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FACULTATEA DE MANAGEMENT
PROIECT
ECONOMETRIE
STANICIOIU ANA-MARIA
GRUPA 135, SERIA B
1.Prezentarea problemei
1297.7
3167.9
2093.7
1196.3
1502.3
1954.9
2192.2
3345.5
2919.5
2659.8
3285.1
3362.4
2414.775
PRODUCTIA IN
AGRICULTURA(MIL LEI)
29149.5
33385.8
43039.8
55567.1
49622.9
52140.8
54612.3
73276.6
67468.3
64441
73023.8
72014.5
74055.6
499.1153846
1015.352564
558.32
295.382716
415
555.3693182
658.3183183
909.1032609
690.1891253
631.7814727
776.6193853
755.5955056
547.5680272
PRODUCTIA IN AGRICULTURA
(euro)
11211.34615
10700.57692
11477.28
13720.2716
13707.98343
14812.72727
16400.09009
80.60316485
15949.95272
15306.65083
17263.30969
16183.03371
16792.65306
y=f ( x ) +
unde:
y = valorile reale ale variabilelor dependente;
x = valorile reale ale variabilelor independente;
y=a+bx+
unde:
x= Investitii nete in Invatamant
In baza acestei reprezentari grafice de la punctu b. se poate vedea clar o
legatura liniara intrecele doua variabile astfel modelul devine un model
unifactorial liniar. Si dat fiind ca dependentvariabilei endogene y consumul
mediu fata de valorile variabilei exogene x venitul mediu se realizeaza in
aceeasi perioada de timp modelul devine un model unifactorial liniar static
CORELOGRAMA INTRE
VARIABILELE X SI Y
20000
15000
PRODUCTIA IN
AGRICULTURA (euro)
10000
Linear (PRODUCTIA IN
AGRICULTURA (euro))
5000
0
200
400
600
y=b 0+ b 1 x +
^y =b^0+ b^1 x
X
MEDIU
Y
MEDIU
639.05
501
13354.
345
xi
yi
x
y
(x-xx )
(y-yx )
499.115384 11211.3461 249116.167 125694282. 19583.09
6
5
2
6
8
4592442
1015.35256 10700.5769 1030940.82 114502346. 15225072
7043716
558.32
11477.28
295.382716
415
555.369318
2
658.318318
3
909.103260
9
690.189125
3
631.781472
7
776.619385
3
755.595505
6
547.568027
2
13720.2716
13707.9834
3
14812.7272
7
16400.0900
9
80.6031648
5
15949.9527
2
15306.6508
3
17263.3096
9
16183.0337
1
16792.6530
6
8307.71507
8
173606.478
6
9
311721.222
4
87250.9489
4
172225
308435.079
6
433383.008
2
826468.738
9
476361.028
7
399147.829
2
603137.669
7
570924.568
1
299830.744
4
5768942.83
5
b0=[yix-xixiyi]/[nx-(xi)]
b0=16753
1.7112
b1=(xiyi-n*xm*ym)/(x-n*xm)
5
131727956.
2
188245852.
9
187908809.
6
219416889.
3
2
311721.2
2
87250.94
9
50200.64
6
7003.294
3
268962955
6496.87018
4
254400991.
7
234293559.
7
298021861.
5
261890580
281993196.
8
371.0752
15488403
0
2614.698
2
52.90428
7
18923.95
8
13581.68
8
8369.867
3
256706577
9
30765442
5
3523371.
2
133902.6
4
125060.4
8
2126880.
3
9276566.
1
17619220
9
6737182
3811500
15280009
8001482.
6
11821966
24866628
7
b1= - 8,10
a
a
b 0t :10 S b 0 a b 0+ t :10 S b 0
2
2
y
yi
2
= 4757
Se=
Pasul 3 Calculam eroarea standard a parametrului a
xxx
2
1 x
S b0=Se + = 6518
n