[TYPE THE COMPANY NAME]

Risk Assessment
Project
Wesley Tenasco
Daniel Green
Mackenzie Forristal
Risk Management
Matt Cruchet

[Type the abstract of the document here. The abstract is typically a short
summary of the contents of the document. Type the abstract of the document
here. The abstract is typically a short summary of the contents of the document.]

Risk Assessment

For the most part we used the HIRA model but we added on a formula that
can calculate the chance of success in terms of ability and difficulty level of the task
to give us a better idea of what is more likely to happen and what is less likely to
happen.
Formula: Chance of success = Ability / Difficulty of Task
1-3 is a defined as beginner 4-7 is defined as novice

and 8-10 is defined as

advanced
This marking scheme applies to both the ability level and difficulty level
Once these two numbers are determined, you can divide the ability by the difficulty
and you get a percentage of the chance that you have of completing the task. We
call this the Forristal Scale.

Risk

Hazard
Minor injury
Major injury
Minor Mechanical
Major Mechanical
Separated student/
group
Behavioural
Theft
Inclement weather

Likely
x

Possible

Unlikely

x
x
x
x
x
x
x

Assessment Mountain Biking

Biker ability:
FORMULA: Chance of success = Ability / Difficulty level of task
1-3 = Beginner 4-7 = novice 8-10 = advanced
1st year students with little to no experience = 2
Track is not that hard and conditions are good = 3
2/3=67% of successfully completing track without any substantial
wipeouts

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 1
Updated: February 23, 2014
Type of Hazard:
Injury
Specific Hazard:
Minor injury
Probability:
November Course
-5 to -10 temp
Low prob of precipitation
Icy

Score: 3

Consequence:
Delay of time

Score: 1

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 2
Updated: February 23, 2014
Type of Hazard:
Injury
Specific Hazard:
Major injury
Probability:
November Course
-5 to -10 temp
Low prob of precipitation
Icy

Score: 2

Consequence:
Delay of Time
Temporary or permanent damage
to participant

Score: 3-4

Scoring Probability
1. Rare
2. Foreseeable but not
Common
3. Happens every
couple of
field days
4. Daily occurrence
Scoring
Consequence
1. Negligible impact
2. Limited Injuries
(Minor
or Localized)
3. Substantial Injuries
Multiple
Injuries
(Fractures,
Loss of

Consciousness, Medical
Emergencies, ect) No
lasting Consequence.
4. Catastrophic incident
Life threatening
Injuries (fatalities,
Multiple victims with
substantial injuries) Long
term consequence

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 3
Updated: February 23, 2014
Type of Hazard:
Gear
Specific Hazard:
Minor Mechanical
Probability:
Rough terrain
-5 to -10 temp
Bikes used many times during a
day Hazard Information Sheet

Score: 4

Hira 1.2

Hazard Sheet #: 4
Consequence:
1
Updated: FebruaryScore:
23, 2014
Small
of time
Type
of delay
Hazard:
Gear
Specific Hazard:
Major Mechanical
Probability:
Rough terrain
-5 to -10 temp
Bikes used many times during a
day

Score: 2

Consequence:
Huge delay of time
Need to fulfill riding requirements
Potential for injury

Score: 3

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 5
Updated: February 23, 2014
Type of Hazard:
Separation
Specific Hazard:
Separation from student/group
Probability:
Long windy trails
Low visibility
Group makes break stops routinely

Score: 2

Consequence:
Close to W.T
Students know a little about the
area
Everyone has whistle

Score: 1

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 6
Updated: February 23, 2014
Type of Hazard:
Contributory negligence
Specific Hazard:
Behavioural
Probability:
Group of younger people
50km bike ride

Score: 2

Consequence:
Delay of Time
Core leadership marks deducted
Potential to put group members in
jeopardy

Score: 1

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 7
Updated: February 23, 2014
Type of Hazard:
Theft
Specific Hazard:
Bikes being stolen
Probability:
Score: 1
Bikes are kept locked up at the
end of the day
Sign out sheet for equipment is
kept up to date
Hazard Information Sheet
Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 8
Updated: FebruaryScore:
23, 2014
Consequence:
1
Type
of
Hazard:
Need to fulfill riding requirements
Environmental
Student may be charged for stolen
equipment
Specific Hazard:
Inclement Weather
Probability:
November course
-5 to -10 temp
Icy trails

