You are on page 1of 4

PT GERAK

ANALISIS TIME SERIES


METODE MOVING AVERAGE

TAHUN
SALES
M.A.
1990
44 Err:512
1991
59 Err:512
1992
77
60
1993
98
78
1994
67 80.666666667
1995
106 90.333333333
1996
144 105.66666667
1997
115 121.66666667
1998
198 152.33333333
1999
197
170
2000
212 202.33333333
2001
176
195

Moving Averag
250
200

Forecast

150
Value 100
250
200
50
150

100

50

Data Point

0
1

10 1

ving Average

orecast

Forecast
aktual
Forecast

10 11 12

Data Point
7

10 11 12

Exponential Sm
TAHUN
SALES
1990
44
44
1991
59
47
1992
77
53
1993
98
62
1994
67
63
1995
106
71.6
1996
144
86.08
1997
115
91.864
1998
198 113.0912
1999
197 129.873
2000
212 146.2984
2001
176 152.2387

400
300
Value

200
100
0
1

Data Point

Exponential Smoothing

aktual
forecast

Data Point

10 11 12

You might also like