number of firms worldwide. What you will find here is real commentary from a contrarian investor who tends to look beyond the media narrative to the real story. Currently, what am I a contrarian about? Quite simple, that everything is ok. Tail and systemic risk is rising and I believe we are repeating the mistakes from 2007-08. For those looking for past commentary or archives they can be found below. http://dcurb.wordpress.com/A True Contrarian Welcome and feel free to ask any questions.

    Related to 2012 Investment Forecast

    Related ebooks

    Investments & Securities For You

    View More
    View More

    Related podcast episodes

    Related articles

    • Article

      Profit From The Upheaval

      Oct 28, 2020

      Profit From The Upheaval
      4 min read

    • Article

      What Millionaire Investors Should Do in 2019

      Jan 30, 2019

      Just as I warned at the end of 2005 in my book that the real estate bubble was soon to burst with a recession following, all that I have been warning about in the last year in my new book and on Kiplinger, Yahoo Finance, Fidelity.com, Nasdaq.com, my

      5 min read

    • Article

      COVID-19 Stage 2: Prepare Your Portfolio and Your Life

      Jul 29, 2020

      The COVID-19 epidemic has changed all our lives.  Just as we hoped for a slowing of the disease in the summer and a return to normalcy, increasing cases across the country leads to questions about how life might be impacted for the rest of the year a

      3 min read

    • Article

      ‘Desperate Times Need Desperate Measures Or Then Let's Accept Our Fate’

      Dec 2, 2022

      IT WAS WONDERFUL TO SEE THE revival of the Forbes Global CEO conference that was held post Covid in Singapore in October this year. It was great to reconnect with global leaders as well as meet Forbes’ extended family from different parts of the worl

      5 min read

    • Article

      What is the Central Bankers' Bubble and Will It Burst?

      Apr 19, 2018

      In the 1990s we had the dot-com bubble. In the 2000s we had the real estate bubble. In a book I published at the end of 2005, I predicted that real estate bubble would burst. And now we have the central bankers' bubble. The central bankers' bubble h

      4 min read

    • Article

      A Once-in-a-decade Investment Opportunity

      Jun 19, 2020

      much has been said and reported lately about emergent golden opportunities for investors while the herd stampedes away from markets. Kokkie Kooyman, a director at Denker Capital and the portfolio manager of the Denker Global Financial Fund and its ra

      3 min read

    • Article

      Ed Yardeni Makes a Case for Bullishness

      Jul 19, 2018

      Edward Yardeni is an economist, a market strategist and president of investment research firm Yardeni Research. His new book, Predicting the Markets: A Professional Autobiography, shares the lessons he has learned over 40 years as a market prognostic

      3 min read

    • Article

      All Is Not Lost: How To Start 2021

      Oct 30, 2020

      the past ten months have arguably been among the most problematic economically and financially since the Great Depression that followed the 1929 stock market crash. And if ever there has been a need to go back to basics, it’s now. But that said, it’s

      3 min read

    • Article

      What You Need to Know About the Shadow Banking System Now

      Jun 21, 2019

      The term "shadow banking" often elicits thoughts of shady back-alley dealings and loan sharks waiting to take drastic measures against debtors who can't pay. While that makes for an interesting story, it couldn't be further from the truth. Most cons

      6 min read

    • Article

      Q & A

      Sep 1, 2021

      You believe we are in the midst of a paradigm shift in terms of the way we measure the economy. Please explain. The COVID-19 shock put the spotlight on many serious existing problems within our economy. It also provided a platform for traditionally u

      6 min read

    • Article

      Inflation Wants to Eat Your Savings, but You Can Beat It Back

      May 21, 2021

      It's a strange thing, inflation.  You will seldom hear it talked about as much as market downturns or risks.  Much of this is due to the fact that the market can lose large amounts quickly, in a glaringly visible way.  Inflation, on the other hand, i

      4 min read

    • Article

      Face The Ugly Truth About Returns

      Nov 27, 2019

      Bonds used to yield 14%, risk free. I know, imagine that today. At that time, bonds offered a risk-free yield some 10% higher than the risky yield on equities of between 4% and 6%. Former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan raised interest rates to pre-empt,

      4 min read

    • Article

      Is A Recession Looming? Why History Says We Shouldn’t Panic

      Jul 24, 2022

      As we all began to emerge from the pandemic in 2021, Americans started spending more after being stuck in their homes. Holiday shopping was up, unemployment numbers were down, and it’s safe to say that many of us were feeling optimistic about our fin

      2 min read

    • Article

      Stock Market Volatility, Geopolitics and Midterm Elections - Oh My! Should Investors Be Worried?

