Bi gii thiu: Gii thiu khi qut nn Nht C s nghin cu cc m hnh nn Nht Li ni u Thn i cho cc bn!

! iu cn thit u tin i vi mt nh u t l kin thc u t. N l nn mng bn xy tng vin gch cho cng trnh u t ca bn. Phn tch k thut (Technical Analysis TA) v Phn tch c bn (Fundamental Analysis FA) l 2 phn nhnh quan trng phn tch th trng. Thng tho 2 mn hc ny khng phi l chuyn mt sm mt chiu. Li gi gm chn thnh t kinh nghim ca tc gi l cc bn hy nung nu lng am m, p ch hc tp n ni n chn v thc hnh su sc trc khi ng dng vo thc t th trng, c nh th cc bn mi hy vng gt hi c nhng thnh qu ngt ngo trong qu trnh u t sau ny ca mnh. Vi nguyn vng y, tc gi mong rng cc bn s thnh cng. 1. Gii thiu khi qut nn Nht: Nn Nht (Candlestick) c thng gia ngi Nht tn l Homma pht minh v s dng t th k 18. Thi , ng s dng n phc v cho vic kinh doanh la go ca mnh. Homma gi hnh ch nht l thn (body) v ng thng u trn hay u di ca thn l bng (shadow).

Ngy nay nn Nht c ph bin v c s dng hu ht cc loi hng ha, tin t, chng khon phn tch tm l nh u t. Phn thn th hin gi giao dch m u v kt thc ca hng ho trong ngy, trong khi phn bng bn trn hoc bn di phn thn th hin phn gi c giao dch nm ngoi phm vi gi m ca v ng ca, tc l gi cao nht v gi thp nht. Ly v d vng giao ngay (Gold Spot) m ca phin giao dch vi gi $930.25/oz v ng ca mc $941.10/oz th phn biu candlestick th hin mc gi t 930.25-941.10 gi l thn (real body). Tuy nhin, trong ngy gi vng giao ngay c th gim xung di mc gi m ca, chng hn xung thp nht l $926.74/oz v trc khi kt thc mc $941.10, nhng ngi mua c th y gi ln mc $944.80 trong thi gian giao dch. Khong t $926.74/oz n $930.25/oz l bng di (lower shadow) v khong t $941.10 n $944.80 l bng trn (upper shadow). Khi gi hng ha tng trong ngy ngi ta dng hnh mu trng (white) hoc xanh

l cy (green) m t phn thn. Tri li khi gi hng ha gim th ngi ta dng mu (red) hay mu en (black) m t. th nn Nht (candlestick chart) lu truyn v cng ngy cng thnh hnh trong gii u t th gii v Vit Nam v tr thnh cng c khng th thiu ca bt k nh u t no. Ty theo hnh tng mu trng hay en, bng v thn di ngn ra sao m ngi ta t tn cho tng candlestick v cc m hnh ca n nhng ci tn rt hnh tng nh: Ci ba, Ngi treo c, Ba ngi lnh trng, Ba con qu en, a tr b b ri, Sao mai, Sao hm, C , .... u im ca candlestick l ch nhn so nt nhng hnh tng l bn c khi nim r rng v s mnh yu gia hai phe mua v bn, do bn c th on trc s ln xung ca gi chnh xc hn nhiu loi biu khc. 2. Gii thiu i nt v Munehisa Homma Munehisa Homma (1724-1803) cng c bit n vi cc tn gi Sokyu Homma, Sokyu Honma, l mt nh bun go ti vng Sakata, nc Nht, ngi tng bun go ti ch go Ojima Osaka sut triu i Tokugawa Shogunate. ng thng c coi l cha ca th nn v thnh cng trong kinh doanh ca ng gip ng tr thnh mt v s o danh d. Cho n khong nm 1710 th ch c go vt cht c bun bn nhng sau mt th trng giao sau xut hin m , nhng phiu giao c giao go vo thi im trong tng lai bt u c n hnh. T , mt th trng th cp cho vic giao dch theo phiu giao c xut hin m Munehisa pht trin thnh vng. Chuyn k rng ng thit lp mt mng li c nhn n c cch nhau khong 6 km gia Sakata v Osaka (cch nhau khong 600 Km) thng thng go trn th trng. Vo nm 1755, ng vit cun San-en Kinsen Hiroku (Cui ngun vng k yu tin t), cun sch u tin v tm l th trng. Trong cun sch ny, ng cho rng phng din tm l ca th trng rt quan trng i vi s thnh cng trong

kinh doanh v nhng cm xc ca nh kinh doanh c nh hng quan trng i vi gi go. ng lu rng iu ny c th c s dng nh hng chnh bn thn i vi th trng khi m tt c th trng u theo xu hng i xung th c nguyn nhn v sao gi go tng ln v ngc li. ng m t s lun chuyn dng (Yang: th trng u c gi ln) v m (Yin: th trng u c gi xung). ng s dng thi tit v khi lng giao dch cng nh gi m phng cc trng thi giao dch. ng c coi l nh kinh doanh thnh cng nht trong lch s, to dng khong li nhun hn 100 t USD tnh theo gi tr thi nay, trong vi nm kim c hn 10 t USD/nm. CC M HNH TH NN NHT CHNG 1: CC M HNH NN NHT DNG TNG GI (BULLISH) PHN 1: NHM M HNH C TIN CY CAO (HIGH RELIABILITY) Bi 01: M hnh Bullish Morning Star (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: c - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Morning Star (m hnh ngi sao ban mai tng gi) bao gm 3 dng nn bo hiu im y th trng quan trng. N bao gm mt thn nn gim gi (mu en hoc ) di theo sau bi mt thn nn nh (mu trng/xanh hoc

en/) gim gi to khong trng xung di hnh thnh nn ng i sao. Hai dng nn ny to nn m hnh ngi sao c bn. Dng nn th 3 l dng nn tng gi c mc gi ng ca nm trn mc gi ng ca ca dng nn ngy th nht. Nn th 3 ny cho thy th trng xoay chuyn theo xu hng tng gi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin mt dng nn gim gi di vo ngy th nht, ngy th 2 xut hin mt thn nn nh (tng gi hoc gim gi) to khong trng xung di theo hng ca xu hng downtrend, ngy th 3 xut hin mt dng nn tng gi. (4) Phn tch tm l: Dng nn gim gi c thn di cho thy ngi u c gi xung chi phi th trng, ri xut hin mt thn nn nh m ch ngi bn khng th y gi th trng i xung. Thn nn tng gi r nt vo ngy th 3 chng t ngi u c gi ln kim sot tnh hnh. M hnh Bullish Morning Star l tng s to khong trng (gap) trc v sau dng nn nm gia. Khong trng th 2 (gia

dng nn 2 v 3) th him song thiu n th khng nh mt sc mnh ca m hnh ny. Ngi sao c th c s lng 1, 2 hoc 3. Mu ca ngi sao v nhng khong trng ca n th khng quan trng. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao nhng vn cn s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi mc gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. (5) Kinh nghim: Thng thng i vi nh u t da vo nn Nht khi gp tnh hung xut hin m hnh Bullish Morning Star th s c nhng nhn nh v chin lc u t khc nhau ty theo kh nng v kinh nghim ca chnh nh u t v qu trnh kim nh m hnh ny trong thc nghim. Trn th, khi xu hng gi ang gim mnh nu ngi sao ban mai xut hin th cho thy kh nng th trng s o chiu theo xu hng u t gi ln (bullish). Mu hnh ny bao gm mt cy nn (gi gim) thn di, cho thy gi ang gim mnh, ni tip theo l mt cy nn hoc xanh thn rt ngn c gi m ca bng hoc thp hn gi ng ca ca cy nn th nht, cho thy gi tip tc gim nhng mc gim yu hn, cui cng l mt cy nn xanh (gi tng) thn di cho thy gi o chiu tng mnh. Thc t cho thy cc nh u t gi xung (bearish) khng th p o cc nh u t gi ln y gi tip tc gim, do trong tng lai gi s tng. c bit gn y mt chuyn gia phn tch tin t ca DailyFX.com, ng David Rodriguez, thc hin mt cuc nghin cu v tnh chnh xc v hiu qu ca m hnh ngi sao ban mai, mt m hnh tiu biu trong phn tch k thut. Kt qu kim nh t c ht sc th v. Qu trnh kim nh c thc hin bng cch da trn chui s liu bin ng t gi hi oi ca cc cp ng tin ch yu bt u t ngy 1-1-2000 (thi im ng EUR ra i) cho n ngy 15-11-2007. Chin lc kinh doanh a ra l khi du hiu ngi sao ban mai xut hin th t lnh mua v ngc li, thc hin bn khng khi thy mu hnh ngi sao ban chiu.

Kt qu thc nghim u tin da trn nghip v mua, bn khng m khng c cc lnh dng l (stop-loss) v gii hn li nhun (profit limit). Kt qu ny cho thy tnh chnh xc cao trong cc chin lc kinh doanh i vi cc cp ng tin ch yu. Ngoi ra, cn mt iu quan trng v th v hn l cc kt qu li nhun s c ci thin ng k nu p dng cc mc dng l v gii hn li nhun khi m v th mua/bn. iu ny c chng minh qua kt qu kinh doanh cp ng tin EUR/USD. Nh vy, kim nh thc t cho thy, phn tch k thut trong nhiu trng hp l kh chnh xc trong vic d bo bin ng gi c. Mc d, mu hnh ngi sao ban mai - ban chiu c khi a ra nhng d bo ng, c khi sai. Do , khng loi tr nhng trng hp nh u t b thua l nu hon ton ch da vo phn tch k thut ra quyt nh. Nhng tht ra, phn tch k thut khng ch c cc mu hnh nn, m cn c rt nhiu cc ch s khc nh ng RSI, ng MA, MACD, di bng Bollinger, sng Elliott... V th, nu ngi s dng phn tch k thut bit cch kt hp nhiu du hiu vi nhau, cng vi vic t cc mc dng l v gii hn li nhun hp l th s pht huy c tc dng ca phn tch k thut mt cch hu hiu nht. Vy phn tch k thut c chnh xc hay khng l cn ty thuc vo ngi phn tch s dng n nh th no. Phn tch k thut l mt ngh thut. Nu bn am m ngh thut th bn mi hy vng am hiu ngh thut. Nu ch xem phn tch k thut l mt mn hc thng thng th mt ngy no n s b v tnh bin mt trong tm tr ca chng ta. Bi 02: M hnh Bullish Morning Doji Star (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao

