3

Daily Investment Guide

Tuesday 20 August 2013

Key Equity Indices

Regional Indices
World
U.S.(S&P)
U.S.(DOW)
Europe
Emerging Market
Indonesia
Japan
Australia
Korea
Singapore
Malaysia
Hong Kong
China
Thailand
Philipines

Bloomberg Code
MXWO
SPX
INDU
SX5E
MXEF
JCI
NKY
AS51
KOSPI
STI
KLCI
HSI
SHCOMP
SET
PCOMP

Last Close
1,501
1,646
15,011
2,823
945
4,314
13,758
5,113
1,918
3,173
1,778
22,464
2,086
1,398
6,526

1 Year
1Dy
(0.5)
(0.6)
(0.5)
(1.1)
(1.4)
(5.6)
0.8
(0.0)
(0.1)
(0.8)
(0.6)
(0.2)
0.8
(3.3)
(0.8)

3 Dy
(0.4)
(2.3)
(2.1)
(1.0)
(1.6)
(8.2)
(0.6)
(1.5)
(0.3)
(1.5)
(0.8)
(0.3)
(0.7)
(4.3)
(0.4)

1 Wk
(1.7)
(2.6)
(2.7)
(0.1)
(2.2)
(6.2)
(1.4)
(1.6)
1.8
(2.2)
(0.9)
3.0
(0.7)
(2.4)
1.9

1 Mth
(0.8)
(2.7)
(3.4)
3.9
(0.6)
(8.7)
(6.3)
2.1
2.5
(1.2)
(1.1)
5.2
4.7
(5.6)
(1.4)

3 Mth
(0.8)
(1.3)
(2.2)
0.2
(9.6)
(17.3)
(11.0)
(2.6)
(3.2)
(8.1)
0.1
(4.4)
(9.3)
(14.9)
(10.4)

6 Mth
5.7
7.5
6.9
6.0
(11.2)
(6.9)
19.3
(0.4)
(5.3)
(4.1)
10.2
(3.6)
(13.0)
(9.6)
(1.4)

1 Yr
16.4
16.1
13
14.2
(2.7)
3.7
49.1
16.3
(1.4)
3.6
7.8
11.7
(1.0)
13.8
25.3

High
1,535
1,710
15,658
2,856
1,083
5,251
15,943
5,250
2,042
3,465
1,826
23,945
2,445
1,650
7,404

1 Dy
1.0
0.3
(0.0)
(0.0)
(0.1)

3 Dy
(0.8)
0.2
0.4
0.6
(0.1)

1 Wk
(1.8)
0.5
1.2
0.6
(0.0)

Change (%)
1 Mth
(3.2)
1.9
1.9
1.1
0.3

3 Mth
(7.0)
4.9
2.7
3.6
0.3

6Mth
(7.8)
(4.1)
2.3
(0.1)
2.0

1 Yr
(9.3)
(18.7)
(0.4)
8.1
3.9

High
10,653
103.7
1.64
1.37
6.36

1 Dy
(0.3)
1.0
0.1
(0.3)
(1.3)
(0.4)

3 Dy
(0.3)
1.9
0.3
(0.3)
(0.5)
2.4

1 Wk
0.2
4.1
2.1
1.5
(1.0)
0.7
2.4

Change (%)
1 Mth
(0.9)
3.4
3.2
1.1
12.8
4.5
5.7

3 Mth
10.7
(0.1)
(8.7)
(11.0)
4.5
(0.1)
0.1

6Mth
13.3
(9.1)
(18.6)
(16.8)
(8.4)
(14.9)
(14.8)

1 Yr
11.5
(21.2)
(14.9)
(12.5)
18.2
(5.3)
(15.5)

High
109.3
3,122
997
94
25,199
18,750
1,795

Low
1,244
1,343
12,471
2,398
878
3,978
8,488
4,261
1,771
2,932
1,591
19,077
1,850
1,208
5,115

Exchange Rate (in US$)

Currency
Indonesia
Japan
UK
Euro
China

Bloomberg Code
IDR
JPY
GBP
EUR
CNY

Last Price(Rp)
10,533
97.7
1.56
1.33
6.12

1 Year
Low
9,448
77.1
1.48
1.23
6.11

Commodities Indicators
Spot
Oil
CPO (MYR)
Rubber (MYR)
Coal
Tin
Nickle
Gold

Bloomberg Code
CL1
KO3
MRESMLC
CLSPAUNE
LMSNDY
LN1
GC1

Latest ($US)
107.1
2,333
791
77.3
23,187
16,603
1,372

1 Year
Low
84.0
2,137
757
76
18,399
13,218
1,179

Monetary Indicators
Indicators

Latest

JIBOR Overnight (%)