      Jun 19, 2018

      If you've spent any time watching market news this year, you've likely experienced the roller coaster of recent stock volatility. I've had a lot of questions about whether it's different this time, or whether we're heading for a tough correction. Th

      3 min read

    • Article

      Sustained Crisis Can Only Be Overcome By Sustained Action

      Jul 28, 2023

      'Sustained crisis’. I came across this terminology in a Harvard Business Review article recently, and it immediately struck a chord with my struggles running my company and also with what I see in the world around me. The Covid-19 pandemic was a glob

      2 min read

    • Article

      Stephanie Link: Expect Above-Average Gains in 2021

      Nov 25, 2020

      Kiplinger’s: What do you see ahead for 2021? Link: To talk about 2021, you have to put it in the context of 2020. We have to deal with the increase of COVID cases versus progress with vaccines and with testing. The time line is uncertain for the next

      3 min read

    • Article

      Go With The P2P Flow

      Apr 5, 2023

      Go With The P2P Flow
      5 min read

    • Article

      3 Very Different Problems for Today’s Retirees

      Aug 23, 2020

      Times have changed. We don’t use fax machines or 8-track tapes anymore, we don’t have to worry about having enough change for a payphone, and we don’t have to wait for film to develop. Life has become easier in many ways, but we also have new things

      4 min read

    • Article

      ‘Liberate The Energies Of Our Communities’

      Jun 1, 2020

      AS THE SEVENTH PRESIDENT OF THE African Development Bank (AfDB) serving two terms until 2015, Dr Donald Kaberuka led the development and economic integration of the continent. As the African Union High Representative for the Peace Fund, and on the bo

      5 min read

    • Article

      Buy Value Stocks, Says J.P. Morgan’s David Kelly

      May 23, 2022

      An interview with the chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. What’s your stock market outlook for the second half?  It’s a particularly challenging year, but I’m reasonably optimistic. The major concerns this year have been about in

      4 min read

    • Article

      The Case for Doing Absolutely Nothing in Today's Market

      Aug 2, 2018

      Too many breathless financial media headlines convey the message that you must buy a stock or fund (or something else) right now because if you dither on such a grand opportunity, the world will beat you to it. I've been guilty of such rushing plenty

      2 min read

    • Article

      Borrowing More To Buy Stocks

      Dec 17, 2021

      Count me among those who are sceptical about how quickly central banks will raise interest rates. Yes, they’re making noises about doing so – and with inflation high, many analysts suggest they should act faster (see right). But our highly indebted w

      2 min read

    Reviews for 2012 Investment Forecast

    0 ratings

    0 ratings0 reviews

    What did you think?

    Tap to rate

    Review must be at least 10 words

      Book preview

      2012 Investment Forecast - David Urban

      2012 Global Investment Forecast

      By David Urban at Smashwords

      Copyright 2012 David Urban

      All Rights Reserved

      Smashwords License Statement 

      This ebook is licensed for your personal enjoyment only. This ebook may not be re-sold or given away to other people. If you would like to share this book with another person, please purchase an additional copy for each reader. If you’re reading this book and did not purchase it, or it was not purchased for your use only, then please return to Smashwords.com and purchase your own copy. Thank you for respecting the hard work of this author.

      Disclaimer

      Communications are intended solely for informational purposes. Statements made should not be construed as an endorsement, either expressed or implied. This ebook/pdf/etc and the author are not responsible for typographic errors or other inaccuracies in the content. This ebook/pdf/etc may not be reproduced without credit or permission from the author. I believe the information contained herein to be accurate and reliable. However, errors may occasionally occur. Therefore, all information and materials are provided AS IS without any warranty of any kind. Past results are not indicative of future results.

      PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN THE STOCK, BOND, AND DERIVATIVE MARKETS. WHEN CONSIDERING ANY TYPE OF INVESTMENT, INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS: OFTEN ENGAGE IN LEVERAGING AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES THAT MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS, CAN BE ILLIQUID, ARE NOT REQUIRED TO PROVIDE PERIODIC PRICING OR VALUATION INFORMATION TO INVESTORS, MAY INVOLVE COMPLEX TAX STRUCTURES AND DELAYS IN DISTRIBUTING IMPORTANT TAX INFORMATION, ARE NOT SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.

      Before making any type of investment, one should consult with an investment professional to consider whether the investment is appropriate for the individuals risk profile. This is not intended to be investment advice or a solicitation to purchase any of the securities listed here. I will not be held liable or responsible for any losses or damages, monetary or otherwise that result from the content of this ebook/pdf/etc.

      Introduction

      This is my first long form Global Investment Forecast so please forgive its length as this tale of an intertwined world and how that affects your investment decisions for 2012 and beyond plays out.

      What is it like being a true contrarian investor?  Well, first you need to know what you are contrarian about and this is where most contrarians fail the test.  I believe that we are repeating the same mistakes made back in 2007 and 2008 which will lead to greater problems since the original problems were never solved in the first place. 

      Imagine getting sick and never taking any medicine or the wrong type of medicine which makes you sicker.  That is the condition of the global economy right now.  Countries are hanging on the verge of a recession with politicians dithering about solutions.

      It does not put me in the permabear camp because the next bull market is coming and just over the horizon; but the road to get there will be a bumpy and uneven path.

      2011 will go down as a frustrating year for asset managers, traders, and investors.  Value stocks underperformed, asset correlations moved towards one, Mother Nature reminded us who is in charge of this planet, and governments kept trying to

      Enjoying the preview?
      Page 1 of 1