- Yu cu xc nhn: c - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Morning Doji Star (m hnh ngi sao Doji ban mai tng gi) bao gm 3 dng nn bo hiu s o chiu ti im y th trng. N bao gm mt thn nn gim gi (mu en hoc ) di theo sau bi mt dng nn Doji nh (cn gi l Cross) to khong trng xung di hnh thnh nn ngi sao. Sau dng nn th 3 l dng nn tng gi c mc gi ng ca nm trong thn nn ca dng nn ngy th nht. y l m hnh th hin y th trng y ngha.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin mt dng nn gim gi

di vo ngy th nht, ngy th 2 xut hin mt Doji to khong trng xung di theo hng ca xu hng downtrend, ngy th 3 xut hin mt dng nn tng gi xc nhn s o chiu. (4) Phn tch tm l: Dng nn gim gi c thn di xut hin khi th trng ang i xung cho thy ngi u c gi xung chi phi th trng, ri xut hin mt Doji nh cho thy ngi bn ngy cng mt dn kh nng y gi th trng i xung. Thn nn tng gi r nt vo ngy th 3 chng t ngi u c gi ln kim sot tnh hnh. M hnh Bullish Morning Doji Star l tng s to khong trng (gap) trc v sau dng nn nm gia. Khong trng th 2 (gia dng nn 2 v 3) th him song thiu n th khng nh mt sc mnh ca m hnh ny. Ngi sao c th c s lng 1, 2 hoc 3. Nhng khong trng ca n th khng quan trng. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao nhng vn cn s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi mc gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh Bullish Morning Star l m hnh o chiu rt him c. Trong th trng vng v ngoi hi th du hiu ny thc t ging vi m hnh Bullish Abandoned Baby (m hnh a b b b ri). Trong cc th trng khng phi forex th cc nh phn tch nn Nht v truyn thng thng ch i khong trng bo hiu sc mnh ca m hnh Morning Doji Star. Cc khong trng gia gi m ca v gi ng ca rt ph bin cc th trng khng phi forex. Do th trng forex giao dch 24/24 nn cc khong trng gi rt t thy, v th nu i khong trng th c hi tt mt. i vi nh u t kinh nghim th h s vo trng thi mua ti Doji Star da vo nhng phn on ca mnh ch khng cn phi i s xc nhn. Cch ny rt ri ro, m ri ro cao th li nhun cao. Nu ch xc nhn th t l ri ro s t i v t l li nhun cng t i. l quy lut t nhin. La chn gii php no l ty thuc vo suy ngh ca mi nh u t. Bi 03: M hnh Bullish Abandoned Baby

(1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: c - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Abandoned Baby (m hnh a b b b ri bo hiu tng gi) l mt dng o chiu ti y th trng rt him c. N bao gm mt ngi sao Doji (Doji Star) to khong trng (tnh c bng nn) so vi dng nn ng trc v sau Doji Star ny.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin mt dng nn gim gi di vo ngy th nht, ngy th 2 xut hin mt Doji c bng nn to khong trng xung di bng di ca dng nn ng trc n v to khong trng theo hng ca xu hng downtrend, ngy th 3 xut hin mt dng nn tng gi vi cc bng nn khng qu di to khong trng theo hng ngc li. (4) Phn tch tm l: Trong mt xu hng downtrend, th trng cho thy sc mnh gim gi th hin qua dng nn gim gi c thn di v gi m ca to khong trng dng nn ngy th 2. Bin dao ng trong ngy th 2 hp v mc gi ng ca bng hoc gn bng mc gi m ca. iu ny cho thy kh nng tng gi tim n bo hiu trng thi thay i. Du hiu o chiu xu hng cn c vo mt dng nn tng gi gi ngy th 3 vi khong trng i ln. M hnh Bullish Abandoned Baby kh him. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao

nhng vn cn s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi mc gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln (gap up). Ch : Cn phn bit m hnh Bullish Abandoned Baby vi m hnh Bullish Morning Doji Star. im khc bit ch vi m hnh Bullish Abandoned Baby th gia Doji Star v dng nn tng gi sau c khong trng trong khi vi m hnh Bullish Morning Doji Star th khng c khong trng ny. (5) Kinh nghim: Trong th trng forex, m hnh ny gn nh ging vi m hnh Bullish Morning Star Doji. Trong cc th trng khng phi forex th m hnh ny yu cu khong trng gia gi ng ca v gi m ca gia cc nn v bng nn k tip nhau. Thc ra th ci tn Abandoned Baby cho thy dng nn a b doji khng c lin quan g n phn cn li ca m hnh. iu ny c th do vic to khong trng l iu thng thy cc th trng khng phi forex ni giao dch hn ch v gii hn thi gian. Trong khi th trng forex cho php giao dch 24/24 ting v th vic to khong trng thng him v ch thy mc nh sau nhng ngy ngh cui tun. Bi 04: M hnh Bullish Piercing Line (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: c - S nn: 2 (2) M t:

M hnh Bullish Piercing Line bao gm 2 dng nn bo hiu s o chiu ti y th trng sau mt xu hng downtrend. N bao gm mt dng nn gim gi mnh c thn nn di (mu en hoc ) vo ngy th nht. Ngy th 2 gi m ca nm thp di mc gi thp nht ca ngy th nht (di im y bng nn di ca dng nn 1). Tuy nhin sau th trng ng ca cao hn im gia ca thn nn ngy th nht hnh thnh dng nn tng gi mnh.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin mt dng nn gim gi di vo ngy th nht, ngy th 2 xut hin mt dng nn tng gi c gi m ca nm di mc gi thp nht ca ngy trc . Dng nn th 2 ny c mc gi ng ca nm trong thn nn ngy th nht v nm trn im gia thn nn ca ngy th nht . (4) Phn tch tm l:

Th trng i theo xu hng downtrend th xut hin dng nn gim gi mnh cng c xu hng gim gi ny. Ngy k tip m ca thp to khong trng cho thy ngi u c gi xung vn cn kim sot. Sau th trng bt ng i ln khin gi ng ca tng v nm cao hn so vi mc gi ng ca ngy trc . Ngi bn ang mt nim tin v nh gi li trng thi bn ca mnh. Ngi mua tim nng bt u ngh rng cc mc gi thp c th khng duy tr c na v n lc vo trng thi mua. Vi m hnh Bullish Piercing Line th nu mc gi ng ca ca dng nn tng gi nh cao vo thn nn gim gi trc th c hi to y th trng tng ln. Nu dng nn tng gi khng ng ca trn im gia ca dng nn gim gi th tt nht nn i s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi mc ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng ln i ln (gap up) vo ngy giao dch k tip. Ch : M hnh Bullish Piercing Line l phin bn tri ngc vi m hnh Bearish Dark Cloud Cover. (5) Kinh nghim: Trong th trng forex, nh u t cho rng dng nn ngy th 2 cng nm thp hn th cng tt v t sell-off sau khi m ca phin cng ln th cng c nhiu ngi mua c th y gi ln cao tr li. Mt s nh u t ch s xc nhn bt k dng nn ngy th 2 c nh xung su n u. Trong cc th trng khng phi forex th nh u t mun nhn thy ngy th 2 mt khong trng i xung, tc l gi m ca ngy th 2 nm di gi ng ca ca ngy trc . Bi 05: M hnh Bullish Kicking (1) Gii thiu chung:

- Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: cn thit - S nn: 2 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Kicking (m hnh c bo hiu xu hng tng gi) hnh thnh t 1 dng nn Black Marubozu theo sau l mt dng nn White Marubozu. Marubozu l dng nn khng c bng trn v bng di. Sau Black Marubozu th th trng tng gi nhanh ti gi m ca to khong trng i ln. Gi m ca ngy th 2 nm trn gi m ca ngy hm trc (ngy ny hnh thnh dng nn White Marubozu).

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Xu hng th trng nh th no th khng quan trng. Xut hin mt dng Marubozu gim gi vo ngy th nht, ri xut hin mt dng Marubozu tng gi to khong trng i ln vo ngy th 2. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Kicking l mt du hiu mnh cho thy th trng ang i ln. Xu hng trc ca th trng khng quan trng m hnh ny (khng ging nh phn ln cc m hnh nn khc). Th trng theo mt xu hng tng gi khi m gi to khong trng i ln vo ngy k tip. Gi ca ngy th 2 khng bao gi i vo bin gi ngy th nht v xut hin gi ng ca ngy th 2 vi mt khong trng. Cc 2 dng nn theo m hnh ny khng c bng nn (hoc bng nn rt ngn nu c). Ni cch khc chng c gi l Marubozu.

M hnh Bullish Kicking c tin cy cao song vn cn s xc nhn vo ngy th 3 di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh Bullish Kicking rt him thy nhng l mt m hnh rt ng tin cy. Khi n xut hin trong mt xu hng uptrend th n bo hiu cho nh u t cn duy tr trng thi mua. Khi xut hin trong mt xu hng downtrend th nn mua sau khi du hiu c xc nhn. Bi 06: M hnh Bullish Three White Soldiers (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Three White Soldiers (m hnh 3 chng lnh trng tng gi) bo hiu s o chiu mnh trong mt xu hng downtrend. N bao gm 3 dng nn tng gi c thn nn di, trng ging mt bc thang i ln. Gi m ca mi ngy hi thp hn gi ng ca ngy trc cho thy s dao ng ln mc cao mi trong ngn hn.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin 3 dng nn tng gi c thn di ni tip nhau. Mi ngy ng ca mc gi cao mi v gn mc gi cao nht trong ngy, gi m ca mi ngy nm trong thn nn ca ngy lin trc. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Three White Soldiers xut hin trong mt hon cnh th trng mc gi thp qu lu. Th trng vn gim gi song ang chm n hoc chm n mc y. Sau c s n lc qu quyt i ln phn nh qua dng nn tng gi c thn di. t tng gi tip tc trong 2 ngy k tip biu hin qua cc mc gi ng ca cao hn. Ngi u c gi xung buc phi ng cc trng thi bn. Gi m ca ca 2 dng nn ny c th nm bt k v tr no trong thn nn ca ngy lin trc song s tt hn nu n nm trn phn gia ca thn nn lin trc.

