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<= > ? @ P O N M LK J I H G F ED C B A
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Carl Sagan
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scientific
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Micheal Shermer
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Sagan
Sagan Carl. The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a candle in the Dark.
Mitchigan: Random House
House 1995
1995 pp. 210.
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Dilworth
Dilworth C. The Metaphysics of science: An account of modern science in terms of
principles laws and theories
principles
theories Second Edition
Edition 2006
2006 The Netherlands: Springer.
)(1
106
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Theodore Schick :
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cosmic background
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Shick Jr.
Jr. T. (1998). The Big Bang Argument for the Existence of God. The
internet URL: http://www.infidels.org/library/modern/theodore_schick/bigbang.
internet
html retrieved on June 3
html
3 2012.
)(2
117
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Salmon
Salmon H. M. (1992). Scientific Explanation. In Salmon et al. Introduction to the
Philosophy of Science. USA: Hackett Publishing company.
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123
Received view
of scientific explanation .
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124
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126
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130
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First-cause
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133
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137
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138
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139
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140
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141
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142
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143
A-priori
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144
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146
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147
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151
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152
....................................................................................
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Blasting the Foundations of
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154
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156
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157
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159
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161
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162
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166
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167
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168
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169
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170
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171
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172
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173
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181
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182
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183
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184
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185
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186
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188
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190
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193
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194
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195
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196
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197
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198
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200
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201
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202
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203
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Verification !
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204
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205
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Scientific
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206
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(
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Natural Evolution
!
!
207
( )
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!(
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208
( !
!Falsification
:
!
!
( :
)
Indeterministic
Quantum Fluctuation
!
) Singularity !(
209
)
(! ) (
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!
!Unwarranted Metaphsycial Incursion
Questions of origins
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Appeal to Massiveness
!
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210
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t = 110^-43
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211
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212
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213
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Scientific method
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214
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215
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216
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217
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218
academic disciplines
!
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219
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220
Observational Verification
! !
!
!
221
.
.
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!
vacuum fluctuation
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222
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10^-103 .
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223
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224
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225
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226
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227
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228
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278
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279
280
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282
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299
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314
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315
)( !
Probabilistic
Reasoning
Blasting the Foundations of Atheism
highly
) improbable (
!
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316
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317
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318
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322
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323
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324
!(
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325
.
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Fallacies of relevance :
326
)( )( )(.
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327
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328
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329
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330
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331
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(
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Sagan
Sagan Carl. The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a candle in the Dark.
Mitchigan: Random House
House 1995
1995 pp. 214.
)(1
332
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333
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334
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335
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Paradoxes
336
!
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337
*
) . :
!! :
!
! :
!(
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:
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(
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338
339
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340
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341
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342
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%
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343
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344
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345
!
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346
multidisciplinary
!
)
: (
-
347
!
.
348
* ) :
(.
!
) (!
:
349
.. )
!
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Consequentialism
350
) (
!
-
)( !
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!
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)(
=
351
(! )(
.
-
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!
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!
352
* Correlation
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!
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)
(.
353
) (
causation
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)( )(
)( )(
)( )(
)( )( )(
)( )(
)(
!
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354
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(
Helmuth Nyborg
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IQ
)( Agnostics
! ) (.
:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religiosity_and_intelligence
(
) /
)(1
355
) (
) (
)( Religosity
..
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)( !
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) (
!
=
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356
Statistically Significant
!
!
!
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(
Blind
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!
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.
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.
357
!
-
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!
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358
! .
359
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360
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361
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362
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363
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364
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365
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Expelled
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:
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:
=
366
....................................................................................
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!
Querry
Organized religion
Life Style
:
!
! )( )(
)(
)(
agnosticism
367
....................................................................................
=
!
-
!
!
Abiogenesis
-
)
( Pseudoscience
Astrology !
:
!
!
naturism Scientism
368
!
!
-
-
)
=
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!
369
: | } ~
] [ :
) (
) (
) (
370
* ) Weasel Words :
)
Polica
Operation
371
!(
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!
cognitive dissonance
372
!
: ! " ( '& % $ #
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373
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!
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!
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!
!
374
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Triune )( )(
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)(
)(
!
)
(
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.
375
) (
)(
) ( !
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!
!
376
)
(
:
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! :
377
!
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Relativism
!
-
)
( !
!
=
378
] [ : :
] [ : :
] [ :
!
()
=
.
) (
!
!
379
) (
))
( : :
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!
)(
) (
) Quid Pro Quo (
: !
) Plutocracy
(
-
) ( .
) (
380
:
) (
)
(
!
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()
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!
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=
381
) (
!
=
382
(
-
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: (.