Foreign Reserve (US$bn)
Inflation Rate (%)
US Fed Rate (%)
Indo Govt Bond Yld (10yr) - %

Change

5.0
92.7
3.3
0.25
8.4

1WK
1.0
n.a.
MoM
0.00
7.2

1 Mth
1.9
(5.5)
8.6
0.00
6.3

3 Mth
18.8
(13.6)
YoY
0.00
49.2

6 Mth
18.6
(14.8)
0.0
0.00
59.0

1 Yr
13.6
(13.0)
0.0
0.00
40.5

End-12
4.2
112.8
0.0
0.25
5.2

1 Dy
0.0
(7.5)
(8.2)
(4.5)
(15.4)
(9.4)
(7.8)
(8.7)
(6.3)
(6.6)
(6.0)
(7.0)
(4.4)
(9.3)
(5.1)
(6.7)
(8.2)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
0.9
7.6
(3.9)
5.7
(4.8)
(3.2)
(3.8)
7.6
(29.8)
(38.9)
(14.7)
(17.9)
(10.8)
(23.0)
(18.3)
(18.3)
(5.2)
(4.0)
(5.0)
(18.6)
(2.1)
5.2
(1.2)
8.1
(0.9)
(7.6)
(2.3)
(7.4)
(11.9)
(6.7)
(6.0)
(2.3)
(14.5)
(8.5)

3 Mth
(8.9)
(33.9)
(15.9)
(4.5)
(52.2)
(37.9)
(44.0)
(31.4)
(24.0)
(45.7)
(19.2)
(4.8)
(13.5)
(31.2)
(25.5)
(4.6)
(7.7)

1 Yr
n.a
(51.3)
24.1
3.3
(63.7)
(52.7)
(61.8)
0.0
(16.5)
(65.7)
(28.0)
17.6
49.3
(29.1)
(49.5)
(3.8)
(29.5)

P/E'13
10.7
8.8
22.3
9.8
n.a
n.a
n.a
4.5
14.0
9.0
10.3
17.3
13.6
10.8
2.1
11.6
12.0
11.2

Consensus
P/E'14
7.7
7.0
16.8
10.1
n.a
n.a
n.a.
4.5
n.a.
5.4
9.9
38.0
12.9
9.6
5.5
9.4
10.3
11.3

Target Price
2,900.0
1,025
5,662
1,166
n.a
458
140.0
n.a
2,221
857
28,399
1,800
6,378
13,510
n.a
1,300
17,828

% Upside
2.7
38.5
25.8
(8.2)
n.a
5.3
30.8
n.a
15.7
50.4
3.1
(10.0)
17.0
26.3
n.a
4.0
13.9

% to JCI
0.2
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.5
0.1
0.8
0.2
3.4
0.6
0.0
0.2
1.5
9.2

1 Dy
(3.4)
(13.4)
(9.8)
(1.2)
(3.1)
(5.2)
0.0

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
(3.4)
(19.4)
(17.1)
(21.6)
(10.6)
(21.7)
0.6
3.8
(11.4)
(12.7)
(3.2)
(4.2)
(3.8)
(3.8)

3 Mth
(19.2)
(44.2)
(38.0)
(16.4)
(24.4)
(7.1)
(41.9)

1 Yr
(35.6)
(60.5)
(60.8)
(41.8)
(16.4)
(63.5)

P/E'13
11.2
9.0
9.1
13.7
17.1
n.a
n.a
12.0

Consensus
P/E'14
9.9
5.4
7.1
8.4
11.3
n.a
n.a
8.4

Target Price
18,227
1,068
1,387
1,503
755
n.a
n.a

% Upside
29.3
84.1
37.4
(7.8)
21.7
n.a
n.a

% to JCI
0.6
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
1.2

Commodity Related Stocks

Energy & Mining
Codes
ABMM
ADRO
AKRA
ANTM
BRMS
BUMI
DOID
ENRG
INCO
INDY
ITMG
MEDC
PGAS
PTBA
PTRO
TINS
UNTR
Plantation
Codes
AALI
BWPT
LSIP
SGRO
SIMP
TBLA
UNSP

Last Price (Rp)

2,825
740
4,500
1,270
165
435
107
94
1,920
570
27,550
2,000
5,450
10,700
1,110
1,250
15,650

Last Price (Rp)

