Roadmap for Transport Infrastructure Development for Metro Manila and Its Surrounding Areas (Region III and

Region IV-A)
Summary of the Outputs

12 September 2013

Technical Assistance from the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)

 Contents
Study Scope and Process Regional Development Issues Regional Development Direction Urban Issues of Metro Manila Mega Manila Transport Dream Plan Short-term Investment Program (2014-2016) Draft Final Report

 Study scope and process

Objectives

To formulate Transportation Infrastructure Roadmap for sustainable development of Metro Manila region Dream Plan (2030) and Short-term (20142016) March August 2013 1st Inter-agency Meeting (5 April) NEDA Infra Staff Meeting (21 May) 2nd Inter-agency Meeting (23 May) Meeting with DPWH Secretary (10 June) Meeting with DOTC Secretary (13 June) Meeting with MMDA Chairman (13 June) NEDA Infra Staff Meeting (24 June) Meeting with Donors (July 5) INFRACOM Meeting (30 July) Meeting with DOTC Secretary (7 August) Meeting with DPWH Secretary (15 August) Meeting with DOTC Secretary (6 September)

GCR: Metro Manila, Region III, Region IV-A Mega Manila: Metro Manila, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite Metro Manila : 17 cities/municipality

Nueva Ecija

Tarlac

Aurora
100km

Region III
Pampanga
Bulacan
50km

Study Period

Meeting and Discussions

Metro Manila

Rizal

Cavite Batangas

Laguna

Region IV-A
3

Regional Development Issues

 Study area profile

Metro Manila shares 35.5% of countrys GRDP Greater Capital Region (GCR) shares 62.0% of countrys GRDP
GRDP (value & growth rate) GRDP/capita (value & growth rate)

Population (no. & growth rate)

Legend
Primary Secondary Tertiary

Metro Manila

R-III

R-IV-A Visayas Mindanao

Metro Manila

R-III

R-IV-A Visayas Mindanao

Metro Manila

R-III

R-IV-A Visayas Mindanao

 Regional development issues

Region III & IV-A

Metro Manila

Developments are in progress in selected locations (Clark, Subic, Tarlac, others) with uncoordinated and unsynchronized pattern of urban growth.

Concentration of the activities and wealth in Metro Manila continues while the benefits do not spillover sufficiently to outer regions. Carrying capacity of Metro Manila is being reached; traffic congestions worsen, pollutions increase, hazard risk increase, population density reaches very high level; sustainable growth threatened. Low income groups suffer more seriously.

Economic development potentials are untapped (agro-based, manufacturing, tourism)

High logistics costs along SCMB (SubicClark-MManila-Batangas) corridor where more than 80% of total national cargo throughput concentrate. (Philippine Development Plan 2011 - 2016)

Metro Manilas problems can no longer be solved within Metro Manila. BRLC provinces must be prepared to avoid negative impact of Metro Manilas urbanization. BRLC and Region III and Region IV must work out effective ways to maximize the impacts of Metro Manila and mitigate Metro Manilas problems.

Regional Development Direction

 Vision and key interventions

GCR as tri-engine of growth with GPS for the country

Gate to wellspring of hope Place for livable communities Space for dynamic business centers
Key interventions

Integrated transport and urban and rural mobility Disaster preparedness and resilience Environment and high-quality public space Affordable housing policy and delivery Land use management and development control

 Key development strategies

Changing Socio-economic Environment Growing economy and affluence Increasing demand for better living environment and QOL Changing behavior of the people Metro Manila Level Promote planned and guided expansion of urban areas toward adjoining provinces (specially Bulacan and Cavite) in integration with public transport services Provide affordable housing and improved living environment for low income groups, those residing in high hazard risk areas and slums/squatter areas Retrofit existing urban areas in integration with public transport (Transit Oriented Development) Expand and improve multi-modal public transport network and services Strengthen traffic and demand management including control of private car use
9

Regional Level Accelerate economic growth through expansion of manufacturing, BPO, services and tourism Protect prime agricultural areas for food security Avoid urban sprawl , especially in hazard risk areas Promote growth of regional centers Strengthen connectivity between the region and Metro Manila, and among growth centers in the region Improve public transport services and logistics in the region

