Dintresesiuniledetranzactionareingeneralsesiuneaeuropeanaoferaceamaipronuntatafluctuatie. InordinevaloricaUSD/CHFreactioneazacelmaiputernic,urmatadeGBP/USD,EUR/USDsi USD/JPY.SesiuneaUSprezintafluctuatiimaimicidecatsesiuneaeuropeana,dartotusi semnificative,inaceeasiordineaperechilor.Infine,sesiuneaAsiaarevolatilitateaceamaiscazuta, dartehnicvalorilesuntrelativapropiatedefluctuatiiledinsesiuneaUS;ordineavolatilitatii perechiloresteceadelasesiunileprezentateanterior. Martisimiercurisuntcelemaibuneziledinsaptamanapentrutranzactionare,urmatedelunisijoi. Zileledemartiauvolatilitateaceamaicrescuta,urmandimediatdezileledemiercuri.Caperechi USD/CHFsemiscainmediemarti162puncte,fatadeGBP/USD128puncte,USD/JPY104puncte siEUR/USD102puncte.Duminicaesteziuaceamaiputinindicatapentrutranzactionare. Incursuluneilunizilelecuceamaimarevolatilitatesunt:26,1113,1924,3031,iarordinea perechilorinfunctiedeniveluldefluctuareesteurmatoarea:USD/CHF,GBP/USD,USD/JPY, EUR/USD.

Intimpulanului,luniledeiarna(novmar)suntcelemaiindicatepentrutranzactionare

5. NUCUMPARATIMETODEdelaaltiinuvindenimeniometodabunasichiardacaar vindecostularfideordinulsutelordemiideeuro. 6.nuincercatisajucatiintuitivsiniciemotional. ptceicaresuntpedemonimiknusecomparacurealitatea Ceeacefacetipedemonusecomparacuceeaceseintamplapelive!!!!!Nusecomparacandpierzi pedemo200300$cuceeaceinseamnasaipierzicuadevaratin30min.Deaceeavarecomandsa incepetimaiintaipedemo,dupacarevadeschidetiunminicontcu250$sitranzactionatiloturide 10Kpanavaobisnuitiputindinpunctdevedereemotional. 5.Inlegaturacutranzactionarepestiri:peconturiledemopotisaintriintradesaspunemla8:25 oraNY(inaintedeindicatori)sisatipuistoplosslacatvreitu.PeLivenumaipotisatipuistop losslacatvrei!!!deobiceitrebuiela35pips.Decieuziccaestefffpericulossidejanumaifaci tradecatdecatinteligentcijocilaloto. 6.Ceamaibunaperioadadetradearfidupamineora1011RomaniaSedeschideLondrasi inchideTokyo.EutranzmaimultpeUSD/jpy.Miseparemaiputinvolatil(americaniidormsi japoneziiseducacasalaneveste). 7.Conformstatisticilor90%dinceicarefactradeuripecommoditiespierdbanipetermenlungasa ca....

Inopiniameauntraderadevararecaobiectivlimitarearisculuiintrotranzactiesinumaximizarea profituluiunuitranzactii.

Atatatimpcattuitifaciostartegieincaresaaifoartebinedefinitcatitipermitisapierzisicatvrei saobtiieok.Altfelnupreaaicecautapepiataasta. Forexuleopiatapecareunulpierdesialtulcastiga...asacamareatentie... Suntsieudeacordcuideea:ceeaceseintamplapevirtualnuareniciotreabacubaniirealipe careiijoci... 1.dupa17oraRomanieiceperechidevalutesidece???ebinesatranzactionezi? 2.careo"oraruldetranzactionare"peprincipalelepieteundesetranzeurousdyeninoraromaniei. ecumvacandezilaNY,Londra,Tokio??

