Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2008
Geary County
ROUGH DRAFT
Section I
Overview of Geary County
Geary County is
one of 105 counties
of the sunflower
state located in the
north central part
of Kansas. The
county seat is the
City of Junction
City.
2
GEARY COUNTY
Population Estimates
Geary County has a population of 25,150 as of July 1, 2007 (US Census Bureau). The
population decreased by 10% from the year 2000 to 2007. As per the 2000 census
survey, population of the county was 27,947 with median age of 29.1 years. In 2000,
Geary County had 25.2% of its population under the age of 15 years, 33.2% in the age
group 15 to 34 years, 29.1% in the age group 35 years to 59 years and 12.5% of its
population above 60 years of age.
3
GEARY COUNTY
3,000,000
2,688,418
2,477,574
2,363,679
2,246,578
2,500,000
2,178,611
1,905,299
1,880,999
1,801,028
1,769,257
2,000,000
1,690,949
Kansas
1,500,000 1,470,495
1,000,000
500,000
35,000
30,453
29,852
28,779
28,111
27,947
30,000
25,000
21,671
20,000
15,222
14,366
Geary County
13,452
12,681
15,000
10,744
10,000
5,000
0
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Source: US census Bureau
4
GEARY COUNTY
Household Income
Median household income for Geary County is $37,758 which is 11.91% less than the
state median income of $42,861. The median household income had declined by 0.92%
in the county from 2000 to 2005, but that rate is far less than the rate state median
income has declined at 9.9%
$60,000
$47,622
$50,000 $42,861
$37,758 $37,415
$40,000
$30,000 Geary
$20,000 Kansas
$10,000
$0
Median household income in 2005 Median household income in 1999
Poverty Rates
The current poverty rate for Geary County is almost equal to the state poverty rate. In
2000, Geary County’s poverty rate was 11% which increased to 11.6% in 2007. The
poverty rate for Kansas in the same period went from 8.9% to 11.7%.
1
Value 2005 dollars term calculated using CPI inflation calculator available at Bureau of Labor Statistics website
http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl. The CPI inflation calculator uses the average Consumer Price Index for a given
calendar year. This data represents changes in prices of all goods and services purchased for consumption by urban
households. This index value has been calculated every year since 1913. For the current year, the latest monthly
index value is used (www.bls.gov).
5
GEARY COUNTY
Labor Force
Geary County’s current unemployment rate is 4.3% which is more than the state rate of
4.1%. The total labor force for the county declined by 0.8% in the last five years and
along with that the unemployed labor force also declined by 27.9% in the last five years.
4.28%
Employed
Unemployed
95.72%
6
GEARY COUNTY
Educational Attainment
About eighty-six percent of the population above the age of 25 is at least a high school
graduate or higher. 30.8% of the population above the age of twenty-five had some
college education, and 25.2% hold some kind of college degree.
100% Graduate or Professional
6.10% 8.70% Degree
90% 11.00%
17.10% Bachelor's Degree
80% 8.00%
70% 5.80%
Associate Degree
60% 30.80%
24.60%
50% Some College, No Degree
40%
30% 30.00% 29.80% High School Graduate (incl.
20% equiv.)
7
GEARY COUNTY
Almost sixty percent of the labor force work in the county itself. The maximum outflow of
workers from Geary County is to Riley County. Around 4,238 workers i.e. 31.59% of
workers commuting to work, travel to Riley County for work. Another 376 workers
commute to Dickinson County for work.
8
GEARY COUNTY
9
-- Less than 1% of residence county population commutes
-- 1.0% -4.9% of residence county population commutes
-- 5.0% - 9.9% of residence county population commutes
-- 10.0% - 19.9% of residence county population commutes
-- 20% or more residence county population commutes
12
-- Less than 1% of residence county population commutes
-- 1.0% -4.9% of residence county population commutes
-- 5.0% - 9.9% of residence county population commutes
-- 10.0% - 19.9% of residence county population commutes
-- 20% or more residence county population commutes
Industry Analysis
Industry employment in Geary County increased by 21.64% from 1990 to 2007. Average pay (after adjusting for inflation)
increased by 18.25%, although the number of establishments in the same period decreased by around 5%. The number
of establishments declined at a steady rate from 1990 to 2004, and the number of establishments started increasing after
that going up from 615 in 2004 to 678 in 2007.
