2005

63

dG SGQdG

Hc Sj

GdG a aGZjdG gdG

a jg Y

?VQCG C S CG

NO 2004 S/jCG
.edG eY fdG VfG
dG e g dCG jGH eh
e MG dG WdG a ObGh
bh HdG dG a CG ,1967 S
dG ddH qMh .U QNH ,IZ
bJ IGZ QdG HCG dG eBG e
dG j dh .TGh a ShCG JG
Y iCH WdG g a aGZjdG
dG jdG dG Yh ,dG g
Z .edG dG N QhH GZ
GdG Y J J dG AdG CG
M Ad kac j d aGZjdG
.geCG
a J dG GdG Gg a
f ,kSSCG kGeCG aGZjdG dG
.dG e Fg c eCG fCG
HdG dG J dG ,FGSEa
V CG H OY HQCG e IZ bh
M dEG kfMCG j ,dEG AGLCG H

dG a dG bGh ae j
CH dP ,VdG e c dGh
d Y CG jj GdG aW
M H ,jdH bGdG Gg Y dG

dG a IUdG SGQd Y je ( )
dG a HCG jeh ,hH a fdG
.jQH a aGZjdG SGQd WdG

Hh ,gVMh fS Ve VdG
LGdG QhJh .e UN
dhdG SDdG f ZdGh
e c fL dEG WdG cGdGh
ATCG iJ GWCG g EG qEG .MdG
.kfMCG e Qe e
LdG dG Gg Vjh
CG ,dGh dG a aGZjdG
OdG WdGh dG LJ
LdG g CH kY ,a WdG
jdG Y kGc kaNG J
e CH INCG fhBG a IdG
dP a H ,fdG dG Jg
:MW LGdG GDdG gh (1).JjJ
ee jH LdG g J g
SdG jdG Y dG
?JSDdGh

068

069

dP a FGSEG dG OY dEG IZ
kY ;V J dG bdG SdG e AdG
j bdG SdG a dG OY CH
S Y Y ,bGdG a g c keJ
CG dP dEG VCG (6).cdG fBG WdG
,Ff OhH kej J d dG ,FGSEG
e dG ADg J CG j
a gdG dP CT e C ,FGSEH
bh HdG dG H jdG GYG
WGe gJ CG kjCG j h ,IZ
BG e QGZ Y QdG a e
a j jdG FGSEG WGdG
.dGSCGh HhQhCGh IdG jdG
e aGZjdG bJ QWEG Gg a
MdG e ,j aGZjda .fdG
WdG ADg ,dG FMEG
kah ,dG VGQCG Y e
j e c J dG dhdG jd
j hCG ,TCG S e cCG e e H
CG M a ,dG S e ,a AdG
a ;Qe e QeCG ij fdG LQ
eq CG .ffb FGSEG ADg ebEG j
g MCG a CdG Gg a LGdG
,ffEG fdG CH 1907 S IQOdG
HGdG L bJG e 49 IOdGh
fCG Y J dGh 1949 S IQOdG
kGAL J hCG M
q J CG MG dhd Rj
dG VGQCG dEG fdG fS e
.J
g FGSEG dG J ,kW
dG Yd kaa .ffb ebEG
Y dhdG fGdG g J FGSEG
dG C IZ bh HdG dG
.d eh OQCG H j d dhdG
e M oJ FGSEG dG Hh
e kdZ dGh ,ffb Z a GdG
.bGdG eCG H H a H GYG j

hCG) jQdG a a .dP Y Gj

,jCGL q ob dG VQCG CG f (HGfG
(bdG SdG a H) HdG dG g
Y dhdG fdG a LQOoCG ,IZ bh
aGe hO e dPh ,a VQCG fCG
eHh SdG HGMCH FGSEG
(2)
,IdG eCG cP eYh .VQeh
OY ,dhdG fdG a kLe J dG
fc dG dG VQCG a dG
a dG dG OY dH J
a H ,HdG dGh IZ b VGQCG
V ,HdG ah .bdG SdG VGQCG
dG dGh VQCG FGSEG
YGh ,dEG bdG SdH dG
(3)
.FGSEG e CGj kGAL eH SdG
AMEG AY QO ,bdG H eh
CG) FGSEG dH YdG Y
SdG a dG dG gJ
IQU jd (dG a jQdG dGh
j h .dhdG Yd He cCG
j h ,FGSEG Y kGM VdG
bdG a ,a dGh SdH
dG GQ a dG GAMEH UdG
AMEG Uh ,ffEG T Y
OY dEG aVEH ,1997 d fdG
e fdG bdGh ,2004 S dG
CH MJ ,2015 Sh 1997 S H
J IZ bh HdG dG Me
iS a j h (4),2c 6042
e CG ,OdG WdG qeCG .dG
j a ,FGSEG e f Qj
e H h .GAMEG g a kGQa gOY
FGSEG FMEG ddG CG dEG IQTEG
qEG j FGSEG CH kYfG j
dG H d j dG MdG V
j Gd (5).2c 20^700 J dGh ,dhdG
eh ''IedGh GOj'' S OY aVEG

2005

fCH kY ,jdH dG Gg 1999 Sh

AH S dG dG gh ,1999 S H
dG e H ,2003 S Hh ,VfG
.kjS %4^2 CG ,kFSG aGZjdG
WdG OY CG dP dEG VCG
QdG CG) dG dG H ,aVEG
d fG hCG ,(adGh GOdG H
cM H QdG CG) GdG a
IOjH CG ;kGe H ,(hdGh NdG
IdG N kjS T 15^300 gQb
IdG IdG T bh .1999 - 1993
.f IOjdG 2004 Sh 1999 S H
fNCG e GPEG fCG cdH jdGh
a QYG H OdG WdG
dGh dG a dG IQU gY
.keJ
dG bQCH kdM S Yh
a dEG Of CG Y ,g c dG
LdGh dG LGe AV a H
dG OY j (9).jdG aGZjdG
Sj ,f je 3^8 dG
adG CG f Gd .2c 6042 gQb Me
.2c/kT 633 CG ,Je fdG
IQH Je fdG adG Jh
3683 J M IZ a UN
a fdG adG j e ;2c/kT
INCG g J PEG ,kGc HdG dG
MG e GPEGh .2c/kT 428
bQCG g JJ OdG WdG
je 4^2 dG OY gY jh
eq CG .f 400^000 gQb IOjR CG ,f
705 ha dG fdG adG
adG V RGj e CG ,2c/UTCG
Z MG Hh .d a fdG
WdG CG S h ,VGQCd adG
HdG dG e %59 Y gj j
dG fdG adG J ,IZ e %20h

