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Social Security Reform Proposals

USAs, Clawbacks, and Other Add-Ons


by Darcy Ann Olsen

No. 47 June 11, 1999

Faced with Social Security’s impending Social Security by cutting its benefits by the
deficits, some lawmakers have proposed sup- amounts accumulated in the accounts, such
plementing the program’s benefits with per- plans rely on a vast infusion of government
sonal, market-based retirement accounts for money and offer no greater retirement income
all workers. Those proposals, dubbed “add- for workers.
ons” because they would be added to the exist- Studies show that if workers could invest
ing Social Security system, do not address what is currently taken from them in the form
Social Security’s financial crisis. They would of Social Security payroll taxes, they would
merely create another centralized retirement retire comfortably. Since workers already save
plan requiring a new funding stream. enough to secure a comfortable retirement, it
Proposed funding sources include volun- would be more sensible to let them get a better
tary individual contributions, general tax rev- deal on their current payroll taxes by putting
enue, and mandatory payroll tax increases. that money in personal accounts. Those
Depending on which funding mechanism is accounts can be integrated with Social
selected, the market-based retirement accounts Security and therefore have the potential to
threaten to become tax shelters for higher- eliminate Social Security’s financial crisis. In
wage earners, become new entitlements, or addition, the accounts can ensure that all
increase the payroll tax burden. Although workers, not just the wealthy, can retire with
some add-ons are designed to “shore up” financial security.

Darcy Ann Olsen is an entitlements policy analyst at the Cato Institute.


The common become a tax shelter for higher-wage earners,
element of add- Introduction while doing little to improve retirement securi-
ty for workers. For example, if contributions
on proposals is In his 1999 State of the Union Address, were voluntary, evidence from 401(k) plans
that they require President Clinton proposed what he termed indicates that half of workers earning less than
Universal Savings Accounts (USAs) as a way to $35,000 would probably not participate. That
workers to con- improve retirement security for workers. His would effectively create a tax shelter for higher-
tribute money proposal is one of dozens that recognize that wage earners but would not improve retire-
above and beyond workers should have the chance to increase ment security for lower-wage workers. Some
their private retirement savings by owning per- add-ons, like the one proposed by House Ways
what they are sonal, market-based retirement accounts. and Means Committee chairman Bill Archer
currently forced Although most members of Congress seem to (R-Tex.) and Social Security Subcommittee
to pay to Social agree that workers should own personal retire- chairman Clay Shaw (R-Fla.), are designed to
ment accounts, there is some disagreement “shore up” Social Security by cutting benefits
Security. about how the accounts should be funded. by the amounts accumulated in the accounts
For instance, President Clinton would fund at retirement, but such plans rely on a vast
new accounts through a method called an infusion of government money and offer no
“add-on.” As its name suggests, an add-on greater income for workers at retirement.
would require workers to pay an additional A better way to fund personal accounts is to
amount of money, supplementary to the 12. 4 allow workers to use existing payroll taxes that
percent Social Security tax, to establish new are currently slated for Social Security. This
accounts. Proposed resources for add-on method of financing personal accounts is
accounts include voluntary contributions by known as a “carve out.” The distinctive feature
individuals, mandatory increases in the payroll of carve-out accounts is that they do not
tax, and general tax revenue. In the case of require workers to contribute additional
USAs, the funding source would be a combina- money to what they already pay into Social
tion of general tax revenue and voluntary indi- Security. Instead, such accounts would be
vidual contributions. In one plan proposed by funded by redirecting a portion of the current
two members of the 1994–96 Advisory Council payroll tax to new retirement accounts. For
on Social Security, the funding source would that reason, those accounts avoid the add-on
be a mandatory increase in the payroll tax. The pitfalls: tax hikes, new entitlements, and de
common element of add-on proposals is that facto advantages for the wealthy. Furthermore,
they require workers to contribute money such accounts are clearly integrated with Social
above and beyond what they are currently Security and therefore have the potential to
forced to pay to Social Security. eliminate Social Security’s financial crisis.
The fundamental drawback with most add- These accounts will increase the private savings
ons is that they do not address Social Security’s of all workers, thereby reducing dependence on
problems. Add-ons have no more to do with Social Security and explicitly reducing Social
reforming Social Security than do Roth indi- Security’s liabilities. Carve-outs can ensure that
vidual retirement accounts or any other private all workers, not just the wealthy, have the
retirement plan; they would simply be one opportunity to save and retire with financial
more personal retirement vehicle. If such security.
accounts are established, Social Security’s date
of reckoning will not change by a day: the sys-
tem will still face a $9.5 trillion unfunded lia- Universal Savings Accounts
bility requiring estimated benefit cuts of 30 and Other Voluntary
percent or tax increases of more than 5 per-
centage points.1 And depending on how they Accounts
are financed, add-ons could increase the pay-
roll tax burden, become a new entitlement, or The idea of establishing individual

