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september quarter
07.3
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korean agriculture
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korean agriculture
implications of structural change for Australian agriculture
yeon kim, david barrett and jammie penm
korean agriculture
economic growth
Republic of Korea, annual averages
GDP % GDP per person % 6.9 6.0 7.8 3.7 6.2
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korean agriculture
kilograms in 1980 and slightly below 100 kilograms in 1998. For barley, rising household incomes have resulted in per person consumption falling from 36 kilograms in 1975 to 1 kilogram in 2005. On a per person basis, wheat consumption has increased since the 1970s, while the consumption of corn has doubled. More recently, bean products have been perceived as healthy food products in Korea and this has promoted the consumption of high protein bean products such as soybeans and red and green beans.
Korea Japan Australia daily calorie intake per personq cal. cal. cal. 2 332 998 3 330 kg 99.2 53.9 104.2 123.8 111.2 343.6 87.4 226.0 7.1 23.2
China Thailand cal. 2 397 554 2 951 kg 202.4 74.2 63.8 51.4 251.0 72.9 59.8 13.8 17.5 na cal.
vegetable products 2 485 2 087 animal products 484 592 total consumption per person cereals starchy roots oil crops fruit vegetables sugar crops meat milk (whole, fresh) eggs sh, seafood
na Not available. Source: FAO database.
2 969 2 679 kg kg
202.9 170.2 19.4 37.8 93.9 58.6 62.2 57.6 259.0 119.6 156.9 96.8 32.6 33.2 39.3 75.5 11.0 18.6 51.6 64.9
162.3 252.4 42.6 68.6 64.1 93.2 82.8 51.7 41.1 32.4 401.3 119.3 23.3 11.9 22.1 7.3 8.5 3.8 31.1 21.3
519
korean agriculture
Daily calorie intake from the consumption of livestock products in Korea is considerably lower than in other developed countries, but higher than in most other Asian countries. In 2005, for example, Koreas daily calorie intake from meat consumption on a per person basis was around 3537 per cent of those in the United States and Australia. Per person consumption of dairy products in 2005 was around 1517 per cent of the levels in the United States and Australia. Koreans consume a signicant amount of seafood. On a per person basis, daily calorie intake from the consumption of seafood in Korea was more than twice that in Australia, the United States or Indonesia in 2005.
23 ha 5.6% 12 ha 25.6%
over 3 ha 1.2%
2005
23 ha 7.3% 12 ha 22.0%
over 3 ha 7.3%
under 1 ha 67.6%
under 1 ha 63.4%
520
korean agriculture
Rapid expansion of manufacturing and services industries in urban centres has resulted in a widening gap between rural and urban incomes. This, in turn, has led to signicant migration of rural population to urban centres. Wages paid to farm workers are markedly lower than in other sectors of the economy. Migration from rural areas to urban centres has signicantly affected the on-farm labour force. Younger members of farm households are leaving rural areas to seek better paid employment. Farms are increasingly dependent on aging household members who no longer have the options for moving elsewhere in the workforce. In 2005, nearly 55 per cent of people engaged in commercial farming were 60 years of age or over, whereas the proportion who were under 30 years of age constituted only 1.6 per cent (gure D).
1529 years 1.6% 3039 years 4.6% 4049 years 15.8% 5059 years 23.2%
In response to lower wages and protability in the farm sector, many farmers are increasingly looking for part time work to supplement their income. In 2005, non-farm income accounted for over 60 per cent of total farm household income, compared with only 20 per cent in 1965 (gure E).
60
40
20
% 1965 2005
521
korean agriculture
1995
2005
by real capital spending per hectare, capital intensity rose from 20 million won (US$21 600) to 283 million won (US$276 000) between 1965 and 2005. In contrast, labour intensity (measured by labour hours worked per hectare) has been trending downward (gure G). Chemical fertilisers have been applied intensively in Koreas agriculture sector to improve yields. Fertiliser application increased signicantly until the early 1990s, before trending downward gradually in response to concerns about food safety (gure H). By international standards, fertiliser application rates in Korea have been relatively high. In the OECD, for example, only a few countries, including Japan and the Netherlands, have similar levels of fertiliser application to Koreas (Roberts, Warr and Rodriguez 2006).
Koreas aggregate agricultural production has increased substantially since the 1970s (gure I). The increase in total crop production is mainly attributable to the expansion of fruit and vegetable production, while grain production has declined (gure J). The increase in livestock production has been more signi cant than the increase in crop production. The major contributors to increased livestock production have been increases in meat production, including beef, pork and poultry.