)(
Deep Paradoxes
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/physics/Sagan-Time-Travel.html
(
-
) /
)(1
383
Granfather
Paradox :
* Apparent
inconsistency
Paradox
)
() (
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/paradox
(
-
) /
)(1
384
paradoxum Para : )
Doxum ) Doxus
( Doxum
) Logical
) ( )(
)(
) (
Self-Refering Statements:
: .
)(
! )(
)(
)( )(
)( !
)(
William Hughes
Hughes Jonathan Lavery
Lavery Katheryn Dora: Critical Thinking: An
Introduction to the Basic Skills
Skills Broadview Press
Press Canda
Canda 2010
2010 pp. 387
)(1
385
!
:
) (
:
!
! .
:
-
)( .
- )( .
)(
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Paradox : .
386
) (
) ( !
!
Semantics
-Grelling-Nelson Paradox .
Semantic fallacy .
) (
Autology Heterology
monosyllabic
Heterological : )(
)(
Long
Discrimination Individualization
Michael Clark: Paradoxes from A to Z
Z Second Edition
Edition Routledge
Routledge NY
NY USA
USA
2007 pp. 91.
2007
)(1
387
Heterological .
: Heterological
!Autological Autological
! .Paradox
monosyllabic -
!
)(
)(
) (!
!
Heterological
Predication Levels
388
) (
!
Currys Paradox
Self-referential
.Semantics :
: )( ).(
)(
! unknowable
) Barber Paradox
( .
)(
: :
)(
) ( ).( :
.(
.(
) ( ).( :
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Nave Set Theory
R :
Member of itself
R
=
389
!
False Rule False Factual Claim
!
!
!
!
R ! )
( = R
(
) /( !
) (
!
.
390
omnipotence
paradox :
.
! Paradox
:
! : !
!
391
()
)(
Quantum Model
.Relativistic Model
)(
) (
!
!
-
!
) (
(
! ))( =
)
( )-
!(Subatomic
392
....................................................................................
=
Improbable
Impossible )(
!Improbable
!
Epistemic Ambiguity
!Ontological Necessity
A-Posteriori A-priori
!
Causality
!Probability
Michael Heller Philosophy in Science: An Historical Introduction
:
unambiguous
)( =
Probability
393
) standard events
: (
=
Probabilistic laws
.:
Heller
Heller M.: Science as Philosophy: An Historical Introduction. Springer
Springer Poland
Poland
2011 pp. 142
2011
)(
)(
Sufficient Condition
.Necessary Condition
)(
)( !
:
!
394
)(
=
!
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) ( )
( !
Time Dilation
) (
.
)(
)(
)( .
395
- !
!
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) (
!
! :
!
396
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!
.
397
398
)( )
399
(!
!
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400
!) (
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. ) (
Worldline
!
singularities
!
interpretation
Rational contingency !
contingency
GR
) ( .
.Quantum Gravitation
)
(Closed Timelike Curve
Axioms
.
=
401
....................................................................................
=
) ( Paradoxes
-
Dialetheists
-
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A-priori
!
mathematical model
:
402
: (
!
!
Paradoxical !
403
!
= :
Paradoxes
Weasel words
Paradox
Paradox Fallacy
.
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:
=
404
)!(
:
=
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!
405
!
!
!
!
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(Butterfly Effect
!
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!
406
)(
!
!
!Alternate universes
)(
- Causal
-
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)Logical determinism
( .
.
Free will
.
407
)
(!
) (
) (
!Real Science
408
) (
!
Probabilistic Reasoning
)
(
Anthropic principle
!
-
) (
!
!
409
!) (
Multiverse
)( )( M. Tegmark
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Sample Space Fallacy
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!
)(
)(
.
410
:
.
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Fine-Tuning
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(
! )
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(
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!
!
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411
)
( Uncertainty Principle
) -(
!
) Empirical Observation
(
Verification by observation
412
! )
(!
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:
*
...
...
..
) () http://www.ahewar.org/debat/show.art.asp?aid = 247468 :
(.
413
- )(
) (
) ( Indeterminism
)(
- Wavefunction Realism
)
- ) (
) (
Wavefunction
) ( wavefunction Collapse
.
!Schrodingers Cat
414
Probability
!!()(
=
-
!
!
)(
superimposed )
(
!
:
! .:
Erwin Schrdinger
Schrdinger Die gegenwrtige Situation in der Quantenmechanik (The
)present situation in quantum mechanics
mechanics) Naturwissenschaften (translated by
)John D. Trimmer in Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society
:
!
:
) ( Probability Wave
=
415
....................................................................................
=
)
(
:
) ( !