 Changes in spatial structure of Greater Capital Region(GCR)

Today
150km
Baler Palayan

Future
150km
Baler

125km
Tarlac Cabamatuan

100km
Mabalacat

Development of hierarchical regional centers/clusters

Economic development

125km
Tarlac

Palayan Cabanatuan

100km
Mabalacat Angels

Gapan

75km
San Fernando

75km
San Fernando Lubao Baliuag Malolos Meycauayan Balanga Sta.Maria San Jose Del Monte Rodriguez San Mateo Antipolo Cainta Taytay Binangonan San Pedro Sta. Rosa Binan Cabuyao Calamba Tagaytay

50km
Olongapo Balanga Malolos

Agro-based Manufacturing Services, BPO

Olongapo

25km

Bacoor Imus Gen. Trias

Sta. Maria San Jose Del Monte Rodriguez San Mateo Antipolo Cainta Taytay Binangonan

50km

25km

Tourism, others

San Pedro Sta. Rosa Binan Dasmarinas Cabuyao

Sta Cruz

Improved connectivity

Bacoor Imus Gen. Trias Dasmarinas Trece Martires

Sta Cruz

Calamba
San Pabro

Tanauan Lipa

San Pablo Tayabas

Metropolis Provincial Capital Urban center City population

Lipa

Lucena

Batangas

Regional Center Sub-regional Center Urban Center City population

Lucena

Batangas

10

 Gateway airports and seaports

Gateway Airports
Clark Airport(DMIA)

Gateway Seaports

100km

Port Area
MICT (ICTSI)
NAIA New NAIA (tentative)

Capacity
1,500,000 850,000 600,000 400,00

South (ATI) Subic Batangas

Development of New NAIA (existing NAIA will be closed and converted for New CBD

Shift cargo-handling function of Metro Manila to Subic and Batangas Regenerate Manila Port to high value-added diversified waterfront areas

Development of CLARK (core airport for central and northern cluster; alternative to New NAIA)

11

 Proposed transport network for GCR

Transport as a catalyst to:

Proposed Transport Network for GCR

Transport network in the region must be:

integrate cities, growth centers, gateways, urban and rural areas within a region facilitate local economic development, enhance social integrity, and promote environmental sustainability facilitate planned/guided urban growth and expansion of Metro Manila

Main components

hierarchical multimodal disaster-resilient intelligent service-oriented, rather than hard infrastructure

improve gateway ports (Subic & Batangas) and airport (CLARK) north-south transport backbone expressway & mass-transit) secondary roads for Region III & Region IV-A
12

 Impact of proposed transport network (estimated travel time from Manila)

Today Future (Dream Plan)

60 min 90 min 120 min 150 min

13

Urban Issues of Metro Manila

 Rapid growth of Metro Manila

Metro Manila (2010)

(Tokyo/23 wards) (621km2 ) (146pax/ha)

Expansion of Urban Area

Area620 km2 Population density 191 pax/ha Seoul : 170 Jakarta : 131 Shanghai : 124

Population11.86 mil (9.05 mil)

Population Density (persons/ha)

16,000

(000)

15,486
13,425 13,904 13,109

12,000
7,929 5,926
5,005

9,933 7,970

11,858 11,170

8,000

4,000

3,396

Mmanila

1980

BRLC (Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite)

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

Tokyo 1920-1960 MManila 1950-1990 1990-2010

3.3 8.3 mil (5 mil) 1.6 7.9 mil (6.3 mil) 7.9 - 11.9 mil (4 mil)
15

Core issue #1 : Management of population distribution and spatial expansion is the key for sustainable development of Metro Manila.
Continuous population inflow to MManila: additional 1.8 million by 2030 if current trend continues. Population density increased from 158 person/ha to 195 person/ha between 1996 and 2010. Growth in peri-urban areas (BRLC): additional 3.9 million by 2030
Population Distribution Population Growth Population Density

Earthquake

Flood

Expansion of urban area should be directed the north-south, because lands in the east and west are high risk of hazard.