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accounts funded by voluntary contributions $300 government deposit; however, most
is a favorite among politicians because they low- to moderate-income workers would not
can talk about the positive aspects of individ- benefit from the voluntary component and
ual accounts—worker empowerment, person- corresponding government match, because
al ownership, and wealth creation—while they would not be able to afford the requisite
avoiding altogether the unpleasant but cen- contribution. In fact, as this section docu-
tral issue of Social Security reform. In the ments, experience with 401(k) plans indicates
end, these plans simply call for greater con- that low-income workers, who most need
tributions from working Americans but additional retirement income, will be the
ignore Social Security’s financial crisis. If least likely or able to take advantage of the
Congress established voluntary accounts, voluntary (and largest) portion of USAs.
Social Security’s unfunded liability would Low incomes present the most fundamen-
not change by a penny: the program would tal obstacle to saving. The truth is that
still face a $9.5 trillion liability because the salaries of low-income workers barely cover
new accounts would not bring revenue into basic living expenses.5 According to the 1998
the system or reduce benefit obligations to Retirement Confidence Survey, conducted by
beneficiaries. In addition, as this section illus- the Employee Benefit Research Institute, one
trates, those accounts will likely do little, if in three Americans is not saving for retire-
If Congress
anything, to improve retirement security for ment. By far the most common reason given established volun-
the low-income workers whom they are for not saving is “too many current financial tary accounts,
designed to benefit. responsibilities.”6 Some 40 percent of work-
The best-known proposal for voluntary ers said they could not save even an extra $20 Social Security’s
accounts is President Clinton’s Universal per week for retirement.7 Opening accounts unfunded liability
Savings Accounts. USAs would be funded for workers will not change that: workers
through a combination of government who are either unable or unwilling to save
would not change
deposits and voluntary individual contribu- more will not begin to do so simply because by a penny.
tions. In general, workers and nonworking the government opens an account in their
spouses in low- to moderate-income house- name.8
holds would receive an automatic govern- It is no surprise that the more one earns,
ment contribution of $300.2 The automatic the more likely one is to save for retirement.
contribution would be phased out as For example, only 6 percent of households
incomes rose—at between $20,000 and with incomes of less than $10,000 have retire-
$40,000 for singles, $30,000 and $50,000 for ment accounts compared with 24 percent of
head of household filers, and $40,000 and households with incomes ranging from
$80,000 for joint filers.3 Workers could also $10,000 to $24,999. Figure 1 shows the per-
make voluntary contributions to their centage of households (by income) that own
accounts that would be matched progressive- retirement accounts. Similarly, the more one
ly by government contributions. The match- earns, the more likely one is to save and invest
ing contribution would be dollar-for-dollar in capital markets. Figure 2 shows the per-
and would be reduced to 50 percent over the centage of households (by income) that own
same income ranges as the automatic contri- mutual funds and stocks.
bution. It would then remain at 50 percent One reason there is widespread support
until the income level at which eligibility for policies that would encourage individual
ends.4 Total contributions to an account, retirement savings is that so few low-income
including government and worker contribu- households have managed to accumulate
tions, are capped at $1,000 per year per per- retirement assets, which makes those house-
son. holds dependent on Social Security for most
Participation in USAs is likely to be any- of their retirement income. The Social
thing but universal. Only low- to moderate- Security Administration reports that 30 per-
income workers would receive the automatic cent of retirees depend on Social Security for

3
Figure 1
Percentage of Households (by income) Holding Retirement Accounts (1995 dollars)

90%
84%

80%
71%
70%

60%
Percentage of Households

52%

50%

40%

30% 24%

20%

10% 7%

0%
Less than $10,000 $10,000– $24,999 $25,000– $49,999 $50,000– $99,999 $100,000 plus

Income
Source: Arthur B. Kennickell et al., “Family Finances in the U.S.: Recent Evidence from the Survey of Consumer
Finances,” Federal Reserve Bulletin 83, no. 1 (January 1997): 9.