Orebunedetranzactionaresuntintre1012sedeschidebursadinLondrasiseinchideTokyo. Injurde15:30candsedeschidebursadinNYsiinjurde18candseinchideceadinLondra

http://www.wallstreet.ro/top/Money/90775/10greselipecareuninvestitorinForextrebuiesale evite.html Estecunoscutcaoperatoriiincepatori,impresionatiderandamentulcrescutaltranzactiilorForex, tindsafoloseascafonduriexcesive,sidemulteoripierdpozitiicaresuntinchiseautomatdatorita cerintelordemarja. Inconsecintapeprimulplansesitueazadisciplina.Unoperatordisciplinatcarearedoar catevaoperatiunipesaptamanaesteoconduitaindicabila. Peideeaastamergsieu.Prefersaamcatevatranzactiipesaptamanareusite,decatmaimultesi haotice. Inplus: Efoarteimportantsanuoperezicuosumamaimaredecatitipermiti.Ogresealafrecventae abuzareadeleveragesiastfeloperareacufonduriexcesive.Prinleveragecudoar$1000sepot tranzactiona$100.000,darastanuinseamnacalauncontde$5000trebuiesaoperezecuintregul fond.Demulteoricandsetranzactioneazacumaimult,ooperatiunetrebuieinchisadinratiunide marja.Ceimaimultioperatorianalizeazagraficelecorectsicumparacontracte,darautendintadea folosifonduriexcesive.Esteindicatcavaloareaunuicontractsanudepaseasca1520%din valoareaunuicont. Deasemenea,trebuiecunoscutesievitatecelemaifrecventegreselipeforex. Inrest,cumspunesiJohnCarter,traderiiamatoridevintraderiprofesionistiatuncicand inceteazasaseconcentrezeasupraacatarputeasacastigelaotranzactiesiseconcentreaza asupraprotejariipropriuluicapital. edoaroidee...oopinie,faravaloarespeciala...dpmdvdaytradingulebazapt.forex...asta

presupunecatevatranzactiipezi,nupesaptamana...tranzactionareaa(doar)catorvapozitii pesaptamanapresupuneriscurifoarteridicate...parereamea... oricum,fiecareareun stilpropriudetrading,iarreguliuniversalvalabilenupreaexista(teoreticienisuntmulti, numaicaaiasuntlefteri

1. Nuvapucaidetradingnaintedeastudiatemeinic,zecidecri. 2.ntotdeaunafolosiiunstoploss.Epreferabilopierderemicnloculunui dezastru. 3.ntotdeaunariscaidoaropartefoartemicdincontulDvs.,celmult23%.nacest fel,dacsistemulesteprofitabilpetermenlung,puteitrecepesteoserieneagr(i aceasteavorveni!). 4.Nuaveincrederensistemeisemnaleoferitedealii,studiaigraficeleigsii propriulvostrusistem. 5.ncepeicuuncontvirtual,darnuvbazaiperezultatelecareleobineiacolo. Cndsuntbani"adevrai"njoc,emoiilevvordeterminasfaceilucruriprosteti pecareacumnicinulebnuii. 6.nabsolutoricetranzacieaveinvederefaptulcputeipierdelafeldebinecum puteictiga.Trebuiesaveiunriscpredefinit.

Doariatragateniac,duptoatestudiilematematice,statistice,casnumaivorbimde experienacelormaibunidindomeniuiderealitateapalpabilacohortelordeloseri,cea maisigurcalespreruinesteaceeadeanufolosiunstoploss.tiucintuitivestefoarte tentant,considerndcoricumpiaavarevenimaidevremesaumaitrziulanivelulateptat detine,ipoziiaintrnbani.Decelemaimulteoriaaeste,iastanufacedectste ncurajeze.Dinpcate,nclipancareNUrevine,ajungispierzimaimultdectaiacumulat petoatecelelaltemicictigurilaunloc.

pentruceiceaucunostinteminimedespreforex:trialNUESTE=LIVE;evolutiacursuluiNU ESTE=STIRI;lipsastoplossdupaexecutareaunuiordin=FALIMENT(maidevremesau maitarziu);lipsauneigestionarijudicioaseacapitalului=0indiferentcatdebunaeste metodapecareoai.