16

Core issue #2: Increasing hazard risk and degrading environment

No. of households living in hazard areas

High risk areas: 1.4 mil. (GCR), 0.5 mil. (MManila) Moderate risk areas: 1.8 mil. (GCR), 0.7 mil. (MManila)

No. of ISFs living along waterways; 60,130 (MManila)

No. of ISFs in priority waterways; 19,440 (San Juan River, Manggahan Floodway, Estero Tripa de Gallina, Maricaban Creek, Tullahan River, Pasig River, Estero de Maypajo, Estero de Sunog Apog)

Where and how they can be resettled?

17

 Core issue #3: Need for affordable housing

Affordable housing needs (Metro Manila 2006)

Distribution of Informal Settlers

Backlog: 800,000 households

Resettlement: 300,000
Upgrading: 500,000

18

 Core issue #4 : Traffic congestion

Traffic demand and impact (Mega Manila)
Traffic demand Metro Manila (mil. trips/day BRLC* Public transport share in total demand Occupancy of road space by private vehicles Transport cost Metro Manila (Php bil./day) BRLC Air quality GHG Metro Manila (mil. Tons/year) PM GHG BRLC PM
*Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite

2012 12.8 6.0 69% 78% 2.4 1.0 4.79 0.014 3.20 0.005

2030 14.5 8.0 69% 78% 6.0 3.5 5.72 0.019 4.49 0.010

30/12 1.13 1.33 1.00 1.00 2.50 3.50 1.19 1.36 1.40 2.00

2030 Do Nothing
Volume/ Capacity Ratio
V/C > 1.50 (beyond capacity) V/C = 1.00 1.50 (at & above capacity) V/C = 0.75 1.00 (reaching capacity) V/C < 0.75 (below capacity)

Hourly Traffic Distribution on MManila Roads 1)

7% 6%
% of Daily Traffic
Direction1 Direction 2 2-way

5% 4% 3%

2% 1% 0%
02 07 13 19 24

1) Results from 11 survey stations, 2012

19

 Popular traffic congestion scenes in daily life of Metro Manila

20

 Core issue #5 : Paradigm shift of spatial structure

From radial/circumferential to ladder type

Dedensification of congested urban center Guided expansion of peri-urban areas

1977 Metro Plan

Development of sub-centers
Recovery of open space Redevelopment of central areas
Conventional Proposed

21

 Regional development concept: Integrated, Innovative and Inclusive

Region III
REGIONAL GROWTH CENTER (SUBIC-CLARK-TARLAC) The rest of the country

MEGA MANILA Urban/Suburban Rail

PLANNED URBAN EXPANSIONN (Bulacan)

Expressway

Integration of regional development clusters; Metro Manila, Peri-urban areas in Bulacan, Cavite, Lagna, Subic-Clark-Tarlac and Batangas-Lipa-Lucena with northsouth transport backbones (expressway and suburban rail) Accommodation of ISFs living in high hazard risk areas and those who need affordable housing in planned new urban areas with good accessibility and living environment in Bulacan, Cavite and Laguna areas. Retrofitting/regeneration of existing urban areas in integration with transportation development (port areas, NAIA, water front, others)
22

METRO-MANILA
INNER-CITY REDEVEROPMENT/

REVITALIZATION
AFFORDABLE HOUSING REHABILITAION OF DISASTER

PRONE AREAS

PLANNED URBAN EXPANSIONN (Cavite, Laguna)

Region IV -A
REGIONAL GROWTH CENTER (BATANGAS-LIPA-LUCENA)

The rest of the country

 Integrated development: Suburban rail + new town (experiences of Japan)

Kohoku New Town

Tsukuba Science City

To curb unorganized development by private sector Location: 25km from Tokyo and 12km from Yokohama city center Area2,500ha; Popn180,000(2013)

To dedensify population density of Tokyo Relocation of R&D and education facilities Location: 50km from Tokyo, 40km from Narita International Airport Area28,400 ha; Central part2,700 ha Population216,300 (2011)

23

 Opportunities exist for large-scale new towns

Availability of large-scale properties along the north-south corridor

Active subdivision developments by private sector

Distribution of Large-scale Privately-owned Properties

Palayan Tarlac Cabanatuan Gapan

125km

3,600ha

100km

Decree to provide 20% of total units for low cost housing

Angels

1,000ha
San Fernand

75km

45ha 100ha
50km

(1230) Formulate a PPP model based on Population increase 85ha control and guidance Metro Manila: 1.8 million
Malolos San Jose Del Monte Meycauayan Balanga

