New Stepwise

data ICU;
input died age sex race service cancer renal infect cpr systolic
fracture po2 ph pco bic creatin coma white uncons;
datalines;
1
92
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
91
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
88
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
87
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
85
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
80
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
78
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
78
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
76
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
75
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
75
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
75
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
75
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
75
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
72
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
71
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
71
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
70
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
69
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
69
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
67
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
65
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
65
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
hrtrate previcu
admit
124
0
64
0
141
0
80
0
136
0
100
0
130
0
110
0
128
0
130
0
90
1
190
0
130
0
150
1
90
0
142
0
70
1
168
1
170
0
80
1
62
0
66
1
104
1
80
125
140
96
96
85
132
81
90
136
100
94
119
66
160
95
112
122
60
81
145
94
150
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
64
0
63
0
63
1
61
0
60
0
60
0
57
0
55
0
53
0
51
0
50
0
50
0
49
0
41
0
40
0
20
1
19
0
91
0
89
0
88
0
88
0
88
0
87
0
84
0
83
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
80
0
112
0
36
1
140
0
56
0
130
1
110
1
122
0
148
0
134
1
120
0
256
1
140
0
140
1
86
0
148
0
140
0
152
0
190
1
140
0
110
0
190
0
110
0
100
0
138
0
118
106
86
81
114
55
124
100
128
100
96
64
108
58
80
72
76
125
114
88
46
88
154
103
91
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
82
0
82
0
80
0
80
0
79
0
78
0
78
0
77
0
77
0
77
0
77
0
77
0
77
0
76
0
76
0
76
0
75
0
75
0
75
0
74
0
74
0
73
0
73
0
73
0
73
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
135
0
130
0
162
0
122
0
112
0
180
0
126
0
100
0
158
0
212
0
136
0
170
0
128
0
110
0
190
0
92
0
100
0
140
0
144
0
170
0
174
0
134
0
170
0
130
0
162
0
70
131
44
126
67
75
96
70
107
87
138
115
59
70
100
112
48
90
120
92
86
60
88
83
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
72
0
72
0
72
0
72
0
71
0
71
0
71
0
71
0
70
0
70
0
70
0
70
0
70
0
69
0
69
0
69
0
69
0
69
0
68
0
68
0
68
0
68
0
68
0
68
0
67
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
120
0
130
0
126
0
134
0
124
0
148
0
204
0
124
0
138
0
86
0
160
0
78
0
90
0
110
0
132
0
170
0
150
0
169
0
158
0
142
0
200
0
154
0
112
0
91
0
190
0
80
86
88
60
106
192
52
124
103
153
60
143
140
132
60
100
85
73
96
89
170
74
64
79
125
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
0
67
0
67
0
66
0
66
0
66
0
66
0
66
0
65
0
65
0
64
0
64
0
64
0
64
0
64
0
63
0
63
0
63
0
62
0
62
0
61
0
61
0
61
0
60
0
60
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
90
0
120
0
152
0
160
0
206
0
170
0
150
0
139
0
208
0
100
0
158
0
160
0
162
0
126
0
116
0
104
0
132
0
162
0
200
0
110
0
174
0
110
0
68
0
114
0
110
0
92
120
78
80
90
95
120
92
124
105
90
120
114
122
88
66
128
84
120
78
99
120
124
110
92
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
0
60
0
60
0
59
0
59
0
59
0
58
0
58
0
57
0
55
0
55
0
55
0
55
0
55
0
55
0
55
0
54
1
54
0
53
0
53
0
52
0
51
0
50
0
49
0
49
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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;
proc logistic data=ICU plot(UNPACK LABEL)=ALL;
class sex race service cancer renal infect cpr previcu admit fracture po2 ph pco bic creatin
coma white uncons/parameter=references;
model died (event='1')=age sex race service cancer renal infect cpr systolic hrtrate previcu
admit fracture po2 ph pco bic creatin coma white uncons /selection=stepwise influence
slentry=0.15 slstay=0.20;
run;
SAS OUTPUT
The SAS System
The LOGISTIC Procedure
Model Information
Data Set
WORK.ICU
Response Variable
died
Number of Response Levels
Model
binary logit
Optimization Technique
Fisher's scoring
Number of Observations Read
200
Number of Observations Used
200
Response Profile
Ordered died
Value
Total
Frequency
1 0
160
2 1
40
Probability modeled is died=1.

