30/Sep.

/2013 Knowing how eager you are to participate in a binomial experiment weve prepared an example that requires you to take the following QUIZ-QUIZ Answer each of the following. There are 4 choices for each questions, one of which is correct. 1. Whats the 11th digit after the decimal point for the irrational number e? a)2 b)7 c)4 d)5 2. What was the Dow Jones Industrial Average on February 27, 1993? a)3265 b)3174 c)3285 d)3327 3. How many students from Sir Lanka studied at US universities is 1990 to 1991? a)2320 b)2350 c)2360 d)2240 4. How many kidney transplant operations were performed in 1991? a)2946 b)8472 c)9943 d)7341 5. The American Heritage Dictionary (2nd college adition) has how many word? a)60,000 b)80,000 c)75,000 d)83,000 QUIZ-QUIZ 5 questions Binomial Probability: The probability of achieving exactly k successes in n trials in shown below. Formula P(k successes in n trials)= ( ) n: number of trials K: number of success n-k: number of failures p: probability of success in one trial. q: (1-p) Probability of failure in one trial. P(k=0)=5C0 P(k=1)=5C1 P(k=2)=5C2 P(k=3)=5C3 P(k=4)=5C4 P(k=5)=5C5 = 0.2373 = 0.3455 = 0.2637 = 0.0879 = 0.0146 = 0.0010

X P(x)

0 0.2373

1 0.3455

2 0.2637

3 0.0879

4 0.0146

5 0.0010

1/sep./2013 Example:
You are taking a 10 question multiple choice test. If each question has four choices and you guess on each question, what is the probability of getting exactly 7 questions correct? n = 10 k=7 nk=3 p = 0.25 = probability of guessing the correct answer on a question q = 0.75 = probability of guessing the wrong answer on a question

October 7, 13

5q question quiz

Whats the probability to get at least 3 correctly guessing questions?

2 outcomes n=5 P(x>=3)=0.0879+0.0146+0.0010=0.1035

Binomial Distribution Formulas: Variance Mean

p+q=1 p: success q: failure

Example: According to a magazine, 37.5% of the college students in USA use a personal computer. If 20 students are selected at random, whats the expected number who uses a computer? Variance? Standard deviation? Mean?

N= (20) M=(20)(.375)=7.5 = (20)(.375)(.625)=4.6875

October 8, 13

Binomial Distribution -> Discrete probability distribution (people, defects, failures, 1,2, 3,4, 5) 2 Outcomes: success (p), failure (q)

Normal Distribution-> Continuous probability distribution (measurements, length, weight= 1.2, 1.25, 1.257, 1.999) 3 Characteristics:

1. Continuous 2. Gaussian distribution, bell shaped (symmetrical)

Formula:

1. Whats the rea under the normal curve between vertical lines drawn at z=-1.73 and z=2.45

Table

Table

Computing Probabilities for any Normally distributed Variable: Example 1. If x is normally distributed variable with mean=24, and Standard deviation=3. Whats the Zscore that corresponds to a x=19

-1.67

Example 2. If x is normally distributed variable with M=150, and Standard deviation=24. Whats the Zscore that corresponds to a x=182

1.33

Example 3. If x is normally distributed variable with =100, and Standard deviation=15. Whats the Zscore that corresponds to a 70<x<130

*Using the table: z1=-2.0=.0228 z2=2.0= .9772 -.0228 = .9544

Z1

Z2

Normal Distribution, Examples: Example 5. According to the American Journal of Nutrition, the mean midarm muscle cirunference (MAMC) for Males is normally distributed random variable, with a a M=273mm and the MAMC for Clark Kant(superman) has been measured at 341mm. Whats the probability that a male in the population will have a MAMC measure greater than Clarks 341mm? Example 6. Whats the Zscores value for the following areas under a Normal curve:

a)
0.4370

b)
.4808

c)
0.5 0.4

Example 7. Scores for a particular civil service exam are Normally distributed with a M=137 points and points. Applicants for civil service jobs must take this test, and the top 10% can be offered jobs. Whats the cutoff score that separate the highest 10% of the test scores of the other, that is whats the 90th percentile rank on this exam? Example 8. The time it takes members of the track team at Fasttrack University to run a 1-mile course is normally distributed with a M=5.6min, and The coach has decided that 5% of the team who can run the course in the least time will be sent to participate in a National track meet. Whats the cutoff score that will decide which member of the team will qualify? Example 1. A manufacturing problem of accurately matching parts such as shafts that fit into a value hole, the sizes of both of these are having a Normal distribution. Suppose that a particular design requires a shaft with a diameter of 22,000 mm, but shafts with diameters between 21, 900 and 22, 010 mm are acceptable. Also suppose that the manufacturing process yields shafts with a M= 22,002 mm and Find: 1) the probability of an acceptable shaft? 2) The diameter, which will be exceeded by only 2% of the shafts? BINOMIAL EXAMPLES: Example 1. A survey from Teenage research found that 30% of the teenagers consumers receive their spending money from part time jobs. If 5 teenagers are selected at random find the probability that at least 3 of them will have part time jobs.

Example 2. A coin is tossed 4 times. Find the Mean(M), Standard deviation the number of heads that will be obtained?

, of