1. Pariulestepreamarefademrimeacontului.Suntemtentaisnegndimdoarla ctdemarivorfictigurile,pariindmaimult.Deoarecetimcsistemuleste profitabil,dorimsmergemcusumemari,presupunndcautomatvomctigamai mult.GREIT!Estecauzaprincipaladezastrului.ChiardacSTATISTICsistemul nedunavantaj,astanunseamncelsemanifestuniform,inuseaplicunor evenimenteindividuale.Cualtecuvinte,chiardacnmediesectig6din10,nu nseamncprimele10voraveaexact6victorii.EsteposibilichiarFOARTE PROBABILsexisteiseriinegre(urmate,desigur,deseriifavorabilelaunmoment dat).ns,pentruadaansastatisticiisiaratefora,trebuieunnumrMAREde evenimente(tranzacii).Ori,dacpariezisumemari,iprinzioserieneagr,practici distrugicontulioriceansdeamaiajungelaplus.ncazulexperimentuluidemai sus,majoritateasunttentaispariezecevadegenul2300iniial.Darcesentmpl dacporneticu3pierderia300fiecare?Maiaidoar100ncont,ietiforats pariezimultmaipuin,deexemplu25sau50.Ulterior,chiardacvin6ctiguri,abia ajungila2300.Deci,aiavut3pierderii6ctiguri,itotuiaiuncontde2300fa de1000cuctaipornit!SumapariattrebuiesfieMICiconstantpentruastan joc,ipentruaprofitantradevrdeforastatisticii.Pentruforex,undesespunec majoritateasistemelorauoprofitabilitatedoarpuinpeste50%icategoricsub65%, serecomandunriscdeCELMULT4%dincontpeotranzacie(eudeexemplunu trecde2%).Scopulestedearmnenjoc,pentruadasuficienteocaziisistemuluitu saratecestestatisticprofitabil. 2.Gamblerfallacy,greealatipicajuctoruluidenoroc.Esteaceeadeamrimizape parcursulseriilorproaste.Aceastgreealadncnrdcinatnlogica(eronat!) uman,tefacespresupuicdactocmaiafostoseriederezultatedeuntip,ansele aucrescutsubstanialsvincellattip.Estemodulncaresauruinatmulilarulet deexemplu.Vineroude5orilarnd.Acumsigurtrebuiesvinunnegru,aac mizmpenegru.Iarvinerou,noipunemimaimultpenegru.iapoidinnou dublmetc.Uncrupiervpoateconfirmacseriide2025larnddeaceeaiculoare nusuntexcepii,isauraportatchiariseriide40+.Faceiuncalcullacesumse ajungedactotdublezipariul...Participaniidinexperimentuldemaisusaufcut aceastgreeladeseori.Deexemplu,aupornitcuunpariudecent,de50dedolari. nsduposeriede3numereproaste(710)auconsideratcestetimpulsvinunul bun,aachaismreascmiza.La100,200etc.Ori...seriileproasteuneoriaudurat maimult,ipierdereaafostabrupt,frposibilitidearecuperaulterior.

Dinceledemaisusspercainelesdeceatuncicndauddetradericareiaudublat contulnctevatranzaciinupotdectsleplngdemil,tiindceiateapt.Eiau ajunslaacelerezultatenuprintrunsistemuluitor,cimizndMULTMAIMULT

dectestestatisticprofitabil,isanimeritsporneasccudreptul.Launmomentdat, cndleestelumeamaidrag,cubanireali,vordafaliment. CeimaiprofitabilitraderisuntiaufostceicarenchidpoziiilepierztoareREPEDE,cuo pierderemic,ilelaspecelebunesaducprofitctmaimult.

Sanuinchizirepedeopozitieinpierderedarsaoinchizirepedecandestipeplusseamanaa tradingdeincepator.Oricatdegreuarparea,untradertrebuiesarenuntelaopozitiecatnue preatarziu(altfelvapierdeenorm)sisarezistetentatieideasiincasaprofitulpreadevreme.

Legatdeprofitulmeude34%pelun,pecaretulvezicainsuficient,dmivoieste contrazic.Credcnuetibineinformat.Astavinectre40%pean,ceeaceestencategoria excepional.Marilefondurisuntncredinateunormanagericaredacscot1015%peansunt aplaudai.Aratmioinvestiiecaregaranteaz40%peaniteasigurctoimiliardarii lumiiovormbriaadouazi.