Nu cc dng nn gim gi rt di th nh u t nn cnh gic v mt th trng trng thi siu mua. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao song vn cn s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. Ch : M hnh Bullish Three White Soldiers tri ngc vi m hnh Bearish Three Black Crows. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh ny nhn mnh s cnh gic i vi nhng ai k vng bn khng khi th trng theo xu hng gim gi sp kt thc. Khi m hnh ny hnh thnh th nh u t phn tch nn Nht s ch thm cc du hiu tng gi hoc dao ng dp dnh trong tng lai nhng nu cc dng nn tng gi c tip tc ni ui nhau th cc nh phn tch thng lo ngi th trng c th trng thi siu mua v do c th ngng ngh. i khi nguy c o chiu c th xy ra. Trc y khi cng ngh phn mm cha pht trin mnh th nhiu phn mm phn tch thng s dng nn trng biu th xu hng tng gi v th m hnh ny mi c tn Three White Soldiers. Khi dch sang ting Vit c tn l Ba chng lnh trng. Tuy nhin mt s phng ng Vit Nam c ch trng thnh ch chng v ngi ta c lm tng l chn nn c ngi c l Ba chng lnh chn. Tuy nhin tn gi khng c chp nhn bi v t nguyn bn ting Anh khng biu th nh vy. Bi 07: M hnh Bullish Three Outside Up (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi

- tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: Bullish Three Outside Up l tn gi khc ca m hnh Bullish Engulfing c xc nhn (tc l khi m hnh Bullish Engulfing c xc nhn bng mt dng nn tng gi th n c gi l m hnh Bullish Three Outside Up). Ngy th 3 xc nhn s o chiu theo xu hng uptrend. (M hnh Bullish Engulfing (m hnh bao trm tng gi) bao gm mt dng nn tng gi mnh bao trm mt dng nn gim gi c thn nh trong mt xu hng downtrend (c th khng cn bao trm c cc bng ca dng nn nh ny). y l mt dng mu bo hiu s o chiu ti y th trng.)

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend. Xut hin m hnh Bullish Engulfing trong 2 ngy u tin. Sau xut hin mt dng nn mu trng hoc xanh c gi ng ca cao hn gi ng ca ca ngy th 2. (4) Phn tch tm l: Hai ngy u tin hnh thnh m hnh Bullish Engulfing v ngy th 3 xc nhn s o chiu theo m hnh Bullish Engulfing di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao nhng vn cn s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn mu trng hoc xanh vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng gap-up. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh Bullish Three Outside Up l mt trong nhng m hnh o chiu theo xu hng tng gi ko di 3 ngy kh r nt. M hnh ny phn nh rng ngi mua km ch sc bn ca th trng v thng bo trc mt t tng gi tip tc. Thc ra cho n ngy th 2 th thy m hnh Bullish Engulfing m t n l m hnh o chiu ko di 2 ngy mnh m. Bi 08: M hnh Bullish Three Inside Up (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh

- S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Three Inside Up l tn gi khc ca m hnh Bullish Harami c xc nhn. Ngy th 3 xc nhn s o chiu theo xu hng tng gi. Bullish Harami l mt m hnh 2 nn c trng vi mt thn nn trng (hoc xanh) nh nm gn trong lng sau mt thn nn en (hoc ) tng i di. Harami l t ting Nht c c ngha l mang bu. Nn en di l m v nn trng nh l thai nhi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin m hnh Bullish Harami vo 2 ngy u, ngy th 3 l mt dng nn mu trng hoc xanh c gi ng ca cao hn ngy th 2. (4) Phn tch tm l:

Hai ngy u tin ca m hnh l du hiu Bullish Harami v ngy th 3 xc nhn s o chiu do Bullish Harami cnh bo v n l dng nn tng gi c gi ng ca to mc cao nht trong 3 ngy. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao nhng vn cn s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn mu trng hoc xanh c gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng gap-up ngy k tip. (5) Kinh nghim: Ch trong 2 ngy c m hnh Bullish Harami phn nh ngi mua ginh ly sc mnh trong xu hng downtrend. Ch vi m hnh Harami th ngi phn tch nn Nht thng s i thm s xc nhn trc khi vo trng thi mua. M hnh Bullish Three Inside Up cho s xc nhn . m hnh xc nhn sc mnh th dng nn ngy th 3 cn phi ng ca trn mc gi cao nht ca ngy th nht v to mc gi cao nht mi. M hnh Bullish Three Inside Up cho thy ngi mua ginh ly mt mc kim sot ln i vi xu hng u t gi xung v ngi phn tch s k vng thm nhng c hi mua mi. Bi 09: M hnh Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 4 (2) M t:

M hnh Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow (m hnh a b b che du bo hiu tng gi) ni bt vi 2 dng nn Black Marubozu lin tip nhau (Marubozu l dng nn khng c 2 bng nn m thn nn thng di tng i). Tip n l mt dng nn gim gi to khong trng xung di vi bng trn ca nn kh di. Sau c thm mt Black Marubozu cho thy xu th bn khng v gi ng ca mc thp. Tuy nhin iu ny bo hiu tnh trng bn khng bo v trng thi m ch s o chiu theo xu hng tng gi sp xy ra.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin 2 dng nn Black Marubozu lin tip, ngy th 3 xut hin mt dng nn gim gi vi gi m ca to khong trng i xung song vng giao dch vn nm trong thn nn ca ngy th 2 vi bng trn ca nn kh di. Ngy tip theo xut hin thm mt Black Marubozu hon ton bao trm thn nn v bng nn ca ngy th 3. (4) Phn tch tm l:

Hai dng nn Black Marubozu cho thy rng xu hng downtrend ang tip tc th hin s tha mn ca ngi u c gi xung. Ngy th 3 xut hin mt khong trng i xung khng nh thm cho xu hng gim gi ny. Tuy nhin gi vo ngy th 3 bt u i ln trn mc gi ng ca ca ngy th 2 gy hoi nghi v xu hng gim gi cho d ngy ny gi ng ca bng hoc gn vi mc thp nht trong ngy. Ngy k tip cho thy mt khong trng tng i ln cao vi gi m ca. Tuy nhin sau khi m ca th gi li i xung v ng ca ti mc thp mi. Ngy cui cng ny c c gii thch l mt c hi tt cho ngi bn khng bo v trng thi bn ca mnh. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao nhng cn c s xc nhn di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi mc gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. (5) Kinh nghim: Ngi u t gi xung chim u th trong 2 ngy u tin hnh thnh m hnh. Tuy nhin mc gi cao nht ngy th 3 nm trn gi ng ca ca ngy trc v sau mt xu hng tng gi mnh th xut hin mt khong trng khi gi m ca ngy cui cng. V ngy cui cng ng ca mc gi thp nht mi v th y l c hi hon ho cho ngi u t gi xung ng trng thi ca mnh. Vic ng trng thi bn s y gi ln cao dn trong nhng ngy k tip. M hnh ny kh ging vi m hnh Bearish Three Black Crows v m hnh Bullish Ladder Bottom. Bi 10: M hnh Bullish Rising Three Methods (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: tip tc xu hng - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao

- Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 5 (2) M t: Bullish Rising Three Methods l mt m hnh tip tc xu hng cho thy s tm ngng xu hng gi m khng gy s o chiu. M hnh ny c trng vi mt dng nn tng gi c thn di trong mt xu hng uptrend. Theo sau l 3 dng nn c thn nn ngn ni tip nhau trng ging mt xu hng downtrend ngn. S tt hn nu 3 dng nn ny gim gi song i khi cng hn hp. Tuy nhin 3 dng nn nh ny phi nm trong bin cao nht thp nht ca dng nn ngy th nht. M hnh ny hon thnh bng dng nn tng gi c thn di, m ca trn mc ng ca ca ngy lin trc v ng ca ti mc gi cao mi v cho thy ngi u t gi ln cui cng kim sot. Sau s ph v tm thi th xu hng uptrend tip tc.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng uptrend. Xut hin mt dng nn tng gi c thn di vo ngy th nht. Sau 3 ngy lin tip hnh thnh 3 dng nn c thn nh biu hin xu hng downtrend ngn. Nhng 3 thn nn nh ny nm trong bin ca ngy th nht. Ngy th 5 l mt dng nn tng gi c thn di m ca trn mc ng ca ca ngy lin trc v gi m ca mc cao mi. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Rising Three Methods l mt m hnh tip tc xu hng ni bt vi s ph v tm thi xu hng chung m khng gy o chiu. S ph v ny phn nh s nghi ng v kh nng xu hng tip tc. S nghi ng ny tng ln khi thy nhng ngy giao dch phn ng trong bin hp xy ra. Tuy nhin cn c vo thc t mc thp mi khng th c c th s tng gi tip tc v cc mc gi cao mi c thit lp nhanh chng. Bin cao nht thp nht tnh c cc bng nn. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao. Tuy nhin s xc nhn di dng nn tng gi vn cn thit. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh Bullish Rising Three Methods bt u bng mt dng nn gi l "Long white day" (ngy tng gi mnh). Sau vo cc phin giao dch ngy th 2, 3, 4 th cc dng nn c thn nh xut hin hnh thnh mt t gim gi nhng vn nm trong bin gi ca ngy th nht. Ngy th 5 v cng l ngy cui cng ca m hnh cho thy thm mt ngy Long white day. M hnh ny trong gii phn tch nn Nht l m hnh tng gi rt mnh. N cho thy mt xu hng uptrend vo ngy th nht trong khi nh u t dnh vi phin t giao dch gii lao chun b cho t tng gi k tip vo ngy th 5. Cho d m hnh ny cho thy rng gi gim trong phin lin tip song vn khng thit lp mc

gi thp mi v ngi u t gi ln chun b cho t tng gi k tip. Bi 11: M hnh Bullish Side By Side White Lines

(1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: tip tc xu hng - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Side By Side White Lines bao gm mt dng nn tng gi theo sau l 2 dng nn tng gi c cng kch c trong mt xu hng uptrend. Nt c trng ca m hnh ny th hin ch 2 ngy sau to khong trng trn ngy th nht.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Chng ta thng thy m hnh ny trong mt xu hng uptrend. Ngy th nht l mt dng nn tng gi. Ngy th 2 l mt dng nn tng gi to khong trng ln trn so vi dng nn ngy th nht. Ngy th 3 l mt dng nn tng gi c cng kch c vi ngy th 2 vi gi ng ca bng vi gi ng ca ca ngy th 2 v thit lp mc gi cao nht mi (tc l bng trn ca nn ngy th 3 cao hn bng trn ca nn ngy th 2). (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Side By Side White Lines xut hin trong th trng theo xu hng tng gi. Dng nn tng gi ngy th nht xc nhn s tip tc xu hng tng gi. Ngy th 2 th trng m ca to khong trng i ln v ng ca mc gi cao hn. Ngy th 3 th trng bt ng m ca bng vi gi m ca ca ngy th 2. Tuy nhin sau th trng tng gi t mc gi cao mi. iu ny cho thy xu hng tng gi vn tip tc.