25km

Public: planning and enforcement, north-south mass transit, access to stations, basic infrastructure, public facilities Private: housing (resettlement, low to medium cost), commercial/business facilities, industrial parks, relocation of universities

BRLC: 3.9 million

Bacoor Imus

Antipolo

Where and how to 6,800ha resettle them? 100ha 260ha

Dasmarinas Trece Martires Sta. Rosa Cabuyao Calamba Tagaytay

1,500ha

88ha

1,000ha

Tanauan

San Pablo

400ha

600ha
Lipa

100ha 100ha

Tayabas Lucena

342ha
Batangas

50ha

24

 Core issue #6: Need for improved urban management

Coordinated and integrated growth management strategy

Transport and traffic

Transport, land use and environment

Updated land use plan and zoning regulations Enforcement and development control Strategy and more effective crosssector approach to curb urban sprawl and promote urban expansion in integration with mass-transit

Land use and hazard risk reduction

Technical/ physical coordination and integration of transport infrastructures and facilities Role of LGUs; Row acquisition, articulated secondary/ local roads, more attention to sidewalks/ pedestrian friendly facilities, local traffic management, opening up of selected roads within gated communities, promotion of NMT, support to public transport More effective involvement of stakeholders for traffic enforcement, awareness enhancement

25

Mega Manila Transport Dream Plan

 What is Dream Plan?

No traffic congestion No households living in high hazard risk areas

No barrier for seamless mobility

No excessive transport cost burden for low-income groups No air pollution

27

 Main components of dream plan

At-grade roads (urban roads)

Missing links: C3, C5, bridges and others 137km of new roads Flyovers Sidewalks and pedestrian facilities Intercity expressway (426 km) Urban expressway network (78 km) Main lines: 246 km (6 lines) Secondary lines: 72 km (5 lines) Integrated lines and improved accessibility Modern fleet and operation Rationalized route structure Improved terminals/interchange facilities Traffic signals (ITS) Traffic safety Traffic environment and education
28

Expressways

Urban/Suburban rail

Bus/Jeepneys

Traffic management

 Main transport network at metropolitan level

Suburban/Urban Rail Projects Road/Expressway Projects

To strengthen northsouth transport axis to guide future urban expansion To promote shift from road-based traffic to rail-based mass transit To strengthen network resilience through integrated multi-modal transport system (urban roads, expressways and rail-transit including MRT, LRT, AGT and BRT)

29

29

Main transport network in the central areas

Suburban/Urban Rail Projects Road/Expressway Projects

30

 Truly integrated urban mass-transit network is a must

Demand for Mass-transit in Mega Manila
2012 Ridership BRLC (mil./day) Total Metro Manila 1.5 0 1.5 2030 7.4 2.1 9.1 30/12 4.9 6.1

Distribution of Mass-transit Demand (Dream Plan, 2030)

Hierarchical railway network PNR/AER (suburban/urban backbone) Primary urban Secondary urban Impact of integration (common fare) Ridership increase: +20% Bus/jeepney ridership increase: + 2% Impact on road traffic: - 4% Expected modal share in 2030 (MManila) Railway: 41 % (person trip-km) Bus/Jeepney: 33% Car: 26 % Railway share of other successful cities Yokohama (46%) Tokyo (62%), Singapore (20%), Hong Kong (25%) New York (24%)
Note: excluding walk trips

Cross section Pax No./day

100,000 200,000 300,000 31

 Mass-transit systems and TOD for improved mobility (examples)

Commuter rail (Odakyu Line)

Tokyo Metro (MRT)

Total length of railway in Tokyo metropolitan 3,000km

Station plaza (interchange facilities) (Kawasaki)

LRT Greenmover (Hiroshima)

Monorail (Chiba)

LRT & feeder bus (Toyama)

BRT (Gifu city)

Guideway Bus (Nagoya) Monorail (integrated with commercial/ other building) (Kokura) Linear motor car (Aichi)
32

 Mega Manila commuter service expansion program

Objectives

Project (Malolos - Calamba)

To strengthen connectivity between Metro Manila and adjoining municipalities in Region III and IV-A To establish a competitive (high quality and capacity) north south public transport backbone To guide urban development of new urban centers along the route to meet large resettlement demands