Traderulcuexperientzastiecatradingulesteoluptainterioara

Aadareunuovdcapeoconcurendirect,cimaidegrabcapeunexamenundetrebuie sieionotminimpentruapromova.Piaaforexesteattdemareicuattdemuli participani,nctsumelevehiculatedeunmicrobacasnfaapropriuluicalculatornu semnificnimic.Noinuncercmsmutmpiaa,smodificmpreul,sausruinmpe cineva,noidoarprofitmdemicrilefcutedeceimari...sriminoinvagon,furmciva pipi,iieim.Overandoveragain trebuiesatecomportilafelsila5$sila500.000$

Peforextrebuiesainvestimbaniipecarenepermitemsaipierdemastfelincatsanu ramanemfarapainepemasa.Deaftfelastaedezavantajulinforex. nclipancaresimimicarearespectivcao"durere"etitentatsfaciprostiipecarenule aifaceniciodatpeuncontdemosaucubanipuini.Exemple:slaipoziiasmeargn continuarendefavoareata,sperndcsentoarcecndva(nostoploss);sadaugiunnoulot

nacelaisenspentruaobineomediemaibun(piramidare);sdeschizimaimultpeoalt perechecasrecuperezipierderea(revengetrade)ialtele. Repetsfatulmeu:sumapecareoinvestiitrebuiesfiesuficientdemarenctsfie semnificativpentruDvs.,isuficientdemicnctsnuvafectezeniveluldetraincazul nefericitalpierderiiei.

Tradingisthemostexcitingactivitythatapersoncandowiththeirclotheson.Troubleis,you cannotfeelexcitedandmakemoneyatthesametime. :)) IhaveaPhDinmathematicsandabackgroundincybernetics,butIwasabletoovercome thosedisadvantagesandmakemoney. :)) lacomiasifricasuntcelemaipericuloaseemotii,precumsinerespectareacustrictetea tradingplanului Scalperulesteunspeculatorcareactioneazapecelmaiscurtorizontdetimp(delacateva secundepanalacatevaminute),intrandsiiesindde/pepiatadefoartemulteoriintro zi.Analizafundamentalaesteexclusa.Celmaiimportantaspectestesentimentulpietei.

Vchinuiidegeabasgsiifactorifundamentalicaresexpliceomicaresaualtapetermen scurt.Analizafundamentaleconomicpoateaveaorelevanpetermendelunidezilesau maimult.Intradaymicrilesuntimprevizibile,idoarpostfactumanalitiincearcsvin cuexplicaiipentruceeacesantmplat. Chiarciteamcevadrguntrocarte,untradercaretocmaifuseseangajatsaibgrijde serviculdetiriforexn"realtime".Lanceputerasperiat,nutiaexactcetirivoravea relevan,cumsexplicemicriledepepia...Ceimaibtrniiauexplicatcummerge meseriaasta.Purisimplu,noricarezi,existosumedeniedeinformaiicarejustificio cretereioscdereaoricreivalute.Dimineaaleculegeaufrumospetoate,iateptaus vadcefacepiaa,dupcareserveautireacorespunztoare.Deexemplu,dacvedeauc

dolarulecumprat,imediatddeaucudiferenadedobnd,cupasulsntosaleconomiei americane,curepatrieridefondurietc....dacdolaruleravndut,obgaupeaiacucreterea preuluilapetrol,deficitulbugetarmarealUSA,declaraianutiucruiministrusauun articolaprutnziariaamaideparte. nrealitate,acestemicridincursulzileisuntgenerateiniialdemaribncisautrusturicare realmenteaunevoiedebaniirespectivi.Deexemplu,dacofirmdinJaponiacumpruna american,sauunteren,sauniteaciuni,cevreivoi,eaestenevoitsplteascdolari.Va schimbasumeuriaedeyenindolari,icaurmareusdjpyvacrete.Observndmicarea, npefonduriispeculanimajoricarestaulapndpluseazieinaceeaidirecie,ite trezeticyenulpic50depipi.Petoiacetiindivizipreapuiniintereseazceascrisnu tiucarejurnaleconomic,sauundeestenutiucenivelfibonacci.Eiifacafacerea,sau speculeazomicarerapid. Ieri(vineri)micareaafostgeneratnprincipalderepatrierimasivedecapitalaleunor firmeamericane.Acesteaaufcutprofiturincursulanuluineuroprinfilialelelordin Europa,iacumsuntnevoitesischimbenUSD,ceeaceautomatvaducelascderea eurusd.Dar,nicieinusuntproti.Auateptatfrumosscreascpuineuro,dela1.1930la 1.1980sauaaceva,scumperedolariimaiieftin.ntretimpmuliamrichiarintraser longpeeurusd,considerndc,iat,dinnou1.19arezistatcasuport,ieuromergespre1.20, 1.21etc.Apoicndaunceputfirmeleasteascumperedolari,preulsaprbuit,accelerati destopurileuriaecareseaflaupela1.18501.1870. Reguladebazapieeiesteurmtoarea:preulsemicndireciaminimeirezistene,nct sproducceamaimultdurereposibilunuinumrctmaimaredeinvestitorialecror stopurilelovete.Ecomic,daradevrat.Pentruminefaptulceraaproapeunconsensc euronupoatecdeasubsuportuldela1.1870areprezentatogaraniecovaface!Acum,pe ungraficmailung,deexempluweekly,sevedefoartebineoformaiunetipheadand shoulders,cuspargerelaumruldrept,ceeacetradiionalsemnificposibilitateauneicderi masive,chiarpnla1.10.Dar,atenie!Astaesteexactceeacevdsutedemiidealitraderi, caredintrodataudevenitfoartedollarbullish.Tocmaideaceea,naintedecdereanabis, eurosarputeasmaideaoraitpesuspela1.20+,smairadnitestopu.

