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Ep. 369: Market Predictability with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Ep. 369: Market Predictability with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

FromMichael Covel's Trend Following


Ep. 369: Market Predictability with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

FromMichael Covel's Trend Following

ratings:
Length:
46 minutes
Released:
Aug 7, 2015
Format:
Podcast episode

Description

Just as shamans have been consulted throughout time to provide the desperate and gullible with prophecies, so too are financial shamans (often masquerading as experts) are looked up to for comforting myths about market direction.
Of course, we can and should prepare for the many possible market eventualities by looking at the data and trading trends, but to expect anyone to be able to provide absolute predictions for the future is absurd. The truth is that we do not know for sure, and anyone that tells you they do know might as well be gazing into a crystal ball.
Today’s episode looks at the various attitudes and beliefs concerning the falsehood of market predictability. Michael Covel runs the commentary, drawing a narrative thread through various excerpts from some of the most prominent economic and financial thinkers.
In this episode of Trend Following Radio:

Recognizing when you are being misled by the experts
What to look for in trend analysis and what to be wary of
Considering bubbles and other unpredictable global factors in the markets
Finding an objective approach to investing based on quantifiable information
Considering timeless human investment psychology elements
Making investment decisions without being blinded by rigid economic processes or political ideologies  

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Released:
Aug 7, 2015
Format:
Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 9.5+ million listens. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trading -- all passionately explored and debated. Guests include Nobel Prize winners: Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Hart, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. More guests: Jack Canfield, Howard Marks, James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. 900+ episodes.