63

dG SGQdG

g a dG fdG qeCG
ddHh ,ffb Z kL GdG
(7)
.dG GAMEG a OJ
kGM ,kGPEG ,J a a dG dCe
HJ aGZjdG C ,dG e d f
M ah .bNCG dGh fdG e
Z FGSEG WdG fYG
a e GPEa ?gJ jCG ioJ ,ffb
j Ye bGh Y VJ f dP
a bGdG Gg gJ gjh .IM OGOjh
bdGh gGdG GAMEG J
e a KDj fCG c ,fdG
.JGP H aGZjdG e HCG dG
Z jRdG ,dG S Y ,g cfh
WdG H e dGh VQCd adG
.UCG dG dGh FGSEG
dG CG cP Y f qCG jh
bGY j dG aGZjdG
.SG
SG CG dEG IQTEG e H
2000 S b dEG oj c FGSEG
fdG VfG d ,be IgX fCG Y
Sd M Vhh QdG Y J d
e kdM dEG IdG UCG Gd ,OdG
(8)
.HdG Y
dG e H 1967 M e
dG a OdG Wd aGZjdG
Y kYJQG dG e cCG e dGh
Gd .dG GH jH Yd VQCG Lh
JJ aGZjdG EG dG j
.dG VGQCG a SdG VhCH
aGZjdG dG S CG H ,kah
KCj d 1988 S M Je e
e IdG dhCG VfG YGH kGc
dG j dh .1993 Sh 1988 S H
a qbdG ,ShCG JG GYCG JT dG
1993 S H IdG IdG a ,TGh

070

071

aGZjdG gdG

CG M a ,MGdG Od dG e kGd
e e c JOM dG fdG LdG
d ceCG dcdGh ddG dG
e CG ;kej d 100 g (USAID) dhdG
eq CG .%30 H kGY ddH j
kej kGd 350 a FGSEG a SG
SG VCG N CG ;MGdG Od
FGSEG WdG CG Z .dG
dG a SCG H hKCj jdG g
dG a kjS 3 650 CG ,IZh HdG
e CG ;d 393 He a HdG
qeCG .dG M VCG S RGj
Y j Wda ,IZ a
3
135 He a dG e 31714
dG M j e CG ,d
.kV 13 `H

M T
dGh FGSEG H
IjdG aGZjdGh
dG jhY H j a
:FGSEG
dG J FGSEG'' ;''fdG SHdG''
dG'' ;''Ib SCG cCG'' ;''fdG
e LGJ FGSEG'' ;''HdG aGZjdG
SCG cCG HQ g WCG'' ;''jOLh
YS'' ;''HY dhO FGSEG hS g'' ;''Ib
ZCG HQ g dG'' ;''J GOdG
e :Ib SCG cCG'' ;''jb Y
.''ddG HdG GOdG

a IOQGdG ,dG jhdG H j

gdG CG ,dhdGh FGSEG dG
gS bh .PdG HW j d aGZjdG
S e FdG ,dG hCG dG dG
jhY N eh .LCJ a ,2000

e CG ,2c/kT 1043 d
N e a fdG adG RGj
fS ac He a fdG
M a ,2c/kT 127 `H QJ FGSEG
a d dG fdG adG CG
105 He a 2c/T 4602 g IZ
.FGSEd 2c/UTCG
j dG dG CG dEG IQTEG j
fc GPEGh .JGP H FdG bQCG g
dG Gg e AJ jQGOEG dG
(10)
Qa a b a ,HdG e
a SG bO cCG M H
d JCG dG eCG ,WdG e Ye
idG fdG adG jN SQ
IZ OJ QWEG Gg ah .1997 S dG
dG J a fdG ac H PEG ,kW
4602 He a ,2c/kT 3766
a HdG dG a qeCG .dG 2c/T
kS kJ 14 a fdG adG ba
1800 He a ,2c/T 1500
H e cfh ;2004 S 2c/T
3255 fdG adG J M d
.2c/kT 4050 dWh ,2c/kT
cG dM dEG f ,QWEG Gg ah
,IZ dM Y g e kbh TCG ib
adG H M ,b dH fh
9072 `H J kSb kbQ fdG
adG CH kY ,1997 S 2c/kT
11^000 e cCG g dG fdG
.2c/T
FGSEG Md ,kGPEG ,c d
Y dH bh SG Y QGSGh
CH kY ,dG ObGh dG
CG qEG j h CdG GH Ic HOCG
Gg a dG e H h (11).dEG f
.dG e Y dG eEG dEG QWEG
70 Y qEG kej j da

2005

LCJ j fCG Mf ,FGSEGh

bGdG Gg CG Z .iNoCG Ie SG
dG ,aS fQBG ,dG aGZjdG j
eYEG ShCG a kFGO kMf j
CG j CG e ,FdG JbJ H
,2001 S %50^5 CG) bCG GJH OdG
Gj d fCGh ,(2003 S %50 e bCGh
a dG e %42 qEG 2025 S a
g aS CH kY (14).HGfG a
jQCG id dG SdG aGdG
j aGZjO'' `H dGh ,hQT
FdG g dEG UdG LCG eh .''fjdG
dG dEG aS j FdG
ICGeG d WCG 6 CG ,HZ Y e HN
bCG bGdG a fc HdG CG M a)
VdG hS ;2001 S WCG 4 e
HY Ig AYOG dEG aVEH ,(H a
.T 150^000 `H QJ FGSEG dEG jS
,48 a GR e ,iNoCG L e
a dG SG kjCG Y j jdG
hO e) FGSEG dG hCG ,FGSEG
bCG j (bdG SdG a
dG jQdG CG cdH jdG eh (15).e
OY oN dG dG a RhS
IdG IOY H qLoCG b FGSEG S
Y fdG dGh jOdG HdGh
bJ J QWEG Gg ah .dG
dhO j a DhdH aS fQBG
S a dG S PEG ;FGSEG
e %25 f e ,jCGQ H ,2025
dEG ODj b dG eCG ,dG e
(16)
.dG a kHY kFf 30 fG
AV a ,aGZjdG adG j
OdGh dG ,VQCG CH GdG
FdG e fL dEG ,AGS M Y
HdG QGa dJ J dh .jOdG
hP OdG H dG dG eh

63

dG SGQdG

dG dG g FGSEG CG hj dG
CG Z ,dG aGZjdG OJ
.kGc kaNG J FbdG
fgdG f CG fY jCG ioJ
OdG Vh dG e j d ?aGZjdG
hCG ,ShCG dG a dGh FGSEG a
a ,HdG WdG AfCG c a dG
fc fQdG g CH kY .f GdG
eR jdG dG S a jQS
.jQSh e a HdG edG
a dGh ,VCG QWEG CG dGh
cCG O j ,HGfG a
j h .aGZjdG dG H e fQd
AH hCG ,VdG dEG IOY Oe dG Gg
H Qj g H ,kjM kYUG
dG H e jGdG NGdG
dRY LGM bCG d M FGSEGh
VhCH j Gfc d Mh ,H a
,FGSEG CG ,je WGe jeh
WGdG Y GM jdG 48 ah
WGdG Z SdG ah ,FGSEG
,Se jg IcH j jdG
Z IZh HdG dG ah
e kGMGh kT CG cjh .WGdG
g FGSEG a UTCG 5^6 e
e e T e cCG CGh ,a
.FGSEG g dGh dG a UTCG 10
J hCG kSG j dG dG Gg ah
VGQCGh FGSEG a NBG Hh ,SQ
OY CG g cDdG MdG eCG ,dG
.OdG OY S dG
dG HdG ?dP S e ,d
2009 S OM (12)1999 S H b
K Hh .OdG dG S fCG Y
dG CG IjL e XCG GS
,dGh (13).2019 S qEG j d OdG
dG fdG MCG H L e GPEG