Route length; 91 km (total) Elevated with modern high capacity train Future extension to CLARK and the rest of Luzon island

Program components

Coordinated design and construction of railway, expressway and at-grade roads for maximum Impacts utilization of existing PNR ROW Improved traffic management along the route Planning and implementation of TOD and landuse management

no level crossings at main roads

landuse are connected at-grade urban roads created

Key considerations

Technical adjustment of expressways and rail structures and institutional coordination between/among relevant organizations to ensure efficient railway operation and services.
33

 CBD transit system development

Need for strengthening transit access to/from CBD Strengthen Network connectivity of rail network Vitalize CBD activities

EDSA Subway (San Jose Del Monte Dasmarinas)

34

 Urban expressways
Role of urban expressway

Distribution of Expressway Demand (Dream Plan, 2030)

Attract long-trip vehicle traffic from at-grade urban roads Provide congestion free fast travel to those who are willing to pay for such service Strengthen network resilience

Should be integrated in terms of:

Physical (between expressways, and with urban roads)

Toll system Operational and management
Cross section traffic demand 30,000 pcu 60,000 pcu SLEX

35

 Road-based public transport modernization

Roads and railways will be insufficient in solving traffic congestion . . . 71% of trips today and 30 % in 2030 still rely on buses and jeepneys . . . Bus modernization program

Comprehensive approach is necessary to modernize bus system and services Bus fleet, bus terminals, route planning, fare setting and collection are all interrelated.

Need for a participatory study

Bus exclusive lane

Jeepney modernization program

Improvement of vehicles (safety, air pollution) Improvement of operation and management

Shift to low emission vehicles (LEVs)

Infrastructure: terminals, interchange facilities Route rationalization
Modern bus and facilities

Bus/jeepney support program

Subsidy

Need for a comprehensive road-based public transport study

Improvement of jeepney terminals

36

 Traffic management : Smart Traffic (TEAM 5) Program

Traffic management is the most fundamental action to maximize capacities and use of available infrastructure in the most efficient and effective manner.
Capacity building: enforcement and education Infrastructure/facilities: signaling, intersection improvement, flyovers, parking, IT, others Traffic safety Demand management Pedestrian/NMT environment improvement
Intelligent Parking Road Maintenance Scheduling & Monitoring Bus Scheduling Assistance

Component of intelligent transport system (example)

Incident Detection

Signal Control Systems

Electronic Road Pricing

Travel Time Prediction

Transit Priority

37

Car sharing at convenience store

Electric vehicle and charging station

Bus stop facilities with billboard business

Personal urban mobility car Park & Ride facilities

Mobile navigation system for rail

Community Cycle (Bicycle sharing)

Pedestrian zone

Automated ticketing system

Mechanical multistorey parking

38

 Projects of Dream Plan (1)

Suburban/Urban Rail Projects
Project Mega Manila North-South Commuter Railway (Malolos Calamba, Elevated) Malolos-Tarlac & Calamba-Batangas Line_1-3 Upgrades Existing Lines North (to Malabon) LRT 1 South (to Dasmarinas)* Main Lines LRT 2 East (to Antipolo)* Length (km) 91.3 128.8 47.2 2.7 30.2 13.2 4.7 9.4 26.1 68.6 Cost (Php mil.) Status

Road/Expressway Projects
Length Cost (km) (Php mil.) C3 Missing Link (Sanjuan - Makati)* 5.9 24,000 Project C5 Missing Link Pasig River Bridge (BGC Ortigas)* Skyway-FTI-C5 Connector* Other Interchanges/Flyovers Other Urban Roads NCR (Secondary Roads Package) BRCL (Secondary Road Package) Region III (Sec Roads - Approx.) Region IV-A (Sec Roads Approx.) Road Total SEG 9 & 10/ connection to R10* NLEX-SLEX Connector* Skyway Stage 3* NAIA Expressway Phase2* Pasay - Makati BGC Sta. Mesa - Pasig (Shaw Boulevard) CALA Exp. (Bacoor - Sta. Rosa)* Other Expressways Expressways Upgrade Expressway Total Roads & Expressway Total 6.9 1.2 3.0 6.7 32.9 208.4 432.2 200.0 400.0 1,297 8 13.3 13.3 7.1 9.3 Status Proposed Committed/ 680 Proposed Proposed

