Professional Documents
Culture Documents
perceived by both as covering the world as a whole. Meinecke F 1929 Die Idee der Staatsraison in der neueren
The smallest power advantage obtained by the one Geschichte. Oldenbourg, Munich, Germany
had to be compensated by the other. Nicholson H 1947 The Congress of Vienna. Phoenix Publishing,
Bern, Switzerland
In the post Cold War world regional balances
van Benthem van den Bergh G 1992 The Nuclear Reolution and
became more important. In South East Asia, for the End of the Cold War: Forced Restraint. Macmillan,
example, the members of ASEAN had transformed Houndmills, Basingstoke, UK
their economic cooperation in a security alliance Vincent R J, Wright M (eds.) Special issue on the balance of
directed to what they saw as the hegemonic ambitions power. Reiew of International Studies 15(2)
of Vietnam, demonstrated by Vietnam’s intervention Watson A 1992 The Eolution of International Society: A
and occupation of Cambodia. Recently Vietnam Comparatie Historical Analysis. Routledge, London
joined ASEAN because of an unspoken common Wedgwood C V 1963 The Thirty Years War. Routledge,
interest in balancing China’s possible bid for he- London
gemony in the region. American foreign policy has
been constantly concerned with regional balances of G. van Benthem van den Bergh
power, in Europe, but also in East Asia and the Middle
East.
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Balance of Power: Political
system will be preserved even as states press every Because the members of the winning coalition know
advantage, pay no attention to the common good, that it is not likely to remain together after the war,
adopt ruthless tactics, and expect others to behave the each has to fear accretions to the power of its allies.
same way. Put differently, states do not strive for Because winners know that they are not likely to be
balance; the restraints are not internal in the sense of able to dismember the loser, why should they prolong
each state believing that it should be restrained. the war? Each state’s knowledge that its allies have
Rather, restraint and stability arise as ambition checks reason to contemplate a separate peace provides it
ambition and self-interest counteracts self-interest. with further incentives to move quickly. The result,
The basic argument about how this happens is well then, is a relatively moderate outcome not despite but
known, if contested. For any state to survive, none of because of the fear and greed of the individual states.
the others can be permitted to amass so much power This is one reason why international wars are much
that it can dominate. Although states do not invariably more likely to end in negotiated settlements than civil
join the weaker side, if they are to safeguard their own wars (Licklider 1993).
independence and security they must balance against There is something wrong with this picture, how-
any actor that becomes excessively menacing. In a way ever. Wars against hegemons can become total, losers
analogous to the operation of Adam Smith’s invisible sometimes are divided up, and the postwar relations
hand, the maintenance of the system is an unintended among states are often very different from those
consequence of states seeking to advance themselves, prevailing previously (Jervis 1985). The reason is that
not the product of their desire to protect the in- a long and bitter war against the hegemon undermines
ternational community or a preference for balance. the assumptions necessary for the operation of the
Balance is then maintained by negative feedback: balance. States are likely to come to believe that wars
movement toward dominance calls up forces that put are so destructive that they cannot be a normal
dominance out of reach. instrument of statecraft and to see the hegemon as
The theory obviously passes one important test in inherently evil and aggressive, which means that it is
that no state has been able to dominate the inter- not a fit alliance partner and the winning coalition
national system. But this is not definitive. Few have must stay together. As a result, wartime allies are not
tried: Napoleon, Hitler, perhaps the Kaiser and Louis regarded as being as much of a potential threat as
XIV. Although others may not have made the effort balance of power reasoning would lead us to expect.
because they anticipated that they would be blocked, Postwar politics may then be unusually moderate and
the small number of challenges must undermine our a concert system may evolve in which the states
confidence that the system could have been maintained positively value the system, develop longer-run con-
had there been more of them. Furthermore, although ceptions of their self-interests, and forego competitive
the overall balance of power system has never failed, gains in the expectation that others will reciprocate.