072

073

aGZjdG gdG

e YdG g CG dEG IQTEG j

dG a WdG H e H
a aGZjdG dG j b ,kGPEG .dGh
h ,dG aGZjdG dG GdG
GdG dEG dG OdG aJ CG S
.dG Gg j

dG bQCG
gjJ a de
Y dG dG bJ JJ
dG dG CG ,1997 S IQOdG bQCG
AMEd cdG dG a fCG
j a qeCG (20).hCG Y dG
dG OY jJ J a ,2004 H
Va Y JJ bJ e kbfG
gh .dhdG IdGh HdGh adG
.dG J jdH
fdG AMEG bQCG b J
CG hO e g c 1997 d dG
dG iMEG CG Z .OfG C VJ
a LG dG ,ceCG `` FGSEG
,2005 jj/fdG fc 10 a TGh
gh `` jQd ceCG dG jYH
adG ShCH Kh bY HJ e
Kh kjM QUCG `` ceCG OdG
dPh ,YdG bH TCG bh c e
dG a dG dG'' :GY J
''Oa e fh dG Ig :HdG
("Arab Population in the West-Bank: The mil(21)
.(lion and Half Persons Gap"

jdGh
fdG a J SGQdG g CG cdH
c EG ,dGh dG S Y IOQGdG
KGdG dG FMEG gQe
hCG ,gGdG dG aGZjdG dH
jdG `` aS fQBG eCG `` FGSEG
jdG J Y SS SC j

hP OdG Hh ,SBGh jaEG UCG

S h ,ceCG `` HhQhCG UCG
a jdG jh .fdG dG dEG dH
jdG Oda .kFQ kGOe HdG
dG jdG YdG e g hOdG
CG ,ddG a kYJQG cCG HN J
J NGhCG a ICGeG d dGe 7^6
dEG M bdG Gg j bh .jdG dG
b Ye HN CG M a ,JQG
UCG a IaGdG Ydc ,jO J
iS J ,HdG JadG OJG e
Hh ,Ggh (17).ICGeG d Ode 1^7
H ibCG dG j ,dG QaCG
,OdGh `` IZ a M `` dG
OdG HN C ,fCG OdG H fEGh
VCG HQCH J jOdG jdG
jaGdG fdG HN V fh
.HdG JadG OJG e
e FSh aQh ,dG GhdG Hh
OdG HN Ea ,VLEGh ,dG
SdG bQCG RhJ jOdG jdG
dG a HdG e Mh .ddG
jdG OdG HN e j
HN CG cdH jdGh (18).jOdG
FGSEG YdG HN J ADg
HN J JH fEG H ,iNoC G
CG dP dEG VCG .fCG dG
hCG ,jdG YdG H HN
CG j dG jdG edG YdG
.dG HN J ,OdH f
Vd Sh'' g WdG HdG g ,kGPEG
c ,keJ dP a T e e (19)?''GdG
Z Sed ''ThOc'' a a j
a j fEG CG M ,(1999)
H ,gMh IGQdG dd jdG ShCG
QCKh ,OdG IH dG JGS kjCG
.aGZjdG SGH fdG e jdG

2005

.OY HQCG e Ie dGR e a OdG

GYG j d fCG dP dEG VCG
c fEGh ,eb Yc dH
.IZ bh HdG dG a Y
CG ,1997 S dEG Of CG Y d
.dGh dG a fdG AMEG S
:DhdG Y j GfBG VdG c d
,kGc kVfG J d Hda
,LGdG a S adG fh
f Gd .a dEG hOS hLdGh
dJ (1 bQ hdG) HQCG GjdG CG
dG bQCG a ,ASG H ,L
GjJ S h ,dG aGZjdG
dG dG AMEd cdG dG
.IH jLdG IOY Y deBG j c

63

dG SGQdG

.FGSEG Y dG aGZjdG
H EG dG e H QWEG Gg ah
h ,e dG Lh dG GOfG
jdG :ddG FdH j a S
dG) IdGh dG Hd dG
,(fdG VfG fG e kHGZG Z
e kGc kGOY CG QYG H NCG Yh
VGQCG QN j dG
H d .Y e cCG e dG
,WEG Y e Z iNoCG GOfG
fSh bdG SdG QYG dCc
.FGSEG e CGj kGAL dG
UdG dG SdG QaCG ,kGPEG
a OdG dG Oa .L dG H
j ,KdG g H ,eH a
f CH kY ,dG dG OY

1 bQ hdG
dG dG OGYC Ye GjJ
2004 - 1997 N dGh dG a
(jdH)
KdG f
(%) jdG

a KJ

2004

1997

QdG

4^55
3^68
3^60
3^26

1045
836
810
714

3828
3685
3636
3497

2783 dG AMEd cdG dG

2849
IdG eCG a dG b
2826
AMEd ceCG dG
2783
IjL aGZjO gjQS
:QdG

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, Population in the Palestinian Territory, 1997-2025

(Ramallah, 1999); UN Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision Population
Database (New York, 2004), http://esa.un.org; US Bureau of the Census, International Data Base,
2004, http://www.census.gov; Youssef Courbage, New Demographic Scenarios in the Mediterranean
(Paris: Institut National d'tudes Dmographiques, 2002).

074

075

aGZjdG gdG

S IZ CG cjh .dG dG V
jdG OdG M d ,%5 gQb f f
.V J a d GfG
dG OY j ,QNHh ,keN
Y Jj fC cDe Z dG
dG IaGdG IdGh HdG Va
AGq L ,iNoCG QeCG H ,H a dAJ
WdG OY qeCG .VfG YGJ
VGa dG WdG a FGSEG
WdG H gJ e GPEG eh
CG ,SdG GdG QN dG
WdG OY d .jdG GdH
a ,dG Ge QN FGSEG
dG eCG ,jd HV ,bdG SdG
CG bGdGh .YW HQ VZ Y j
edG bdG SdG Ge
VQCG e kGAL ,kW ,J (2c 75^9)
FGSEG dG OY hj Ggh .FGSEG
e kH f 242^000 dG WdG a
.f 430^000

OY Y kjS f ,iNoCG L e
dGh dG a WdG FGSEG
HdG dG Y e ee e
eCG ,(2 bQ hdG) IZh bdG SdGh
.bdG e kT j dG
HdG dG CG g dG dEG Yj eh
kHSG cCG g V j d dG
bdG SdG e OdG Wd
Ge CG hjh .FGSEG dEG edG
J ee e J HdG dG
GdG g Vhh eCG Z H
- 1993) GS Y Z a .bdG
SdG a WdG OY OGORG (2004
,%2^3 gQb Se jS H bdG
e dPh ,dG dG e jb f CG
d GfG jdG OY aU ge hO
.jdH dG g a e H a
a WdG OY OGORG ,HdG ah
dEG edG Z) dG HdG dG
CG ,%7 gQb jS f H (FGSEG

2 bQ hdG
2004 - 1976 ,dGh dG a OdG WdG
dG
41499

80579

IZ b
1700
3500
4800
5500
7000
5300
700
900
1600
1900

bdG SdG
33599

59079

HdG dG
3200
4400
7400
10000
8000
16200
21000
22800
35300
44200

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

2005

183950
196061
214360
231431
246272
262836
280019
290924
306584
319029
335042
354200
371700
385200
400992
415383
438779

2100
2400
2700
3000
3300
3800
4300
4800
5100
5000
5400
5700
6100
6300
6700
7000
7300
7595
8693

117550
123061
132460
137331
140872
146436
152219
156724
159684
158929
162842
170400
173400
176900
180792
184589
188600