Figure 2
Percentage of Households (by income) Holding Mutual Funds and Stocks (1995 dollars)

50%
44%
Percentage of Households

45%
40% 38%
35%
30% 27%
25% 22%
20%
14%
15% 13%
10% 7%
3% 5%
5% 2%
0%
Less than $10,000– $25,000– $50,000– $100,000 plus
$10,000 $24,999 $49,999 $99,999

Income

Mutual Funds Stocks


Source: Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the United States: 1998 (Washington: Government Printing Office,
1998), p. 514.

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more than 90 percent of their retirement data. Furthermore, basing estimates of Workers who are
income.9 Will USAs, as President Clinton put expected participation rates in USAs on par- either unable or
it, “make real retirement security universal”?10 ticipation rates in 401(k) plans with an
To answer that question, it is instructive employer match could lead to overgenerous unwilling to save
to examine worker participation rates in estimates. That is because participation rates more will not
401(k) plans in which employers match in those 401(k) plans are significantly higher
employee contributions. Research on worker
begin to do so
than participation rates in similar savings
participation in 401(k) plans with employer and retirement plans such as IRAs, regular simply because
matches is relevant to the discussion of USAs 401(k) plans, stocks, and mutual funds. On the government
because USAs would have important features balance, however, participation in 401(k)
of 401(k) plans. USAs would be offered plans is the best available model and offers a
opens an account
through employers, and the government reasonable starting point for figuring out in their name.
would match worker contributions to vary- who could be expected to participate in the
ing degrees. Contributions would go into voluntary component of USAs and similar
market-based retirement accounts.11 Never- voluntary accounts.
theless, 401(k) plans with matches are not a Not surprising, one of the most impor-
perfect analogy with USAs. For instance, sev- tant determinants of 401(k) participation
eral factors that influence participation rates rates is income level.13 Figure 3 shows rates of
in 401(k) plans, such as loan provisions, participation by income in 401(k) plans with
investment choices, and hardship withdrawal an employer match. Of workers offered a
provisions, have not been examined.12 401(k) plan with an employer match, 39 per-
Variation in match rates, eligibility phaseout cent of those earning less than $15,000
ranges, shifts in savings, and differential tax annually participate, whereas 53 percent of
treatment could also affect participation those earning $15,000 to $25,000 participate.

Figure 3
Participation Rates (by household income) of Workers Offered 401(k) Plans with Employer Matches
(1993 dollars)

100%
83%
90%
73%
80% 68%
63%
Participation Rate

70%
60% 53%

50% 39%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Less than $15,000– $25,000– $35,000– $50,000– $75,000
$15,000 $25,000 $35,000 $50,000 $75,000 plus
Income

Source: William Bassett, Michael Fleming, and Anthony Rodrigues, “How Workers Use 401(k) Plans: The
Participation, Contribution, and Withdrawal Decisions,” National Tax Journal 11, no. 2 (June 1998): 275.

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Figure 4
Estimated Participation Rates (by income) of Workers in Voluntary Accounts (1993 dollars)

75%
80%
62%
70%
60% 50%
Participation Rate
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Less than $35,000 More than $35,000 All Incomes

Income

Source: Calculations by Carrie Lips, Social Security analyst at the Cato Institute, and author. Based on data from
Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the United States: 1998 (Washington: Government Printing Office, 1998),
p. 471; and the Current Population Survey as reported in William Bassett, Michael Fleming, and Anthony Rodrigues,
“How Workers Use 401(k) Plans: The Participation, Contribution, and Withdrawal Decisions,” National Tax Journal
11, no. 2 (June 1998): 275.

Contribution rates also vary with income, (IDAs) in an attempt to demonstrate that
from a mean rate of 5 percent of salary for low-income workers could save at rates equal
participants with incomes of less than to those of higher-income workers, despite
$15,000 to more than 7 percent for partici- the fact that most do not do so currently.
pants with incomes of $50,000 or more.1 4 That assumption is based on the theory that
If 401(k) plans with matches give a rea- savings rates are driven largely by institution-
Policymakers sonable indication of participation in USAs ally structured incentives rather than by
and similar accounts, policymakers can income. Most IDAs, which were a driving
can expect that expect that participation rates will be signifi- force behind the proposal for USAs, are
participation cantly lower among low- and moderate- matched savings accounts designed to help
rates will be income workers than among higher-income low-income workers build assets for such
workers. As Figure 4 shows, at least one of purposes as buying a first home, education,
significantly two workers earning $35,000 or less would or starting a new business.1 6 IDAs and USAs
lower among low- not participate, either by choice or because of share several important features. Both (1) tar-
financial constraint.1 5 An estimated three of get lower-income workers, (2) encourage par-
and moderate- four workers earning more than $35,000 ticipation through generous matches, (3) use
income workers would participate. Altogether an estimated institutional savings mechanisms such as the
than among 40 percent of workers would not partici- government and employers to make partici-
pate—a number that hardly indicates univer- pation easy, and (4) provide financial educa-
higher-income sal participation. tion information.
workers. Proponents of USAs point to experience According to researchers at the Center for
with Individual Development Accounts Social Development at Washington Univ-

