Tabel 2 Matricea riscurilor in functie de Impact si Probabilitate (ierarhia

riscurilor)

WBS code

Risks
Bad weather

Impact
17.500 (costs
calculated on the
hypothesis that
the structure will
be affected by
bad weather ; it
would have to be
demolished and
rebuilt thus
implying
increased costs in
materials,
equipments,
personnel and
time
consumption)

Probability
80 %

Risk Value
17.500 * 0.8
= 14.000

35 %

12.000 * 0.35
= 4.200

Calculated
through 3-points
estimate :
Best case
scenario : 12.000

Realistic scenario
: 15.500
Worst case
scenario : 25.000

Damaged
tools and
materials
during
transportation

Sum of the
scenarios divided
by 3 : 17.500
12.000 (costs
calculated on the
aggregate value
of
equipments/mate
rials transported
and the
probability of
beyond repair
damage to
occur).
Calculated
through 3-points
estimate :

Best case
scenario : 8.000
Realistic scenario
: 12.000
Worst case
scenario : 16.000

Complaints
from the
neighbours
and local
surroundings
owners

Sum of the
scenarios divided
by 3 : 12.000
7.500 (amount
of fines possible
to be applied and
time delays due
to bad
cooperation with
local authority)

20 %

7.500 * 0.2 =
1.500

55 %

9.500 * 0.55
= 5.225

Calculated
through 3-points
estimate :
Best case
scenario : 0
Realistic scenario
: 7.500
Worst case
scenario : 15.000

Not obtaining
the necessary
compliance
documents in
due time

Sum of the
scenarios divided
by 3 : 7.500
9.500 (losses
caused by
stagnation of the
project with more
than 15 days)
Calculated
through 3-points
estimate :
Best case
scenario : 0
Realistic scenario
: 10.000
Worst case
scenario : 18.500

Sum of the

scenarios divided
by 3 : 9.500
Obtaining the
necessary
compliance
documents
earlier than
planned

5.000
(anticipated
revenue increase
if the project is
finished 15 days
ahead of
schedule )

15 %

5.000 * 0,15
= 750

45 %

8.000 * 0.45
= 3.600

Calculated
through 3-points
estimate :
Best case
scenario : 10.000

Realistic scenario
: 5.000
Worst case
scenario : 0
Sum of the
scenarios divided
by 3 : 5.000
Stolen
equipment
and materials

8.000
(aggregate value
of
materials/equipm
ents used on the
site including
costs due to
delays on the
project)
Calculated
through 3-points
estimate :
Best case
scenario : 4.000
Realistic scenario
: 8.000
Worst case
scenario : 12.000

Sum of the
scenarios divided
by 3 : 8.000