63

dG SGQdG

51300
57900
63700
70000
78600
90300
101100
111600
122700
129200
141500
154400
166100
177500
191600
201300
212900
223199
241486

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, Israeli Settlements in the Palestinian Territory, 2004,

1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
:QdG

http://www.pcbs.org/settlements/

j ,d J J d dG VGQCG g
a aGZjdG d bGh cCG jDhQ
VQCGh dG H fRGdh ,dG
.OQGdGh

:dG
Le aGZjO J
Y de ,1988 S ,aS fQBG c
JAGb J CG j fdG dG
b dG aY Sd Mh Qe T
OQGdG ,hj c ,Ie hCG cG j
g dG AdG MQ'' :aGZjdG
IQdG g Jh (22)''.LdH S
d SdG HdG jd ZH IQU

dG Qe dEG IOdG
dGh dG a
QdG Gg a dG IOYEG e H
NCG VhdG e (1) :e IOe SC
j jdG dG a QYG H
aGZjdG dG (2) ;dG a ka
IdG dEG eh HNh d
dG Y ke e NCJ eGY g
e QJ j d (3) ;bdG JOM
Y j jdG FGSEG WdG
a NCG Ea dd .dG VGQCG
Y j jdG dG e QYG

076

077

aGZjdG gdG

dh 1^7) dGd fOCG dG hO HdG

Jh .(2^1 dGdG j M a ICGeG d
ICGdG e NG Lh bQCG g
e cCG J dG dG dG
,dP Y ka .Ie 2^5 H HdG
cCG ICGdG aY ,dhCG VfG Nh
JjR f a kGRQH kYJQG aK
GP ICGda .AdG FS e cCG HNh
`` aK cCGh `` ibCG SdG YdG
IOjR IQhV kjQT hCG kjQT cQOCG
a dG OY ddHh ,GOdG e
MG LGe H ,dG
.aCG H (26)FGSEG
cdG dG bJ ,1997 S ah
e Y adG dG AMEd
ICGd OhCG 6 f CG ,Je HN
c e VdG g QJh .IMGdG
,IdG eCGh ,f fCG eh ,dG
XCG M a ,AMEd ceCG dGh
c ,IQhdG OdG e a bdG
HdG e CG ,OQCGh eh jQSh
j dG eCG ,kXe kLGJ LGS
fdG dG M IFdG jDhdG
,VdG a f f gh ;dG
.dG a dc Sh
Y dG bdG g b e d
S a HdG'' g V Pf
HQCG WSEG H Qd ?''cdG
1 bQ fdG SdG j (27).dG QdGh
dN e fQJ dG jdG dEG
e c bJ hJh ,dG HdG
,dG AMEd cdG dG
,IdG eCGh ,AMEd ceCG dGh
.kjJ He ,JbJ Y ka

dG j CG Ia (23).fdG
dc ,cdG S a HdG Y
FGSEG IdG ad RHCG
SQ ,a e J a SGh
e j H LQO dEG gPCG a kGL
.LGJ b fCG dG
(24)
dhCG VfG a iL e c d
M d VdG HQCG GYCG a QJ
Ia a .dG HdG a JQG
Sh 1988 S H CG ,g dG GdG
,cCG Ie S a GhdG oYG ,1993
e kGOY ,bd kaN ,LhdG fCGh
M a .OdG OdG j OhCG
M UdG eCGh SdG VhCG
.fEG Y
dG HdG CG dEG IQTEG j
HW dEG kGf SdG ddG hJ
Hj aGZjdG dG Pa ;fdG
dG ie JQGh KGdG eY
,a a qeCG .HdG e VfH
.bGdG e dG HGdG Gg VQa
6 - 1) dhCG dG J dG ICGda
qeCG e cCG WCG jd (SGQO GYCG
.6^66 He a 7^18 j Sh H
hCG ,(GYCG 9 - 7) SdG dG J d
HdG j (keY 12 - 10) fdG
.dGdG Y 6^03h 6^42 :b H
13) ddG dG HJ dG ICGdG Mh
e kGc kGOY fCG (cCa kSGQO keY
,fQdG S Yh (25).4^09 CG ,WCG
dG VhCG M OdG a if
a HdG e CG ,dc ,W
HdG id de Ie 2^3 eCG id
e c PEG ,fdG dG J JGdG

2005

63

dG SGQdG

1 bQ fdG SdG
bGdGh WSEG 4 ah a a HdG QJ
2002 - 1994
7^50
7^00
6^50
6^00

IdG jdG e
Hc
IdG eCG
GE
bGdG

5^50
5^00
4^50
4^00
3^50
2002 2001

2000 1999 1998 1997

2 bQ fdG SdG
FGSEGh dGh dG a dG HN
dNh fdG VfG b

7
6
5
4
dGh dG a
FGSEG a

3
2
1
0
2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996

1996

1995

1994

eAJ 1999 S M
AGHGh .L H dG
e fG 2000 S e
OhCG 6^25 e IH HdG
OhCG 4^18 dEG IMGdG ICGd
S a K dH kGba ,a
.kGL IQOf IgX gh ;IMGh
2001 ,ddG dG ah
e jJ j d ,2002h
a kW hj dG GOdG
fG a .b LGJ KEG
4 hO e dEG HdG TDe
3^85h 3^87 dEG CG ,OhCG
,d kGL a eCG Ggh ;OhCG
e fG PEG ,d HS h
NGO dG HN
SdG LGQ) NCG dG
.(2 bQ fdG

078

079

aGZjdG gdG

e FSdG GSG f JQG PEG ,GdG

dEG LhdG ICGd 1996 S %33^9
a RHCG e J gh ,2000 S %46^1
dG g JQG ,Y bdG a .ddG
%54^3 dEG %50^7 e HdG dG a
iMEG OYH JQG Gg Sh .a
e cCG H :aGZjdG KGdG W
j (%51^4) LhdG AdG OY f
.2000 S (30)dG e FSh
a MdG dG d VfG CG Z
INCG g fG a .HdG QfG
b CG ,2000 S e dhCG TCG N
Gg ddG GdG cCGh .VfG b
.VfG b CGH dG eCG
dG LGdG Gg S g e d
Uj d ?QWEG Gg a LdGh
Gg S ae dEG BG M dG
VfG a iL e H ,LGdG
ad adG dG j fC ,dhCG
eGdG e Ye EG dG jh .dP
.aGZjdG IQdG g e qdh
SdG LdG e QGdG fa
hCG kWH ,GaYG fdG dGh jdGh
SGdG g JdG HdG CH ,kY
,jOdG IdG Lh a aCG
.dG ALEH GjdGh ,SGh
fG bh ,2000 S a fCG H
GQdG g J d ,fdG VfG
.kf J
e VfG a FdG dG Oj
dEG kGa ;ObG dG dEG HdG
VGQCG Y Va dG QdG
fh SdG J HUh ,dG
dG bEGh ,a NGO FdG
dG edG dG Lh a FGSEG
HhQhCG e eOdG edG dH dGSGh
HU Y ka ,jaEGh SBGh SdG