M hnh Bullish Side By Side White Lines rt him thy. Hai dng nn tng gi k bn nhau sau khi to khong trng trn dng nn tng gi khng ch c cng kch c m gi m ca cng gn bng nhau. tin cy ca m hnh ny rt cao song s xc nhn cn thit di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn ngy k tip m bo xu hng uptrend vn tip tc. (5) Kinh nghim: Trong cc th trng khng phi forex th cc khong trng c yu cu i vi m hnh ny. Gia gi ng ca ca ngy 1 v gi ng ca ca ngy 2 c mt khong trng phn nh s y gi ln ca nh u t gi ln khi phin giao dch kt thc. Trong khi cc th trng forex thng giao dch 24/24 v th gi ng ca ngy 1 thng bng vi gi m ca ngy 2. Phn 2: Nhm c tin cy trung bnh (Medium Reliability) Bi 12: M hnh Bullish Dragonfly Doji

(1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: cao - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 1 (2) M t:

M hnh Bullish Dragonfly Doji l m hnh nn n xut hin ti y th trng hoc trong sut mt xu hng downtrend. M hnh ny rt ging vi m hnh Bullish Hammer. im khc bit gia 2 m hnh l thn ca nn. Trong m hnh Bullish Dragonfly Doji th gi m ca v gi ng ca ging nhau v khng c thn nn, trong khi m hnh Bullish Hammer th c thn nn nh ti bin trn cng ca bin giao dch.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Tiu ch nhn din m hnh chnh l th trng c trng vi xu hng chung gim gi, sau xut hin mt Doji ti cui xu hng v nh cao vi bng di ca nn kh di v bng trn ca nn dng nh khng c hoc rt ngn. (4) Phn tch tm l:

Th trng trong xu hng gim gi th hnh ng gi bt ng sell-off nhanh khi th trng m ca. Tuy nhin t sell-off bt ng b chn li v gi o xu hng v bt u tng trong thi gian cn li ca phin giao dch v ng ca ti hoc gn vi mc gi cao nht trong ngy khin cho nn c bng di kh di. Vic th trng khng th tip tc chiu hng sell-off lm hn ch xu th gim gi. Ngi bn ngy cng kh khn vi trng thi bn ca h. Nu th trng m ca ngy k tip vi gi m ca cao hn th nhiu ngi bn s c xu th ng trng thi bn ca mnh. Vic xc nhn s o xu hng cn phi m bo bng mt White Candlestick, mt khong trng Gap up ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn ngy giao dch k tip. Da vo Dragonfly Doji vi kh nng cnh bo im o xu hng, nh u t c th nhn din im vo trng thi hoc im thot trng thi hp l hn. (5) Kinh nghim: Trong cc th trng khng phi forex th cc khong trng c yu cu i vi m hnh ny. Gia gi ng ca ca ngy 1 v gi ng ca ca ngy 2 c mt khong trng phn nh s y gi ln ca nh u t gi ln khi phin giao dch kt thc. Trong khi cc th trng forex thng giao dch 24/24 v th gi ng ca ngy 1 thng bng vi gi m ca ngy 2. D m hnh ny c tin cy trung bnh song n cnh bo cho ngi u t gi ln rng xu hng downtrend ang mt dn xung lng v ngi u t gi ln c th ginh quyn kim sot th trng. Phn ln cc nh phn tch s ch xc nhn du hiu, k vng mt dng nn mu xanh vo ngy k tip. M hnh Bullish Dragonfly Doji kh him v ng tin cy hn m hnh Bullish Hammer v n xu th l mt du hiu tng gi mnh hn. Trong cc th trng khng phi forex, nh u t chp nhn mt khong trng gia ngy Doji v ngy trc . V nhng khong trng nh th khng thng

xy ra cc th trng forex giao dch 24/24 gi nn khi m hnh ny c din gii trong th trng forex th Bulllish Dragonfly Doji c th trng ging nh mt Hanging Man v vn s c sc mnh tng i nh nhau. D sc mnh ca du hiu nn ny nh th no th Dragonfly cng ging Doji th n cng phn nh rng ngi mua kim sot t sell-off v du hiu o chiu cng mnh. Bi 13: M hnh Bullish Long Legged Doji (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: hon ton c yu cu - S nn: 1 (2) M t: Mt Doji chn di (Long Legged Doji) l mt hnh nn su sc hn c mt Doji thng. Doji chn di c trng bng nhng ci bng nn rt di cho thy gi dao ng ln cao trong ngy hoc trong tun (hoc thng ) nhng ri hot ng cht li chi phi khin cho gi xung thp; khi ngi u c gi ln thy gi thp l c hi mua vo v th to ra bng di ca nn kh di vi gi ng ca gn hoc bng vi mc gi m ca. N th hin s thiu qu quyt ca ngi mua v ngi bn v l mt du hiu o chiu quan trng.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Tiu ch nhn din m hnh chnh l th trng c trng vi xu hng chung gim gi, sau xut hin mt Doji ti cui xu hng m Doji ny c thn nn l ng nm ngang hoc kh nh, v c bng trn v bng di u di v hu nh di gn bng nhau. (4) Phn tch tm l: Doji chn di cho thy s thiu qu quyt v bi ri rt ln trong th trng. Long legged Doji th hin gi dao ng mnh trn v di mc m ca tuy nhin khi ng ca th rt gn mc m ca nn kt qu c s thay i nh so vi mc m ca ban u v s phn khch trong ngy giao dch phn nh r nt l th trng mt i cm gic xu hng ca n. Long Legged Doji ch th hin rng xu hng trc mt i sc mnh do hot ng cht li chi phi v bo hiu kh nng thay i xu hng. i vi nh u t thn trng nn k vng s xc nhn xu hng sau . Nhng dng nn xc nhn sau s cho bit ngi thng trong cuc chin gia ngi u c gi ln v ngi u c gi xung.

(5) Kinh nghim: Du hiu Doji chn di thng xut hin cc th ngy. xc nh ng xu hng th nh u t nn kt hp vi cc ch bo k thut khc nh ng trung bnh ng MA a ra quyt nh chnh xc. Doji chn di nm trn ng MA quan trng v d MA21, MA50 th kh nng cnh bo o chiu ca Doji chn di cng tin cy hn. Bi 14: M hnh Bullish Gravestone Doji (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: Gravestone Doji (Doji bia ) l mt dng Doji c bit c gi m ca v gi ng ca bng vi mc gi thp nht trong ngy. M hnh Bullish Gravestone Doji Pattern l mt du hiu o chiu ti y th trng. Tng t nh ngi em h ca n l m hnh Bullish Inverted Hammer th n xut hin trong mt xu hng downtrend v th hin kh nng o chiu xu hng gi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: c trng th trng l xu hng gim gi; bin di ca bin giao dch xut hin mt dng nn gim gi, sau l mt Doji khng c bng di v c bng trn rt di vo ngy th 2 v cng khng yu cu khong trng gi. (4) Phn tch tm l: Th trng m ca di mc gi ng ca ca ngy hm trc sau c mt t tng gi ngn nhng t tng gi ny khng sc a gi cao hn mc gi ng ca ca ngy hm trc. Sau gi o chiu v gim xung mc thp nht trong ngy. Dao ng gi nh th cho thy tnh trng bn khng to kh nng tng gi trong nhng ngy tip theo. Khng c du hiu no bo hiu s o chiu chc chn song nu ngy k tip gi m ca nm trn thn nn ca Gravestone Doji th chng t nhng ngi bn khng ti gi m ca hoc ng ca ca ngy hnh thnh Doji bia thua l. Th trng cng duy tr trn thn nn ca Doji bia th cng c kh nng b l cho nhng t bn khng . t bn khng s thc y mt t tng gi v cng khuyn khch nhng ngi canh gi thp mua vo. Doji bia tng gi tng trng cho nm m ca nhng ngi u c gi xng cht v bo v trng thi ca h.

(5) Kinh nghim: D m hnh ny c sc bo hiu trung bnh song t tng gi trong ngy xut hin Gravestone Doji l cnh bo i vi ngi u t gi xung rng xu hng downtrend ang mt dn xung lng v ngi u t gi xung c th thot khi th trng cng sm cng tt. Nh u t theo nn Nht i vi m hnh ny s i ngy k tip xem xt nu nh u t gi ln c th kim sot xu hng th trng hay khng. Khi gi ngy th 3 duy tr trn Gravestone Doji th iu cho thy cc trng thi bn c th b thua l v th nn ng cc trng thi bn v dn n s suy yu ca th trng u t gi xung. Nhiu ngi sn gi y s bt u mua mt khi iu xy ra, dn n kh nng o chiu. Bi 15: M hnh Bullish Doji Star (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: Bullish Doji Star l mt dng nn Short Candlestick (nn c thn nh), mt Spinning Top (nn hnh trc xe), mt High Wave hay mt Doji to khong trng so vi dng nn gim gi c thn di trc trong mt xu hng downtrend.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng gim gi. Nn th nht mu en hoc , nn th 2 l mt Short Candlestick, hoc Spinning Top, hoc High Wave hay l Doji to khong trng xung di gi ng ca ca nn th nht, bng nn ca Doji khng qu di. (4) Phn tch tm l: Xu th gim gi y mnh m vo ngy th nht. Tt c nim tin c xy dng bi nh u t gi xung t ngy th nht b hy hoi khi dng nn ngy th 2 ng ca gn gi m ca. Nhng ngi ng trng thi bn s nhanh chng xut hin nu ngy k tip m ca cao hn. S xc nhn o chiu vo ngy th 3 l iu c yu cu. S xc nhn ny di hnh thc mt dng nn mu xanh hoc trng, mt khong trng i ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn.

