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  • Regresion de Chicoasen

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    Adin Hernandes
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    3 views2 pages

    Regresion de Chicoasen

    Uploaded by

    Adin Hernandes

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 2

    determinacion de un pronostico con suavizamiento exponencial

    trimestre
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9

    tonelaje real pronostico


    pronostico
    descargado con =0.10 con =0.5
    pronstico
    180
    175
    175
    175
    168
    175.50
    159
    175.95
    175
    175.16
    190
    173.54
    205
    173.68555
    180 175.316995
    182 178.285296
    178.456766

    CENTRAL ELECTRICA CHICOASEN

    AOS
    2001
    2002
    2003
    2004
    2005
    2006
    2007
    2008
    2009
    2010
    2011

    DEMANDA PERIODO DE TIEMPO


    ELECTRICA (Y)
    (X)
    74
    1
    79
    2
    80
    3
    90
    4
    105
    5
    142
    6
    122
    7
    110
    8
    137
    9
    125
    10
    11

    Y=A+Bx
    143.2242424
    218.3151515
    293.4060606
    368.4969697
    443.5878788
    518.6787879
    593.769697
    668.8606061
    743.9515152
    819.0424242
    894.1333333

    Y=a+Bx
    INTERSECCION (a)
    PENDIENTE (TENDENCIA= b)
    ERROR ESTANDAR
    CORRELACION

    68.13333333
    75.09090909
    14.05681114
    0.846419877

    6.957575758

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