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+
. ; 0
; 1
1
els
s x u x
t t
If unsatisfaction range are defined as
1
j ,
2
j and
n
j ,
then reliability , resiliency and vulnerability indicators of the
system are defined as follows :
(1) Reliability
t t
R
z T
C
1
(2) Resiliency
t
R
w t
C
S
1
(3)Vulnerability
v
C
i
tj
max
x
c I 1,..,N
Reliability (
R
C ) is the criteria of frequency of failure
resource. Resiliency (
S
R
C ) shows return speed or resource
recovering from failure state.
v
C (Shows failure development.
III. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
The most important consumers of water exited from Dez
reservoir and regulating are sabili channels (downstream Dez
dam) and east and west channel (downstream Dez regulating
dam). In this study agricultural and drinking water
requirements were used based on downstream needs. Res Sim
simulating model was implemented for two reservoir system,
Dez reservoir and regulating dams, regarding to inlet intake to
World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology 58 2011
316
Dez reservoir dam during time period of 2003-2006 (figure 2).
Based on this, daily changes of discharge exited from Dez
reservoir dam (figure 3) and Dez regarding dam (figure 4)
were observed.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
8
2
+
-
8
2
'-'
8
2
'
8
2
,
8
2
-
+
-
8
2
-
---
8
3
-
-
+
-,
8
3
=
8
3
,-
8
3
-
8
3
,
,
+
-
8
3
+
-
8
3
'-'
8
3
'
8
3
,
8
3
-
+
-
8
3
-
---
8
4
-
-
+
-,
8
4
=
8
4
,-
8
4
-
8
4
,
,
+
-
8
4
+
-
8
4
'-'
8
4
'
8
4
,
8
4
-
+
-
8
4
-
---
8
5
-
-
+
-,
8
5
=
8
5
,-
8
5
-
8
5
,
,
+
-
()
(
Fig. 2 diagram of monthly variation input flow of Dez reservoir dam
in 82-83, 83-84, 84-85 water years
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
8
2
+
-
8
2
'-'
8
2
'
8
2
,
8
2
-
+
-
8
2
-
---
8
3
-
-
+
-,
8
3
=
8
3
,-
8
3
-
8
3
,
,
+
-
8
3
+
-
8
3
'-'
8
3
'
8
3
,
8
3
-
+
-
8
3
-
---
8
4
-
-
+
-,
8
4
=
8
4
,-
8
4
-
8
4
,
,
+
-
8
4
+
-
8
4
'-'
8
4
'
8
4
,
8
4
-
+
-
8
4
-
---
8
5
-
-
+
-,
8
5
=
8
5
,-
8
5
-
8
5
,
,
+
-
( )
(
Fig. 3 diagram of daily variations of simulated out put flow of Dez
reservoir dam in 82-83 and 83-84 and 84-85 water years
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
8
2
+
-
8
2
'-
'
8
2
'
8
2
,
8
2
-
+
-
8
2
-
-
-
-
8
3
-
-
+
-,
8
3
=
8
3
,-
8
3
-
8
3
,
,
+
-
8
3
+
-
8
3
'-
'
8
3
'
8
3
,
8
3
-
+
-
8
3
-
-
-
-
8
4
-
-
+
-,
8
4
=
8
4
,-
8
4
-
8
4
,
,
+
-
8
4
+
-
8
4
'-
'
8
4
'
8
4
,
8
4
-
+
-
8
4
-
-
-
-
8
5
-
-
+
-,
8
5
=
8
5
,-
8
5
-
8
5
,
,
+
-
()
(
Fig. 4 diagram of daily variations of simulated output flow of Dez
regulative dam in 82-83, 83-84, and 84-85 water years
According obtained results, it can be concluded that their
balance between outlet discharge from dams and reservoir
water level, that its reason probably is reservoir definition in
tandem form in the model. In other word, during time period
when water level in reservoir dam is high, level of water in
regulating dam is increased proportionally and vice versa. We
conclude from obtained result that due to appropriate input
water to Dez reservoir dam during time period of 2003 to
2006, supplied water level for various downstream
stakeholders, meet their needs in the same time period (figure
5).