)
( !
:
)(
...
:
http://www.spaceandmotion.com/physics-quantum-mechanics-max-born.htm
) (
!
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:
)( )
( .
=
416
Reality Split
)( ) (
Timeline
)( )
(!
Observer
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Causal Agency )
(
Many Minds
) New Age
(
Quantum
Foam
=
)
( !
417
)
(
=
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!
) (
-
) (
)(
)(
!
418
Paradox
:
( )(
)(
) (Predictions
: )(
)( )( )(
)(
)( )(
! )(
)(
)(
!
!
) (
Macroscopic objects
) (
!
=
)(!
419
....................................................................................
=
!
) (
) (
Vaccum )
Vaccum
(
- Superopsed state
!
!
!
-
!
!
!
!
Fox News
: Freaky Physics Proves Parallel
Universes :
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/04/05/freaky-physics-proves-paralleluniverses/
) .(
.(
420
)
(
)(
Superposition
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Van Wezel
Wezel J. Quantum Mechanics &The Big World: Order
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Press 2007.
)(1
442
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Colin B. Schrodingers Rabbits: The Many Worlds of Quantum. USA: Joseph
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447
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.
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448
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.
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!
Weak Anthropic Principle
)( :
.World Ensemble
449
)Cognizable subset(
:
*
Everett
doctrine
(
world ensemble
)(
Carter
Carter B. Large Number Coincidences and the Anthropic Principle in
Cosmology in: Longair
Cosmology
Longair M. S. (ed.)
(ed.) Confrontation of Cosmological Theories with
Observational Data
Data Dordrecht: Reidel
Reidel 1974
1974 pp. 291-298. Reprinted in: Modern
Cosmology & Philosophy
Philosophy J. Leslie ed.
ed. 2nd ed. (Amherst
(Amherst NY: Prometheus Books
Books
1998) pp. 137
)1998
.(
(.
) ( ) :
)(1
450
! -
-
!
!
)!(
) J. Barrow
( ):(
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(
.(
(.
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Barrow
Barrow J. D. The Constants of Nature. From Alpha to Omega: the Numbers That
Encode the Deepest Secrets of the Universe. New York: Vintage Books
Books 2002
2002 pp.
65.
)(2
451
) (
) -
!( ()
!
Super String Theory
(
(
))
) (
) ( ) (
.
452
!) (
) ( /
Reading the mind of God !
T. Kuhn
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!
!
: !
) *( Quantum
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=
453
) ( .
) (
Compactification !
)
:- / - / -(
Spatial Dimension :
=
(
Postmodern Physics !
!
*Nambu
*Nambu Y.
Y. Directions of Particle Physics in M. Bando
Bando R. Kawabe and N.
Nakanishi (eds.)
(eds.) The Jubilee of the Meson Theory. Proceedings of the Kyoto
International Symposium
Symposium Kyoto
Kyoto August 1517
1517 1985 (Progress of Theoretical
)Physics Supplement
454
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(
458
(!
459
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460
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)(
!
.
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461
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!
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)
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462
) (
.
* ) Wheeler Everett
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:
...
)(
)
(
Carr
Carr B. J. & Rees
Rees M. J.
J. The anthropic principle and the structure of the physical
world Nature
world
Nature vol. 278 (12 April 1979)
1979) pp. 605-612.
)(1
463
)(
) (!
)(
) :
(
Fine-Tuned :
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(
)
464
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466
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!
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467
! :
!
( )
)( )( (
:R. H. Dicke
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* - -
)(
)
Dicke
Dicke R. H.
H. Diracs Cosmology and Machs Principle
Principle Nature
Nature vol. 192
192 No. 4801
4801
4 November 1961
1961 pp. 440-441. Reprinted in: Modern Cosmology & Philosophy
Philosophy
J. Leslie ed.
ed. 2nd ed. (Amherst
(Amherst NY: Prometheus Books
)Books 1998
1998) pp. 127-130.
)(1
468
( T
)(
)(
..
)(
!
-
( ) (
)(
)( !
)
(
) Consequences
!().(
Collins
Collins C. B. & Hawking
Hawking S. W.
W. Why is the universe isotropic?
isotropic? The Astrophysical
)Journal vol. 180 (1973
Journal
(1973) pp. 317-334
)(1
469
:G. Whitrow
*
contingent
Necessary
).(
!
-
- ..
) (
!
!
Whitrow
Whitrow Gerald. Why physical space has three dimensions
dimensions The British Journal
for the Philosophy of Science
Science Vol. 6
6 No. 21. (May
)(May 1955
1955) pp. 13-31
)(1
470
) Strong Nuclear Force
(
!