Score: 3

Consequence:
Limited warm-up/shelter areas
Need to fulfill riding requirements

Score: 2

Risk Assessment
Hazard

Probability

Minor Injury
Major Injury
Minor mechanical
Major mechanical
Separated student/group
Behavioural
Theft
Inclement weather

3
2
4
2
2
2
1
3

Consequenc
e
1
3-4
1
3
1
1
1
2

Scoring Consequence:
1=Neglible impact, 2= Limited injuries, 3= Substantial injuries/ No
lasting consequence, 4= Catastrophic incident

Probability/ Consequence grid (PRIORITIES)

Minor
Mechanical
4
Inclement
Weather

Minor Injury
3

Probability

Major
Mechanical

- Separation
from
student/group
- Behavioural

Major Injury

2
Theft
1

Consequence

PCM
Hazard

Organization
al
Planning
Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
use.

Client
Informatio
n
1st year
ODA
Students

Major Injury

Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
use.

1st year
ODA
Students

Minor
Mechanical

Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
use.

1st year
ODA
Students

Major
Mechanical

Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
use.

1st year
ODA
Students

Separated
student/grou
p

Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
use.
Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
use.

1st year
ODA
Students

Minor Injury

Behavioural

1st year
ODA
Students

Equipment
Manageme
nt

Bikes are
washed and
properly
maintained
every week
Bikes are
not so old
that they
fall apart.
Staff are
trained to
repair major
damages

Crisis
Manageme
nt
All students
are required
to carry
first aid kits
and have a
first aid
certificate
of some
sort
All students
are required
to carry
first aid kits
and have a
first aid
certificate
of some
sort

Staffing

Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide

Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide

Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide
Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide

Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide
Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide

Theft

Inclement
Weather

Beginner
trails used.
Limited road
Hazard
use.injury
Minor

1st year
ODA
Students

Major injury
st
Beginner
Minor
Mechanical1 year
trailsMechanical
used.
ODA
Major
Limited road
Students
Temporary
Separation
Behavioural
use.
Transportation issue
Instructor no show
Inclement weather

Bikes are
locked
away every
Likely
Possible
night and x
xsigned out .

Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Unlikely
Guide

x
x
x
x
x
x
x

Qualifie
d MT
Bike
Guide

Risk Assessment - RAFTING

1-3 is defined as beginner 4-7 is defined as novice 8-10 is defined as

advanced
Ability / difficulty
A guide ability is ranked as a 7/10 and the complexity of the rapid and line is
ranked as 8/10
The guide has a 88% chance for success

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2

Hazard Sheet #:1

Updated:
Type of Hazard: Injury

Consequence: Limited injuries

5. Rare
6. Foreseeable but not
Common
7. Happens every couple of
field days
8. Daily occurrence
Scoring Consequence

Specific Hazard: Minor

Probability: This occurs every couple

of field days.
Frequent movement, close proximity
and wet
conditions are all causes for minor
injuries.

Scoring Probability

Score: 3

Score: 2

5. Negligible impact
6. Limited Injuries (Minor
or Localized)
7. Substantial Injuries
Multiple Injuries
(Fractures, Loss of
Consciousness,
Medical
Emergencies, ect)
No
lasting Consequence.
8. Catastrophic incident
Life threatening Injuries
(fatalities, Multiple victims
with substantial injuries)
Long term consequence

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2

Hazard Sheet #:2

Updated:
Type of Hazard: Injuries

Specific Hazard: Major

Hazard Information Sheet

Probability: Strong currents and
Hazard
Sheet
#: 3
holes at some
rapids
could
cause a client to exit
the raft
Updated:
and receive major injury.
Type of Hazard: Mechanical

Hira 1.2

Score: 1

Specific Hazard: Minor

Consequence: Potential
catastrophic incident- life
threatening.
Score: 4
Probability: Inexperience can cause
Score: 4
clients to release their paddle will in a
rapid.

Consequence: This causes a decrease

in steering power for the guide.