Stepwise Selection Procedure
Class Level Information

Class
Value
sex
Design Variables
1

Class
race
service
cancer
renal
infect
cpr
previcu
admit
fracture
po2
ph
pco
bic
creatin
Value
Design Variables

Class
Value
coma
white
uncons
Design Variables
Step 0. Intercept entered:
Model Convergence Status

Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.
-2 Log L
200.161
Residual Chi-Square Test

Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
78.3007
21
<.0001
Step 1. Effect uncons entered:

Model Fit Statistics
Criterion
Intercept
Only
Intercept
and
Covariates
AIC
202.161
169.557
SC
205.459
176.153
-2 Log L
200.161
165.557
Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
Likelihood Ratio
34.6043
<.0001
Score
45.0450
<.0001

Test
Wald
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
21.3435
<.0001
Note:
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
43.0824
20
0.0020
No effects for the model in Step 1 are removed.
Step 2. Effect admit entered:

Criterion
Intercept
Only
Intercept
and
Covariates
AIC
202.161
160.514
SC
205.459
170.409
-2 Log L
200.161
154.514

Test
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
Likelihood Ratio
45.6470
<.0001
Score
51.8433
<.0001
Wald
23.6228
<.0001
Note:
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
35.9247
19
0.0108
Step 3. Effect age entered:

Criterion
Intercept
Only
Intercept
and
Covariates
AIC
202.161
153.311
SC
205.459
166.504
-2 Log L
200.161
145.311

Test
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
Likelihood Ratio
54.8503
<.0001
Score
58.8672
<.0001
Wald
29.6563
<.0001
Note:
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
31.2445
18
0.0270
Step 4. Effect cancer entered:

Criterion
Intercept
Only
Intercept
and
Covariates
AIC
202.161
149.135
SC
205.459
165.626
-2 Log L
200.161
139.135

Test
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
Likelihood Ratio
61.0263
<.0001
Score
62.6722
<.0001
Wald
30.9856
<.0001
Note:
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
23.7892
17
0.1253
Step 5. Effect systolic entered:

Criterion
Intercept
Only
Intercept
and
Covariates
AIC
202.161
147.612
SC
205.459
167.401
-2 Log L
200.161
135.612

Test
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
Likelihood Ratio
64.5494
<.0001
Score
65.5781
<.0001
Wald
30.2852
<.0001
Note:
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
20.9153
16
0.1818
Step 6. Effect coma entered:

Quasi-complete separation of data points detected.
Warning:
The maximum likelihood estimate may not exist.
Warning: The LOGISTIC procedure continues in spite of the above warning. Results shown are
based on the last maximum likelihood iteration. Validity of the model fit is
questionable.

Criterion
Intercept
Only
Intercept
and
Covariates
AIC
202.161
142.440
SC
205.459
165.529
-2 Log L
200.161
128.440

Test
Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
Likelihood Ratio
71.7206
<.0001
Score
68.2557
<.0001
Wald
29.4926
<.0001

Chi-Square
DF
Pr > ChiSq
13.7078
15
0.5478
Note:
uncons was removed because of its redundancy.
Note:
Note: No (additional) effects met the 0.15 significance level for entry into the model.
Summary of Stepwise Selection

Step
Effect
DF
Number
In
Score
Chi-Square
1 uncons
45.0450
<.0001
2 admit
8.7420
0.0031
3 age
8.4341
0.0037
4 cancer
8.1317
0.0043
5 systolic
3.4869
0.0619
6 coma
6.4866
0.0109
Entered
Removed
Wald
Chi-Square
Pr > ChiSq
Type 3 Analysis of Effects