local ones have. Not only have some countries come to Ironically, then, a war against a would-be hegemon
dominate their regions (this can perhaps be accom- that epitomizes the operation of the balance of power
modated within the theory), but isolated systems have is likely to produce a system in which the actors
fallen under the sway of one actor. While we consider consciously moderate their behavior and restrain
it natural for China to be unified, in fact for centuries themselves.
it consisted of independent states. Rome’s neighbors
did not unite to check its power, and the British
conquest of India was also made possible by the failure 1. An Alternatie View
of a local balance. But these cases were still geo-
graphically limited and did not produce a world The model of the balance of power presented here is
empire and bring international politics to an end. clearly a version of systems theory in that it sees a
The other restraints and puzzles mentioned earlier— radical separation between intentions and outcomes.
the fact that few wars become total and that losers and An alternative view of the balance of power that sees
small states are not divided up—also follow from the more congruence is summarized by Edward Gulick
dictates of self-interest within the constraints imposed when he says that ‘balance-of-power theory demanded
by the anarchical system. Since any state can ally with restraint, abnegation, and the denial of immediate self-
any other, states do not have permanent friends and interest’ (Gulick 1955, p. 33). Morton Kaplan’s
enemies. Because today’s adversary may be tomor- conception of the balance of power similarly posits
row’s ally, crippling it would be foolish. Furthermore, internalized moderation as two of his six rules call for
while the state would gain territory and wealth from self-restraint: ‘stop fighting rather than eliminate an
dividing up the loser, others might gain even more, essential national actor,’ and ‘permit defeated or
thus putting the state at a disadvantage in subsequent constrained essential national actors to re-enter the
conflicts. system as acceptable role partners’ (Kaplan 1957, p.
The knowledge that allies and enemies are not 23). For Kaplan, these rules not only describe how
permanent and the expectation that losers will be states behave, they consciously guide statesmen’s
treated relatively generously reinforce one another. actions. In contrast to the version of balancing
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Balance of Power: Political
discussed earlier, Kaplan points out that in his the balance of power makes it dangerous for their
computer model, ‘if actors do not take system stability countries to be too powerful. Edmund Burke made the
requirements into account, a ‘‘balance of power’’ point eloquently at the end of the eighteenth century:
system will be stable only if some extra systemic factor
… prevents a roll-up of the system’ (Kaplan 1979, p. Among precautions against ambition, it may not be amiss to
136). In other words, stability and restraint are not take one precaution against our own. I must fairly say, I
likely unless the actors seek stability. dread our own power and our own ambition; I dread our
Here the system is preserved because states want to being too much dreaded. It is ridiculous to say we are not
men, and that, as men, we shall never wish to aggrandize
preserve it and there is little conflict between a state’s ourselves in some way or other. Can we say that even at this
short-run and long-run interest. The two are harmon- hour we are not invidiously aggrandized? We are already in
ized because the norms have been internalized through possession of almost all the commerce of the world. Our
socialization as the actors watch and interact with empire in India is an awful thing. If we should come to be in
their peers. Indeed, Paul Schroeder’s important study a condition not only to have all this ascendant in commerce,
of the transformation of European international poli- but to be absolutely able, without the least control, to hold
tics caused by the Napoleonic wars stresses that stable the commerce of all other nations totally dependent upon our
peace and the concert were produced not only by the good pleasure, we may say that we shall not abuse this
defeat of the aggressor, but also by the painful learning astonishing and hitherto unheard-of power. But every other
nation will think we shall abuse it. It is impossible but that,
that led the victors to understand that others’ interests sooner or later, this stage of things must produce a com-
had to be respected, that smaller states could play a bination against us which may end in our ruin (quoted in
valuable role, and that the eighteenth century practice Morgenthau 1978, pp. 169–70).