M a ,kGc fG HdG e EG
,1999 S a .jdG e LGj d
dG MG ,VfG b
,2000 S CG ,S Hh .kLGhR 24^874 `H
RQH LGH CG ,kdCG jdG OY fG
S h ,JJ fc YdG d ,%4 f
IQH HdG LGJ ijh .2003 S
c ,fEG J FSh jJ dEG UN
VfG dEG e cCG ,VLEGh dG
.jdG e
jdG e j ,dP dEG aVEG
RH a .kjQL IZh HdG dG a
e AGHG HdG dG a jdG eRCG
SGh ,%8 H fG PEG ,2000 S
JQG H ,2003 S M VfG
HQCG N %31+ e IZ a dG g
dG a NG Gg ijh (28)!GS
h ,OhCG jM CG ,''Io dG'' IgX dEG
gJ dG WdG e (29),dG S
bh HCG a jhH dPh ,dG QN
N SQGdG bEG CG c .e
a .dG GhdG Ua a jj VfG
c a dG OGORG ,VdG HQCG GdG
IZ a S h ,dG WdG AfCG
e cCG dG M a JQG dG
ML OY o Sh ,kb HdG dG
e bCG dG S OY CH kY ,he
N c dHh ;JH dG S OY
adG e V IZ a adG bJ
GhdG T g eh ,HdG dG a
,eCG GfG dM LGe H cCG dG
.HdG dG a ddG e TCG gh
d IZ a HdG CG dEG IQTEG jh
a ,jdG e e f IJdH JJ
IMGdG ICGd OhCG 4^76 HdG H
HdG dG a H H ,2002 S
QhO dG e FSh OCG c .OhCG 3^33

2005

jdG fG edG e Ia jObG

a dG Gj LhdG Hh ,doCG hCG
,IH WCG fEG a MdG ZQ
dEGh dG e FSh dEG ddH Bjh
.VLEG
CGH PEG ,a a fG VdG CG Z
dh ,2000 S fdG dG eRCG
.dG J H eCGh ObG QfG
ObG edG jo d M ah
e VfG bJ ,L H ,eCGh
a .iNoCG SCG Y dG j ,HdG
dCe M ,dG `` FGSEG QWEG
fdG dG aGj Mh ,SSCG OdG
(33)
,b e cCG e a a GdG
.e H HdG LGJ j
j CG HdG LGd j c
b dEG dH jOdG dG a kJhJ
hO e d ,OdG e kYf CG ,dG
jJ j dBG g C ,dP KEG
LhdG QN CG hj ,Yh .dG
Y OhCG e J `` dG
ISCG f j b `` ?WdG dG
H OJ dG dG M Y IdG
T eh .jdGh SdG LdG
hCG ,Zj GOY e LhdG CG a
,j aY Sj c c ,j
.d IYh d KG ,kGdh 12 fEG
dG FSh AGqL d S J j bh
cCG Mh ,dG e a ;dG e
jdG bGdG Gg AhH J b ,H kJ
dG aj edG MdG e'' fC
(34)
''.dG jJ
H He Vh ah ,dP Y IhY
ah ,ddG GdjEG a CG ,d AdG
OdG Rd M YGfh ce e
HN fG ,ib gCG HdGh
CG H `` Le H dKdG bCG

63

dG SGQdG

hCG FGSEG dEG dG LdG jJ

Od WdG NdG LGJ ,QdG dEG
CG a .fdG VfG b (31)MGdG
2000 g bCG kGM 1998 S a H c
,1999 S Ie hCG fG ,ceCG QhO
.gH Qj CG b ,2000 S kGOe K
a dG dG OY fG c
dEG 1999 S eY 138^000 e FGSEG
ADg CH kY ,2000 S eY 50^000
edG dG HQ j Gfc dG
dG QdGh VfG b dG
e qeCG .dG ObG a Nd
ib kGOhM a ,kUCG JdG ,ddG
a %44^1h ,HdG dG a %34^3 g
f e kGQe dG UCGh .IZ b
%70^6h ,dG N hO dG a %58^1
dG SCG e %21^1 Hh .IZ a
S ffEG GYdG Y j
(32)
.2004
RH HdG a dG VfG d
VhCd jdG QgdG b 2000 S
eRCG CG a T eh .jObG
S HdG e LGJ J jObG
d ,2003 Sh 2002 S K ,2001
.2000 S LGdG Gg CGH GPd J
a HdG J NG dP fL dEG
ZdG Y ,ddG a dG OH e c
dGh dc ,KGdG eGY cGJ e
,edG ObGh YdG ObG dEG
LGJh ,dG ie JQG dEG aVEG
FSh dEG PdGh ,ICGdGh LdG H QGdG
VfGh ...ffEGh ,IdGh ,YEG
,OdG g TYh .WCG ah e
GYCG H a ,dEG ,FGdGh jQS e
a OM VfG gJ ,jObG eRCG
fh ,dd ITe c HdG
eRCG QGSG eh .IOdG KGdG eGY

080

081

aGZjdG gdG

,OQCG dEG CG ,dG QN dEG dG

...dGSCGh ,ddG ceCGh ,dG hOh
.gZ hCG a e Ig CG h
ShCG UN IQH J IdGh
KDJ h kf U M d ,dG
bQCa ;dG a dG OY a kjQL
hCG Iae Z LQdG hCG NGdG IdG
.H Ke Z
WSEG 3 bQ fdG SdG j c
2025 Sh 1995 S dG dG
HdG qS :SdG d kah
jdG IdG H H ,kW kVfG
CG 2025 S a bjh .T 10^000
WdG a dG dG OY j
OdH kSb f 4^095^000 dG
dG dEG UJ dG f 7^402^000
.dG AMEd cdG

Gf c eY M `` kGOe kYJQG T
dKda (35).bj djEG `` dG
edG QfCG e kjJ j jdG
ge K aO dEG ke bCG Gfc
,WCG e cCG OY CG ,aGZjdG
jdG LQ GRjE j d ddHh
,a dG e edG cdGh ,dKdG
QdG dc ,jdG T cdGh
.HdG a c f bdG ,djEG

OjORG a dG
...We IJH fEG
d dG OGYCG J
RH e ,dG HN a W d
Y QYG a dG Gg NGoC h .kGNDe
IQTEG j .(2005 S) jdG WSEG
Ig QYG H NCf d fCG dEG

3 bQ fdG SdG
dG dG WSEG
(bdG SdGh dGh dG)
dG AMEd cdG dG dEG UJ H fQeh
2025 - 1995
8000
7000
6000
dG
GE

5000
4000
3000
2000
2025

2020

2015

2010

2005

2000

1995

2005

fCT e fYEG ,GdG Y bZoCG

,ISCG GQN Jh dG J N
e d GYeh ,FGV J :e
e a Gd .dGh dGh dG
(eCG Z e ZdG Y) HdG LhdG
a W fEG H NCG dG QY
.GdG
edG W ,dP dEG aVEG
SS ,jQdG hCG dG ,FGSEG
H d YCG dG Vh fS
WdG a FGSEG dG OY IOjR
eCG ,SSCG Ge dhdG J c .dG
GdG a dG ie aj dG
o Uh .FGSEG a H kSb
GP eb We fCG Y GdG
IjGe de GYH J ,jdhCG
SEGh QYEG IQGRa .GQGRh S eDJ
jh ,dG AGd S kVhb J
J c .g dEG VhdG g e AL
Y e eM FGSEG VGQCG S
dG IQGRh J H ,VGQCG QjEG
e GAYEGh jOe Ge IJSCG
.(fdG a %90) SQdG jQdG
g IQdGh YdG IQGRh J dc
WdG SH Jh ,jdG dEG
UTCG dEG ddG IQGRh Jh .YdG
jH j a J cdGh
dH eJG OJ Hh .NdG
jJ j (FGSEG a dG d)
dG g eM Z e Y GeCG
IFGd j dG ,ddG fdG
jOj We J CG a SG
(38)
.ReH
dG e ie Qj Hh
FGSEG aj ,dGh dG a
H dG gGe Y g
GYdG Je J) ITdG GYdG