Effect
DF
Wald
Chi-Square
Pr > ChiSq
age
8.7710
0.0031
cancer
7.2817
0.0070
systolic
5.6735
0.0172
admit
9.1835
0.0024
coma
7.6434
0.0219
Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Parameter
DF
Estimate
Standard
Error
Wald
Chi-Square
Pr > ChiSq
Intercept
3.4291
1.7267
3.9439
0.0470
age
0.0383
0.0129
8.7710
0.0031
-2.5974
0.9626
7.2817
0.0070
-0.0178
0.00747
5.6735
0.0172
cancer
systolic
admit
-3.8479
1.2697
9.1835
0.0024
coma
-2.4169
0.8743
7.6421
0.0057
coma
16.0708
521.2
0.0010
0.9754
Odds Ratio Estimates

Effect
Point Estimate
95% Wald
Confidence Limits
age
1.039
1.013
1.066
cancer 0 vs 1
0.074
0.011
0.491
Odds Ratio Estimates

Effect
Point Estimate
95% Wald
Confidence Limits
systolic
0.982
0.968
0.997
admit 0 vs 1
0.021
0.002
0.257
coma 0 vs 2
0.089
0.016
0.495
coma 1 vs 2
>999.999
<0.001
>999.999
Association of Predicted Probabilities and

Observed Responses
Percent Concordant
87.0 Somers' D
0.741
Percent Discordant
13.0 Gamma
0.741
0.0 Tau-a
0.238
Percent Tied
Pairs
6400 c
0.870
The SAS System

The LOGISTIC Procedure
The validity of the model fit is questionable.
Warning:
Regression Diagnostics
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data ICU;

Number of Response Levels

Number of Observations Read

Number of Observations Used

Probability modeled is died=1.

Class Level Information

Class Level Information

Class Level Information

Step 0. Intercept entered:

Model Convergence Status

Residual Chi-Square Test

Step 1. Effect uncons entered:

Model Convergence Status

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Residual Chi-Square Test

No effects for the model in Step 1 are removed.

Step 2. Effect admit entered:

Model Convergence Status

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Residual Chi-Square Test

No effects for the model in Step 2 are removed.

Step 3. Effect age entered:

Model Convergence Status

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Residual Chi-Square Test

No effects for the model in Step 3 are removed.

Step 4. Effect cancer entered:

Model Convergence Status

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Residual Chi-Square Test

No effects for the model in Step 4 are removed.

Step 5. Effect systolic entered:

Model Convergence Status

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Residual Chi-Square Test

No effects for the model in Step 5 are removed.

Step 6. Effect coma entered:

Model Convergence Status

The maximum likelihood estimate may not exist.

Model Fit Statistics

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Residual Chi-Square Test

uncons was removed because of its redundancy.

No effects for the model in Step 6 are removed.

Summary of Stepwise Selection

Type 3 Analysis of Effects

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Odds Ratio Estimates

Odds Ratio Estimates

Association of Predicted Probabilities and

The SAS System

1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.1 1.3 1. - 0. - - - 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 1. 1.

6 0 1 0 0. 0. 0. 0.7 0.9 0. 0. 0. - - - 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 0. 0.

3 8 1 1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.4 1.5 1. - 0. 0. 0. - 0. - 0.0 0.0 2. 2.

8 0 1 0 0. 1. 0. 0.8 1.0 1. 0. 0. - - - 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 1. 0.

1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.4 1.5 1. - 0. 0. 0. - 0. - 0.0 0.0 2. 2.

1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.1 1.3 1. - 0. - - - 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 1. 1.

1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.5 1.5 1. - 0. 0. 0. - 0. 7. 0.0 0.0 2. 2.

1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.3 1.4 1. - 0. 0. - - 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 2. 1.

1 0 1 0 1. 1. 0. 1.6 1.6 1. - 0. 0. 0. - 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 2. 2.

1 7 0 1 1 1 0 3. 2. 0. 3.2 2.2 2. 0. 0. - - 0. - - 1.1 1.0 5. 1

9 0 0 1 0. 0. 0. 0.0 0.0 0. 7. 3. - - - 6. 6. 4.4 4.4 2. 1.