of compensation and indemnities led to endless cycles
of warfare (Schroeder 1994; also see Schroeder 1992 Finally, if we think of balance of power in the
and Jervis 1992). But this view cannot readily explain broadest sense of power checking power, these dy-
how the system can be maintained in the face of actors namics are built into the basic forms of domestic
who have interests in exploiting others’ moderation. politics. The American Constitution was built on the
Nevertheless, it is certainly possible that states feel concept of checks and balances because the founders
internal restraints and that, if they do not, the system believed that potentially dangerous power could best
will be torn apart by high levels of warfare. If the be tamed by countervailing power, to use the term that
proponents of the version of balance of power set forth Galbraith later applied to many aspects of American
here draw on the analogy of Smith’s invisible hand, political and economic life (Galbraith 1952). Other
critics can respond that unalloyed capitalism, like an aspects of domestic politics illustrate negative feed-
engine out of control, will produce so much un- back as the unintended consequences of the pursuit of
constrained energy that it will soon destroy itself. Just narrower self-interest in a way even more analogous to
as economic liberalism must be embedded in broader the automatic balance. Most obviously, it is hard for
societal norms if capitalism is to be compatible with a any political party to gain a monopoly of power
well-functioning society (Polanyi 1944), perhaps the because the competition can mount matching or
pursuit of narrow self-interest can yield stability and a competing claims. If the political pendulum swings in
modicum of productive peace only if it is bounded by one direction, those losing influence usually will
normative conceptions that limit predatory behavior. increase their unity and activity.
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Balance of Power: Political
Jervis R 1985 From balance to concert. World Politics 38: 58–79 to inefficient dispositions of debtor’s assets. For
Jervis R 1992 A political science perspective on the balance of example, if a business is making a profit even while
power and the concert. American Historical Reiew 97: 716–24 insolvent, it may be more efficient to allow it to
Kaplan M A 1957 System and Process in International Politics.
continue to operate and pay debts from future profits,
Wiley, New York
Kaplan M A 1979 Towards Professionalism in International yet competition between creditors can lead to sale of
Theory. Free Press, New York assets that makes continued operation of the business
Kugler J, Lemke D (eds.) 1996 Parity and War. University of impossible (Jackson 1985). Competition between cred-
Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, MI itors also leads to unnecessarily duplicative collection
Licklider R (ed.) 1993 Stopping the Killing: How Ciil Wars activities. Many people also believe it is unfair to give
End. New York University Press, New York priority in the distribution of the limited assets of an
Morgenthau H J 1978 Politics Among Nations, 5th edn. Rev. insolvent estate to the creditors who are the first to
Knopf, New York initiate formal collection actions.
Polanyi K 1944 The Great Transformation. Farrar & Rinehart,
Bankruptcy procedures address each of these diffi-
New York
Schroeder P W 1992 Did the Vienna settlement rest on a balance culties. Once a bankruptcy proceeding is initiated,
of power. American Historical Reiew 97: 683–706 unsecured creditors are automatically enjoined from
Schroeder P W 1994 The Transformation of European Politics, using non-bankruptcy collection procedures. In some
1787–1848. Oxford University Press, New York countries, secured creditors are similarly enjoined.
Waltz K N 1979 Theory of International Politics. Addison- These injunctions eliminate duplicative collection ef-
Wesley, Boston, MA forts and permit an orderly disposition of the debtor’s
Waltz K N 1991 America as a model for the world? A foreign assets. In bankruptcy, the debtor’s assets constitute a
policy perspective. PS: Political Science and Politics 24: 669 bankruptcy estate, to be managed in the interests of
Waltz K N 1993 The emerging structure of international
the estate’s beneficiaries, the creditors. When the
politics. International Security 18: 44–79
Wight M 1968 The balance of power. In: Butterfield H (ed.) bankruptcy estate makes distributions, creditors with
Diplomatic Inestigations. Harvard University Press, Cam- similar contractual priorities are usually paid pro rata
bridge, MA according to the amount they are owed. Contractual
Wight M 1973 The balance of power and international order. In: promises to subordinate or to privilege particular
James A (ed.) The Bases of International Order. Oxford creditors in the distribution of debtor’s assets (in-
University Press, London cluding security agreements) are normally respected,
and a few creditors (e.g., tax creditors) receive priority
R. Jervis payments by statutory mandate. However, priorities
are not usually given to creditors who have initiated
Copyright # 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. collection activities before the bankruptcy filing.
All rights reserved.
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