400 300
crops 60
40 agriculture 20 livestock 2000=100 1985 1995 2005 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005
korean agriculture
2000 kt 5 529 5 291 161 2 64 11 1 050 705 345 1 270 134 113 11 282 2 429 1 660 214 714 261 479 2 253 25 2 503
2005 kt 5 055 4 768 193 8 73 13 1 177 894 283 1 347 199 183 9 584 2 593 1 604 152 717 301 518 2 229 25 2 714
meat bovine meat pig meat poultry meat eggs milk oils and fats seafood
134 27 56 14 55 9 11 626
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number of livestock beef cattle, native 1 556 dairy cattle 86 pigs 1 247 chickens 29 939 number of farm households beef cattle, native 1 277 dairy cattle 9 pigs 654 chickens 1 094
2005. A large proportion of this increase came from more protable fruit production, including tangerines, grapes and native pears. Production of vegetables has also increased considerably, underpinned largely by higher production of greenhouse vegetables, garlic and onions. Production of radishes, cabbages and red peppers has remained relatively stable. Vegetable production in 2005 was twice that in 1975, but lower than the peak levels in 2000. The recent decline in vegetable production mainly reects import competition, as imported vegetables have gained greater market access in Korea.
beef cattle, native under 50 head 949 1 047 50 head and over 0.2 1.0 total 949 1 048
285 4.1 290 9.6 3.7 13.3 22 2.3 24 215 2.9 218
186 6.1 192 4.4 4.5 8.9 9.3 3.0 12 133 2.7 136
dairy cattle under 50 head 17.4 43.4 32.6 22.2 50 head and over 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.3 total 17.7 43.8 33.3 23.5 pigs under 1000 1000 and over total chickens under 10 000 10 000 and over total 503 0.1 503 691 0.7 692 251 0.2 251 302 1.1 303 133 0.4 133 159 2.2 161 45 1.1 46 200 2.7 203
Strong demand growth and higher protability have contributed to a rapid expansion of the livestock sector in Korea. The total number of livestock increased signicantly between 1975 and 2000, before easing toward 2005 (table 5). While the total number of livestock has increased, the number of livestock farms has declined signi cantly. This development reects a restructuring in the livestock sector, with the average farm size rising. Livestock farming in Korea has been changing from traditional family farms to larger scale commercial operations. The livestock sector has beneted from economies of scale and there has been a marked increase in the proportion of cattle and pigs raised on larger and specialised farms (table 6). Beef production reached a peak of 214 000 tonnes in 2000, triple the production in 1975. It has since declined to 152 000 tonnes in 2005. Higher production costs and a fall in the number of cattle because of increased beef imports have contributed to lower domestic production in recent years.
524
korean agriculture
grains rice barley wheat maize other grains potatoes pulses vegetables fruit meat bovine meat pig meat poultry meat
grains rice barley wheat maize other grains potatoes sweeteners pulses vegetables fruit meat bovine meat pig meat poultry meat milk oils and fats sh, shellsh
6 430 12 779 12 988 12 553 0 0 107 192 0 172 146 158 2 996 2 777 3 266 3 406 3 035 8 879 8 888 8 609 399 951 581 188 0 0 906 30 0 0 2 0 0 2 324 90 10 0.2 1 486 169 179 188 148 34 6 204 612 932 10 0.4 1 665 357 330 386 223 96 68 645 740 1 404 20 1.2 1 324 722 472 375 143 174 59 909 886 1 758
beef
Australia has long been a major supplier of beef to Korea. Beef imports from Australia have increased signicantly in recent years as a result of the import ban on US beef following the discovery of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE or mad cow disease) in the United States in December 2003. Beef trade between the United States and Korea resumed in October 2006. However, US beef
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1996 kt beef Australia United States New Zealand cheese Australia United States barley Australia 57 77 25 5 5 7
wheat Australia 699 United States 1 626 sugar Australia United States China 684 26 1
a Preliminary. Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics (2007); United Nations Statistics Division (2005).
exports to Korea are still constrained, as Korea will only accept boneless cuts of meat from US cattle 30 months of age or younger. In the short term, demand for Australian beef in Korea is likely to fall as Korea is expected to increase imports of US beef. Over the medium term, beef consumption in Korea is expected to trend higher, underpinned by continued income growth. Total demand for imported beef in Korea is also expected to increase. Prior to the discovery of BSE in 2003, the United States accounted for 70 per cent of total Korean beef imports, with around 60 per cent of trade being in rib cuts. Since the exclusion of US beef, however, Korean demand for Australian beef has increased signi cantly. In 2006, Australian exports to Korea increased by 40 per cent to 150 000 tonnes (shipped weight), with rib cuts representing around 25 per cent of the exports. While import demand for Australian beef has increased, total beef imports are considerably less than they were before the discovery of BSE in the United States. In the short term, if the United States is able to gain greater access to the Korean market, their comparative advantage in producing beef is likely to result in displacement of some Australian products. Currently, the tariff rate applied to beef imports by Korea is 40 per cent and domestic beef prices in Korea are well above international prices.
cheese
Underpinned by strong income growth, Koreas cheese imports have increased signi cantly since the mid-1990s. Australia is currently the second largest supplier of cheese to Korea, following the United States. The strong growth in demand for cheese in Korea is attributable to a rapid expansion of western style fast food restaurants, which have gained greater popularity, particularly among the younger generation. In the Korean market, Australian cheese competes with not only US but also EU products. There was a perception in the Korean market that European
526 australian commodities > vol. 14 no. 3 > september quarter 2007
korean agriculture
cheese was of higher quality. This perception, however, has changed as Koreans have developed their taste for processed cheddar cheese from Australia. Cheese is one of the few dairy products not subject to a tariff quota. The current tariff rate applying to cheese imports is 36 per cent. Consumption of dairy products in Korea is low compared with that in other developed Asian countries, such as Japan. With further growth in incomes and increasing exposure to western style diets, the consumption of dairy products in Korea and its import demand are expected to rise.