)
(
)
471
)
( .
Anthropic
) Principle (
!
!
:
*
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) (
Anthropic principle
.
:
*
Self-selection Principle
472
)(
Anthropocentrism !
!
!
Unjustifiable
) (!
: k j i
x w v u t sr q p on m l
zy ] [ : : ! " * ) ( ' & % $ #
; : 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 21 0 / . - , +
< = > ?@ ] [ :
!
(
Carter
Carter B. The anthropic principle and its implications for biological evolution
evolution
in: McCrea
McCrea W. H. & Rees
)Rees M. J. (eds
(eds) The Constants of Physics
Physics The Royal Society:
London 1983
London
1983 pp. 137
)(1
473
)(
Heliocentric
!(
!
) (
)
(
Doctrine of Naturalism !
:
)
(
!
)
(!
) ( Synthetic / Analytic
A-Priori
- .A-Posteriori
474
Selection Bias
) ( )
!Selection Bias
!) (
) (
.
) (
) (!
:
)
( ) ( :
!
! =
475
) (
! )
() (
(!
Spin
)(
.
Barrow
Barrow J. D. & Tipler
Tipler F. J. The Anthropic Cosmological Principle
Principle Oxford:
Clarendon Press
Press 1986.
)(1
476
) ( ) Pure Accident
(
!
)(
) (
!
)
(Neo-atheists
!Climbing Mount Improbable
.
477
!(
Scientific American
*
.
..
).(
A-priori
Tegmark
Tegmark M. Parallel Universes
Universes Scientific American
American volume 288
288 number 5
5 pp.
42
)(1
478
!
=
!
)(
! !
)
(! :
* )(
).(
!
!
Andre Linde
Inflation
:
Inflationary Theory
Fractal
) ( .
479
Elementary
Particles ).(
: Fractal
) ..( ()
) ( .
http://www.stanford.edu/~alinde/ )) (
) ( Fractal mathematics
/ B. Mandelbrot
Fractal shape Iteration
) (
.
- Chaos Mathematics
)
(
Chaos Mathematics
!
480
!
reproduces
!
:
!
E. Tryon :Nature
*
).(
) (
Tryon
Tryon E. P. Is the universe a Vacuum Fluctuation?
Fluctuation? Nature
Nature vol. 246
246 No. 5433
(14 December 1973)
1973) pp. 396-397. Quoted by: Leslie
Leslie J. (ed.)
(ed.) Modern Cosmology
& Philosophy
Philosophy NY: Prometheus Books
Books 1998
1998 pp. 224
)(1
481
Fluctuations
)!(
Observational
) Selection Bias(
)
!(
!
!
) (
! !
) ( .
Bostrom
Bostrom N. Observational Selection Effects and Probability
Probability doctoral dissertation
dissertation
London School of Economics
Economics Department of Philosophy
Philosophy 3 July 2000.
)(2
482
)(
!
!
Probabilistic Explanation
Explaining Away
) Theists
( )(
)( !Multiverse Scenario
)(
!
!
Natural Theology
Inductive argumentation
) (
)(1
483
!
!
!
.
: f e
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)(
!
Teleological A-Posteriori
484
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:
485
Fine-Tuning
Initial Conditions ) (
)
(
!
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!
)(
)(1
486
)(
(!
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!
:
) (
487
!
!
!
)
!(
) (
!
488
!
.
Probabilistic Fallacy
:
! )
- !
489
) (
Divine Intervention /
Provision
!
) (
490
autonomy
(
!
:
! :
: !
!
)
( ) (
)
(!
491
A-posteriori
( !
) (
492
) (
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!
(
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493
....................................................................................
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)(
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! !
=
494
! ) (
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495
: !
*
chronology protection conjecture
) () (
:
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/physics/Sagan-Time-Travel.html
.(
(.
-
) /
)(1
496
.
:
*
:
*
:
* :
* :
) (
497
conjecture
Protective Agency
498
wormholes
!
.
):(
*
Causality violations finite
.Curvature Singularities
Hawking
Hawking S. W.: Chronology Protection Conjecture
Conjecture In: F. L & Ruffini
Ruffini R. (Ed.s):
Hawking on the Big Bang and Black Holes
Holes Advanced Series in Astrophysics and
Cosmology Vol. 8
Cosmology
8 World Scientific press
press Singapore
Singapore 1993
1993 pp. 304.
)(1
499
hypothetical
entities
!Logically inconsistent
) (
500
!Logical coherence
Observational Prediction !
501
conjecture !
: 8 7 6 54 3 2 1 0/ . - , +
=< ; : 9 ].[ :
) (
) ( ) (
!
!
!