Score: 1

4Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2

Hazard Sheet #: 4
Updated:
Type of Hazard: Mechanical

Specific Hazard: Major

Probability: Low water levels can

create more exposer to rocks. This
adds to the potential of damage to
the raft and deflation.

Score: 2

Consequence: Time would need to be

taken to repair the raft. This would
affect the schedule. There is also the
possibility that the raft is unable to
get to shore.

Score:2

Risk Assessment
Hazard
Minor Injury
Major Injury
Minor mechanical
Major mechanical
Behavioural
Transportation issue
Instructor no show
Inclement weather

Probability
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
2

Consequence
2
4
1
3
2
1
1
1

Scoring Consequence:
1=Neglible impact, 2= Limited injuries, 3= Substantial injuries/ No
lasting consequence, 4= Catastrophic incident

Probability/ Consequence grid (PRIORITIES)

Major injury
4
Major
Mechanical
3

Probability

Minor
mechanical
2
Instr. No Show
Transportation
issue
1

Minor injury
Behavioural

Inclement
weather
3

Consequence

PCM
Hazard

Injury
Major

Mechani
cal
Major

Organizatio
nal
Planning
Beginner
level
Lines
(Ottawa
river)
Beginner
level
Lines
(Ottawa
river)

Client
Informati
on
1st year
Oda
students

Equipment
Managem
ent
Assistant
Trip leader
carries
Med kit

Crisis
Managem
ent
ERP

1st year
Oda
students

Assistant
trip leader
carries
repair kit

Equipment
Repair and
ERP if
necessary

Staffing

Qualified
Wilderne
ss
Tour
Staff
Qualified
Wilderne
ss

Minor injury
Major injury
Minor Mechanical
Major Mechanical
Separated student/
group
Behavioural
Time of day
Transportation issue
Possible sickness
Inclement weather

x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x

Risk Assessment SAR Exercises

Chance of success = ability/ Difficulty level of task

1-3 (Beginner) 4-7 (Novice) 8-10 (Advanced)
SAR exercise with ODAs usually involves people that are new to SAR and have a
lower ability. (Rating 2)
With the cold weather and the amount of land to cover the difficulty level is a little
higher. (Rating 4)
2/4= 50% chance of success in finding the victim

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 1
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Injury
Specific Hazard: Minor injury

Probability:
December course Avg. Temp -5C
High chance of precipitation
Decreasing temps. Snow and Ice on the
ground,
Rough terrain

Score: 2

Consequence:

Score: 2

Time Delay

Scoring Probability
9. Rare
10.Foreseeable but not
Common
11.Happens every
couple of
field days
12.Daily occurrence
Scoring
Consequence
9. Negligible impact
10.Limited Injuries
(Minor
or Localized)
11.Substantial Injuries
Multiple
Injuries
(Fractures,
Loss of

Consciousness, Medical
Emergencies, ect) No
lasting Consequence.
4. Life threatening
Injuries (fatalities,
Multiple victims with
substantial injuries) Long
term consequences

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 2
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Injury
Specific Hazard: Major injury

Probability:
December course Avg. Temp -5C
High chance of precipitation
Decreasing temps. Snow and Ice on
the ground,
Rough terrain

Score: 1

Consequence:

Score: 3-4

Time Delay, Risk of serious injury

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 3
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Gear malfunction
Specific Hazard:
Minor mechanical
Probability:
Compass breaking/ acting up,
flashlights not working

Consequence:
Time delay, Lost from group

Score: 2

Score: 1

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 4
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Gear malfunction
Specific Hazard:
Major mechanical

Probability:
Stoves not working, Skegg or back
board breaking, communications
systems malfunctioning

Score: 2

Consequence:

Score: 2

Time Delay

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 5
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Getting lost
Specific Hazard:
Separated student/ group

Probability:
Student goes off track, falls behind

Score: 3

Consequence:
Time delay, more people are now lost,
low on supplies

Score: 3

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 6
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Problems within the group
Specific Hazard:
Behavioural issues with certain
members of the team

Probability:
Good chance that someone in the
search group will be cold and
miserable. May be conflicts on how to
resolve the search.

Score: 2

Consequence:
Group will now have personal issues,
makes things harder to work when
there is behavioural issues. Time delay

Score: 1

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 7
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Time issues
Specific Hazard:
What time of the day is it.