195,520 Proposed 47,680 Proposed 62,040 Proposed 9,960 Proposed Committed 111,640 / Proposed Committed 61,640 / Proposed 30,840 Proposed 68,600 Proposed 128,360 Committed 514,160 Proposed

8,120

West (to MM North Harbor) MRT 3 Ext. (to Malabon & MoA) MRT-7 (Recto-Comm.Av.- Banaba)*

17,880 Committed 8,040 Committed 2,400 Committed 145,760 Proposed 82,360 Proposed 16,000 Proposed 32,000 337,240 8,600 18,800 9,000 15,000 24,200 Proposed Committed Committed Committed Committed Proposed

N-S Subway (Dasmarinas East - San Jose Delmonte) Total Primary (Incl. Upgrade) Total Main Ortigas - Angono Paco - Pateros Marikina - Katipunan Alabang - Zapote Zapote Cavite Gen Trias Total Secondary Total Metro Rail Secondary Lines
*Short term project

202.1 987,240 422.2 1,230,440 13.7 31,720 Proposed 11.3 33,800 Proposed 16.8 31,480 Proposed 9.3 13,400 Proposed 20.6 25,560 Proposed 71.1 135,960 493.9 1,366,400

Expressway

Road

7.1
47.2 388.3 208.4 702 1,999

23,440

Proposed

30,200 Committed Committed/ 221,840 Proposed 33,040 Proposed 384,120 721,360

 Projects of Dream Plan (2)

A. Airports
Name of Project Amount (Php million) 4,240 6,800 40,000 140,500 191,040 Status

C. Traffic Management Projects

Name of Project 1. Modernization of traffic signaling system * 2. ITS & Other Road safety Interventions 3. Pedestrian Facilities Traffic Management / Capacity Expansion -Total Amount (Php million) Status

a. NAIA Improvement airside package* b. NAIA improvements landside package* a. Clark improvement - airside package* 2. Clark b. Clark improvement landside package* c. Clark Future Development 3. New NAIA Airport Infrastructure Total
1. NAIA

Committed Committed Committed Committed Proposed Proposed -

5,000 Committed 2,800 Proposed 2,000 Proposed 9,800

B. Ports
Name of Project 1. Replacement of North Harbor 2. Other regional Ports 3. Other Port Program* Port Projects Total Amount (Php Status million) 40,000 Proposed 2,000 Proposed 12,080 Proposed 54,080 -

D. Road-based Public Transport

Name of Project 1. ITS (3 Provincial Bus Terminals)* Amount (Php million) Status

2. 2-BRT Lines*
3. Jeepney Fleet Modernization 4. Urban Bus Fleet Modernization Road-based Public Transport

6,320 Committed 7,000 Proposed 30,000 Proposed 25,000 Proposed 68,320 -

Sub-total (A-D) PhP 323 billion ( USD8.1 billion)

*Short term project

Total Investment Program for Transport: Php 2,411 billion (USD 60.3 billion)
40

 Impact of the Dream Plan on road traffic in 2030

Volume/ Capacity Ratio 2030

V/C > 1.50 (beyond capacity) V/C = 1.00 1.50 (at & above capacity) V/C = 0.75 1.00 (reaching capacity) V/C < 0.75 (below capacity)

Impact of Dream Plan

Indicators Metro Manila Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite Transport demand (mil. person-km/day) Transport Cost (Php bil./day) GHG (mil. Tons/year) Air PM (mil. Tons/year) quality Nox (mil. Tons/year) Transport demand (mil. person-km/day) Transport Cost (Php bil./day) GHG (mil. Tons/year) Air PM (mil. Tons/year) quality Nox (mil. Tons/year) 2030 152.3 1.38 3.99 0.005 0.040 115.2 0.84 3.15 0.003 0.031 %Change from 2012 15.4% -41.5% -16.7% -64.3% -18.4% 18.9% -15.2% -1.60% -40.0% -3.10%