!
!
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t
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t
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502
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!
!
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!
!
:
!
!
!
503
) (
.
)
( )
substance
(relations
) substantivalists
:
) ( ) (
504
! -
) (
!
) Geodesic
( ) (
) (!
) (
!
505
Paradox
) (
) (
) (
)(
506
)(
) (
) (
) (
.
)
(
!
=
507
....................................................................................
=
)
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(
(
) (
!
) (
!
!
.
Time
Dilation
=
) (
!
508
)
(
!
!
!
)(
=
!
509
! ! :
!Disciplinary Authority
!
!
)(
!
510
..!
Backward Causation
!
)( )( )(
! - Postmodernistic
Relativistic
Causation
moral relativism
!
Time Dilation
) ((
)
) (
) (
) (
) ( ) (
) (
!
511
)(
) !(
) (!
. )(
) ((
)
)(
!
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)( ) (
)
(
) ( !
)( )(
)( )( !
!
) (!
512
) (
= !
!
)(
= ! -
) ( ) (
)(
( !
513
Determinism
)
( ) (
514
Arrow of time
)
( Entropy
-
) (
Order ) Disorder
(!
)( )(
(Consistency
515
A-priori
priori
))= +
(!
( !
Mathematical convenience
516
)
(
) (
)
Mathematical Formalism
!
!
517
) (
) (
) (
! )
)(
518
Falsification
!Undecidable
Purpose
:
)(
)( !
!
- -
CTC )
(
!
519
Chronology protection/
censorship )
(
)
!(
!
)
!(
conjectures
Probabilistic position
):(
*
.Cosmic Censorship Conjecture
.
- -
Hawking
Hawking S. W.: Introduction
Introduction in: Zhi
Zhi F. L & Ruffini
Ruffini R. (Ed.s): Hawking on the
Big Bang and Black Holes
Holes Advanced Series in Astrophysics and Cosmology
Cosmology Vol.
8 World Scientific press
press Singapore
Singapore 1993
1993 pp. 1.
)(1
520
!
)(
)(
contingent low )(
situational
)( )(
) (
!self-contradiction
)
(
) (
.
*
.
521
)(
arumentum ad
! :
ignorantiam
.
!
CTC
):(
Chronology Protection
:Conjecture
*
Hawking
Hawking S. W.: Chronology Protection Conjecture
Conjecture In: F. L & Ruffini
Ruffini R. (Ed.s):
Hawking on the Big Bang and Black Holes
Holes Advanced Series in Astrophysics and
Cosmology Vol. 8
Cosmology
8 World Scientific press
press Singapore
Singapore 1993
1993 pp. 311.
)(1
522
!
:
) (
Interpretations
*
.
523
) (
Reductio ad Absurdum :
)(
)(
.reduction
!(
)
524
!Self-consistent
!
!
!
.
!Polchinski Paradox
!
!
Travesrable wormhole
525
) (
Earlier Self
)(
)(
! :
* )
(
)( )( )(.
)( Younger Self
)( Self-consistent
Novikov
Novikov I. D.: 2001: A relativistic Spacetime odyssey
odyssey World Scientific Publishing
Ltd. Singapore
Ltd.
Singapore 2003
2003 pp. 95-96.
)(1
526
!
!
- )
( .
)!!(
:
) (
)
(
!
Indeterminism
.(
(.
) ( ) :
527
inherent property
!
!
Justified
!
Determinism
!
Appeal to debate
: )
( )(
528
) (
)( )(
Collision courses
)( )(!
)(
)( ! )
Younger Self
Older Self
) ( Impossibility
)(1
529
Probability
) (
Levitation
) (
.
)
(Extremely low Probability
!
) ( Levitation
530
)( )
(:
) .Physically possible
(Significant Probability
) .
Logically Inconsistent
)(
)
(
) (.
- -
!
) (
.
531
) (
!
) =
(
)(
)( )(
.
) (
C ) :(
!
!
.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1999/10/991005114024.htm
) (.
)(1
532
)(
contingent
)
(
A-Priori Deduction
533
Probabilistic Reasoning
) (
.
Inductive Reasoning
) (
) (
!
!
) (
=
534
! Probability
!
)
( basic belief !
-
!
contingency
) (
) ( !
!
a-priori !
! .
535
... :Levitation
) (
)( ! =
! )
(Cherry Picking
)
(
536
Michael Shermer
Baloney Detection )(
Scientific
Pseudoscientific
Human Discource
)(
.
)
!( Skeptic Magazine
.
!
Astrology
540
)
( !
!
.
541
Rationality !
) (
)(
) Science Popularizers(
) (
!
Naturalism
!