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ersity in St. Louis, Missouri, the first major investigation of IDAs would be needed before A much more
study of IDAs was the American Dream policymakers could draw any sound conclu- thorough investi-
Demonstration (ADD), initiated in 1997.17 sions about IDAs’ ability to increase the sav-
The study involved 13 private organizations ings of and build assets for low-income work- gation of IDAs
that were selected to design, implement, and ers, particularly as a nationwide program of would be needed
administer IDAs in their communities. voluntary add-on accounts.
Unfortunately, there is little evidence to date
before policy-
Although no model is perfect, participa-
that either demonstrates or disproves the tion in 401(k) plans with employer matches makers could
effectiveness of IDAs. Thus far, the median gives policymakers a reasonable estimate of draw any sound
value of the closing balances in the ADD is $80 likely participation in USAs and other volun-
(participant savings) or $224 (participant sav- tary accounts. Experience with private retire-
conclusions
ings, interest, and matching funds). There are ment plans shows that participation rates rise about IDAs’
no significant differences in total IDA account proportionately with income: the greater one’s ability to increase
balances by gender, residence, educational income, the greater one’s likelihood of partici-
attainment, employment status, marital sta- pating. That means America’s lowest-income the savings of and
tus, or monthly income.18 Those findings con- workers, who most need private retirement build assets for
trast starkly with individual retirement accounts, are the least likely to participate in
accounts, savings accounts, and 401(k) plans. or benefit from voluntary add-on accounts.
low-income
As the researchers put it, “Standard economic The reality is that many low-income workers workers.
theory would not predict this uniformity, simply earn too little or choose not to deposit
especially across education, employment, and significant assets in those accounts. That will
income levels.” They conclude, “It is far too not be changed by giving them a place in
early in the ADD evaluation to draw conclu- which to deposit money they may not have or
sions, but this pattern of savings and IDA bal- choose to spend on other things.
ances . . . may suggest that the IDA program
itself, more than individual characteristics,
may be determining amounts of savings.”19 Add-Ons Established with
Given that the ADD evaluation is in its earliest General Tax Revenue
stages, it would be premature to draw any
lessons from the results. Because many lawmakers suspect that low-
Although the ADD study was the first income workers will not participate in volun-
major attempt to show the effectiveness of tary accounts, they have begun to look for
IDAs, a few small demonstration projects have other sources of funding, including general
also attempted to do so. For example, Brian tax revenue. One such proposal was intro-
Grossman of the Corporation for Enterprise duced by Rep. John Kasich (R-Ohio), House
Development writes, “Data from the National Budget Committee chairman. His legislation,
Federation of Community Development the Personal Retirement Savings Account Act
Credit Unions (NFCDCU) proves that the of 1998, would put 80 percent of any federal
poor can and do save money.”20 That remains budgetary surplus into Social Security Plus
to be seen. In fact, the NFCDCU says its data accounts for all workers. Workers would have
are not available to the public. Such a state- a limited number of options for investing their
ment prevents researchers from verifying that Social Security Plus money, and they would
claim.21 Most other IDA programs are too new own their accounts. The accounts would be
to have been studied or do not plan to study supplementary to the Social Security system,
participants.22 Even if a handful of IDA pro- and they would not affect the program in any
grams has been successful, it would be diffi- way. Kasich’s press release puts it this way:
cult to extrapolate the results to the popula- “These accounts would be in addition to the
tion at large because participants are self- existing Social Security System, which would
selecting.23 In sum, a much more thorough not be affected by Kasich’s legislation.”24