wheat
Korea has relied mainly on imports to meet its domestic wheat consumption because climatic conditions in Korea are not suitable for growing wheat. Australia and the United States are the largest suppliers of wheat to Korea, accounting for around 47 per cent and 38 per cent respectively of Koreas total wheat imports. While demand for wheat as livestock feed is an important component of Korean wheat imports, there has been a signicant increase in demand for wheat for food consumption, mainly for wheat based products such as noodles, bread and cakes, driven mainly by the younger generation. Australia has long been a major wheat supplier to Korea. Wheat imports from Australia increased signicantly during the second half of the 1990s and have since been relatively stable at around 1 million tonnes a year. In contrast, wheat imports from the United States have been trending downward since the mid-1990s. Imports from other wheat producing countries, such as Canada, have been increasing. Currently, the tariff rate applying to Koreas wheat imports is 1.8 per cent, while the rate applying to durum wheat and meslin is slightly higher at 3 per cent.
barley
Both production and consumption of barley have been declining in Korea. Because domestic production has been falling faster than consumption, barley imports have been on the rise. Australia is the major supplier of barley to Korea, mainly exporting malting barley which is used to produce beer in Korea. Australia has maintained its dominance in Koreas barley market, reecting its efcient production systems and international competitiveness. Besides Australia, Canada also exports a small amount of barley to Korea. A tariff quota applies to both malt and malting barley imports to Korea.
sugar
Korea is Australias largest sugar export market. Australia is the dominant supplier of sugar to Korea, accounting for more than 90 per cent of total sugar imports. Other sugar suppliers to Korea include China and the United States. The changing pattern of food consumption in Korea toward a western diet has led to a signicant increase in demand for sweeteners. Korea does not produce either sugar cane or sugar beet because of unfavourable climatic conditions. To meet the growing demand for sweeteners, raw sugar imports have been increasing. Australias proximity to Korea has been an advantage over other potential competitors, such as Brazil. China also has similar advantages and has increased its sugar exports to Korea in recent years. Compared with Australia, sugar imports from China have been small. Korea currently imposes a tariff rate of 3 per cent on its cane sugar imports.
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summary
Over the past few decades, rapid economic growth and industrialisation in the Republic of Korea have resulted in signicant structural changes in the agriculture sector. Reecting limited arable land, an aging farm population and competitive pressures for resources from other sectors, agricultural production has not been able to meet the increase in food demand and changing consumption toward beef, dairy and wheat based products. As a result, imports have taken a more prominent role in meeting Korean food demand. Given the outlook for continued industrialisation and income growth in Korea, this reliance on food imports is likely to increase in the foreseeable future. Koreas government has been implementing reforms in the agriculture sector and reducing tariffs and nontariff barriers on agricultural imports through multilateral and bilateral trade negotiations. Despite these efforts, the level of protection on many agricultural commodities remains relatively high. Australia is one of the leading exporters of agricultural products to Korea. If an improvement in market access is achieved, Australia will be in a strong position to make a signi cant contribution to meeting the rising and changing food demand in Korea, particularly in commodities such as beef and dairy products.
references
ABARE 2007, Australian Commodities, vol. 14, no. 1, March quarter, Canberra. Australian Bureau of Statistics 2007, Foreign Trade, Magnetic Tape Service, cat. no. 5464.0, Canberra. Anderson, K. 1987, Food price policy in Korea: 19551985, Pacic Economic Papers, 149, Australian National University, Canberra. Anderson, K. and Hayami, Y. 1986, The Political Economy of Agricultural Protection, Allen and Unwin, Sydney. Bank of Korea 2006a, Economic Statistics Yearbook, Seoul (and previous issues). 2006b, Monthly Bulletin, Seoul, October (and previous issues). FAO (Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations) 2006, FAOSTAT database, Rome (http://faostat.fao.org/). Kim, Y. 2000, The Distributional Impact of Agricultural Trade Liberalisation A General Equilibrium Analysis for Korea, Unpublished PhD Dissertation, The Australian National University. KREI (Korea Rural Economic Institute) 2006, 2005 Food Balance Sheet, Seoul. Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Korea, 2005 Crop Statistics, Seoul. 2006a, Agriculture and Forestry Statistical Yearbook, Seoul (and previous issues). 2006b, Major Statistics of Agriculture and Forestry, Seoul (and previous issues). National Statistical Ofce, Korea 2005, Korea Statistical Yearbook, Seoul (and previous issues). Roberts, I., Warr, S. and Rodriguez, G. 2006, Japanese Agriculture: Forces Driving Change, ABARE Research Report 06.24, Canberra, December. United Nations Statistics Division 2005, UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database (UN Comtrade), New York (http://unstats.un.org/unsd/comtrade/).
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