!
!
=
542
Scientific Method !
Outrageous Reductionism
! -
Null-
) Hypothesis
=
spiritual element
) -(
) (
) ( .
)
(
:
= !
543
(Scientific method
)!(
) (
Verification of Hypothesis
Scrutinization
!
A-Posteriori / inductive processes
A-Priori / Deductive processes
!
Innate
knowledge .
-
)
(!
: =
544
Knowledge Claims
A-Priori
(A-Posteriori )
.(A-Priori
=
!
!
Sensual input
)
(
545
) (
)(
% :
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(
% (.
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=
!
)
(
!A-Priori
! Priori
) (
.
!
: )
: ( =
546
( )
(
)
:
( ...
Physical dimensions
. :
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!
.
547
!
):(
* science Pseudoscience
:
: !
Baloney Detection
-
http://www.michaelshermer.com/2001/11/baloney-detection/
.(
(.
-
) /
)(1
548
Absolute
receiver
receiver
! !
549
)
(
(
!
! :
550
Scientifically Warranted .
Source Reliability
Pseudoscientists
*
Daniel Kevles
Scientific
.Process :
551
552
quantum world
!
553
) Academic Selection(
) (
!
Try and Error
Random Generation
mechanism
) (
!
!
A Blind Watchmaker
=
554
)
(
) (
ID
(
!
: G F ED C B A @ ? > =< ; : 9 8
WV U T S R Q P O N M LK J I H ][ :
].[ :
555
Doctrinal order
).(
)(
Defensible Space .
-
:
!
556
)
(
-
.
Piltdown man
557
558
559
Reliable Refutation
.Scholarly Authorities
Flood Geologists
)
(
) deep biosphere
( .
560
)
(
561
Healthy
Skepticism
Temporary consensus
.Final Consensus
562
.Scientific Fact
-
Verification Falsification
) (
) (
.
563
Convention .
564
)Confirmation Holism(
) ( W. Quine
.
!
Circularity
)(
)
(
!
: Philosophy of Science
!
Undetermination
565
.Premisses
) (
Rational Semantic
A-Priori
) ( A-Posteriori
Deduction
.Induction
) (
=
- -
!
) (
Presupposed premises
Pop culture
.Bias - Human
sciences
.
566
) ( Synthesis /
Hypothesization / Postulation
Final
entity
Relation
-
.
567
: > ? @ G F E D C B A
SR Q PO N M L K J I H ][ :
:
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) (
) (
568
569
)(
570
!
.
571
!
!
572
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)
(
573
= = .
) (
- -
574
: !
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)
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) (
.
575
Flood Geology
.. .
) ( ).(
) ( .
- )
=
576
)(
)
(
) (
)(
)(
=
!
577
) (
) (
Positivists Naturalists
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)(
)(
!!( )
(
578
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. )
(
)(
-
579
)( )(
. Agnosticism
Baloney
!
- Judeo-christian culture/tradition
!
580
Rationalization
.
Pop mythology
=
Fallacy /
(!
581
Catastrophies
Uniformitarianism
) (
)(
Uniformitarioanism
) (
582
catastrophists
(
Archaeological dating
Presupposing
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) (
)
583
)
(
Epistemically inaccessible
584
likelihood
) (
Total singularity
)
(
!
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.
Catastrophic Anomaly
585
.
!
)
(
.
Scientific
!
:
Scientific
:
Scientific Method
) (
.
586
!
!
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Positivism ) Scientism
(
) (
Theory of Science !
Science
587
)
(
Irreducible complexity
A-priori
)
(
) ( )
(
.
588
)( )(
)( )(
.
) (
A-posteriori
Irreducibly complex system
ID
!
)
589
( ) !(
subsystem
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)(
)(
)(
590
Species
.
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!
:
!
ID
.Heresy
creationist
Science
) (
Atheism .
591
!
Pseudoscience
) (
Neo-Atheists
][ :
Pseudoscientists
Science
ID IC
592
Abiogenesis
Cosmogeny
* Psedoscientists
unverified
:
Cold Fusion
) (
outside verification .
593
) (
) (
) (
) (
594
)
( .
)(
.
.
) (
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)(
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)(
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-
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595
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!
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!
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596
....................................................................................
=
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!
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597
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)(
)(
!
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! ) (
)( .
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=
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!
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598
)(
)(
)( )
.
Pseudoscientists
Structure Altered
Water
599
..!
! Water Cluster
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!
!
)(
)(
)
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http://www.chem1.com/CQ/clusqk.html
.(
(.
-
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600
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.
601
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)( )(
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.
602
603
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....
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:
) (
.( - /
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604
)(
.