41

 Preliminary evaluation of Dream Plan Total investment cost up to 2030: Php 2,411 bil. (US$ 60.3 bil.)
Economic impact: VOC saving: Php 2.1 bil./day = Php 630 bil./year Time cost saving: Php 1.9 bil./day = Php 570 bil./year Financial impact: Toll and fare revenue: Php 397 mil./day = Php 119 bil./year Social impact: Public transport fare saving: Php 18/person/day (from Php 42 to Php 24) Travel time reduction: 55 min./persontrip (from 80 min. to 25 min.) Environmental impact: Reduction in GHG: 5,760 ton/day (from 19,100 to 13,300 ton/day) Reduction in PM: 47 ton/day (from 63 to 16 ton/day Reduction in NOx: 65 ton/day (from 197 to 132 ton/day)
42

 Impact of Dream Plan (estimated travel time from Manila)

Today Future (Dream Plan)

43

Short-term investment program (2014-2016)

 Criteria for selecting priority projects

Consistency with policies and strategies: Projects must be consistent with the chosen policy, must optimize use of existing assets (such as traffic engineering and management, as well as new roads that improve overall network connectivity and efficiency), and must promote public transport usage take precedence over projects that encourage private cars. Doability or high possibility of being completed or of starting construction on or before 2016. This implies a high degree of project maturity, e.g., availability of feasibility studies, and a bias for clearing the backlog of unimplemented transport infrastructure. Robustness : Ability of the project in resolving present and future capacity constraints.

45

 Short-term Program (2014 2016)

A. Roads
Name of Project 1. Missing Links of C5 a. Flyover on CP Garcia in Sucat b. Coastal Rd/C5 Extn. South Flyover c. C5 South Extn. Flyover at SLEX 2. Global City-Ortigas Link Road 3. Skyway/FTI/C5 Link Amount (Php Mil.) Status 251 Committed 210 Committed 235 Proposed 8,120 Proposed 17,880 Committed

B. Expressways
Name of Project 1. Daang Hari-SLEX Link Tollroad a. Link Expressway (MNTC) 2. NLEX-SLEX b. Skyway 3 section (Citra) Connectors c. Common section (DPWH) d. Seg. 9&10, and connection to R10 3. NAIA Expressway, phase 2 4. CALA Expressway, stages 1 and 2 5. CLLEX Phase I (La Paz, Tarlac Cabanatuan) 6. Calamba-Los Baos Expressway 7. C6 extension Lakeshore Dike Road 8. Segment 8.2 of NLEx to Comm. Expressways Total Amount (Php Mil.) Status 2,000 Committed 7,800 Committed

9,000 Committed
11,000 Committed 8,600 Committed 15,520 Committed 14,232 Committed 12,833 Committed 16,900 Proposed 43,380 Proposed 7,000 Proposed 148,265 -

4. C3 Missing Links (S. Juan to Makati (Sta Ana oval))

5. EDSA Rehabilitation 6. Plaridel Bypass, packages 3 & 4 7. Metro a. C4 EDSA-Taft Ave. to Roxas Blvd. Manila Interchanges b. C4: Roosevelt/Congressional c. C4: West Ave. /North /Flyovers Ave./Mindano Ave. d. C5: Greenmeadows/Acropolis e. C5: Pasig-Bagong Ilog f. C2: Gov Forbes/Espana Roads Total

24,000 Proposed
3,744 Committed 900 Committed 2,430 Committed 941 Committed 1,502 Committed 1,575 Committed 435 Committed 1,070 Committed 63,293 -

C. Other Roads
Name of Project 1. Secondary Road Packages 2. Preparatory studies for several projects 3. Other Central Luzon Road Projects 4. Other Southern Luzon Road Projects Other Roads Total Amount (Php Mil.) Status 69,100 Proposed 500 Proposed 16,000 Committed 36,360 Committed 121,960 46

 D. Railways
Name of Project 1. LRT1 - Cavite Extension (Niyog) 2. LRT2 - East Extension 3. MRT3 Capacity Expansion 4. MRT 7 stage1 (Quezon Ave. Commonwealth Ave.) 5. AFCS Common Ticketing System 6. System Rehabilitations for LRT1 and 2 7. Mega Manila NorthSouth Commuter Railway a. AER Phase 1 (Malolos-Manila) b. South Com. Stg.1 (Manila-Calamba) c. Remedial for Phase 1 of NS Rail Link Amount (Php Mil.) Status

