Professional Documents
Culture Documents
35
1 17.24
2 17.58
3 17.93
4 18.28
5 18.63
6 18.98
7 19.33
8 19.67
9 20.02
10 20.37
11 20.72
12 21.07
13 21.42
14 21.77
15 22.11
16 22.46
17 22.81
18 23.16
19 23.51
20 23.86
21 24.21
22 24.55
23 24.9
24 25.25
25 25.6
26 25.95
27 26.3
28 26.64
29 26.99
30 27.34
Problem 3
A customer comment phone line is staffed from 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. five days a week. Records are available
that show the number of calls received every day for the last five weeks.
สมการแนวโน้ม Yt = a + bt
= 0.2838
a = Yt -bt
= 13.6738
ดังนัน
้ สมการคือ 13.6738 + 0.2838t
สมการแนวโน้ม Yt = a + bt
= 0.3485
a = Yt -bt
= 16.8865
ดังนัน
้ สมการคือ 16.8865 + 0.3485t
Yt = 16.8865 + 0.3485t
25
20
15
Yt
10 Column B
0
R R R RR R R R RR R R R R RR R R R RR R R R R
o o o oo o o o oo o o o o oo o o o oo o o o o
w w w ww w w w ww w w w w ww w w w ww w w w w
t
d. Assume there is no cyclical component and forecast the calls for a week
Trend
Forecast
(T=16.8865 Number of Calls per
Day t + 0.3485t) Seasonal Factor Day Forecast
M 26 25.95 1.5600 40
T 27 26.3 0.6900 18
W 28 26.64 0.7400 20
TH 29 26.99 0.8100 22
F 30 27.34 1.2000 33
cords are available
13.67 0.28