METODO DE GUMBEL

AO

Q m3/sg

(Qi- Qm)

1981

20.90

16.22

1982

20.60

13.88

1983

10.93

35.37

1984

22.40

30.49

1985

17.53

1986

28.37

132.01

1987

16.11

0.59

1988

18.40

2.34

1989

20.39

12.32

10

1990

11.36

30.43

11

1991

13.00

15.05

12

1992

6.19

13

1993

16.00

0.76

14

1994

24.55

58.82

Yn

15

1995

11.86

25.12

20

0.52355

1.06283

16

1996

13.51

11.34

50

0.54854

1.16066

17

1997

12.74

17.13

100

0.56002

1.20649

18

1998

14.81

4.27

19

1999

16.90

0.00

20

2000

20.97

16.74

Qm

5.32

33.832 m3/seg

100 Qmax =

37.300 m3/seg

Calculo de AQ

O100 =

0.99

Q =

5.705 m3/seg

Calculo de caudales de diseo:

50

Qd = 39.536

m3/seg

50

Qd = 28.127

m3/seg

100

Qd = 43.005

m3/seg

1 . 14

2
Qi

N 2
Qm

N 1

5.32 m3/seg

Qmax = Qm - (Sq/Sn)(Yn-ln T)

0.98

114.08 Qm =

50 Qmax =

16.88 m3/seg

5.32

O50 =

0.43 Qm =

16.88

O = 1 - 1/T

100

Qd = 31.596

m3/seg

b. Los caudales maximos y minimos se usan en:

Maximos:

Proyectos de: defensas ribereas, puentes, presas

Minimos:

Proyectos de: aprovechamiento de recursos hidricos.

METODO DE NASH
1ro

Q m3/sg

T/(T-1)

Q*X

6=2x5

20.90

21.000

1.050 -1.673883409 -34.99044032

20.60

10.500

1.105 -1.361853384 -28.05554156

10.93

7.000

1.167 -1.174270244 -12.83301237

22.40

5.250

1.235 -1.037297501 -23.23321655

17.53

4.200

1.313 -0.927752632 -16.26736928

28.37

3.500

1.400 -0.835266454 -23.69275059

16.11

3.000

1.500 -0.754262201

18.40

2.625

1.615 -0.681360892 -12.54010653

20.39

2.333

1.750

10

11.36

2.100

1.909 -0.551561743 -6.265235805

11

13.00

1.909

2.100 -0.491848457 -6.391980576

12

6.19

1.750

2.333 -0.434179579 -2.689633947

13

16.00

1.615

2.625

14

24.55

1.500

3.000 -0.321371236 -7.888083772

15

11.86

1.400

3.500 -0.264346781 -3.136144129

16

13.51

1.313

4.200 -0.205338207 -2.773674281

17

12.74

1.235

5.250 -0.142571424 -1.815860948

18

14.81

1.167

7.000 -0.073092906 -1.082408474

19

16.90

1.105

10.500

0.009106255

0.153936692

20

20.97

1.050

21.000

0.12130349

2.543430935

75.553

1.013

-11.792

-211.674

TOTAL

337.516

CALCULO DE Qm y Xm

2do

Qm
Xm

16.876
-0.590

CALCULO DE LOS PARAMETROS a y b

3ro

4to

b
a

-2.975
15.122

CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO

T
Qmax

5to

-12.148587

50
21.241

100
22.143

CALCULO DE LAS DESVIACIONES ESTANDAR Y VARIANZA

-0.61432573 -12.52343956

-0.37765197 -6.044193895

6to

Sxx

85.222

Sqq

10748.4519

Sxq

-253.560561

CALCULO DEL INTERVALO DE CONFIANZA

Para T
X
Q
7to

50
-2.06

100
-2.36

3.929

4.673

Calculo del caudal de diseo

50

100

Qd

25.170

26.816

Q2

X2

7=2^2

8=5^2

436.9667641

2.801885668

424.401201

1.854644639

119.4321123

1.378910607

501.662938

1.075986106

307.4470007

0.860724946

804.6015903

0.697670049

259.4220267

0.568911468

338.7256203

0.464252665

415.5754054

0.377396103

129.0287742

0.304220357

168.891684

0.241914905

38.37492756

0.188511907

256.1493551

0.14262101

602.4611158

0.103279471

140.7485641

0.069879221

182.4615614

0.042163779

162.2184323

0.020326611

219.2966084

0.005342573

285.7621203

8.29239E-05

439.6360563

0.014714537

6233

11.213

METODO DE LEBEDIEV
N

AO

Q m3/sg

1981

20.90

1982

1983

4
5

Q/Qm-1

(Q/Qm-1)2

(Q/Qm-1)3

0.238683241

0.05696969

20.60

0.220743333

0.048727619

0.010756297

10.93

-0.352415246

0.124196506

-0.043768742

1984

22.40

0.327217403

0.107071229

0.03503557

1985

17.53

0.039013498

0.001522053

5.93806E-05

1986

28.37

0.680840494

0.463543779

0.315599375

1987

16.11

-0.045580106

0.002077546

-9.46948E-05

1988

18.40

0.090586412

0.008205898

0.000743343

1989

20.39

0.207983432

0.043257108

0.008996762

10

1990

11.36

-0.326900381

0.106863859

-0.034933836

11

1991

13.00

-0.22991229

0.052859661

-0.012153086

12

1992

6.19

-0.632920743

0.400588667

-0.253540877

13

1993

16.00

-0.051619332

0.002664555

-0.000137543

14

1994

24.55

0.454455941

0.206530203

0.093858878

15

1995

11.86

-0.296995596

0.088206384

-0.026196908

16

1996

13.51

-0.199572958

0.039829366

-0.007948864

17

1997

12.74

-0.245279478

0.060162023

-0.01475651

18

1998

14.81

-0.122490117

0.015003829

-0.001837821

19

1999

16.90

0.001701649

2.89561E-06

4.92731E-09

20

2000

20.97

0.242460844

0.058787261

0.014253609

1.887070131

0.097532048

TOTAL

337.52

OBTENCION DE Qm
Qm= 16.88
CALCULOS:
CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DE VARIACION
Cv= 0.307170159
COEFICIENTE DE ASIMETRIA
Cs=

0.168259766

CONSIDERANDO QUE LA AVENIDA SE PRODUCE POR UNA TORMENTA

Cs=

0.921510477

0.01359771

OBTENCION DEL COEFICIENTE K

PARA PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 50 AOS

P= 1/50

2.00%

K= 2.26

SEGN LA TABLA 6.17

PARA PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 100 AOS

P= 1/100

1.00%

K= 2.61

SEGN LA TABLA 6.17

CALCULO DE Er
para 50 aos

Er= 0.2

para 100 aos

Er= 0.22

segn grafico 6.3

CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO

para t=50 aos
Qmax=

28.59102906

Qmax=

30.40533703

para t=100 aos

maximos:
con un intervalo de confianza
para 50 aos
DQ=

29.68

Qd100aos=

31.68

1.086835237

para 100aos
DQ=

Qd50aos=

minimos
1.271383089

Qd50aos=

27.50

Qd100aos=

29.13