Macro Economics: A Simplified Detailed Edition for Students Understanding Fundamentals of Macroeconomics
By Hesbon R.M
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About this ebook
Macro Economics: A Simplified Detailed Edition for Students Understanding Fundamentals of Macroeconomics: This book emphasizes the relevance of macroeconomics' classical roots and its current practice with Questions and Answers Featuring the latest data, new case studies focused on recent events. While maintaining the clear, accessible writing style and precise presentation that are the hallmark with Dozens of new applications emphasize the real-world relevance of economics for today's students.
This book will enable you learn and understand The Macroeconomics: Growth and Fluctuations, Measuring Economic Performance: Output and Income, The Long-Run Growth Model, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in the Growth Model, Unemployment job Creation and Job Destruction, Short-Run Fluctuations and Spending Balance, Financial Markets and Aggregate Demand, The Adjustment Process, Macroeconomic Policy, The Consumption Demand, Investment Demand, Foreign Trade and the Exchange Rate, Spending, Taxes, and the Budget Deficit, The Monetary System and the Fed's Policy Rule, The Micro Foundations of Price Rigidity, Inflation and Output Fluctuations, Designing and Maintaining a Good Macro Policy plus The World Economy.
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Macro Economics - Hesbon R.M
Chapter 1: The Macroeconomics: Growth and Fluctuations
MACROECONOMICS STUDIES the aggregate economy - how and why the economy grows and fluctuates over time. Macro Theory provides a means by which an informed person can make predictions on the economic future.
Theory sets up simplified models which can determine the direction or movement of focus variables using (graphical models) or the numerical values of focus variables (numerical models). Econometric models can be estimated using econometrics. In most cases the only statistics needed is mean, variance and OLS. OLS models can be estimated using EXCEL, SPEAKEASY or B34S or many other systems.
Key facts:
Growth around 2.5 % for past 25 years.
Growth above average for 6 consecutive years between 1983-1988
Figure 1-1 shows 1968-1991 history, while figure 1-2 shows deviations from trend
Real gross domestic product (GDP) measures actual physical production. Figure 1-3 shows history since 1910.
Figure 1-4 Employment as a percentage of working age population
Figure 1-5 shows unemployment rate.
Figure 1-6 shows Inflation. Note 1974 and 1980 period. Look at figure
1-7.What is the relationship between inflation and interest rates?
Figure 1-8 shows that money supply seems to decline
before recessions. In 1989 rate of increase slowed.
Long run growth a function of population, capital (physical & human) and technology.
Key terms: potential output or GDP, aggregate demand curve.
Assume fixed potential output, changes in prices occur after a change in aggregate demand. What changes aggregate demand?
Assume prices are fixed. Under what conditions can changes in aggregate demand cause changes in output? Output must below potential.
WORK ANALYTICAL PROBLEM # 3 page 23. In addition to the questions asked, calculate the correlation between the actual rate of inflation and the two forecasts. Where needed, numerical problems have been solved using SPEAKEASY. SPEAKEASY is available on icarus at uic. Inspection of the SPEAKEASY code will allow the reader to see the logic of the problem. Once the logic is seen, the problem can be placed in Excel ® or other system. The b34s® MATRIX command is an alternative to SPEAKEASY. There is a free student version of B34S. B34S is also available on icarus.
:_list p1d3
LISTING OF PROGRAM P1D3
1 PROGRAM
2 YEAR=INTEGERS(1977,1995)
3 P=60.6 65.2 72.6 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 118.3
4 P(13)=124.0 130.7 136.2 140.3 144.5 148.2 152.4
5 INT=5.5 7.6 10 11.4 13.8 11.1 8.8 9.8 7.7 6 8.1 6.9 8.0 7.5 5.5
6 INT(16)=3.6 3.1 4.7 5.7
7 TABULATE YEAR P INT
8 J=INTEGERS(NOROWS(P)-1)
9 INF=ARRAY(NOROWS(P):)
10 FINF=ARRAY(NOROWS(P):)
11 $ THIS GETS INFLATION
12 INF(J+1)=(P(J+1)-P(J))/P(J)
13 J=INTEGERS(NOROWS(P)-3)
14 $ THIS GETS INFLATION FORECAST
15 FINF(J+3)=.5*(INF(J+1)+INF(J+2))
16 INT=INT/100.
17 TABULATE YEAR P INT INF FINF INT-INF, INT-FINF
18 FREEIF X
19 FREEIF Y
20 $ GET SERIES WITH SAME NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS
21 X(J)=FINF(J+3)
22 Y(J)=INF(J+3)
23 TABULATE X Y
24 CORRELATE X Y
25 END
:_p1d3
EXECUTION STARTED
YEAR P INT YEAR P INT
1977 60.6 5.5 1987 113.6 8.1
1978 65.2 7.6 1988 118.3 6.9
1979 72.6 10 1989 124 8
1980 82.4 11.4 1990 130.7 7.5
1981 90.9 13.8 1991 136.2 5.5
1982 96.5 11.1 1992 140.3 3.6
1983 99.6 8.8 1993 144.5 3.1
1984 103.9 9.8 1994 148.2 4.7
1985 107.6 7.7 1995 152.4 5.7
1986 109.6 6
YEAR P INT INF FINF INT-INF INT-FINF
1977 60.6 .055 0 0 .055 .055
1978 65.2 .076 .075908 0 9.2409E-5 .076
1979 72.6 .1 .1135 0 -.013497 .1
1980 82.4 .114 .13499 .094702 -.020986 .019298
1981 90.9 .138 .10316 .12424 .034845 .013758
1982 96.5 .111 .061606 .11907 .049394 -.0080708
1983 99.6 .088 .032124 .082381 .055876 .0056192
1984 103.9 .098 .043173 .046865 .054827 .051135
1985 107.6 .077 .035611 .037649 .041389 .039351
1986 109.6 .06 .018587 .039392 .041413 .020608
1987 113.6 .081 .036496 .027099 .044504 .053901
1988 118.3 .069 .041373 .027542 .027627 .041458
1989 124 .08 .048183 .038935 .031817 .041065
1990 130.7 .075 .054032 .044778 .020968 .030222
1991 136.2 .055 .042081 .051107 .012919 .0038926
1992 140.3 .036 .030103 .048057 .0058972 -.012057
1993 144.5 .031 .029936 .036092 .0010641 -.0050919
1994 148.2 .047 .025606 .030019 .021394 .016981
1995 152.4 .057 .02834 .027771 .02866 .029229
X Y
.094702 .13499
.12424 .10316
.11907 .061606
.082381 .032124
.046865 .043173
.037649 .035611
.039392 .018587
.027099 .036496
.027542 .041373
.038935 .048183
.044778 .054032
.051107 .042081
.048057 .030103
.036092 .029936
.030019 .025606
.027771 .02834
CORRELATE X Y = .71194
MANUAL MODE
:_journal off
Chapter 2: Measuring Economic Performance: Output and Income
Gross Domestic Product => Production during a particular period of time. Can be measured as spending on goods and services, or production in different industries or income earned by different groups.
GDP = Y = C + I + G + X
X = exports – imports
C = durable goods + nondurable goods + services
I = fixed investment + inventory investment
fixed investment = nonresidential + residential
Investment is a flow of new capital added to stock of capital. Net investment = gross investment - depreciation.
Investment = (Capital stock)t – (capital