indicatoriicategoricnucreeazmicri,eidoarreflectmicrilecaredejaauavutloc.n pofidaunorprericontrarii(naive!),nuexistindicatoricaresanticipezeceva(leading),ci doarindicatoricaresuntderivaidinpreuriledintrecut(lagging).

Miaducamintedeontmplarehazlieiinstructivcititcndva,dinpcatenumai tiuexactncarecarte(posibilprinMarketWizardspeundeva).Unmareexpertn analizatehnic,tipcarechiarinventaseindicatorinoi,afostangajatcaiconsultantla ofirmcarefceatranzaciiserioasepepia.Directorulaceleifirmeerauntipcuun simalafacerilorexcelent,darhabarnaveadechestiileasteatehnice.ntrobunzi intrnbiroulundelucranoulangajat,expertultehnic.Acestaseuitala7monitoare, pecareerauomulimedegraficecomplicateitotsoiuldeindicatoriilinii. "Savantul"nostrusaapucatsiexplicedirectoruluicegrozavestesistemulluitehnic, icumnudgreniciodat.iatrecutlaunexempluconcret,cevadegenul"uiteaici pegraficullaporumb,preulaajunsexactlanivelulprezisdemineieri,niciuncent maimult...pentrucaiciesteoliniederezisten,iuntrendline,i2nivelefibonacci, ipatternulX,iindicatorulY...preulNUputeascreascmaimult".Auzindastea, omuldeafacerilantrebat"Tuchiarvreisspuicpreulnupoateurca,pentruc aaispunietoiindicatoriiiaciudai?!"."DA,suntfermconvins"arspuns expertul.Lacareomuldeafacerialuatcalmtelefonul,sunndunangajat,iiaspus "Cumprterogntonedeporumb,ACUM!"n3minute,subochiiuimiiai expertuluingrafice,preulacrescutcumultpesteceeace"stabilise"elcalimitde rezisten.MORALA:piaafacecevreaea,cndvreaea,inupoispreziciacest lucru.Deaceeaoricetranzaciepoatesmeargprost,oricnd.Deaceeatrebuiesaiun stoplossntotdeauna.Nuaideundestiicineicecumpr.Totcespunindicatoriii sistemeletaleestedoarorientativ,iiconferdoaromicsuperioritatestatisticpeun numrmaredetranzacii.

Deaceea,concluziameaestecadeschidepoziiibazatpetiriestefoarteriscant.Dealtfelcam toiexperiintoatesurselestudiatedeminerecomandsnudeschizipoziiibazatpetiri. Reaciapieeiesteimprevizibilidemulteorihaotic,nambelesensuri. Legatdenivelefibonacci,aidreptatecsunturmrite,darmaimultdeceimici.ntropia "molcom",acesteniveleserespectdemulteori.nsnclipancareexistunanumitinteres dinparteacelormari,acestenivelenuvaloreaznicictoceapdegerat.Prereameaestec efectullorestemaimultplacebo.Niveleledesuportirezistenauovaloarecevamaimare.Ele reprezintpurisimpluunprelacareanumiipetimarincepscumperevnd(pentrucau uninteres!)iblocheazastfeloscderecretereimaimareapreului.Astadureazpncnd seiveteunpeteimaimare,carebagsumemaimari,i"sparge"nivelul.Dinnou,nuaicum sprevezidacicndacestlucrusevapetrece.