63

dG SGQdG

a g dG IOYEG e ZdG Yh
dG a SdG He a kjS dG
H f e 1^2 QGe JQG :fOCG
jY N CG ,2025 Sh 2005 S
f jS IOjR e Se e ,keY
.%1^8

''QfG'' LGe a ...

a a FGSEd fdG
a FGSEG WdG j
H ,dG Y Y ,dGh dG
Je HN :RQdG fdG dG UY
e WdG e jd aJh ,J
Ic T fh ,WdG dEG FGSEG
ah e kGNCGh ,kGOe kNR J
JQG dEG ,AGdG Y ,ij kGL V
.dG H dG dG dEGh IdG qbJ
dG WdG a FGSEG oj
j fEG .ae eb hCG je c
e eb hCG kjJ cCG fEG dG
j gh ,NCG dG NGO FGSEG
hCG SdG MdG j dEG WN H
WdG e %86 :dG j dEG
dG NGO OdG e %63) d hjDe
eb'' hj %40h ,(NCG
S dG HfG Nh (36).''je
jdG GMCd jdG f H ,2003
,HdG dGh IZ Ge a %34
dG NGO OdG jJ f V gh
f H c .(%18) kjJ NCG
QN) adG dG GMCd jdG
eh .(NCG dG NGO %7) %21 (OdG
ZdG g SdGh jdG dG g Rj
QN gh ,IdG ISCGh OhCG fEG a
Z d hCG dhd ddG YdG aj
dG (37),GQhdG GQe Jh .edG

082

083

aGZjdG gdG

UdG WSEG EG ?dG WdG

Wdc ,qdG QW a fS H
fS a gh `` dGh dG a OdG
kce WSEG J `` keY 37 e Cf
jb H UdG J e cCG a
FGSEG WSEG d .dc
j ''OedG'' OCa .dP cJ SdG
FSdGh VdG M ,IQOf WSEG
d SEG CT ,VGh Z
,2005 S dEG 1998 S e GdG
f 169^000 e dG OY aQ dG
J IOjH CG ,f 381^000 dEG
dG d (42).GYCG S N dG
WdG CG jCGQ a .a J d
GAMEG J d dG WdG a
GAMEG J OJ h ,dG
e ,dG SEG j CG d .FGSEG
Qe a gOLh jJ Y ,e Mf
eCH GYG Yh ,WSEG g
g Y YdG HW AVEG Yh ,bGdG
AGSh ?VH dEG J dG dG
Ea , CG kYT dG g OLh cCG
Z ffdG VdG GP fdG dG g
idG Y kbe ke S OdG
LdG SG GPEG dPh ,aGZjdG
.ddG jdG GW INCG

.fYEGh (NCG d iNoCG dG a

HdG LGJ ,2000 S e AGHGh
,(IMGdG ICGd OhCG 4^18) IH dG
WdG HN e bCG UCGh
GS jdG (39)(OhCG 4^51) FGSEG
e NBG ke kSb kbQ Y bdG a
NGO OdG HN Je J HN
(40)
.2001 S (dh 2^35) NCG dG
SG ,2002 Sh 2001 S ah
H H ,LGdG a dG HdG
Ea dHh .dM Y WdG HN
hO e CG) Gd ''dG dG''
d VdG (41),(IaGdG IdG
,''jdG jN'' `` SdG SfG
dEG ij kdY kSb kbQ S `` ke
Je HN e H IQOdG bdG
W f e eh .V ah eh
dG OY YS %3^3 dEG j dM
.a keY 21 N
a VJ d dG FbdG g d
cCG cJ YEG FSa .QdG J
H ,SdG dGh VfG Y
QfCG dG fdG ''QfG'' j
fCG e ZdG Yh ,LGJ e ZdG Y
GdG a e e bCG kdM H
.FGSEG
a OdG WdG e g e

2005

63

dG SGQdG

4 bQ fdG SdG
dGh dG a OdG WdG OGYCG QJ
2025 - 1995 ,Va K ah
1000
900
800
700
Je
Sh
e

600
500
400
300
200
2025

2020

2015

dG dEG a HdG eq GC .kjS

dG NGO OdG HN e ihd
dEG WdG OY Sh ,NCG
.f 703^000
dEG YdG LGJ CT e Ea ,kGNCG
HN e Y adG e ,IdG
j CG ,(SdG VdG H) Je
dEG j H dG OY YJ
dG'' CG CG ,2025 S f 833^000
dG g H j Mh ''dG
.gdG

?f j jQdG
dG jGJ 5 bQ fdG SdG j
N ,a a 1878 S e OdG
CGH eY ,GfGh fdG dG
dPh ,QGSH FGhCG OdG hLdG
OY OjORG Y ka ,1948 S M

2010

2005

2000

1995

bQ fdG SdG) ddG Vd kah

Y HdG aJ CG bdG e ,(4
Sh .OhCG 4^5 CG ,ddG gGe
S h ,GhRCG GLG a GdG
hCG W fEG a Zj jdG e dG
eh .eCG (ddG) VhCG a cCG
dGh edG J CG kjCG bdG
IQL kGOL edG Z fdG
Y IdG dEG Je Yf Y d
jS Ig eh .eCG GfG e ZdG
dG e ,T 5800 J aU
S dG GYCG a IaGdG Id dG
,HK HN e eh ,fdG VfG
dG WdG a WdG OY OGOS
f e dEG CG ,dN bQ dEG d
.2025 S
IdG LGS fdG VdG Hh
S dG VGdG idG dEG IaGdG
Le 1800 CG ,fdG VfG H

084

085

aGZjdG gdG

M SdG IdG H WSEG

.2025 S

SdGh HdG dG a WdG

eh ,1967 M e IZh bdG

5 bQ fdG SdG
(1948 - 1878) jQdG a a dG e dEG OdG f
1967 H e a a FGSEG fh
35^0
30^0
25^0
20^0
jQdG a
1967 H e a

15^0
10^0
5^0
0^0
1878
1883
1888
1893
1898
1903
1908
1913
1918
1923
1928
1933
1938
1943
1948
1953
1958
1963
1968
1973
1978
1983
1988
1993
1998
2003
2008
2013
2018
2023

.fdG dG N a a Y fc
Oj c Ea ,VdG g a Mh
jY N a 5 db S
a Ic YH dG g QJ bh .keY
,IZ e WdG fG iL M
ddG g a .f 8500 gOY ddG
H aGZjdG LGdG S
HdG dG a FGSEGh dG
.(6 bQ fdG SdG LGQ) gTCG Y

.dG iRGj ,dP dEG aVEG

h kJe kGQGfG j hCG da
M a ,dhCG ddG dG H S
,2005 S a ,dG qeGC .kb fdG j
dG WdG a WdG f a
HGfG a a OdG d jhe
jH 1948 S b CG ,1928 S
e SG Y fc ,JjGH ah .keY
e SCG 1967 S H a e J