Table 9: Annual Covered Employment & Wages2 Over Time (NAICS) – Geary County
Average Pay in Terms of 20073 Dollars
Year Establishments Employment Average Annual Pay
(adj*)
1990 714 11212 $16,249 $25,777
1991 712 10477 $17,281 $26,307
1992 707 11282 $16,824 $24,863
1993 671 10979 $18,527 $26,584
1994 660 10407 $18,987 $26,564
1995 660 10526 $17,829 $24,257
1996 663 11331 $19,733 $26,077
1997 663 12008 $19,965 $25,792
1998 658 12201 $20,996 $26,708
2
Covered Employment & Wages (CEW) also known as ES202 data are the product of a federal-state cooperative program, the Quarterly Census of Employment
and Wages (QCEW) program, also known as the ES-202 program. The data are derived from summaries of employment and total pay of workers covered by state
and federal unemployment insurance (UI) legislation and provided by State Workforce Agencies (SWAs). The summaries are a result of the administration of state
unemployment insurance programs that require most employers to pay quarterly taxes based on the employment and wages of workers covered by UI.
(www.bls.gov).
3
Average wages in 2007 dollars term calculated using CPI inflation calculator available at Bureau of Labor Statistics website http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl.
The CPI inflation calculator uses the average Consumer Price Index for a given calendar year. This data represents changes in prices of all goods and services
purchased for consumption by urban households. This index value has been calculated every year since 1913. For the current year, the latest monthly index value
is used (www.bls.gov).
15
GEARY COUNTY
16
GEARY COUNTY
Establishments
740
714 712 707
720
700 678
680 671
660 660 663 663 658 661 661
655
660 645
629 635
640 619 615
620
600
580
560
Jobs
16000
13518 13638
14000 12734
12008 12201 12299 12385 12126 11977 11994 12523
11212 11282 10979 11331
12000 10477 10407 10526
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
Average Annual Pay adjusted
$29,340
$29,856
$30,481
$29,059
$28,771
$28,591
$26,916
$26,758
$26,708
$26,584
$26,564
$26,307
$26,301
$26,077
$25,792
$25,777
$24,863
$24,257
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Figure 7: Changes in Establishments, Employment and Average Annual Wages in the County
17
GEARY COUNTY
Retail Trade has the largest number establishments in the sector with 89 establishments. Public Administration is the
largest sector in Geary County in terms of employment with 2452 jobs. The highest paid sector is the Professional,
Scientific & Technical Services (annual average wage is $54,637). Other high wage paying sectors are: Public
Administration (annual average wages of $46,576) and Construction (annual average wages of $38,258).