Probability:
Getting late in the day, may have to
hold back

Score: 3

Consequence:

Score: 4

Time Delay, call off the search until the

next day, victim has been outside for
many hours

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 8
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Getting stuck in one position (snowed
in, water, etc.) whether the victim can
be evacuated.
Specific Hazard:
Transportation issue

Probability:
December course Avg. Temp -5C
High chance of precipitation
Decreasing temps. Stuck in a position
where the team or the victim cannot be
transported.

Score: 2

Consequence:

Score: 3

Time Delay, victim has to wait a lot

longer for evac and may be suffering
from serious injuries

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 9
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Becoming ill, unable to participate

Specific Hazard:
Possible sickness

Probability:
December course Avg. Temp -5C
High chance of precipitation
Decreasing temps. Depending on
layers and how well prepared they are.

Score: 3

Consequence:

Score:1- 2

Time Delay, puts others at risk, could

have hypothermia and in the end cause
more victims.

Hazard Information Sheet

Hira 1.2
Hazard Sheet #: 10
Updated: Feb, 23
Type of Hazard:
Poor weather conditions, could be
snow, rain, hale.

Specific Hazard:
Inclement weather

Probability:
December course Avg. Temp -5C
High chance of precipitation
Decreasing temps.

Score: 4

Consequence:

Score: 3-4

Time Delay, Victims rescue is delayed

Risk Assessment
Hazard
Minor Injury
Major Injury
Minor mechanical
Major mechanical
Separated student/group
Behavioural
Time of day
Transportation issue
Instructor no show
Inclement weather

Probability
2
1
2
2
3
2
3
2
3
4

Consequenc
e
2
3-4
1
2
3
1
4
3
1-2
3-4

Scoring Consequence:
1=Negligible impact, 2= Limited injuries, 3= Substantial injuries/ No
lasting consequence, 4= Catastrophic incident

Probability/ Consequence grid (PRIORITIES)

ement
ther

Incl
4
Ins

wea
tructor
show

Separated
student/group

Minor injury
Major
mechanical

Transportation
issue

Time of day

no
3

Probability

Minor
mechanical
Behavioural

Maj.

4
Injury

Hazard

Organizatio
nal
Planning

Minor
Injury

Confined to
a set area

Progra
m
Planni
ng
N/A

Client
Informati
on
ODA 01

3
Equipment
Crisis
Consequence
Managem
Managem
ent
ent
ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.

Staffin
g

Apply firstaid
Matt,
Dan,
Betty
Michel
le

Business
Managem
ent
N/A

Major
injury

Confined to
a set area

N/A

ODA 01

ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.

Minor
Mech.

Confined to
a set area

N/A

ODA 01

ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.

Major
Mech.

Confined to
a set area

N/A

ODA 01

ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.

Separat
ed
student

Confined to
a set area

N/A

ODA 01

ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.

Possible
sicknes
s

Confined to
a set area

N/A

Time of
day

Confined to
a set area

N/A

Incleme
nt
weather

Confined to
a set area

N/A

PCM

ODA 01

ODA 01

ODA 01

ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.
ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.
ODA
owned
equip. and
personal
equip.

Apply firstaid. Call

Matt,
911
Dan,
Betty
Michel
le
Carry
extra, or
Matt,
bring
Dan,
repairs
Betty
Michel
le
Carry
extra, or
Matt,
bring
Dan,
repairs
Betty
Michel
le

N/A

ERP, Send
out more
searchers

N/A

N/A

N/A

Matt,
Dan,
Betty
Michel
le
N/A
Matt,
Dan,
Betty
Michel
le
N/A
Matt,
Dan,
Betty
Michel
le
N/A
Matt,
Dan,
Betty
Michel
le

Summary
We believe overall that our skills courses have been managed professionally
and handled appropriately based on the level of risk exposure. An area that could
be improved is the level of professionalism in some of the younger skills instructors.
Often times when there is a small age gap between instructor and student, the
instructor can lose sight of their professional relationship. Some of the skills
courses that are more thoroughly managed are SRT, Search and Rescue and Rock
Climbing. We believe that these are more thoroughly managed because they
involve a greater amount of risk and overall require a higher amount of precaution.