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Kasich’s proposal and others like it are and accounts funded with general tax revenue,
politically popular, primarily because the some policymakers hope to establish manda-
“spin” gives them the appearance of improv- tory accounts that would be funded with an
ing Social Security (thus, the name Social increase in the payroll tax. Edward M.
Security Plus accounts), whereas, in truth, they Gramlich and Marc M. Twinney, members of
do not touch the Social Security system.25 As the 1994–96 Advisory Council on Social
Kasich explains, “It is a whole new way to help Security, proposed the best-known plan of this
Americans save for retirement while at the kind.31 Gramlich and Twinney would establish
same time setting the stage for a solution to individual accounts by mandating an increase
the long-term problems facing Social in the payroll tax of 1.6 percent.32 Like most
Security.”26 In other words, these accounts proponents of individual accounts, Gramlich
would supplement Social Security but would and Twinney recognize that “somehow or
not directly affect the program in any way. other there must be some new saving soon to
Proposals that would fund personal finance the nation’s retirement system into
accounts by divvying up budget surpluses are the 21st century.”33 However, their mandatory
time limited; after all, how will the govern- add-on approach is a poor way to achieve that
ment fund the accounts once the surpluses goal.
Any increase in have been spent? Director of the National To be sure, mandating savings avoids some
the payroll tax Economic Council Gene Sperling has said of the problems associated with voluntary
necessarily weighs that the USAs will cost $38 billion a year once add-ons; namely, that mandatory is not volun-
they are fully established.27 Even if low partici- tary—all workers would participate. But fund-
most heavily on pation rates make the accounts less costly ing individual accounts by raising the payroll
low- and average- than the administration has estimated, when tax introduces problems of its own. In particu-
the surpluses dry up, either federal deposits in lar, the payroll tax is extremely regressive,
wage earners, who the accounts will stop, or, more likely, taxpay- which means that it takes a larger portion of
can least afford to ers will continue to bear the cost of an expan- total income from low- and average-wage
pay more. sive new program.28 workers than from high-wage workers.34 That
It is important to note that some policy- disproportionate burden is compounded by
makers argue that placing the surplus in per- the fact that the amount of income subject to
sonal accounts is not an entitlement but a tax the payroll tax is capped at $72,600.35
cut. For example, Clinton calls USA contribu- Therefore, any increase in the payroll tax nec-
tions “tax credits” and has argued that “this is essarily weighs most heavily on low- and aver-
the right way to provide tax relief.”29 A better age-wage earners, who can least afford to pay
analysis would argue that government contri- more.
butions are not “tax cuts” but “tax favors”— Increasing the payroll tax would also
preferential tax treatment of workers who are reduce take-home pay, a situation that would
willing to apply the credits to the govern- leave workers with less money to pay for other
ment’s retirement plan. As Deputy Secretary important items such as education, home
of the Treasury Larry Summers puts it, “This mortgages, health care, and so on. Again, low-
is a tax cut which individuals have no alterna- and middle-wage workers can least afford
tive but to save.”30 The refunds become a such reductions in pay. In addition, some
transfer or entitlement when taxpayers receive could actually fall below the poverty line, par-
more from the government than they have ticularly since payroll taxes have no personal
paid in taxes. exemptions or standard deductions.
It is important to note that, unlike most
add-on plans, Gramlich and Twinney’s indi-
Mandatory Add-Ons vidual accounts were proposed in conjunction
with other Social Security reforms, including
Given the limits of voluntary contributions increasing the retirement age, cutting