(5) Kinh nghim: S xc nhn vo ngy th 3 s tr thnh m hnh Morning Star Doji. Trong cc th trng khng phi forex khng giao dch 24 gi/ngy th nh u t ch i thm nhng du hiu sc mnh m hnh ny khi k vng mt khong trng xut hin vo ngy th 2 khi Doji Star m ca di mc gi ng ca ca ngy trc . Mt khong trng nh th him khi xy ra th trng forex v th i khi kh m k vng iu l tng nh l thuyt. Bi 16: M hnh Bullish Tri Star (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: Bullish Tri Star l mt dng nn rt him thy nhng l du hiu o chiu ti y quan trng. Ba dng nn ngi sao hnh thnh nn m hnh ny. Doji gia l Doji Star.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng gim gi. Xut hin 3 Doji k tip nhau. Doji ngy th 2 to khong trng xung di Doji th nht v Doji th 3. (4) Phn tch tm l: Trong trng hp Bullish Tri Star, chng ta thy th trng theo xu hng downtrend trong mt thi gian di. Tuy nhin xu hng ang yu dn cho thy nhng thn nn c th ngy cng nh dn. Doji u tin l iu gy lo lng. Doji th 2 r rng cho thy rng th trng ang mt dn xu hng ca n. Cui cng th Doji th 3 cnh bo xu hng downtrend kt thc. M hnh ny m ch c qu nhiu s thiu qu quyt ca ngi tham gia th trng dn n kh nng o chiu. S xc nhn vo ngy th 4 yu cu m bo xu hng downtrend o chiu, di hnh thc mt dng nn mu xanh hoc trng, mt khong trng i ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn.

(5) Kinh nghim: Mt nn Doji th hin s do d ca th trng v ngi mua cng nh ngi bn khng th y gi ng ca cch xa vi gi m ca. Kiu hnh ng ny rt ph bin trong nhng thi k hot ng th trng hn ch nh nhng ngy ngh. Nhng sau mt xu hng gim gi ko di hoc trong nhng thi k khi lng giao dch mc cao th nhiu Doji c th bo hiu s o chiu. Ngi phn tch nn Nht s ch c hi mua xut hin sau m hnh Bullish Tri Stars. Phin bn ca th trng khng phi forex thng thy nhiu khong trng gia cc Doji. D nhin nhng khong trng nh th rt kh thy trong cc th trng forex v th du hiu ny xut hin di dng 3 Doji xp hng. Bi 17: M hnh Bullish Harami (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: Bullish Harami l mt m hnh 2 nn c trng vi mt thn nn trng (hoc xanh) nh nm gn trong lng sau mt thn nn en (hoc ) tng i di. Harami l t ting Nht c c ngha l mang bu. Nn en di l m v nn trng nh l thai nhi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng vi xu hng gim gi. Xut hin nn gim gi c thn di vo ngy th nht. Sau xut hin dng nn tng gi vo ngy th 2 c thn nn nh hon ton b bao trm bi thn nn ngy th nht. Cc bng nn ca nn tng gi khng nht thit phi b bao trm trong thn nn gim gi, song nu c nh th th cng tt. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Harami l mt du hiu v s chnh lnh sc khe ca th trng. Th trng theo xu hng gim gi tip tc c khng nh bng dng nn gim gi di; sc bn mnh phn nh qua mt thn nn en di nhng ri xut hin mt thn nn nh tng gi cho thy kh nng o chiu xu hng. iu ny th hin lc bn ca ngi u c gi xung suy yu v bo hiu kh nng o chiu. Nhn t quyt nh ca m hnh ny chnh l dng nn th 2 c thn nn nh b

bao trm bi thn nn trc. M hnh Bullish Harami khng nht thit l m ch s o chiu th trng m ng hn l d on rng th trng khng th tip tc xu hng trc . Tuy nhin i khi m hnh ny c th cnh bo mt s thay i quan trng v xu hng, c bit ti nhng y ca th trng. S xc nhn o xu hng vo ngy th 3 yu cu m bo rng xu hng o ngc vi mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng ln i ln (gap up) hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn vo ngy th 3. (5) Kinh nghim: V truyn thng th m hnh Harami cho thy nhng du hiu o chiu mnh hn m hnh Harami Cross (m hnh Harami Cross c trng vi dng nn ngy th 2 l mt Doji Cross). V Harami phn nh gi m ca ri ng ca cao hn nn n m ch ngi u t gi ln chim u th th trng hn i vi m hnh Harami Cross ch c th hnh thnh Doji th hin s thiu qu quyt. Trong cc th trng dao ng dp dnh th du hiu ny xy ra thng xuyn vi tm quan trng thp. Nhng nu m hnh ny xut hin sau mt xu hng gim gi ko di th n c tm quan trng cao hn. Bi 18: M hnh Bullish Harami Cross (Doji) (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2

(2) M t: Hnh nn Bullish Harami Cross (Doji) l mt doji theo sau mt thn nn en (hoc ) di. M hnh Bullish Harami Cross l mt m hnh o chiu tng gi mnh. N quan trng hn c m hnh Bullish Harami.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: c trng ca th trng l xu hng downtrend; sau chng ta thy mt cy nn en hoc di. Cy nn ny theo sau bi mt doji hon ton b bao trm bi thn nn ca ngy hm trc. Nhng bng trn v bng di (high/low) ca doji c th khng cn thit phi nm trong thn nn ca ngy hm trc song nu c nh th th cng tt. (4) Phn tch tm l:

M hnh Bullish Harami Cross l mt du hiu mnh v s chnh lch v sc khe ca th trng. Sut mt xu hng downtrend, sc bn mnh c phn nh bng mt thn nn en di m n theo sau bng mt doji ngy k tip. iu ny cho thy th trng ang bt u severe vi xu hng downtrend trc . Bullish Harami khng phi l mt m hnh o chiu mnh song Bullish Harami Cross th li l mt m hnh o chiu tng gi mnh. Ngi bn s kh ng sng sut m qun i tm quan trng ca mt harami cross sau mt cy nn en di. Harami Cross ch ra nhng im y ca th trng. Mt ngy th 3 xc nhn s o chiu c khuyn khch (d khng bt buc) nh gi xu hng downtrend o chiu. S xc nhn c th di dng mt cy nn trng, mt khong trng i ln (gap up) hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn ngy giao dch k tip. (5) Kinh nghim: Trong cc th trng khng phi forex th nhng khong trng cho php Doji xut hin su trong thn nn ca ngy lin trc song nhng khong trng nh th th him thy trong cc th trng forex v th s thy du hiu ny trng ging dng nn Inverted Hammer (ba ngc) do gi ng ca ca ngy trc gn vi gi m ca ca ngy th 2. Trong cc th trng khng r xu hng th m hnh ny xut hin thng xuyn hn vi tm quan trng thp hn. Nhng nu xut hin sau mt xu hng gim gi ko di th n s c tm quan trng tt hn. Bi 19: M hnh Bullish Homing Pigeon (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi

- tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: Bullish Homing Pigeon (m hnh B cu a th bo hiu tng gi) bao gm mt thn nn mu en hoc nh nm gn trong mt thn nn mu en hoc tng i di ng trc .

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Chng ta c th nhn din m hnh ny trong mt xu hng downtrend. Ngy th nht xut hin mt thn nn mu en hoc tng i di. Ngy th 2 l mt thn nn mu en hoc hon ton b bao trm bi thn nn ca ngy th nht.

Khng yu cu cc bng nn ca dng nn ngy th 2 phi nm gn trong thn nn ca ngy th nht song nu c nh th th tt hn. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Homing Pigeon l mt du hiu v s chnh lch gia ngi u t gi ln v ngi u t gi xung. Trong mt th trng theo xu hng downtrend th chng ta thy sc bn mnh phn nh qua thn nn mu en hoc di ca ngy th nht. Tuy nhin thn nn nh ngy th 2 cho thy sc mnh v lng nhit tnh ca ngi u t gi xung suy yu dn th hin s o chiu xu hng. Yu t quan trng v m hnh ny chnh l s yu cu ngy th 2 c thn nn nh tng thch vi dng nn ngy th nht v thn nn nh hon ton b bao trm bi thn nn ln ng trc. Chng ta cn theo di ngy th 3 xc nhn xu hng downtrend o chiu. S xc nhn ny c th di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn. (5) Kinh nghim: Nu m hnh Bullish Homing Pigeon xut hin trn th th l c hi tt cho nh u t thot cc trng thi bn khng v bt u vo trng thi mua. Dao ng theo chiu hng xung cng xu hn th vic ng trng thi bn cng kh thi hn. M hnh Bullish Homing Pigeon kh ging vi m hnh Bullish Harami, ch khc ch dng nn ngy th 2 gim gi i vi m hnh Bullish Homing Pigeon v tng gi i vi m hnh Bullish Harami. Bi 20: M hnh Bullish Engulfing (1) Gii thiu chung:

- Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Engulfing (m hnh bao trm tng gi) bao gm mt dng nn tng gi mnh bao trm mt dng nn gim gi c thn nh trong mt xu hng downtrend (c th khng cn bao trm c cc bng ca dng nn nh ny). y l mt dng mu bo hiu s o chiu ti y th trng.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin mt dng nn gim gi c thn nn nh vo ngy th nht, ngy th 2 xut hin mt dng nn tng gi bao trm c thn nn ca ngy th nht. (4) Phn tch tm l: Trong khi th trng theo xu hng gim gi th thy rng sc bn gim dn phn nh qua thn nn gim gi ngn, ri theo sau l sc mua mnh dn n gi ng ca nm bng hoc trn mc gi m ca ngy hm trc. iu c ngha l xu hng downtrend mt i xung lng v ngi u c gi ln bt u kim sot th trng. Kch c tng i ca cc cc thn nn kh quan trng. Nu ngy th nht c thn nn rt nh (thm ch c th l dng Doji hoc gn nh Doji) v ngy th 2 c thn nn rt di cho thy sc bn ang gim dn v s chnh lch gia thn nn tng gi v thn nn gim gi m ch sc mnh ca ngi u c gi ln ang dn ni tri. M hnh Bullish Engulfing xut hin ti y mt xu hng downtrend c th bo hiu s o chiu theo xu hng tng gi. S o chiu c tnh kh thi hn nu c khi lng giao dch ln vo ngy th 2 hoc dng nn tng gi mnh bao trm hn mt thn nn trc n. S xc nhn vo ngy th 3 yu cu m bo xu hng downtrend b o chiu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. Ch : M hnh Bullish Engulfing l dng ngc vi m hnh Bearish Engulfing. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh ny cng c ngha hn nu n theo sau mt xu hng gim gi ko di hoc mt dao ng i xung nhanh gn y. C hai trng hp u cho thy th

trng c th trng thi siu bn v c nhiu kh nng o chiu. M hnh Bullish Engulfing cng cho cc mc h tr ni m mc gi thp nht chm n v nhng mc gi tr thnh vng h tr tt trong tng lai. Bi 21: M hnh Bullish Matching Low (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Matching Low xut hin vi 2 dng nn gim gi c gi ng ca tng ng nhau trong mt xu hng downtrend. M hnh ny cho thy vng h tr ngn hn v c th gy o chiu vo ngy giao dch k tip.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Chng ta c th nhn din m hnh ny trong th trng theo xu hng downtrend. Ngy th nht l mt dng nn mu en hoc c thn di. Ngy th 2 l mt dng nn en hoc c gi ng ca bng hoc gn bng vi gi ng ca ca ngy th nht. (4) Phn tch tm l: Th trng tip tc gim gi vi biu hin ca dng nn mu en hoc ngy th nht. Ngy k tip m ca ti mc gi cao hn sau gi tip tc i ln trong c ngy nhng ng ca ti mc gi tng ng vi gi ng ca ca ngy trc . M hnh ny m ch vng khng c ngn hn. Ngi u t gi xung bit c thc t ny. Nu h khng ch n m hnh Bullish Matching Low vi kh nng o chiu c th xy ra th h s sm tr gi. Hai ngy ny ng ca cng mc gi cho thy vng h tr ngn hn v vng h tr ny c th c ni tip bng s o chiu vo ngy giao dch k tip. S o chiu xu hng downtrend yu cu xc nhn vo ngy th 3 di hnh thc mt dng nn mu trng hoc xanh, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi

ng ca cao hn. (5) Kinh nghim: Thc t 2 phin c gi ng ca bng nhau s cnh bo cho ngi bn bit rng mt mc h tr quan trng c th xut hin mt cch vng chc. Nhng mc gi cao hn c th ang cho n trong nhng phin ti. M hnh ny trng kh ging m hnh Bullish Homing Pigeon. Bi 22: M hnh Bullish Meeting Lines (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 2 (2) M t: Theo m hnh Bullish Meeting Lines th thng thy ngy th 2 th trng to khong trng xung thp khi m ca ri ng ca gn mc gi ng ca ca ngy lin trc. N theo sau mt dng nn gim gi trong mt xu hng downtrend.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng vi xu hng downtrend. Xut hin mt dng nn gim gi vo ngy th nht. Ngy th 2 l mt dng nn tng gi vi thn nn nm thp hn xu hng trc . Gi ng ca 2 ngy ny bng hoc gn bng nhau. C 2 dng nn c thn di nhng ngy th 2 th c th ngn hn ngy th nht. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh ny xung hin trong mt t gim gi. Dng nn th nht di v gim gi. Tuy nhin phin k tip m ca xung bt ng khin cho ngi u t gi xung cm thy t tin. Sau ngi u t gi ln bt u phn kch y gi ln v dn n gi ng ca bng vi gi ng ca ngy lin trc. Xu hng downtrend b b gy. Bullish Meeting Lines l mt m hnh c th so snh ging vi m hnh Piercing Line. Piercing Line l m hnh c 2 dng nn ging nhau. S khc nhau ch yu gia 2 m hnh ny chnh l t phn kch tng gi khng khin cho gi i ln thn nn tng gi ngy lin trc theo m hnh Bullish Meeting Lines. N ch c th tin st gi ng ca ca phin trc trong khi dng nn th 2 ca m hnh Bullish Piercing Line th i vo thn nn ca ngy lin trc. Xt cho cng Bullish

Piercing Line l m hnh o chiu ti y quan trng hn song cng cn tn trng m hnh Bullish Meeting Lines. S xc nhn vo ngy th 3 yu cu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn m bo th trng o chiu. (5) Kinh nghim: M hnh ny c th rt tiu biu trong th trng dao ng dp dnh. M hnh ny quan trng nht khi xut hin sau mt xu hng gim gi ko di. M hnh ny v l tng khng th xy ra th trng forex v th trng forex giao dch 24/24 cho nn nhng khong trng gia ngy th nht v ngy th 2 thc s kh c th xy ra m trong th trng forex th gi m ca ngy th 2 s gn vi gi ng ca ca ngy th nht. V th thay v thy mt dng nn xanh c thn di vo ngy th 2 th nh u t forex theo di din bin gi s thy mt dng Dragonfly Doji c sc mnh o chiu tng i. Bi 23: M hnh Bullish Three Stars in the South (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t:

M hnh Bullish Three Stars in the South bao gm 3 dng nn gim gi k tip nhau trong mt xu hng downtrend. Nhng dng nn ny cho thy mi ngy ln lt xu hng gim gi cng yu hn v c kh nng lc mua ang bt u hnh thnh. Nhng t tng gi nh hng ngy gi cho th trng khng th chm ti mc gi thp nht ca ngy u tin. Nhng biu hin ny cho thy tnh hnh xoay chuyn sang xu hng tng gi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Chng ta c th nhn din m hnh ny trong mt xu hng downtrend. Ngy th nht l mt dng nn Black Opening Marubozu di c bng di ca nn di trng ging mt dng Hammer (hnh ba). Ngy th 2 l mt dng Black Opening Marubozu tng t ngy th nht song thn nn nh hn vi mc gi thp nht nm trn mc gi thp nht ca ngy th nht. Ngy th 3 l mt dng Black Marubozu nm trong bin dao ng ca ngy th 2. (4) Phn tch tm l:

M hnh Bullish Three Stars in the South cho thy xu hng downtrend suy yu dn, c trng vi dao ng gi ngy cng yu dn v mc gi thp nht ca ngy sau ln lt cao hn ngy trc. Sc mua tt phn nh qua bng nn di di ngy th nht. Ngy k tip m ca mc gi cao hn, sau dao ng xung thp nhng khng thp hn mc gi thp nht ca ngy lin trc. Ngy th 2 ng ca cao hn gi thp nht. Sau xut hin dng nn Black Marubozu b bao trm bi bin dao ng ca ngy lin trc. Nhng mc gi thp nht ln lt cao hn gy kh khn cho ngi u t gi xung. Ngy cui cng ca m hnh phn nh s thiu qu quyt ca th trng. Ngi u t gi xung lc ny sp ng trng thi nu thy bt k du hiu tng gi. Tnh hnh cho thy sp chuyn hng theo xu hng tng gi. S xc nhn vo ngy th 4 yu cu m bo xu hng downtrend o chiu, di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Trong khi m hnh ny d bo s o chiu song n ch c th phn nh ngi bn bo v trng thi ca mnh. V th nh phn tch nn Nht thng khng xe m m hnh ny l du hiu mua mnh. Thay vo n c s dng l du hiu thanh khon cc trng thi bn v ch cc c hi mua. M hnh ny c tm quan trng hn khi xut hin sau mt t sell -off ko di. Bi 24: M hnh Bullish Breakaway (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh

- Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 5 (2) M t: Trong mt xu hng downtrend th chng ta c th thy m hnh Bullish Breakaway (m hnh bc ph tng gi) ni bt vi s gim gi mnh ri cui cng suy yu. S suy yu ny c th hin qua mt dng nn tng gi c thn di khng th ng khong trng gia thn nn ca ngy th nht v ngy th 2. Nhng yu t ny cnh bo chng ta v s o chiu ngn hn.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: c trng ca th trng l xu hng downtrend. Xut hin mt dng nn gim gi c thn nn di vo ngy th nht. Ngy th 2 l mt dng nn gim gi c khong

trng ln trn ngy th nht. Xu th gim gi vn tip tc trong ngy th 3 v ngy th 4 vi nhng mc gi ng ca lin tip nhau thp hn. Cui cng l mt dng nn tng gi c thn di vo ngy th 5 c gi ng ca nm trong khong trng c to ra gia ngy th nht v ngy th 2. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Breakaway xut hin trong mt xu hng downtrend v cho thy sc bn tng tc n im siu bn ca th trng. N bt u vi mt ngy gim gi mnh ko theo khong trng theo hng ca xu hng downtrend theo sau l 3 ngy c gi ng ca lin tip thp hn ngy lin trc. Tt c cc phin trong m hnh ny u l dng nn gim gi, tr dng nn ngy th 3 c th tng gi hoc gim gi. 3 ngy sau khong trng c dng tng t m hnh Bearish Three Black Crows v nhng mc gi cao nht v thp nht lin tip thp hn ngy lin trc. Dng nh xu hng downtrend tng tc bng mt khong trng ri bt u suy gim, tuy nhin xu hng downtrend vn tip tc. R rng R rng c s suy yu dn dn trong xu hng downtrend. Cui cng th xut hin s bc ph theo hng ngc li hon ton phc hi hnh ng gi ca 3 ngy trc. Kh nng o chiu cng c m ch qua thc t khong trng khng c lp y. S xc nhn vo ngy th 6 cn thit di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Nhng dng nn u cho thy sc mnh xu hng gia tng ng k, song n dng nn ngy th 3 v th 4 th nhng dao ng i xung cng yu i bo hiu dao ng bt u chm dn. Thc t th 3 n 4 dng nn u ng vi m hnh Bullish Three Stars in the South m khng phi l du hiu o chiu mnh v th nh u t thng ch i s xc nhn m hnh vo ngy k tip. Dng nn cui cng ca m hnh Bullish Breakaway th hin hon ton s xc nhn . Sau vi ngy xu hng gim gi suy yu i th mt dng nn tng gi r