Afterhavingwatchedthousandsofaccountstrade(asthelargestretailFXmarketmakerinthe worldFXCMhasover60Kclients)Icanunequivocallysaythatthebiggestreasonforfailureof someretailtradersisnotlackofknowledge,orinabilitytounderstandthenuancesofthemarket orpoortechnicalanalyseseducation.Thenumberonereasonisoverleverage.

TheresultsarequiteimpressiveandsomeotheramazingTraderscouldbeaddedeasilytothelist above.Whydotheseguyshavesuchtremendousresults? Therearecommonfactors,whichcanbeobservedthroughmostofthesuccessfulTrader Legends: TheyhaveaSystemwhichtheystrictlyfollow. Mostofthemhaveatrendfollowingtradingstyle. Mostofthemhaveamidtolongtermapproach. Theyhavenofearandgreedmentality. Theyhaveabsolutedisciplineandstick100%totheirsystem. Theirtradesarefullyplaned;theyarepreparedforallscenariosinadvance. Theyknowthatasystemgoesthroughbadtimesandgoodtimes.Cutlossesearlyandletprofits run. Theirsystemsfittotheirpersonality. SomeofthesepointssoundlogicalandIseepeoplenoddingtheirheads.Butinrealitythe averageinvestorbehavescompletelydifferent.Someofthemburnedtheirfingersoverthelast threeyearsandsomeevenlostafortune.Herearesomeexamplesofobservedbehaviour patterns: Lossesarenotcutearlyenough. Investmentwithashorttermhorizonbecomelongtermhorizoninhopeofraisingprices. PeoplelistentotheadviseoftheirinvestmentBrokersandAnalysts. Peopleinvestinhotstocksrecommendedbycolleaguesoftheircolleagues. Peoplehavenoplanfortheirinvestments. MoneyManagementisnotconsideredatall. Peopleusetradingstyleswhichdofittheirpersonality. Greedandfearisomnipresent. Whatcanaveragetalentedinvestorslearnfromtheaboveandhowcanthemistakeslistedabove beavoided?ThefollowingkeypointscanbelearnedfromsomeofthemostsuccessfulTrader Legends: Eachinvestorhasitsownpersonality.Someoftheinvestorhaveaveryaggressivetradingstyle andaretradingveryfrequently.Somepreferstocksasotheraremoreriskorientedandinvestin options.Otherswantonlyspendaminimumofeffort.Aninvestorneedtoreflectonhisprofile andchoosea tradingapproachwhichfitshispersonality. Atradeneedstobecompletelyplannedinadvance.Peopleplanalotoftheiractivities,e.g.

whentheygoonholiday,whentheymovehouseetc.Butdotheyhaveaplanwhentheyinvest? Aninvestorneedstohaveasystemthathelpshimtobepreparedforallscenariosofatrade.One needstoknowinadvancewhentobuy,howmuchtobuy,whentoexit.Onceatradeisexecuted thepriceoftheinstrument(stock,option,bondetc.)cannotbeinfluencedbythenormalprivate investoranymore. ThemostimportantcomponentofatradingsystemisMoneyManagement.Surprised?Lotsof investorsandtradersspendmostoftheirtimedevelopingaverysophisticatedtradeentrysystem. Buttheentrystrategycontributesonlyapproximately15%tothesuccessofaTradingSystem basedonacademicstudies.ThemostimportantquestionofaTradingSystemishowmuchto investandhowmanypositionstotradeatthesametime. dublareauneipoziiipierztoare(ofoartemaregreeal) Greelilesuntcauzatedesperanifric,sentimenteuniversalumane,caretedistrugcatrader. Cndetipepierdere,aitendinaspstrezipoziia,cusperanacsevantoarcenfavoareata, iajungispierzifoartemult.Cndetipectig,iefricsnuseschimbedirecia,inchizi poziiaprearepede,pectigmic.Idealarfisprocedeziexactinvers:saisperanecndetipe drumulbun,nctig,isifiefricatuncicndetipepierdere.Deaicicelebruldictonal pieei"cutyourlossesshort,letyourwinnersrun".