Table 10: Industry Distribution of Establishments, Jobs, and Average Wages – Geary County
Industry Distribution of Establishments, Jobs & Average Wages (2007) Establishments Jobs Annual Average Wage
Total Covered Employment and Wages 678 13638 $30,481
Private 614 8359 $25,063
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 6 N N
Mining 1 N N
Utilities 4 N N
Construction 86 608 $38,258
Manufacturing 8 221 $23,326
Wholesale Trade 18 N N
Retail Trade 89 1745 $19,344
Transportation and Warehousing 25 316 $25,202
Information 15 190 $36,284
Finance and Insurance 43 244 $33,225
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 39 160 $23,098
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 56 N $54,637
Management of Companies and Enterprises 3 N N
Administrative & Support & Waste Management & Remediation Services 55 1450 $33,535
Educational Services 9 58 $25,962
Health Care and Social Assistance 55 1256 $32,432
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 11 96 $10,820
Accommodation and Food Services 71 1410 $12,040
Other Services (except Public Administration) 55 593 $27,670
Public Administration 30 2452 $46,576
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) N – Non-disclosed, NA- Not Applicable
18
GEARY COUNTY
Establishments Jobs
Agriculture Mining
Utilities Construction
Manufacturing Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade Transportation & Warehousing
Information Finance and Insurance
Real Estate Professional & Technical Services
Management of Companies Waste Management
Educational Services Health Care
Arts & Entertainment Accommodation & Food Services
Other Services (except Public Adm) Public Administration
19
GEARY COUNTY
Agriculture
Average Annual Pay
Mining
$54,637
Utilities
60000
Construction
$46,576
Manufacturing
50000 Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
$38,258
$36,284
Transportation & Warehousing
$33,535
$33,225
$32,432
40000 Information
Finance and Insurance
$27,670
$25,962
$25,202
$23,326 Real Estate
$23,098
30000
Professional & Technical Services
$19,344 Management of Companies
Waste Management
$12,040
20000
$10,820
Educational Services
Health Care
10000 Arts & Entertainment
Accommodation & Food Services
Other Services (except Public Adm)
0
0
0
0 0
Public Administration
20
GEARY COUNTY
Key Industries
Geary County is home to some very well performing industries. These industries may be a part of existing or emerging
clusters. For identifying key industries and clusters, three criteria were used:
1. Location Quotient – Location quotients (LQ) for industries at 6-digit NAICS level were calculated with US industry
employment as a base. The cutoff for LQ was taken as 1.25 (based on previous studies, especially Cortright 2003).
2. Average Wages – Average wages at 6-digit NAICS codes were compared to US average wages. If any industry
has average wages 10% above the US average, it is considered to be a good performing industry.
3. Growth Rate – Growth rates for the employment were calculated over a three year time period from 2003 to 20064;
growth rates above 5% are considered to be an indicator of good industry performance.
Any industry that satisfies one of these three conditions is either a good performing industry or an industry with good
potential for growth. There may or may not be a cluster existing in a region for every good performing industry, but if there
are good performing industries, a cluster may emerge in the near future. (For further details of methodology, please see
Appendix B.)
The industry satisfying all three of the above stated criteria is the News Dealers and Newsstands (NAICS 451212). This
sector has grown by approximately 8.74% over the last three years, and the wages are 159.65% more than the national
average. The location quotient for the sector is 14.17 (Table 11).
Table 11: 6-Digit NAICS Codes with High Wages, Location Quotients and Growth Differentials
Higher Wages Growth Location
NAICS NAICS Definition Establishments Employment Average Wages
than Nation Differentials Quotient
451212 News Dealers and 1 9 $53,668 159.65% 8.74% 14.17
Newsstands
Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group
4
There were two reasons for selecting 2003 base year. 1) The numbers were more likely to be free from 9/11 impacts as compared to 2001 or 2002 numbers. 2)
NAICS definitions changed in 2002, so it was very difficult to bridge between 2002 & 1997 codes for some industries.
21
GEARY COUNTY
Most of the industries with high growth rates are local instead of traded5 industries in Geary County. The highest growth
rate is for the Hotels and Motels, except Casino Hotels sector (NAICS 721110) with 119 jobs in 2006. The second highest
growth rate is for Temporary Help Services (NAICS 561320), and this sector had 199 jobs in 2006.