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spousal benefits, and lengthening the benefit that would reduce promised Social Security
computation period. They designed their pro- benefits by the amount of revenue generated
posal so that the revenue generated by the by the new accounts. Like other add-ons, these
individual accounts would offset the benefit accounts would require a new revenue stream.
cuts. Gramlich and Twinney explain, “These House Ways and Means Committee chair-
[accounts] in effect make up for the benefit man Bill Archer (R-Tex.) and Social Security
cuts and provide, on average, the same benefits Subcommittee chairman Clay Shaw (R-Fla.)
as under present law.”36 Regardless of whether recently proposed this approach. Under the
the combined reforms could bring Social Archer-Shaw plan, the accounts would be
Security into long-term actuarial balance, the funded with general revenue. The government
Gramlich-Twinney plan does nothing to would place an amount equal to 2 percent of a
improve a host of other problems associated worker’s earnings, in the form of an income
with Social Security and actually makes some tax credit, in a personal account. For instance,
of them worse. a worker making $50,000 would receive a cred-
For example, increasing the payroll tax it worth $1,000. Any revenue generated by the
without increasing benefits effectively reduces accounts would be offset at retirement by cut-
Social Security’s rate of return. Already, work- ting an equivalent amount of Social Security
ers born after 1970 will receive less than 1 per- benefits.42 Because the amount of money that
cent return on their payroll taxes, assuming can be placed in the accounts is capped at
Social Security manages to pay all benefits $1,452 per year and because the plan requires
promised under current law.37 Laurence 40 percent of the funds to be placed in bonds,
Kotlikoff, professor of economics at Boston even the highest-wage workers would be
University and Social Security expert, reports, extremely unlikely to generate assets in excess
“Today’s 18-year-olds in every economic class of Social Security’s promised benefits.43
will pay more in taxes than they receive in ben- Consider a person who works 40 years, con-
efits.”38 If payroll taxes are increased, that rate tributes the maximum allowable amount per
of return will worsen further.39 year ($1,452), and earns a 6 percent real rate of
In addition, the proposal would not allevi- return. His account would generate an annu-
ate the high poverty rates under Social ity worth roughly $865 per month, whereas
Security. Currently, an estimated 20 percent of Social Security promises to deliver roughly
widowed women, divorced women, and never- $1,800 per month.44 Because the amount gen-
married women live in poverty while collecting erated in the account is less than Social
Social Security. Poverty rates during retire- Security’s promised benefits, that worker’s
ment for African-American and Hispanic- retirement benefits would not increase. In Add-ons with
American women are 28 percent.40 Increasing short, the Archer-Shaw plan would require a
the payroll tax will simply extract more money vast infusion of general tax revenue just to clawbacks would
from those women during their working years make good on Social Security’s promises; the reduce promised
and give them no more financial security at additional revenue would not buy greater ben- Social Security
retirement. That is an outrageous proposition, efits for workers.
considering that virtually all women (and Regardless of whether infusing Social benefits by the
men) would be better off under a system of Security with general tax revenue could put amount of
personal retirement accounts funded through the program into long-term actuarial balance,
the payroll tax.41 the clawback approach has a host of other
revenue gen-
problems. Like the Gramlich-Twinney plan, erated by the new
the proposal would do nothing to alleviate the accounts.
Add-Ons with Clawbacks high poverty rates low-wage workers face
under Social Security. And, by requiring
The most recent proposals for add-on workers to pay more money into the system
accounts include “clawbacks”—provisions without increasing benefits, the proposal

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The Archer-Shaw reduces Social Security’s rate of return. Dozens of studies have shown that if workers