)
(
:
* extraordinary
605
- -
) (
) (
Megalithic
)(!
* Confirmation Bias
)(
=
.
606
Methods of Science
Confirmation Bias
Cognitive Psychology
).(
) ( !Confirmation Bias
) (
Evans
Evans J. & Over
Over D. (1996): Rationality and Reasoning
Reasoning U.K.: Psychology Press.
)(1
607
..
Bias !
) (
608
Confirmation
Bias .
- :
!
609
!
-
: ! "
)
(
) (
610
:
.
Epistemic Dependence
) (
(
!
)
) ( )(
J. Hardwig
:
)( )( )(
)( )( )(
)(
)(
.
Hardwig
Hardwig J. (1985): Epistemic Dependence
Dependence The Journal of Philosophy
Philosophy Vol. 82
82 No.
)7 (Jul. 1985
1985) pp. 335-349. .
611
)
(
) (
.
(Positivity
) (Positivity
)(
612
) (
confirming
!
Bias
Bias
613
! mythological claim
Ancestry Tree
Abiogenesis
-
) (
) (
) (
) (
-
=
614
) (
)
(!
!
!
615
!
!
scrutinization
Disciplinary Bias
!
):(
*
http://www.michaelshermer.com/2001/12/more-baloney-detection/
)(1
616
)(
baloney
)(
legitimate disciplines
617
) (
Squatter settlements
)
(.
618
!
) (!
NOMA
Non-Overlapping Magesteria
!
Ultimate Meaning Moral Values)!(
! ) :(
)
( )
:(
) (
Gould
Gould S. J. Rocks of Ages: Science and Religion in the Fullness of Life. New York:
Ballantine Books
Books 2002.
)(1
619
) ( )
(
Naturalism
Discilpinary
620
inductive reasoning
) (
-
(
:
) Archa (
a-posteriori a-priori
621
)(
:
!
a-priori
622
) (
)
(
!
=
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( -
)
(!
=
!
623
! )
) (!
624
)
(
(
!
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(
: !
625
Prima Facie
: :
) !(
) (
untinuitive
Blasting the foundations of Atheism: Its Pseudoscience and Pseudo-reason
) ( .
626
)
( :
) SETI
*
UFOlogists
)( SETI Null
Hypothesis
hypnotic
) regression (
) anecdotal reasoning
( )
(
) ( )
(.
627
) !(
) (
.
.Science
.
.
:
Shermer
Shermer M.
M. The Believing Brain: From Ghosts and Gods to Politics and
Conspiracies How we construct Beliefs and Reinforce them as truths
truths USA: St.
Martins Press. 2012
!
Fallacies of Relevance Bandwagon Fallacy
!! -
! !
628
(!
SETI
. Null
hypothesis
.
)( )
( .
629
Null hypothesis
alternative hypothesis
!
-
Improbable
630
!
!(
!
) Personal
(Epistemological position
) Ad Ignorantiam
(.
631
SETI
) - ( !
) ( Contact
SETI
radio
radio telescope
Radio Static
!
!
Pareidolia
!SETI
!
=
632
)
(
) (
=
:
SETI
Pulsar
Natural Artificiality
) (
Parsimony Ockham Razor
SETI
-
wishful thinking
confirmation bias
SETI
! SETI
Pseudoscience !
633
SETI )
( Probabilisitc fallacy
Mediocrity principle
-
ETI
Contact !
: ) * ((
) ((--
).(
)(
Hanslmeier
)Hanslmeier A. (2009
(2009) Habitability and Cosmic Catastrophes
Catastrophes Berlin: Springer
Springer
)(1
pp. 204.
)(
)
(
!
! Palaeocontact
!
=
634
SETI
Null hypothesis
! Null hypothesis
Probabilsitic argument
null
)
(.
635
presupposed
fact SETI
!Fermi Paradox
:
SETI
Paradox
! Argument
counter-argument !
) (
.. !
Drake F.
636
.Radio Telescopes
: Fraction
) !( :
habitable
SETI )(
Hanslmeier
Hanslmeier A. (2009)
(2009) Habitability and Cosmic Catastrophes
Catastrophes Berlin: Springer.
)(1
) (
!
637
( statistical
inference )
(
!
!uniqueness
!
) Mediocrity
(Principle )!(
- -
) (
principle
Mediocrity
) (
!Anthropocentrism
638
circularity
rational
- -
contingency
) !(
Paradox
leap of faith .
A-priori
Paradox
!
) (
!SETI
639
ad-hoc hypothesis
640
! -
- -
: Faith
)
(
) (
(Dictionary.com):
confidence or trust in a person or thingany set of firmly held principles or :
beliefs
beliefs
trust :
: LK J I H G F E ] :
[
: !
