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Maths Probability Limit Theorems

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Most important limit theorems in probability are ``law of large numbers' and ''central limit theorems``. Law of large numbers describes the asymptotic behavior of the averages , where

is a sequence of random variables whereas central limit theorems describe the asymptotic behavior of appropriately scaled sum of random variables. To describe the asymptotic behavior, for example in law of large numbers, one should define the meaning of

i.e. one need to talk about convergence of random variables. There are multiple ways one can define convergence of sequence of random variables.

is said to converges almost surely if

If

converges to

a.s.

is said to converge to

moment. Then we have for each

th

Proof. Set

Then we have

Then for each

by

There are two types of law of large numbers, weak law of large numbers and strong law of large numbers. Weak law of large numbers describe the asymptotic behavior of averages of random variables using convergence in probability and strong law of large numbers describe limit of averages of random variables using almost sure convergence.

Let

and identically distributed random variables, each having finite mean converges in probability to . i.e., for each ,

where

we get

Therefore

Let

and identically distributed random variables, each having finite mean Then

Proof:

(8.0.1)

Since

Therefore

This completes the proof. As an application we show that any continuous function can be approximated by Bernstein polynomials.

polynomials

Fix

. Let

random

is Binomial

Set

Then

a.s. as

and

where

such that

Here we use the fact that every continuous function defined on dominated convergence theorem (Theorem 6.0.31), we get

i.e.

For

and

Let

For

(8.0.5)

where the second inequality uses the fact that identically distributed. For each fixed values of , for sufficiently large ,

is close to

Hence for

(8.0.7) Consider

(8.0.8)

The last two equalities follows from l'Hospital's rule in view of Theorem 7.0.35. Combining (8.0.6), (8.0.6) and (8.0.6), we get, for each

For

, we have

(8.0.9) Hence using Theorem 7.0.38, we have from (7.0.38), we complete the proof. As a corollary to Central limit theorem, one can get DeMoivre-Laplace limit theorem.

be Bernoulli

variables, then

random

we get DeMoivre-Laplace limit theorem. One can use central limit theorem to get the normal approximation formula. Under the hypothesis of central limit theorem, we have

i.e.

(8.0.10) Here means ``approximately equal to''. Let be an independent and identically distributed Bernoulli a non negative integer,

Example 8.0.46

where

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