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Economy Assessment:
Growth:
Getting back to potential growth rate of 8% is the challenge facing the country. Slowdown in Indian economy has to be seen in the context of slowing global economic growth from 3.9% in 2011 to 3.2% in 2012. However, no reason for gloom or pessimism. Of the large countries of the world only China and Indonesia growing faster than India in 2012-13. In 2013-14, only China projected to grow faster than India.
February 2013
Taxes:
Clarity in tax laws, a stable tax regime, a non-adversarial tax administration, a fair mechanism for dispute resolution and independent judiciary for greater assurance was underlying theme of tax proposals Target to achieve 11.9% of tax GDP ratio
Inflation:
Headline WPI inflation to 7% and core inflation to 4.2%. Food inflation is worrying but all possible steps to be taken to augment the supply.
Tax credit of Rs 2000 to be provided to every person to having income of up to Rs 5 lakh, this will benefit 1.8 crores people. Surcharge of 10 per cent for individuals whose taxable income is over Rs 1 crores. Increase surcharge from 5 to 10% on domestic companies whose taxable income exceed 10 crores. In case of foreign companies who pay a higher rate of corporate tax, surcharge to increase from 2 to 5 %, if the taxable income exceeds 10 crores. In all other cases such as dividend distribution tax or tax on distributed income, current surcharge increased from 5 to 10 %. Additional surcharges to be in force for only one year. Education cess to continue at 3 per cent. wer sector to avail benefit under Section 80-IA extended from 31.3.2013 to 31.3.2014 Concessional rate of tax of 15 percent on dividend received by an Indian company from its foreign subsidiary proposed to continue for one more year. Parity in taxation between IDF-Mutual Fund and IDFNBFC.
A Category I AIF set up as Venture capital fund allowed pass through status under Income-tax Act. TDS at the rate of 1 % on the value of the transfer of immovable properties where consideration exceeds 50 lakhs. Agricultural land to be exempted. A final withholding tax at the rate of 20 % on profits distributed by unlisted companies to shareholders through buyback of shares. Proposal to increase the rate of tax on payments by way of royalty and fees for technical services to nonresidents from 10 percent to 25 %.
Indirect Taxes
No change in basic customs duty rate of ten per cent and service tax rate of 12 %. No change in peak rate of customs duty for nonagriculture products. Import duty raised from 75 to 100 % on luxury vehicles. Import duty raised on set-top boxes from 5 to 10 %. Duty free limit on gold raised to Rs 50,000 in case of male and Rs 100,000 in case of female. Specific excise duty on cigarettes and cigars raised by 18 per cent. Excise duty on SUVs to be increased to 30 per cent from 27 per cent, SUVs registered as taxis exempted Duty on mobiles above Rs 2,000 raised from 1 to 6%, based on their maximum retail prices. Service tax to be levied on all a/c restaurants One time voluntary compliance scheme for service tax defaulters to be introduced. Interest and penalties to be waived. Out of nearly 17 lakh registered assesses under Service Tax only 7 lakhs file returns regularly. A Compliance Encouragement Scheme proposed to be introduced. Defaulter may avail of the scheme on condition that he files truthful declaration of Service Tax dues since 1st October 2007. Direct Taxes Code (DTC) bill to be introduced in current Parliament session. A sum of 9,000 crores towards the first installment of the balance of CST compensation provided in the budget. Work on draft GST Constitutional amendment bill and GST law expected to be taken forward.
However the market was disappointed that the Budget throw out specific steps to spur growth into the economy. The increase in surcharge may impact the Sensex earnings by 1-1.5%. We feel going forward investors will now focus on earnings growth and global news flow. Government bonds fell to their lowest in more than two weeks after the finance ministry announced a gross market borrowing target that was well above expectations. The government is planning to borrow 6.29 trillion rupees in the fiscal year starting April, higher than the 5.6-5.7 trillion rupees for the current fiscal year. Overall, the government has budgeted a fall in the subsidy burden from 2.6% of GDP in FY13 to 2% of GDP in FY14. The government expects gross market borrowing of INR 6.3 trillion and net borrowing of INR 4.8 trillion with around INR 0.5 trillion crores of bond buybacks.
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