rng hin ln nh hng li th trng. S nn nm gia v l tng l 4 nn gim gi trc khi c mt nn tng gi mnh nhng trong thc t th c th l 2, 3 hoc thm ch 5 nn u truyn ti cng thng tin v xu hng gim gi ang suy yu dn. V th nh u t thng k vng 4 nn khi nhn din m hnh ny song nhng du hiu tng t vn s c chp nhn. V ng nhin trong th trng forex th nh u t cng him khi thy khong trng sau t gim gi mnh vo ngy th nht ca m hnh. Bi 25: M hnh Bullish Unique Three River Bottom (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Unique Three River Bottom (m hnh y 3 dng sng c o tng gi) l mt m hnh o chiu ti y th trng cc k him c. Dng nn th nht l dng nn gim gi mnh, theo sau l dng nn gim gi c gi ng ca cao hn gi ng ca ca dng nn th nht, v dng nn th 3 l dng nn tng gi c thn nn rt nh. Dng nn nh ny cho thy th trng mt i sc bn ca n.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin 1 dng nn gim gi c thn nn di vo ngy th nht, ngy thy 2 l mt dng nn gim gi c hnh dng ging ci ba (hammer) vi bng di di, gi thp nht trong ngy thp hn c gi thp nht ca ngy lin trc, ngy th 3 l mt dng nn tng gi c thn nn ngn, nm di thn nn ca ngy th 2. (4) Phn tch tm l: Vi m hnh Bullish Unique Three River Bottom th ta thy mt dng nn gim gi mnh trong mt th trng ang i xung. Ngy k tip m ca vi mc gi cao hn tuy nhin tnh hnh gim gi mnh to mc thp nht mi trong ngy song ngy ny ng ca gn mc gi cao nht hnh thnh thn nn nh nm trong thn nn ca ngy lin trc. t tng gi nh u ngy gy hoi nghi cho sc mnh ca nh u t gi xung. Tnh hnh khng chc chn tng ln khi ngy th 3 m ca gi xung thp hn nhng khng thp hn mc gi thp nht ca ngy th 2. Ngy th 3 kt thc bng mt t tng gi ng ca di mc gi ng ca ca ngy th 2. Nu gi tng ln mc cao mi trong ngy th 4 th s o chiu c

xc nhn. S xc nhn vo ngy th 4 cng cn thit m bo xu hng downtrend o chiu, di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Bng nn ca ngy th 2 cng di th kh nng o chiu thnh cng cng ln. Sau khi mt xu hng gim gi mnh c hiu lc th xu hng c tng cng hn bi mt dng nn gim gi c thn di. Ngy k tip m ca gi cao hn nhng nh u t gi xung vn c th y gi xung cc mc thp mi. Trc khi kt thc phin th nh u t gi ln a gi tr li u trn ca bin giao dch. n ngy th 3 th nh u t gi xung c gng y gi xung song nh u t gi ln vn duy tr c quyn kim sot. Nu ngy k tip thy gi i ln cc mc gi cao mi th xu hng xc nhn s o chiu. Bi 26: M hnh Bullish Ladder Bottom (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 5 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Ladder Bottom (m hnh y hnh ci thang o chiu tng gi)

bao gm 5 dng nn. Trong mt xu hng downtrend ni bt vi 3 dng nn gim gi th ngi bn c c hi ng trng thi cht li vo ngy th 4 trong mt xu hng downtrend ng k. Sau xut hin mt khong trng i ln vo ngy th 5 l kt qu ca hnh ng ny. Nu thn nn ngy th 5 di hoc khi lng giao dch cao th iu ny cng c th m ch s o chiu theo xu hng tng gi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng vi xu hng downtrend. Xut hin 3 dng nn gim gi mnh vi gi m ca ngy sau thp hn ngy trc ng thi gi ng ca ngy sau cng thp hn ngy trc ging nh m hnh Bearish Three Black Crows. Ngy th 4 xut hin mt dng nn gim gi c thn nn nh v bng trn ca nn di, bng di rt ngn hoc khng c. Cui cng vo ngy th 5 xut hin dng nn tng gi vi gi m ca nm trn thn nn ca ngy th 4. (4) Phn tch tm l:

Th trng theo xu hng downtrend ng k trong mt khong thi gian v ngi u t gi xung hi lng. Sau chng ta thy th trng tip tc i xung mnh. Gi bt u giao dch trn gi m ca ngy lin trc v gn nh t n mc gi cao nht ca ngy lin trc nhng ri ng ca ti mc thp mi. Biu hin ny cnh bo cho ngi bn rng th trng s khng i xung mi. Khi ngi bn c th buc phi nh gi li trng thi ca mnh v c th bt u ng trng thi ca mnh vo ngy k tip nu mc li nhun kh. Hnh ng ny to ra thc t khong trng i ln vo ngy cui cng ca m hnh v mc gi ng ca ngy ny cng tng i cao hn. Nu khi lng giao dch cao vo ngy cui cng th s o chiu c th xy ra. S xc nhn vo ngy th 6 yu cu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mc gi ng ca cao hn m bo th trng o chiu. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Cc dng nn u thit lp mt xu hng gim gi ko di. Tuy nhin khi thi gian tin trin th ngi bn chp c hi ng trng thi v cht li. iu ny c th hin qua dng nn hnh cy ba ngc (Inverted Hammer) ngy th 4. Khi gi i ln th mc gi cao c thit lp. Nhng trong qu trnh ny th ngi bn vn c th y gi xung cc mc gi gn gi m ca to kt qu thn nn nh. n ngy th 4 th thy rng ngi bn mt i s kim sot chc chn trong th trng. Vo ngy th 5 th t tng gi to ra dng nn xanh c thn di. Khi ngi phn tch nn Nht s k vng nhng c hi vo trng thi mua xut hin. Bi 27: M hnh Bullish Upside Gap Three Methods (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: tip tc xu hng - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh

- Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Upside Gap Three Methods bao gm 2 dng nn tng gi c thn di vi mt khong trng i ln gia 2 dng nn ny trong mt xu hng uptrend. Theo sau l mt dng nn gim gi vo ngy th 3 c th ng khong trng gia 2 dng nn . Mc h tr cho xu hng uptrend c th ang hnh thnh do s cht li tm thi.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng uptrend. Xut hin 2 dng nn tng gi c thn di vi mt khong trng gia chng. Sau ngy th 3 l mt dng nn gim gi vi gi m ca nm trong thn nn ca ngy th 2. Thn nn ngy th 3 gim

gi v lp y khong trng gia 2 ngy u. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Upside Gap Three Methods xut hin trong th trng ang theo xu hng tng gi mnh. Xu hng tng gi m rng thm mt ngy th hin khong trng theo hng ca xu hng uptrend. Tuy nhin, gi m ca ngy th 3 nm trong thn nn ngy th 2 v c th lp y hon ton khong trng. iu ny c gii thch nh l s h tr cho xu hng uptrend hin ti. Nhng khong trng to ra nhng im h tr v /hoc khng c tuyt vi v chng c lp y ch trong mt ngy. Nu c khong trng th ngy th 3 l ngy phn ng m c th c coi l s cht li. N thng c xc nh nh l s lp y khong trng theo phn tch k thut. M hnh Bullish Upside Gap Three Methods kh ging vi m hnh Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap. S xc nhn xu hng yu cu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn ngy k tip m bo xu hng uptrend tip tc. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Khong trng i ln ngy th 2 c lp y bi ngy th 3. S kim tra nhng phin trc c khuyn co xc nh xem y c phi l khong trng u tin hay khng. Nu ng nh th th m hnh ny c th ang m ch thc trng bn khng ng khong trng c hnh thnh v xu hng tng gi s tip tc. Bi 28: M hnh Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap (1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: tip tc xu hng

- Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: trung bnh - Yu cu xc nhn: ngh - S nn: 3 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap bao gm 2 dng nn tng gi c thn di vi mt khong trng i ln gia 2 dng nn ny trong mt xu hng uptrend. Theo sau l mt dng nn gim gi vo ngy th 3 c th ng mt phn khong trng gia 2 dng nn . Dng nn gim gi ny l kt qu ca s cht li tm thi. Xu hng gi s tip tc i ln theo hng ca khong trng .

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng uptrend. Xut hin 2 dng nn tng gi c thn

di vi mt khong trng gia chng. Sau ngy th 3 l mt dng nn gim gi vi gi m ca nm trong thn nn ca ngy th 2. Thn nn ngy th 3 gim gi c gi ng ca nm trong khong trng nhng khng hon ton ng kn khong trng. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap xut hin trong th trng ang theo xu hng tng gi mnh. Xu hng tng gi m rng thm mt ngy th hin khong trng theo hng ca xu hng uptrend. Tuy nhin, gi m ca ngy th 3 nm trong thn nn ngy th 2 v c th lp y mt phn khong trng. Ngy th 3 c gi l ngy iu chnh, khng lp y ton b khong trng v th xu hng tng gi trc s tip tc. y ch l trng hp cht li tm thi. M hnh Bullish Upside Tasuki Gap l m hnh rt him thy, n trng kh ging m hnh Bullish Upside Gap Three Methods. im khc duy nht ch trong m hnh Bullish Upside Gap Three Methods th khong trng gia 2 ngy u tin c lp y hon ton vo ngy th 3. S xc nhn xu hng yu cu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn ngy k tip m bo xu hng uptrend tip tc. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Nh u t gi ln ginh quyn kim sot ngy u tin v khong trng gi m ca ngy th 2 cng khuyn khch h thm. Tuy nhin vo ngy th 3 th mt s nh u t thy c nhng mc li tt v bt u cht li, y gi ng ca phin v gn im gia ca khong trng. Trong m hnh ny th khi lng giao dch rt quan trng, c bit khi lng giao dch ngy th 3 rt thp, iu c d bo rng nh u t gi ln s kim sot v tip tc xu th u t gi ln. PHN 3: NHM M HNH C TIN CY THP (LOW

RELIABILITY) Bi 29: M hnh Bullish Hammer 1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: thp - Yu cu xc nhn: hon ton yu cu - S nn: 1 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Hammer (m hnh ba bo hiu xu hng tng gi) l mt dng nn quan trng xy ra ti y mt xu hng downtrend, v n c hnh dng ci ba nn c gi nh vy. M hnh ny c s tng ng vi m hnh Bullish Dragonfly Doji m chng ta tng nghin cu. Ch khc l m hnh Bullish Dragonfly Doji c gi ng ca v gi m ca bng nhau trong khi m hnh Bullish Hammer c thn nn nh vi bng di ca nn di.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, xut hin mt dng nn c thn nh, mu sc khng quan trng, bng di ca nn di t nht bng 2 ln thn nn, bng trn rt ngn hoc khng c. (4) Phn tch tm l: Xu hng chung ca th trng l gim gi, sau th trng m ca vi t selloff nhanh m ch s tip tc xu hng downtrend. Tuy nhin gi bt ng bt ln, t sell-off nhanh chng b chn li v xu th tng gi tip tc trong ngy vi gi ng ca nm ti hoc gn mc cao nht trong ngy dn n hnh thnh bng di di ca nn. Qu thc th trng khng th tip tc xu hng bn. tin cy ca m hnh ny khng cao nn yu cu s xc nhn xu hng downtrend b o chiu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln.