plan would Furthermore, workers would not own their were able to invest their Social Security payroll
accounts. If a worker dies before age 65, he can taxes, they would retire with substantial sums
require a vast leave his account to his heirs. However, work- in their accounts. It is senseless to force work-
infusion of ers who retire are forced to surrender their ers to pay above and beyond what is already
accounts to the government in exchange for enough to secure a comfortable retirement.
general tax an annuity. Thus, in order to have a property Congress should simply let workers get a bet-
revenue just to right in your account, you have to die before ter deal on their current payroll taxes by allow-
make good on age 65. A vast majority of workers who live to ing them to redirect that money into person-
retirement would have no rights to their al accounts.
Social Security’s accounts.
promises; Finally, workers are already paying more
the additional than enough to retire comfortably. For exam- Notes
ple, if a worker making $20,000 were able to 1. 1999 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the
revenue would put his payroll taxes in an account that pro- Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
not buy greater vided an annual real return of 6 percent, he Disability Insurance Trust Funds (Washington:
would retire with an account worth more than Government Printing Office, 1999), p. 28.
benefits for $380,000 after 40 years of work. Using a con- 2. The contribution would be in the form of a tax
workers. servative annuity estimate, such an account credit deposited directly into each worker’s
would be able to provide a monthly payment account. The credit would be “refundable,”
of more than $1,450.45 Social Security promis- meaning a worker’s credit could exceed his tax
liability.
es to provide such a worker with a monthly
benefit of roughly $810.46 In that light, it 3. “President Clinton Introduces Universal Sav-
seems senseless to use more taxpayer funds to ings Accounts: Summary Documents,” National
Economic Council, April 14, 1999, p. 8.
begin a new retirement program.
4. Eligibility ends at $50,000 for single filers with
pension coverage, $75,000 for head of household
Conclusion filers with pension coverage, and $100,000 for joint
filers with pension coverage. There is no eligibility
limit for people without pension coverage.
The idea of establishing individual retire-
ment accounts alongside Social Security is a 5. Sondra Beverly, “How Can the Poor Save?
Theory and Evidence on Saving in Low-Income
favorite among politicians because they can Households,” Center for Social Development,
talk about the positive aspects of individual Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri,
accounts—worker empowerment, personal Working Paper no. 97-3, 1997, p. 21, http://gw
ownership, and wealth creation—while avoid- bweb.wustl.edu/users/csd/workingpapers/wp97-
3.html. Beverly examines demographic variables as
ing the more unpleasant but central issue of they relate to savings and discusses several theories
Social Security reform. Whether funded of saving, including neoclassical economic, psycho-
through voluntary contributions, general rev- logical, sociological, behavioral, and institutional
enue, or payroll tax increases, in the end those theories.
plans simply take more money from working 6. Sixty-six percent of respondents said they had
Americans while ignoring Social Security’s “too many current financial responsibilities.” The
financial crisis. Social Security would still face second and third most common reasons were “I
a $9.5 trillion unfunded liability. Making expect to have a pension” (26 percent) and “eco-
nomic events, such as inflation and unemploy-
Social Security solvent would still require esti- ment, are too uncertain” (26 percent). Paul
mated benefit cuts of 30 percent or tax Yakoboski, Pamela Ostuw, and Jennifer Hicks,
increases of more than 5 percentage points. “1998 Retirement Confidence Survey,” Employee
Proponents of add-on accounts fail to rec- Benefits Research Institute, American Survey
Education Council, and Matthew Greenwald and
ognize that workers are contributing enough Associates, Washington, 1998, http://207.152.
to provide for a comfortable retirement. 182.56/rcs/rcs-expectations.pdf.

