Zoning, Rent Control and Affordable Housing
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About this ebook
The so-called housing problem is not national; it is local. Municipalities practice exclusionary zoning that prevents cheap, multifamily housing from being built. Municipalities initiate strict building-code enforcement campaigns that often result in the closing of single-room-occupancy hotels and other cheap housing in inner cities. And municipalities impose rent control -- the surest way to produce a housing crisis. William Tucker examines the history of such municipal actions in several California communities and concludes that zoning and rent control restrict the supply of affordable housing. In cities with rent control there is an ongoing war between landlords and tenants; lawyer-tenants exploit blue-collar landlords through tricky legal procedures, and landlords torch their unprofitable, unsalable buildings. Rent control and zoning are products of the tyranny of the majority that prevent people from exercising their right to buy and sell in a free market. Zoning, Rent Control and Affordable Housing is a must read for anyone worried about making affordable housing available to all Americans.
William Tucker
William Tucker's journalism has appeared in a long list of publications, from The Atlantic Monthly to The Weekly Standard.
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Zoning, Rent Control and Affordable Housing - William Tucker
1. Introduction
In New York City, a welfare family spends its last $600 to make the security deposit on a scarce apartment in the Bedford-Stuyvesant district. When they show up the next day, they find it is a scam. The rental agent
has collected a $600 deposit for the same apartment from six other desperate people. The family spends Christmas homeless.
In Santa Monica, California, Michael Kann, columnist for the Los Angeles Herald Examiner, spent several years writing Middle Class Radicalism in Santa Monica, a book that praised the city's rent control. Still, he was forced to note, I know one professional woman who tried to get a Santa Monica apartment for more than a year without success, but she broke into the city, finally, by marrying someone who already had an apartment there.
In Berkeley, California, hordes of homeless people crowd into a meeting of the city council to complain about their plight. The meeting becomes so rowdy that even Mayor Loni Hancock, of the radical Berkeley Citizens' Action party, who is sympathetic to the homeless, gavels for quiet. All right, if we can't have order here, I'm going to end the meeting and send everyone home,
she shouts above the din. How can you do that?
replies one homeless man. We don't have a home.
As the 1980s drew to a close, Americans found themselves living in the midst of a housing crisis.
Every winter the newspapers carried pathetic stories of elderly bag ladies and parents with children roaming the streets without a place to live. The lack of affordable housing
was perceived as a national issue for which the social service cutbacks by the Reagan administration were commonly held responsible.
The most frequently cited figure was the reduction in the Department of Housing and Urban Development's spending authorization, which fell from $31 billion in 1980 to only $7 billion in 1988. The Federal government hasn't just walked away from its role in the housing market, it has run away,
said former New York mayor Edward Koch. The consequences have been disastrous.
¹
Yet the supposedly national housing crisis had some puzzling aspects. The rising problem of homelessness, plus the general complaints about lack of affordable housing, seemed to suggest that rental housing was in short supply. Yet the truth was just the opposite. Rental vacancies, at a healthy 6 percent at the start of the decade, had risen to a 25-year high of 7.8 percent by 1989. Even the elimination of tax incentives for the construction of rental housing in the Tax Reform Act of 1986 did not put a dent in the broad availability of rental housing.
Moreover, if there was a genuine housing crisis in some parts of the country, it was a problem of too much housing. Houston, Dallas, Phoenix, and New Orleans were swamped with vacancies. In Phoenix, developers were giving away two months' free rent in an attempt to persuade people to sign a one-year lease. During the 1988 presidential campaign, there was frequent mention of Republican candidate George Bush's investment in a troubled Houston apartment complex.
The trouble with the complex—as with so many others in Houston—was that no tenants could be found to live in it. Vacancy rates in Houston were an astonishing 18 percent—more than twice the national average and almost 10 times the rates in cities such as New York and San Francisco.
What was going on? Why were vacancy rates astronomically high in some cities and microscopically small in others? Why were homeless populations so unevenly distributed? As June Q. Koch of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development noted:
HUD found wide variations in the size and nature of the homeless population from region to region and from city to city. The highest concentration of homeless was found in the West, which has only 19 percent of the nation's population but almost one-third of all homeless people in metropolitan areas. By way of contrast, the South, with 33 percent of the total national population, has only 24 percent of the homeless population.²
That pattern is the opposite of the normal perception of the nation's distribution of wealth. In general, the South is perceived as somewhat backward economically, whereas the Far West, if it has not quite yet matched the Northeast in concentrated wealth and income, is seen as by far the most rapidly expanding and newly prosperous region. However, when it comes to homelessness and shortages of affordable housing, the South does not do nearly as badly as the Far West.
What is the explanation? In 1987, in search of an answer, I compiled figures on per capita homelessness in 50 cities, using mostly a 1984 report to the secretary of housing and urban development on homelessness and temporary shelters.³ Using multiple regression analysis, I sought correlations between high rates of homelessness and a dozen factors that have been suggested as contributing to the problem. A summary of the results is given in Table 1-1.
Note: R² expresses the percentage of change in the dependent variable that can be associated with a change in the independent variable.
P is a measure of the certainty of the correlation. P generally has to be less than .1 to be considered statistically significant.
As can be seen in Table 1-1, 42 percent of the variation in the homeless population of the 50 cities correlates with variations in the median price of homes. Only 1 percent of the variation in homelessness can be associated with differences in unemployment rates among the cities. Five variables—median home price, presence of rent control, rental vacancy rate, size of the minority population, and median rent—show statistical significance. P-values in the top two correlations—median home price and the presence of rent control—show almost absolute statistical certainty.
The statistics suggest that poverty, unemployment, and lack of public housing—factors often cited as causes of homelessness—do not correlate significantly with high homeless populations. What is significant is the availability of housing in the private market. The presence of a large minority population also makes a small difference—correlating with 11 percent of the variation. That may not be surprising, since all surveys of homeless populations are now reporting a sizable overrepresentation of minority groups.
Yet by far the most significant factor is the availability of private housing. Median rent makes a small difference; higher rents correlate with more homelessness. Vacancy rates make an even bigger