(5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Sc mnh ca m hnh Hammer ph thuc vo v tr xut hin ca n. Nu n hnh thnh gn cc mc h tr th kh nng o chiu theo xu hng tng gi mnh mc cao. Tuy nhin nu Hammer xut hin gia mt bin giao dch th n c tm quan trng km hn. Thn nn Hammer cng di th cng c nhiu ngi mua c th y gi i ln v du hiu tng gi theo m hnh ny cng mnh. Mc d mu sc ca Hammer khng quan trng song nu n c mu xanh (hoc trng) th du hiu tng gi s mnh hn. Bi 30: M hnh Bullish Inverted Hammer 1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: thp - Yu cu xc nhn: hon ton yu cu - S nn: 2 (2) M t: M hnh Bullish Inverted Hammer (m hnh ba ngc bo hiu xu hng tng gi) l mt dng nn quan trng xy ra ti y mt xu hng downtrend, v n c hnh dng ci ba dng ngc nn c gi nh vy. M hnh ny c s tng ng vi m hnh Bearish Shooting Star. Dng nn sao bng xut hin trong mt xu hng downtrend v th n tr thnh m hnh Bullish Inverted Hammer.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Th trng c trng theo xu hng downtrend, ngy th nht xut hin mt dng nn gim gi cui bin dao ng, ngy th 2 xut hin dng nn c thn nh cui bin dao ng, mu sc ca thn nn th 2 ny khng quan trng; khng nht thit phi c khong trng i xung min l n xut hin cui xu hng downtrend. Bng trn ca thn nn th 2 di t nht bng 2 ln thn nn ca n, bng di ca nn rt ngn hoc khng c. (4) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Bullish Inverted Hammer xut hin trong xu hng gim gi. Trong ngy xut hin Inverted Hammer th th trng m ca ti hoc gn mc thp nht trong ngy. Sau gi thay i xu hng v s c t tng gi. Tuy nhin ngi u c gi ln khng th duy tr t tng gi trong thi gian cn li trong ngy v cui cng gi ng ca nm ti hoc gn vi gi thp nht. Nu ngy k tip gi m ca trn thn nn ca Inverted Hammer th c ngha l nhng ngi bn khng ti mc gi m ca hoc gi ng ca ca Inverted Hammer ang mt tin u t. tin cy ca m hnh ny khng cao nn yu cu s xc nhn xu hng

downtrend b o chiu di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi vi gi ng ca cao hn hoc mt khong trng i ln. Ch : M hnh Bullish Inverted Hammer tri ngc vi m hnh Bearish Shooting Star. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Trong mt xu hng gim gi th nh u t gi kn c th y gi i ln trong thi gian ngn song khng sc a gi ng ca nm cao hn gi m ca phin. iu ny c th l s cnh bo cho nh u t gi xung rng s c thm mt t tng gi ko di hn. Xu th o chiu c xc nhn bng nhng dao ng i ln trong ngy k tip. Trong ngy th 3, thn nn cng nm cao hn trn thanh nn ca ngy th 2 th ngi bn s cng c th ng trng thi ca mnh, do dn n s suy yu dn ca th trng u t gi xung. Nhiu ngi sn tm gi y s bt u k vng s o chiu. Bi 31: M hnh Bullish Separating Lines 1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: tip tc xu hng - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: thp - Yu cu xc nhn: yu cu - S nn: 2 (2) M t:

Trong mt xu hng uptrend sau khi thy xut hin mt dng nn gim gi vo ngy th nht th th trng tng gi nhanh khi m ca vi gi m ca tng ng vi gi m ca ca phin trc v cng ng ca ngy vi mc gi cao hn. Dng nn tng gi ny thuc dng White Opening Marubozu.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Chng ta c th nhn din m hnh ny trong mt xu hng uptrend. Ngy th nht l mt dng nn gim gi. Ngy th 2 c gi m ca bng vi gi m ca ngy th nht hoc cng rt st vi gi m ca ngy th nht. Dng nn ngy th 2 c gi m ca bng vi gi thp nht v gi ng ca cao hn nhiu so vi gi m ca to thn nn di nhng gi ng ca thp hn mc gi cao nht trong ngy v th n c gi l White Opening Marubozu. (4) Phn tch tm l: Trong mt xu hng uptrend th mt dng nn gim gi c thn tng i d i l

mt vn gy lo lng cho ngi mua. N c th m ch rng ngi u t gi xung ang kim sot tnh hnh. Tuy nhin, nu ngy k tip m ca tng ng vi gi m ca ca ngy lin trc th iu c th cho thy rng ngi u t gi xung mt s kim sot th trng. Nu dng nn tng gi ny cng ng ca ti mc gi cao hn th c th cho chng ta bit ngi u t gi ln ginh li s kim sot v xu hng uptrend s tip tc. Dng nn ngy th 2 phi l dng White Opening Marubozu. S xc nhn vo ngy th 3 yu cu m bo xu hng tng gi tip tc, di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Ngy gim gi gy s hoi nghi trong th trng u t gi ln song ngy tng gi sau lm gim bt s lo lng ca ngi u t gi ln. n y th xut hin nim tin v s tip tc xu hng tng gi trc . M hnh Bullish Separating Lines l mt trong nhng m hnh kh nhn din nht bi v c trng ca n t gy n tng i vi ngi phn tch nn Nht. Bi 32: M hnh Bullish Three Line Strike 1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: tip tc xu hng - Bo hiu: tng gi - tin cy: thp - Yu cu xc nhn: hon ton yu cu - S nn: 4

(2) M t: M hnh Bullish Three Line Strike c hnh thnh t 3 dng nn tng gi c thn di ni tip nhau v theo sau l mt dng nn gim gi y gi tr v im ni m chng bt u m hnh. Nu c xu hng tng gi mnh trc m hnh th sau khi m hnh l din th xu hng tng gi s tip tc.

(3) Tiu ch nhn din: Chng ta c th pht hin m hnh ny trong mt xu hng uptrend. Sau thy xut hin 3 dng nn tng gi c thn di c gi ng ca ln lt cao hn so vi ngy lin trc. Ngy th 4 l mt dng nn gim gi c gi m ca cao hn v ng ca di gi m ca ca ngy th nht trong m hnh. (4) Phn tch tm l:

M hnh Bullish Three Line Strike xut hin trong th trng theo xu hng uptrend vi 3 dng nn tng gi sau ngy th 4 m ca theo hng ca xu hng uptrend ny nhng ngi mua bt u cht li khin cho gi dao ng mnh theo hng ngc li. Lc ny c th cn phi nh gi li xu hng th trng. Nu xu hng trc thc s mnh th iu ny c th gii thch nh l s i xung tm thi do hot ng cht li gy ra. Ngy cui cng trong m hnh cho thy s thanh khon m c th em li cho xu hng uptrend mt sc mnh mi tip tc theo xu hng uptrend trc . S xc nhn vo ngy th 5 hon ton cn thit di hnh thc mt dng nn tng gi, mt khong trng i ln hoc mt mc gi ng ca cao hn. (5) Phn tch kinh nghim: Nu xu hng tng gi trc l mt xu hng c thit lp th ngi phn tch nn Nht thng xem m hnh Three Line Strike l mt du hiu cho thy xu hng gim gi c th vn tip tc. 3 dng nn u tin c vai tr nh mt du hiu tng gi kh r nt. Cho n ngy th 3 th thc t xut hin du hiu ging m hnh Three White Soldiers v l mt du hiu tng gi mnh. Ngy th 4 sell-off gi i xung c xem l du hiu ngi u t gi ln ng trng thi cht li ch khng phi l du hiu o chiu. V th nh u t s k vng thm nhng c hi mua xut hin. Bi 33:M hnh Long White Candlestick 1) Gii thiu chung: - Loi: o chiu/tip tc xu hng - Bo hiu: tng gi/gim gi - tin cy: thp

- Yu cu xc nhn: hon ton yu cu - S nn: 1 (2) M t v tiu ch nhn din: M hnh Long White Candlestick bo hiu sc mua mnh trong th trng. N c thn nn mu trng hoc xanh v tng i di. Kch c ca bng trn v bng di khng quan trng.

(3) Phn tch tm l: M hnh Long White Candlestick l ch bo v sc mua mnh. Dng nn mu trng hoc xanh c thn di m ch rng gi ng ca nm cao trn gi m ca. Long White Candlestick cho thy gi tng ng k sau khi m ca biu hin sc mua mnh v ngi mua chim u th. Cc dng Long White Candlestick nhn chung l cc m hnh tng gi tuy nhin cng ph thuc vo bc tranh k thut chung trn th. N c th cnh bo mt bc ngoc hoc nh du mt vng h tr trong tng lai sau mt t gim gi ko di. Tuy nhin nu n xut hin sau mt t tng gi ng k v ko di th c th bo hiu s tng gi qu mc trong th trng v cnh bo gi nhng vng nguy him. Long White Candlestick l m hnh nn n c tin cy thp. N ch phi nh giao dch trong mt ngy v c th bo hiu s tip tc xu hng hoc o chiu. V th n yu cu xem xt n cc dng nn khc xc nhn xu hng tt hn.

(4) Phn tch kinh nghim: Long White Candlestick l du hiu cho thy ngi mua chc chn chim u th trong th trng, tuy nhin y ch l du hiu nn n c v th tin cy ca n rt thp. C hi u t t dng nn ny cng rt thp. Buitrangnam - Ub.com.vn / Su tm