10
7. Survey participants were asked, “Could you 16. Virtually all the Individual Development
save $20 per week more for retirement?” Forty Account proposals have been guided by work of
percent of workers who had saved for retirement the Corporation for Enterprise Development in
said no, and 41 percent of workers who had not Washington and the Center for Social Develop-
saved for retirement said no. Paul Yakoboski, ment at Washington University in St. Louis. See
Pamela Ostuw, and Jennifer Hicks, “What Is Your Michael Sherraden et al., “Downpayments on the
Savings Personality? The 1998 Retirement American Dream Policy Demonstration: A Nation-
Confidence Survey,” Employee Benefits Research al Demonstration of Individual Development
Institute Issue Brief no. 200, August 1998, p. 11, Accounts,” Center for Social Development,
http://www.ebri.org/rcs/T114.pdf. Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri,
January 1999, pp. 3–4.
8. Some policymakers might argue that the tax
benefits of new retirement accounts would 17. Ibid., pp. 1, 6.
induce workers to save; however, most low-in-
come workers pay little or no income tax, so the 18. Ibid., pp. 59–63.
new accounts would be unlikely to alter their
propensity to save. 19. Ibid., p. 66.

9. Sixty-six percent of retirees depend on Social 20. Brian Grossman, “What We Know about the
Security for at least half of their retirement income. Success of Individual Development Accounts,”
Social Security Administration, “Fast Facts and Corporation for Economic Development,
Figures about Social Security,” p. 7. Washington, March 1997, p. 5, http://www.cfed.
org/idas/documents/whatweknow.htm.
10. “Remarks of the President on Universal
Savings Accounts,” White House, Office of the 21. NFCDCU would not release its data to the
Press Secretary, April 14, 1999. Cato Institute for examination after repeated
requests.
11. A typical employer match is 50 cents for each
$1 contributed by the worker, with the match 22. Karen Edwards, “Individual Development
ending when worker contributions reach 6 per- Accounts: Creative Savings for Families and
cent of salary. William Bassett, Michael Fleming, Communities,” Center for Social Development,
and Anthony Rodrigues, “How Workers Use Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri, Policy
401(k) Plans: The Participation, Contribution, Report, 1997, pp. 1–30.
and Withdrawal Decisions,” National Tax Journal 23. Author’s telephone conversation with
11, no. 2 (June 1998): 265. Michael Sherraden, professor of social develop-
12. Ibid., p. 284. ment at Washington University, St. Louis,
Missouri, March 23, 1999.
13. Ibid., pp. 270, 276. Low-income workers have
greater difficulty participating in 401(k) plans 24. John Kasich, “Kasich Introduces Bill Return-
because of their low incomes. In addition, the ing Surpluses to Americans for Retirement
authors cite other reasons for lower participation Savings,” Press release, March 12, 1998.
among low-income workers: low-income workers 25. See, for instance, Sen. Bill Roth (R-Del.),
benefit less from the tax-deferred nature of 401(k) “Personal Retirement Accounts Act of 1998,”
plans than do high-income workers; they are http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c105
more likely to be liquidity constrained and there- :S2369. Roth would use a portion of the budget
fore have better uses for their funds than retire- surplus to establish individual accounts based on a
ment saving; some are more likely to be covered by progressive formula.
means-tested programs and therefore face high
implicit tax rates on savings; and Social Security 26. Kasich.
income replacement rates are higher for low-
income workers, reducing their incentive to save. 27. Gene Sperling and Larry Summers, White
Plan and household characteristics are also House, Office of the Press Secretary, Press brief-
important influences on the decision to partici- ing, April 14, 1999.
pate in 401(k) plans.
28. For further discussion, see David John, senior
14. Ibid., p. 275. policy analyst for Social Security at the Heritage
Foundation, “Testimony before the House
15. The median income of households in 1996 Committee on Commerce, Subcommittee on
was $35,492. Bureau of the Census, Statistical Finance and Hazardous Materials,” February 25,
Abstract of the United States: 1998 (Washington: 1999, http://com-notes.house.gov/cchear/hear
Government Printing Office, 1998), p. 471. ings106.nsf/fhmmain.

11
29. “Remarks of the President on Universal would be put into accounts owned by the work-
Savings Accounts.” ers. Outside the Beltway, however, most workers
would consider this a tax. It reduces take-home
30. Sperling and Summers. pay, and politicians tell workers when and how to
spend their money. For a detailed discussion, see
31. Robert M. Ball et al., “Option II: Publicly-held Peter Ferrara and Michael Tanner, A New Deal for
Individual Accounts,” in Report of the 1994–1996 Social Security (Washington, Cato Institute, 1998),
Advisory Council on Social Security, vol. 1, Findings pp. 122–25.
and Recommendations (Washington: Government
Printing Office, 1997), pp. 28–29. 40. National Economic Council Interagency
Working Group on Social Security, “Women and
32. “Defined contribution individual accounts in Retirement Security,” October 27, 1998, p. 12–13.
the amount of 1.6 percent of covered payroll
would be created and funded by employee contri- 41. Darcy Olsen, “Greater Financial Security for
butions. Individuals would have constrained Women with Personal Retirement Accounts,”
choices on how the funds were to be invested.” Cato Institute Briefing Paper no. 38, July 20, 1998.
Ibid., p. 28.
42. The credit would be “refundable,” meaning
33. Edward Gramlich and Marc Twinney, “The that a worker’s credit could exceed his tax liabili-
Individual Accounts Plan,” in Report of the ty. “Archer Statement on Introduction of Social
1994–1996 Advisory Council on Social Security, Security Guarantee Plan,” Committee on Ways
p. 155. and Means, Press release, April 28, 1999.
34. For a discussion of how payroll taxes affect 43. The credit is capped at the Social Security
low-wage earners, see Michael Kremer, “Restruc- wage base, so no one would receive a credit in
turing Social Security Taxes,” Brookings Insti- excess of $1,452 in 1999 (2 percent of $72,600).
tution Policy Brief no. 40, Washington, December “The Social Security Guarantee Plan: Saving and
1998, pp. 1–8. Strengthening Social Security without Raising
Taxes or Cutting Benefits,” Committee on Ways
35. The maximum taxable income in 1999 is and Means, Press release, April 28, 1999.
$72,600. 1999 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees
of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and 44. The annuity was calculated by using the 17.3-
Disability Insurance Trust Funds, p. 2. year life expectancy provided for a 65-year-old
man in the year 2035, given on page 62 of the 1999
36. Gramlich and Twinney, p. 155. Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability
37. Laurence Kotlikoff, “Privatizing Social
Insurance Trust Funds. Calculations also assume an
Security,” National Center for Policy Analysis
annuitization charge of 20 percent.
Report no. 217, July 1998, p. 15.
38. Ibid., p. 12. 45. “The Social Security Guarantee Plan.”
46. Calculations by Carrie Lips, Social Security
39. Some critics argue that the proposed increase
analyst, Cato Institute.
in the payroll tax is not a “tax,” because the money

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