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OFFICEOFFISCALANALYSIS
PHONE:(860)2400200 FAX:(860)2400052 EMAIL:ofa@cga.ct.gov LEGISLATIVEOFFICEBUILDING Room5200 Hartford,CT061061591
August9,2011
Youaskedforanupdatedanalysisofthesavingsestimatescontainedinthesecond SEBACagreement. WehadprovidedananalysisonJune6,2011toyouofthefirst SEBACagreement. Pleaseseetheattachedspreadsheetforanitemizedanalysisofeachprovisioninthe agreement currently before union members. Note that in certain areas we are still pursuingadditionalinformation,clarificationordatafromothersources.Thereforethe tablerepresentsourbestavailableinformationandassumptionsatthistime.Giventhat therevisedSEBACagreement isstillbasedonannualized savingsfigures,incertain instances,thesesavingsmaybereducedduetothedelayinpotentialratification.Finally, itisourunderstandingthattheagreementssavingsfigureswereestimatedindividually duringnegotiations.Inkeepingwiththisapproach,ouranalysisdeterminedachievability of these savings on an individual basis. Therefore it is possible that savings for interrelatedprovisionsmaynotbecumulative. PleasenotethatOFAdoesnotemployanyactuarialstaffanddoesnothavetheability to conductactuarial analyses. Ouranalysis is basedonareview ofthe information available tous asitrelates tothis agreement andas information hasbeenpresented relatedtootherconcepts. Ihopeyoufindthisinformationuseful. Wearealsointheprocessoffinalizinga formalmemoontheSEBACagreementwhichwillelaborateonouranalysismethodsas wellasareasofconcern.Feelfreetocontactmewithanyadditionalquestions.