14,100
580
1,010
1,630
620
460
50

Interest Rates Related Stocks

Banking
Codes
BBCA
BBNI
BBRI
BBTN
BDMN
BJBR
BMRI
BTPN
Property
Codes
APLN
ASRI
BKSL
BSDE
CTRA
CTRS
ELTY
KIJA
LPCK
LPKR
SMRA
SSIA

Last Price (Rp)

9,500
3,875
7,150
1,070
4,325
970
7,650
4,000

1 Dy
(7.8)
(5.5)
(8.3)
(5.3)
(4.4)
(4.0)
(7.8)
(4.8)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
(7.8)
(6.9)
(9.9)
(11.4)
(13.3)
(11.7)
(4.5)
(8.5)
(0.6)
(22.8)
(6.7)
(18.5)
(8.9)
(12.1)
(7.0)
(11.1)

3 Mth
(12.8)
(28.2)
(24.3)
(24.1)
(28.5)
(19.8)
(26.4)
(23.8)

1 Yr
18.0
1.3
0.0
(18.8)
(26.7)
(3.0)
(8.4)
(17.1)

PBV'13
3.8
1.5
2.2
1.0
1.3
1.4
2.0
2.3
1.9

Consensus
PBV'14
3.2
1.3
1.8
0.9
1.2
1.2
1.7
1.8
1.6

Target Price
10,531
5,229
9,412
1,442
4,959
1,328
10,618
5,011

% Upside
10.9
35.0
31.6
34.7
14.7
36.9
38.8
25.3

% to JCI
5.9
1.8
4.5
0.3
1.0
0.2
4.5
0.6
18.9

1 Dy
(5.9)
(10.1)
(7.3)
(6.3)
(6.8)
(3.6)
0.0
(6.8)
(6.9)
(10.3)
(5.9)
(10.6)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
(3.0)
(7.2)
(5.3)
(5.3)
0.0
4.1
(4.5)
(6.8)
1.9
(11.4)
2.9
(11.5)
0.0
0.0
(12.7)
(14.1)
0.8
(16.8)
(2.4)
(9.6)
1.1
(10.4)
(10.6)
(22.9)

3 Mth
(33.3)
(33.6)
(12.1)
(17.6)
(24.8)
(18.8)
(2.0)
(17.9)
(12.4)
(20.3)
(34.5)
(45.1)

1 Yr
0.0
46.4
24.4
40.2
78.7
49.2
(2.0)
48.6
90.1
34.1
20.3
(24.3)

P/E'13
7.0
8.8
19.9
13.5
17.2
12.2
n.a
9.2
n.a.
20.4
12.9
4.4
12.5

Consensus
P/E'14
5.8
7.0
19.6
12.9
12.9
8.1
n.a
8.5
n.a.
16.1
11.1
3.9
10.6

Target Price
494
1,103
470
2,120
1,643
4,525
n.a
491
n.a
1,620
1,659
1,624

% Upside
54.3
55.3
84.3
41.3
50.7
67.6
n.a
78.4
n.a
32.8
74.7
93.4

% to JCI
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
3.4

1 Dy
(7.7)
(5.3)
(11.5)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
(12.5)
(13.3)
2.9
0.0
(14.7)
(10.3)

3 Mth
(24.8)
(16.9)
(29.9)

1 Yr
(6.8)
(4.4)
(0.4)

P/E'13
13.2
17.5
13.6
14.8

Consensus
P/E'14
11.7
15.5
11.9
13.0

Target Price
26,917
2,872
19,332

% Upside
39.8
6.4
47.6

% to JCI
1.8
0.5
2.0
4.3

1 Dy
(13.7)
0.0
0.8
(2.5)
(9.1)
(9.6)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
(17.9)
(20.5)
0.0
0.0
5.0
5.0
0.0
(4.8)
(11.0)
(9.7)
(7.5)
(10.7)

3 Mth
(21.7)
0.0
70.7
(14.5)
(16.7)
(25.4)

1 Yr
171.5
0.0
51.2
1.7
109.7
79.4

P/E'13
11.0
n.a
19.9
23.3
15.3
18.7
17.6

Consensus
P/E'14
9.0
n.a
18.0
18.5
12.5
14.8
14.6

Target Price
4,253
n.a
2,150
7,296
1,746
2,710

% Upside
68.4
n.a
(32.3)
23.7
34.3
41.1

% to JCI
0.1
0.1
0.2
1.0
0.2
0.3
1.9

Last Price (Rp)

320
710
255
1,500
1,090
2,700
50
275
6,700
1,220
950
840

Stocks Sensitives to Infrastructure News

Cement
Codes
INTP
SMCB
SMGR
Infrastucture
Codes
ADHI
BNBR
CMNP
JSMR
PTPP
WIKA

Last Price (Rp)