2005

63

dG SGQdG

6 bQ fdG SdG
(IZ e fG hO e) a a dG e dEG FGSEG f
2025 - 1995 ,(SdG a H) HdG dG ah
25^0
24^0
23^0
22^0
21^0
20^0
19^0
18^0
17^0
16^0
15^0
14^0
13^0
12^0
11^0
10^0

a
HdG dG

2025

2020

2015

;1994 S b dG dG Ia
Y dG dG jRJ CG
Y H e ''ffc'' fK
hCG ,''dG dhdG'' `H J H
.H Y H e J CG j
.b jdG g f Ua d
a M e QGZ Yh ,kLBG hCG kLa
a S e YS ,jaEG L
hO jQOah jfe f FGSEGh
kGM Sh H UdG c
.dG Z VdG Gd
j PEG ,N ''MJ'' OYG j (4)
IOjRh dG fdG dG N
e YQH YL Y FGSEG dG
J e dG ,dG HGdG
,edG dG a .dG IdG
S ,QedGh dG Mh
hCG ,bdG SdG a dG
dEG MdG dEG ,IZ hCG ,HdG dG
FS dEG hCG ,NBG HY H dEG hCG ,OQCG
c e Ggh .eCd kW ddG AfCG

2010

2005

2000

1995

jQdG Gg e f CG j dG e
dG a Qj CG j dG aGZjdG
?dH j gh ?IZ bh HdG
jjdG bQCG J CG Sd j d
.iNoCH hCG jH
dG ''MdG'' g CGSCG jQdG EG (1)
Y dG ceGO S j
dG WdG a dG
.1948 S hCG MdG e FGSEGh
edG dG g NBG jQS K (2)
a gj CG fCT e Ggh ,d
Z'' Vh a dG je L
Ea ,dG idG ah .kSQ ''WGe
dCdG dEG aVEH ,g dG Y
CG fCT e ,WGjdGh aGZjdG
dG fCG hc j jJ qdJ
gh ;Gd eGe jd MdG
.edG FK IMGh dhO AfEG
FL V Y J kjCG j (3)
e ,FGSEG dEG HdG dG d
a jaEG L VH T Vh

086

087

aGZjdG gdG

SJh dhdG H dG j dd
.gOhM
fG j ,IadG HGdG eh
a) IZ e 2005 S jf a QdG
M e fGh ,(bhdG VQCG QWEG
a dG dG FdG GdG e
g .dG jdG e kYf ,HdG dG
IJh d Ua CG Y J jdG
H ,dG VGQCG a OdG SG
.YJ CG j
S HW Yhd j ,HdG a
eh (45),2003 S Lh (44)2000
,IOdG JGhP dhdG jJ jJ N
.SG d kFf kGM j CG

* * *
Y j CG aGZjdG pddG j
dG gJG g e Oj c bdG
dG Ad d .dG a aS
SdH gQ g bQCG bJ qEG j
g IMGdG dhdG M c GPEGh .IOdG
j fCG dEG dP Oj Ha ,HPL cCG
.aGZjdG VJ dG bGdG eCd kGM
dG dhdG J CG dG e fEG
eh ,SdG idG Y bGh cCG dG
hCG H Mj fY JQG kM nroj K
.dGQa dEG dj

a CGH PEG ,Ke S a M

;1948 M b M dgCG e J
.1947 - 1946 Ia N dPh
dG Ea ,S jdG dEG dHh
,FXdGh dG dG ej dG
HdG VfG S ,dG jh
Jh .GOdG e VfGh
Y ehdGh ,SS c HdG
.IOdG dTEG e ,fEG
a adG d j ,kGNCG
H kGc fG dG ,a
CG ,dG jYd UdG ddG
:dG a adG bJ H Jj
4 M 2000 S/jCG 28 a
N CG ,2004 HcCG/hCG jJ
CG ,ka 3747 b ,GYCG HQCG
fQeh .dG a b 1000 f
4^3 ,ddG dG adG H
bJ OGR ,T 1000 d UTCG
f dEG dG Gg dG a adG
d MGh b Qb JQH CG ,%7^3
dG KDJ dc .W Iah 13
f S PEG ,QcdG a TCG H
adG OjORGh ,adG e %90
ah 9 d MGh e CG ,%11 H
.W
HGdG d j CG ,dP AV a
adGh HdGh IdH UdG
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Y dG OY N H
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(43)
.J
dG dG Y a N e (5)
dH UdG IaGdG IdGh
a NGJ CG hO e FGSEGh
.GdG f iMEG jJ j ,H

2005

63

dG SGQdG

QOdG
Youssef Courbage, New Demographic Scenarios in the Mediterranean (Paris: Institut

(1)

National d'tudes Dmographiques, 2002),

www.ined.fr/englishversion/publications/collections/td142A.htm
United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision

(2)

Population Database (New York, 2004), http://esa.un.org/unpd/p2k0data.asp

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, Statistical Yearbook for Jerusalem, 2002/2003,

(3)

December 2003, http://jerusalemfoundation.org/data/jis/jerusalem-statistics-2003.html

SdG FGSEG bQCG H e jdG bdG SdG a dG dG eO qdj

eCc ,SdG jdG e AdG Gg H J L gJ dG iNoCG bQCGh
VQCG'' `H hCG ''a'' H AMEd ceCG dG j ,HdG ah .IdG
GjJ AYEG a TGh a bdG ShCG JG e ZdG Y jh ,''e a
OYh ,FGSEG V dG bdG SdG hO e HdG dGh IZ e d e
eCG bQCG a e AMEd ceCG dG bQCG a cCG ddH g FGSEG dG
.IdG
Philippe Fargues, "Des cartes dans quel jeu? Les accords isralo-palestiniens et la dmo-

(4)

graphie," Revue d'tudes palestiniennes, no. 23 (printemps 2000), pp. 53-64.

Israel Central Bureau of Statistics, Statistical Abstract of Israel (Jerusalem, 1970-2004).

(5)
Ibid. (6)
Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, http://www.pcbs.org/populati/est_n2aspx (7)
Revue d'tudes palestiniennes, "L'Observatoire de la colonisation," (1995-2004). (8)
dM Y H fCG Vj dG HdG jJ GaEG H a kde dG OY j (9)
Qb PEG ,dG WdG dEG dG IdG Hh ,2004 Sh 1997 S H e
jFdG jLdG OY ,gf dG bdG a ,dG AMEd cdG dG
:fCG .f IdG a f 227^000 `H
Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, op. cit.
Fargues, op. cit.
Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, Impact of the Israeli Measures on the Economic

(10)
(11)

Conditions of Palestinian Households; 9th Round (April - June 2004), Ramallah,

http://www.pcbs.org
Youssef Courbage, Nouveaux horizons dmographiques en Mditerrane (Paris:

(12)

INED/PUF, 1999), pp. 110-116.

Courbage, New Demographic Scenarios..., op. cit.
Eric Schecter, "Doomsday Demographer Gets a Hearing at the Prime Minister's Office,"

(13)
(14)

Jerusalem Report Magazine, Reporter Article (November 5, 2001).

Youssef Courbage et Philippe Fargues, Chrtiens et Juifs dans l'Islam arabe et turc (Paris:

(15)

Fayard, 1992), p. 274; Courbage, Nouveaux horizons..., op. cit., p. 116.