641
UFOlogy enthusiasts
-
scientific scrutinization
Scientific method
) (
belief system
642
- Epistemic dependence
) (
Biases
) research
query (hypothesis
643
- -
Sub-disciplines
Astrobiology
!
-
) !(
SETI
!
) (
Confirmation Bias
!
644
!
.
: (
) (
645
) (
)(
) (
Nikoli Kardashev
) ( ) (
.Kardashev Scale
) (
( ( ) :
) (
) (( !
)
) ( =
646
....................................................................................
=
) (
!
.
!
Multiverse
)
God-
(
like sentients
Will power
!
!
K
!
K = 0.7
) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kardashev_scale :
(.
--
:
scientific method :
=
647
....................................................................................
=
!Comic books ..
!
!
-
-
) ..(!
Michio Kaku
: : Star Trek:
The next Generation God-like
! ) ( !!
:
:
necessary being contingent being
648
....................................................................................
=
:contingency
)
(
universal
control !
-
causal dependence
!
.
!
: y x w v u t s r q
[
~ }| { z ] :
!
!
=
649
-
indisputable evidence
(
) Heliocentric
) Geocentric
!
:
) ( ... .
650
) (
) ( !
651
Cosmology
) Cosmocentric
(
-
!
652
Popperians
)
(
-
.
!
-
653
scientific method
! !
Academic
Disciplines
SETI.
!
.
654
) (
)
) (
(
.
!
-
)
(!
:
.
655
) (
UFO
)!(
) (
:
-
:
-
:
z y x w v u t s r q p ] [ :
:
=
656
....................................................................................
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:
.
: [ \ ]
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!
!
.
:
:
TS R Q P ] [ : :
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657
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.
!
!
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!
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660
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661
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)
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.
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.
662
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(
663
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(
)
664
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.
( . ID
. .
Theoretical postulates
665
) ( !
* HIV
.
HIV
HIV
Hemophiliacs HIV
.Blood Supply
Causal Agent
666
HIV
) (
Scientific Skepticism
)
(
-
-
Funding capitals
) ( :
Culshaw
Culshaw R. Science sold out: Does HIV really cause Aids? USA: North Atlantic
Books 2007.
Books
667
) (
:
*
Peer
Peer-review
review
!!
668
Peer
Peer-review
review
Personal Knowledge
)(
Dissonance
rationalizations
669
confirmation Bias
Prevailing World View
!
:
*
Baloney
Pseudoscience :
fuzzy fractions
..
:
670
Cryonics
: -
Probabilistic Reasoning
Epistemology
Justified Beliefs !
circularity
( Fuzziness
671
:
- -
Truth
Inductive reasoning
Baloney
)
( !
:
672
(!
)
!
a-priori deductive argumentation
! !
!
!
)
(
!
.
!
!
674
) (
- -
:
!
675
!
:
!
= !
676
! :
:
!
-
-
!
)
!(
677
Science
!Naturalism
!
) (
..!
)(
-
-
678
) (Pseudoscience
!
!
- !
) (
)
(
:
!!!
-
679
! :
:
- !
:
- ! !
!
chaos
. :
)(
As cited in: Gabbat
Gabbat A. Stephen Hawking says universe not created by God
God The
Guardian online article 2 september 2010
Guardian
2010
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2010/sep/02/stephen-hawking-big-
URL:
)(1
680
!
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)
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!
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.
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!
Mathematical Formalism !
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681
:
.
!
!
!
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682
(
.
)
( !
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)
) (
!
)(
683
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684
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)
(
!
!
685
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!
!
:
686
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!
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!
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:
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688
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689
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!
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690
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691
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!(
692
:
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)(
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)(.
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693
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!
!
Gravity Probe B
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) (
694
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(
!
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!
!
Dark Energy
) (!
Leap of faith
695
contingent
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696
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) (
697
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Brian Greene
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.. .
:
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.
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) (.
)(1
698
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) (
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Chronology
Uniformity
.
700
:
Probability .
) ( .
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) (
701
)
( .
:
)
( .
) (
( .
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(
702
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703
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.
704
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.
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705
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.
) (.
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..............................................................
......................................................................
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708
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.....................................
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Statements
Self-Refering Statements ................................... :
- ................ Grelling-Nelson Paradox .
709
! ........................................
:
Reliability
................................................... Source Reliability
:
.................................................................
.......................................
..
..................
!
! ............................................................
! ............................................ Pseudoscience
.....
:
:
..................................................
:
...................
:
710
.........................................................
:
...........
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.............................
:
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:
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712
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