F. Traffic Management Projects

Name of Project 1. Modernization of traffic signalling system 2. Systematic Road Safety Interventions 3. Comprehensive Traffic Management Study Traffic Management Projects Total Amount Status (Php Mil.) 5,000 Committed 1,000 Proposed 50 Proposed 6,050 -

30,764 Committed 9,446 Committed 10,200 Committed 51,870 Committed 1,722 Committed 4,500 Committed Proposed 24,800 Committed Proposed 120 Proposed 75 Proposed 146,897 -

G. Airports
Name of Project a. NAIA Improvement airside package b. NAIA improvements landside package a. Clark improvement - airside package 2. Clark b. Clark improvement landside package 3. Feasibility Study of a New NAIA Airport Infrastructure Total Amount (Php Mil.) Status Committed Committed Committed 6,802 Committed 50 Proposed 11,125 -

1. NAIA

4,249

8. Metro Manila CBD Transit System Project Study 9. F/S of New Transport System (e.g. Monorail , AGT) Railways Total

H. Ports*
Name of Project 1. Projects for North Harbor 2. Projects for South Harbor 3. MICT 4. Feasibility Study of NH Redevelopment 5. Other ports Port Projects Total Amount (Php Mil.) 6,000 1,000 4,000 75 1,010 12,085 Status Committed Committed Committed Proposed Proposed -

E. Road-based public Transport

Name of Project 1. ITS (3 Provincial Bus Terminals) 2. Public Road Passenger Transport Reform Study 3. BRT System 1 Road-based Public Transport Amount (Php Mil.) 60 3,500 9,860 Status 6,300 Committed Proposed Proposed -

*Planned expansion projects recommended for rescheduling to promote diversion of cargo to Batangas
and Subic ports as well as decongest roads of Metro Manila.

Short-term Program (2014 2016) = Php 520 billion

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 Locations of short-term projects

Main Roads/Expressways/Etc.
Malolos

Urban/Suburban Rails

Calamba
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 Budget Envelop
2014-16 Short-term Plan, 2014-2016
545,000 540,000 535,000 530,000 525,000 520,000 515,000 510,000 505,000 500,000 510,991
(Php million) 350,000 300,000 250,000
(Php million)

2017-22 7.5 105,936 5,297 3,045 2,649 1,523

2023-30 5.0 195,904 9,795 5,387 4,898 2,694

GDP in 2012 (Constant Price) Budget (Php Bil.)

Growth Rate (%/yr) Php Billion Infrastructure Transport

3)

6.0 38,545

National1) Study Area2) National Study Area

1,746 1,189 873 539

538,557

519,535

1) 5% of GDP (except 2014 is 3.5% of GDP per NEDA) 2) 61% of National 3) 50% of Total Infra Source: NSCB (2012) for trend and shares

Medium-term Plan, 2017-2022 Medium-Term TRIP, 2017-2022

200,000

495,000
Submitted 1/ Program 2/ Budget 3/

150,000 100,000 50,000

0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

1) committed projects 2) programmed incl. committed and proposed projects 3) computed budget envelope

Budget

Program

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 Draft Final Report

A. Main Report (prepared and submitted for comments)
Chapter 1. Introduction Sections 1.1 Background and Objective Chapter 4. Transport Investment Program Sections 4.1 Criteria for Priority Setting

1.2 Study Approach

2. Development of the Metro Region 2.1 The Greater Capital Region 2.2 Development Issues Facing Metro Manila 2.3 Vision and Strategies 3. Transport Development Strategies 3.1 Current Transport Infrastructure and Services 3.2 Current Transport Services 3.3 Estimated Travel Demand 3.4 Development Challengers and Key Strategies 3.5 The Dream Plan

4.2 Review of Agency Investment Programs

4.3 Recommended Short Term Investment Program (2014-16)

4.4 Tentative Medium and Long Term Investment Program

4.5 Financing Strategy

4.6 Necessary Preparatory Studies

5. Conclusions and Recommendations Appendices 5.1 The Roadmap Context 5.2 Budget Envelop 5.3 Sector Governance

B. Technical Reports C. ATLAS D. Roadmap Projects

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Thank you for your attention