19,250
2,700
13,100

Last Price (Rp)

2,525
50
3,175
5,900
1,300
1,920

US$ Sensitive Stocks

Telecomunication
Codes
Last Price (Rp)
BTEL
EXCL
ISAT
TBIG
TLKM
Shipping
Codes
BULL
MBSS
TRAM
WINS
Automotive
Codes
ASII
GJTL
IMAS

50
4,125
4,825
6,000
10,600

1 Dy
0.0
(0.6)
(1.5)
(2.4)
(6.6)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
0.0
0.0
(3.5)
(9.8)
(1.5)
(0.5)
0.8
16.5
(10.5)
(9.0)

3 Mth
0.0
(19.9)
(16.1)
8.1
(13.4)

1 Yr
(66.4)
(38.0)
(9.8)
55.8
8.8

P/E'13
(1.5)
16.2
29.7
23.6
14.0
16.4

Consensus
P/E'14
(1.6)
13.0
19.7
18.0
12.8
12.4

Target Price
n.a
5,462
6,235
6,381
12,676

% Upside
n.a
32.4
29.2
6.4
19.6

% to JCI
0.0
0.9
0.7
0.7
5.5
2.3

1 Dy
0.0
1.9
(0.7)
(3.6)

1 Wk
0.0
(2.7)
0.7
(3.6)

Price Performance (%)

1 Mth
0.0
(0.9)
(2.8)
1.9

3 Mth
0.0
(12.1)
0.0
1.6

1 Yr
0.0
18.5
63.1
30.6

P/E'13
n.a
4.5
n.a
8.5
6.5

Consensus
P/E'14
n.a
4.1
n.a
6.4
5.3

Target Price
n.a
1,380.0
n.a
645

% Upside
n.a
26.6
n.a
19.4

% to JCI
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.5

1 Dy
(5.6)
(10.1)
2.9

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
(7.8)
(10.5)
(15.2)
(36.0)
(1.8)
0.0

3 Mth
(17.4)
(27.6)
0.0

1 Yr
(18.5)
(11.0)
(2.7)

P/E'13
12.7
6.9
18.4
12.7

Consensus
P/E'14
11.1
6.1
13.7
10.3

Target Price
7,349
3,741
5,369

% Upside
23.5
68.1
0.4

% to JCI
6.1
0.2
0.4
6.7

1 Dy
(9.0)
(7.0)
(9.3)
(6.9)
(5.2)
(6.3)
0.0
(4.9)

1 Wk
(6.8)
1.0
(8.3)
(7.3)
(5.9)
(8.2)
2.0
(2.7)

Price Performance (%)

1 Mth
(18.4)
(13.9)
(9.3)
(8.2)
(13.0)
(8.8)
(0.2)
(15.6)

3 Mth
(29.4)
(29.9)
4.1
(20.8)
(18.6)
(12.3)
(7.7)
(7.4)

1 Yr
26.9
(21.7)
303.7
51.9
23.3
72.0
62.3
14.3

P/E'13
18.2
16.7
31.0
23.3
15.3
31.4
28.7
40.5
26.7

Consensus
P/E'14
15.4
14.2
23.5
20.2
13.4
26.0
24.2
36.7
22.6

Target Price
4,884
52,213
4,525
11,439
7,910
1,487
36,883
25,777.7

% Upside
29.4
29.2
2.8
13.3
24.6
10.1
11.9
(11.7)

% to JCI
1.6
2.0
0.3
1.5
1.4
1.7
0.6
5.7
13.3

1 Dy
0.0
(4.2)
(7.9)

Price Performance (%)

1 Wk
1 Mth
0.9
(15.2)
(8.1)
(10.8)
(12.1)
(15.3)

3 Mth
(37.1)
21.7
(24.2)

1 Yr
(17.0)
156.5
(1.7)

P/E'13
19.8
n.a
16.5
18.1

Consensus
P/E'14
15.7
n.a
14.5
15.1

Target Price
7,683.4
n.a
1,522.7

% Upside
31.3
n.a
31.3

% to JCI
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.8

Last Price (Rp)

50
1,090
1,370
540

Last Price (Rp)

5,950
2,225
5,350

Buying Power Sensitive Stocks

Consumer
Codes
CPIN
GGRM
ULTJ
ICBP
INDF
KLBF
MYOR
UNVR
Retail
Codes
MAPI
MPPA
RALS

Last Price (Rp)

3,775
40,400
4,400
10,100
6,350
1,350
32,950
29,200

Last Price (Rp)

5,850
2,275
1,160

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