Table 12: Top 10 Industries (6-Digit NAICS) with Highest Growth Rates
Establish- Average Growth
NAICS NAICS Definition Employment Cluster
ments Wages Differentials
721110 Hotels and Motels, except 9 119 $10,186 391.87% Arts, Entertainment, Recreation & Visitor
Casino Hotels Industries
561320 Temporary Help Services 3 199 $20,279 304.80% Local Commercial Services
621420 Outpatient Mental Health 3 52 $27,250 273.25% Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences)
Centers
532210 Consumer Electronics and 2 34 $21,997 223.96% Local Household Goods & Services
Appliances Rental
811211 Consumer Electronics 1 27 $33,576 200.00% Local Personal Services (Non-Medical)
Repair and Maintenance
442210 Floor Covering Stores 2 86 $23,712 178.06% Local Household Goods & Services
561110 Office Administrative 8 225 $47,733 173.48% Local Commercial Services
Services
524126 Direct Property and 2 15 $10,378 146.62% Business and Financial Services
Casualty Insurers
561621 Security Systems Services 1 146 $24,312 123.94% Defense and Security
(except Locksmiths)
562111 Solid Waste Collection 3 20 $33,434 115.44% Local Utilities
Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group
5
Traded industries are defined as the ones exporting their goods and/or services outside their region. Local industries are the ones with all local (within the region)
dealings (Porter 2003).
22
GEARY COUNTY
The sector Meat Processed from Carcasses (NAICS 311612) has the highest LQ in Geary County of 52.85, and this
sector is part of the Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology cluster. Majority of the industries with high LQ are local
industries as opposed to traded industries.
Table 13: Top 10 Industries (6-Digit NAICS) with Highest Location Quotients
Average Location
NAICS NAICS Definition Establishments Employment Cluster
Wages Quotient
311612 Meat Processed from Carcasses 1 427 $29,546 52.85 Agribusiness, Food Processing and
Technology
561210 Facilities Support Services 4 292 $33,701 32.25 Local Commercial Services
541614 Process, Phys Dist and Log 4 183 $28,450 32.14 Business & Financial Services
Consulting Services Transportation & Logistics
485310 Taxi Service 3 68 $10,878 30.18 Local Logistical Services
811211 Consumer Electronics Repair and 1 27 $33,576 26.91 Local Personal Services (Non-Medical)
Maintenance
812111 Barber Shops 1 22 $20,672 26.36 Local Personal Services (Non-Medical)
811113 Automotive Transmission Repair 1 48 $34,555 26.32 Local Motor Vehicle Products &
Services
561621 Security Systems Services 1 146 $24,312 21.74 Defense and Security
(except Locksmiths)
424520 Livestock Wholesalers 1 27 $8,750 18.01 Agribusiness, Food Processing and
Technology
532210 Consumer Electronics and 2 34 $21,997 15.92 Local Household Goods & Services
Appliances Rental
Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group
23
GEARY COUNTY
Hobby, Toy and Game Stores (NAICS 451120) have the highest wages in the county as compared to the nation. This
sector has about 445% more wages than national average wages for the same sector. The Sporting Goods Stores sector
(NAICS 451110) has wages 320% (approx) more than national average wages for the same kind of stores.
Table 14: Top 10 Industries (6-Digit NAICS) with Wages Above National Averages
Wages
Average
NAICS NAICS Definition Establishments Employment Compared Cluster
Wages
to Nation6
451120 Hobby, Toy, and Game Stores 1 1 $81,307 444.95% Local Entertainment & Media
451110 Sporting Goods Stores 1 1 $81,307 320.17% Local Entertainment & Media
524292 Third Party Administration of 0.3 1 $184,169 247.93% Business and Financial Services
Insurance Funds
451212 News Dealers and Newsstands 1 9 $53,668 159.65% Local Entertainment & Media
524291 Claims Adjusting 1 5 $122,779 92.20% Business and Financial Services
448110 Men's Clothing Stores 1 1 $31,765 49.55% Local Retail Clothing & Accessories
336214 Travel Trailer and Camper 1 40 $53,324 44.50% Transportation Equipment
Manufacturing Manufacturing
512131 Motion Picture Theaters, except 1 1 $15,696 44.48% Arts, Entertainment, Recreation &
Drive-Ins Visitor Industries
812191 Diet and Weight Reducing 1 1 $22,926 43.71% Local Personal Services (Non-
Centers Medical)
425120 Wholesale Trade Agents and 5 15 $100,876 41.30% Local Household Goods & Services
Brokers
Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group
6
Wages compared to nation – the difference in county & national average wages for a particular industry as a percentage of the national average.