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
8
2
+
-
8
2
'-'
8
2
'
8
2
,
8
2
-
+
-
8
2
-
--
-
8
3
-
-
+
-,
8
3
=
8
3
,-
8
3
-
8
3
,
,
+
-
8
3
+
-
8
3
'-'
8
3
'
8
3
,
8
3
-
+
-
8
3
-
--
-
8
4
-
-
+
-,
8
4
=
8
4
,-
8
4
-
8
4
,
,
+
-
8
4
+
-
8
4
'-'
8
4
'
8
4
,
8
4
-
+
-
8
4
-
--
-
8
5
-
-
+
-,
8
5
=
8
5
,-
8
5
-
8
5
,
,
+
-
()
(
_== '',-
Fig. 5 comparison diagram of daily variations of simulated output
flow rate from Dez regulative dam reservoir to requirements in 82-
83, 83-84, and 84-85
In other hand, due to excessive output flow, more than
downstream applicants in May and March 2005, April 2005,
February and March 2006, appropriate scenario of output can
be implemented. In this scenario for example, with 40 percent
decrease in reservoir output(1ts storage) in May 2004 and
utilizing it in Summer and October 2004, 40 percent decrease
in reservoir output in March 2004 and April 2005 in other to
utilizing it in dry season, June 2005 and Summer 2005, and
also 20 percent decrease in reservoir output in February and
March 2006 and April 2006 with the purpose of starting
utilization in June and summer 2006 a suitable and desirable
utilization system for water reservoirs stored at behind of Dez
reservoir and regulating dams may be established. Applying
this method can help decision makers and responsible people
for establishing a stable request and supply system for water
renewable resources. This may be effective for desired
management of these resources and prevent drought condition
effects. So solving problems can reduce harmful effects of
water shortage. Figure 6 shows the result of implementing the
scenario by model for Dez regulating dam and comparing it
with downstream requirements.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
8
2
+-
8
2
'-'
8
2
'
8
2
,
8
2
-
+
-
8
2
-
---
8
3
-
-
+
-,
8
3
=
8
3
,-
8
3
-
8
3
,
,
+
-
8
3
+-
8
3
'-'
8
3
'
8
3
,
8
3
-
+
-
8
3
-
---
8
4
-
-
+
-,
8
4
=
8
4
,-
8
4
-
8
4
,
,
+
-
8
4
+-
8
4
'-'
8
4
'
8
4
,
8
4
-
+
-
8
4
-
---
8
5
-
-
+
-,
8
5
=
8
5
,-
8
5
-
8
5
,
,
+
-
()
(
_== ',-
Fig. 6 comparison diagram of daily variations of simulated output
flow rate from Dez reservoir dam reservoir to requirements in 82-83,
83-84, and 84-85
World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology 58 2011
317
IV. CONCLUSION
1. The model was applicable to simulation of two
reservoir systems, Dez reservoir and regulating dams and by
using it, different scenarios can be investigated.
2. The model results showed that storage in reservoir
dams was reached to an appropriate level according to water
input to reservoirs and water requirement was resolved.
3. Among the characteristics of the model, we can point
to its ability to adopt any optional structures from reservoirs,
powerhouse place, water intake place, place of water entrance
to system, regarding to influence of parallel and tandem each
other.
4. The model was able to apply different policies in
utilizing based on different needs of the user.
5. Simulating models are appropriate models for
evaluating the reservoir performance with different capacities
and utilization policies, but these models are not appropriate in
selecting the best structure of system and purpose and policies.
Because of these, it is suggested that simulating and
optimizing models are utilized together for these purpose until
more acceptable results achieved for decision makers.
REFERENCES
[1] Ackoff, R. L., (1961). Progress In Operationals Research. New York:
John Wiley,Inc.,U.S.A, Vol. 1,PP. 136.
[2] Eichert, B. S. and Davis, J. (1976). Sizing Flood Control Reservoir
System by system analysis. Hydrol. Eng. Cent., U.S. Army Corps Eng.,
Tech. Pap.44.
[3] Hedayat, N (2005). Improving the performance of water delivery in The
Dez and Moghan Irrigation Schemes in Iran.
[4] Hufschmidt, M. M. and Fiering, M. B. (1962). Simulation Thechniques
for Design of Water Resources System. Harvard University press,
Cambridge.
[5] Hydrologic Engineering Center, "The HEC-ResSim Users Manual",
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, V3.0,2007.
[6] Teasly, R.L,Mckinney, D.C. and Patino Gomez, C.(2004), "Modeling
the forgotten River segment of the Rio Grande/Barvo Basin". The
university of Texasat Austin center for Research in water Resources.
[7] Thomas, H. A. and Fiering, M. B. (1962). Mathematical synthesis of
Stream flow Sequence for the analysis of River basing by Simulation, in
Design of Water Resources System. Edited by A Mass etal., Harvard
University Press, Cambridge,Mass.
II.
World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology 58 2011
318