Stewart Ain, "New Efforts to Settle Galilee, Neguev," The Jewish Week, August 27, 2003,
http://www.jafi.org.il/papers/2003/aug/aug27/jwa.htm

(16)

088

089

aGZjdG gdG

Eli Berman, "Sect, Subsidy and Sacrifice: An Economist's View of Ultra-Orthodox Jews,"

(17)

Quarterly Journal of Economics (August 2000); Israel Central Bureau of Statistics, op. cit, 2003.
Gilles Pison, "Tous les pays du monde (2003)," Population et Socits, no. 392 (Juillet-

(18)

Aot 2003).
Youssef Courbage, "Les dputs israliens et leurs enfants: Une tude dmographique de

(19)

la Knesset de 1996," Revue d'tudes palestiniennes, no. 21 (automne 1999), pp. 58-81.
Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, op. cit.

(20)

hCG ,a AMEG :GjdG Qe j kjCG dG d HQe OGYCG f dG Gd

d bdG SdG CH kY .dhdG dG hCG ,AMEd ceCG dG hCG ,IdG eCG
Va dG dG H fS OGJ Y Gj d dG C AMEG a NJ
.bdG Gg jJ J a Gd .SdG a dG dG AMEG d FGSEG dG
bdG SdG a dG dG OY AMEd ceCG dG cj iNoCG L e
.H UdG bdGh HdG dG bQCG V
http://www.pademographics.com
Ruthie Blum, The Jerusalem Post, May 20, 2004.

(21)
(22)

12 fEG GhRCG Tf 1996 S Ld gdG e JQjR id aY EG kjCG j

:fCG .d 10h d KG ,kW
Ike Seamans, "Palestinians could become the majority soon," The Miami Herald, January
9, 2004.
Philippe Fargues, "Protracted National Conflict and Fertility: Palestinians and Israelis in the

(23)

Twentieth Century," Population and Development Review, vol. 26, no. 3 (2000),
pp. 441-482.
Marwan Khawaja & Sarah Randall, "The Intifada, Palestinian Fertility and Women's

(24)

Education," (Forthcoming).
MOH-HMIS, Palestinian Health Care System, "Health Status in Palestine, 2002," (July 2003);

(25)

Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, The Demographic Survey in the West Bank
and Gaza Srip: Final Report (Ramallah, 1997).
Khawaja & Randall, op. cit. (26)
jQJ QJ dG dG IQGRh jQJ Y fYG ,INCG HdG GTDe dEG dH (27)
:fCG .HdG Y ddHh ,GOdG Y jS kebQCG VJh dG GMCG
Ministry of Health, Health Status in Palestine, Executive Summary 2003 (Ramallah, July
2004), http://www.moh.gov.ps.

M HdG hdG FS a dH kSb kGL Ie dG id GhdG S GJ (28)

HhdG f YCG ,2000 Sh .FGdGh fJh dGh d a keY 28h 27 dEG J
:fCG .keY 21^68 g kGL Ie kS Se hCG fEG Ghd
Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, "Family Formation in the Palestinian Territory:
Analytical Report," http://www.pcbs.org/populati/family.aspx

hCG 14 S a %4) 25 `dG S b %86h ,20 `dG S b AdG e %55 LhJ ,2003 Sh
.hd cCG GYCG 5^2 :kJe LhdG H dG Qa jh .(bCG

2005

63

dG SGQdG

Khawaja & Randall, op. cit.

(29)

a .JM jM kjCG j b d ,dG T jM dEG j e ''Io dG''

.''ICGdG Jh dG HdGh VfG'' .dG e LhN eEG j ,LGhR
Ministry of Health, Executive Summary, http://www.pcbs.org/health/timetab_02.aspx
World Bank, World Development Indicators Database (Washington, August 2004),

(30)
(31)

http://devdata.worldbank.org/external/CPProfile.asp?Seelctes d Countries=WBG
CCOD; Palestine Monetary Authority, "Key Economic Indicators in Palestine,"
www.pma-palestine.org/arabic/statistics/issues59/tab(59+1)
Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, Impact of the Israeli Measures..., op. cit.
Calvin Goldscheider, "The Demographic Embededness of the Arab-Jewish Conflict in

(32)
(33)

Israeli Society," in B. Reich and G. Kieval, eds., Israeli Politics in the 1990's: Key
Domestic and Foreign Policy Factors (New York: Westport Press, 1991).
Khaled Nabris, The Miami Herald. [sic].
Youssef Courbage, "Dmographie et politique en Irlande du Nord depuis la partition," in

(34)
(35)

Jean-Louis Rallu, Youssef Courbage et Victor Pich, eds., Anciennes et nouvelles

minorits (Paris: JohnLibbey/INED, 1997), pp. 335-262. [sic].
L'observatoire de la colonization, "La position des colons vis--vis d'un retrait isralien

(36)

des territoires occups," Revue d'tudes palestiniennes, no. 86 (hiver 2003), pp. 124125; "Elections in Israel, 2003," Haaretz,
http://news.haaretz.co.il/hasen/pages/ShArtElection.jhtml?itemNo=257618&contrassID
=2&subContrassID=1&sbSubContrassID=0&listSrc=Y
Nadav Shragai, "La paix maintenant: 2,2 milliards de shekels pour les colonies en 2001,"

(37)

http://www.lapaixmaintenant.org/article334, janvier 2003.

B'tselem, "land Grab: Israel's Settlement Policy in the West Bank," Comprehensive Report

(38)

(May 2002),
http://www.btselem.org/English/Publications/Summaries/Land_Grab_2002.asp
Israel Central Bureau of Statistics, Statistical Abstract of Israel, 2000 - 2004.

(39)

d .HdG dG e dG dG a FGSEG HdG Y jd ee

GdG dP a H ,(458^000) jdG ec a OdG dG id HdG
J CG ,kGPEG ,dG e .OhCG 3^89 :kjCG Je ,(180^800) dG dEG edG
.dG Ge FS e kYJQG cCG SdG Ge a HdG
Israel Central Bureau of Statistics, op. cit. (40)
.2001 S dh 2^53 LQNh NCG dG NGO FGSEG a jOdG HdG H
NCG dG NGO OdG HNh ,OdG e e %8 FGSEG WdG jh
.dh 2^35 g
Le 14^000 H 2002 S a .kGL Je dG GdG f jLdG IQhO (41)
:fCG .T 3400 H kaU Ig UQ j Ggh ,Rf 10^600 He a
Foundation for Middle East Peace, Settlement Report (November - December 2003).
Sharron Environmental Protection Organization, "Ways to Water Management in Judea and
Samaria," Haaretz (February 1999), http://www.fmep.org/charts/chart9905_3.jpg

(42)

090

091

aGZjdG gdG

B'tselem, op. cit., p. 2. http://www.eretzyisrael.org; Uriya Shavit and Jalal Banna, "The

(43)

secret exodus: Palestinian emigration," Haaretz, October 5, 2001.

http://www.paix-en-palestine.org/arti/bamoratino.htm

''2003 Geneva Peace Plan,'' French Version,

http://www.Mideastinfo.com/documents/Geneva_fra.htm

.............................................
dG SGQdG SDe Y kjM QU

M Y adG
h
a b
Gce
gGHEG dG TQ
1953 - 1891
jJ
ddG dh
(OY J) kGQhO 12
(a J) kGQhO 14

U 389

.............................................

(44)
(45)