24
GEARY COUNTY
Shift share analysis breaks down changes in employment (growth or decline) over a period of time into three components:
national growth share, industry mix share and local share. This analysis is used to account for the competitiveness of a
region’s industries and to analyze the local economic base7.
Local Share
This is the share of growth (decline) in employment in a region that can be attributed to the competitiveness of a
region.
Local Share = Employment in base year *(Region’s industry growth rate – National Industry growth rate)
The industry with the highest local share in growth is Facilities Support Services (NAICS 561210). The employment in the
sector increased by 235 jobs, and out of that 225 were due to local growth (Table 15). The second highest growth in
employment was in Office Administrative Services (NAICS 561110). In this industry there was a net growth of 214 jobs, of
which 212 were attributable to local growth in the region.
7
Pennstate (2003) Using Employment data to better understand your local economy.
25
GEARY COUNTY
Table 15: Industries with Highest Local Share of Growth – Shift Share Analysis Geary County
NAICS NAICS Definition Net Growth National Growth Share Industry Mix Share Local Share
561210 Facilities Support Services 235 3 6 226
561110 Office Administrative Services 214 1 2 212
561320 Temporary Help Services 196 0 0 195
561621 Security Systems Services (except Locksmiths) 133 1 0 132
721110 Hotels and Motels, except Casino Hotels 118 0 0 118
452910 Warehouse Clubs and Supercenters 191 23 54 115
551114 Corporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing 113 2 1 110
Offices
722110 Full-Service Restaurants 124 10 6 108
442110 Furniture Stores 99 1 0 98
238210 Electrical Contractors 96 2 0 94
531311 Residential Property Managers 94 1 1 93
236220 Commercial and Institutional Building Construction 95 4 3 87
442210 Floor Covering Stores 82 0 0 82
722211 Limited-Service Restaurants 105 24 14 67
811121 Automotive Body, Paint, and Interior Repair and 63 1 -1 63
Maintenance
621340 Offices of Physical, Occupational and Speech 61 1 3 58
Therapists, and Audiologists
621420 Outpatient Mental Health Centers 51 0 0 51
811111 General Automotive Repair 45 7 -3 42
236115 New Single-Family Housing Construction (except 44 2 4 39
Operative Builders)
532210 Consumer Electronics and Appliances Rental 33 0 0 33
Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG group
26
GEARY COUNTY
Traded Clusters
A few of the traded clusters in Geary County have growth rates higher than the set criteria value (10.00%). However, none
of the clusters have wages higher than the national average, and only one has LQ higher than the set criterion value
(1.25). The Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology cluster is the only cluster with LQ higher than the criteria value
of 2.02, but wages are less than national averages and employment has been declining in last three years. The clusters
with high growth rates are the Chemicals & Chemical-based Products, Printing & Publishing, Education & Knowledge
Creation, Information Technology & Telecommunications, Defense & Security and the Energy (Fossil & Renewable)
clusters.
27
GEARY COUNTY
Transp Equip
Mfg LQ for various Clusters
5% Advanced Materials
Transportation 0%
& Logistics
12%
Agribusiness
Printing & Publishing 23%
7%
IT & Telecom Arts &
6% Entertainment
Glass & Ceramics 8%
0%
Energy
Forest & Wood 8% Biomedical
Products
5%
2%
Business & Financial
Edu & Knowledge Services
Creation Defense & Security Chemicals 7%
7% 9% 1%
28
GEARY COUNTY
29
GEARY COUNTY
30
GEARY COUNTY
Local Clusters
The only cluster with wages above the national average wage is the Local Entertainment & Medial cluster with wages
35% (approx) higher than national average wages. The highest growth rate is for the Local Utilities and the Local
Commercial Services clusters. The highest LQ is 3.83 for the Local Logistical Services cluster. Other local clusters with
high LQ are Local Utilities and Local food and Beverage Processing & Distribution.
31
GEARY COUNTY
32