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11th February , 2014

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TOP Contents - Tailored for YOU Latest News Headlines


India Reconsiders Service Tax on Rice Australia Rice Farmers Take Note Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap Market Firms Slightly After USDA Cuts Ending Stocks Projection by One Million cwts Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today Brazil Real Down 1.3% Oryza Afternoon Recap Chicago Rough Rice Futures Rally as Bulls Return in Afternoon Trading Thailand Government Negotiations with Rice Farmers Fail Oryza Overnight Recap Chicago Rough Rice Futures Slightly Higher Overnight Despite Mixed Results for Other Grains USDA Post Lowers China MY 2013-14 Rice Import Forecast to 3.2 Million Tons Universiti Brunei Darussalam Students Use Biotechnology to Increase Rice Production Nigeria Targets Rice Exports by 2017 Vietnam Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today; India Rice Sellers Increase Most of Their Quotes Bangladesh Agriculture Minister Urges Scientists to Develop Stress-Tolerant High Yield Rice; Targets Rice Exports by 2017 Philippines Farmer Groups Oppose Private Sector Rice Imports Oryza January 2014 Rice Market Review Oryza Global Rice Quotes

NEWS DETAILS:
India Reconsiders Service Tax on Rice
Feb 10, 2014

The Union Minister of State for PMO in India suggested that the service tax on rice may be eradicated. Several different political parties have expressed dissatisfaction with the tax. The Finance Minister is expected to

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announce the decision in the interim budget in the ongoing Parliament session. (Read related Oryza story: India Rice Prices to Increase Due to 12.36% Service Tax)
Tags: India rice production

Australia Rice Farmers Take Note


Feb 10, 2014

A new publication issued by the Department of Primary Industries (DPI) is available to rice growers in Australia. The field guide contains information about pests, diseases, and weeds in southern NSW, Australia. Specifically, the guide includes extensive descriptions, photographs, references and information on the potential threats to the rice industry, providing information about water snails, damping off, stem rot, sheath spot, bloodworms, and other weeds, pests, and diseases. The goal is to help rice producers efficiently use the resources available in order to produce higher crop yields. The field guide is available at: http://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/agriculture/broadacre/summer-crops/rice/field-guide
Tags: Australia rice production

Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap Market Firms Slightly After USDA Cuts Ending Stocks Projection by One Million cwts
Feb 10, 2014

The U.S. cash market was slightly firmer today after the USDA WASDE report increased their long grain domestic use projection by one million cwts (about 45,359 tons) which in turn decreased their long grain ending stocks estimate by the same amount, leaving the market with an estimated 16.3 million cwt (about 739,356 tons) carryover.As of today, old crop offers were still seen as low as $15.55 fob farm (about $343 per ton) although most farmers are asking for $16.11 per cwt fob farm (about $355 per ton) or higher. Bids from larger mills increased today to around $15.00 per cwt (about $331 per ton) while bids for exporters were unchanged around $15.55 per cwt (about $343 per ton), both for February through March delivery, although smaller mills were still said to be bidding as high $16.25 per cwt (about $358 per ton) delivered mill.
Tags: U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market

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Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today Brazil Real Down 1.3%
Feb 10, 2014

U.S. dollar index was down -0.02% from the open today, when it traded at 80.675 at the close. Euro was stronger +0.01% by the close, trading around 1.3636 by end of day, after trading between an intraday high of 1.3651 and low of 1.3609. Thai baht was weaker -0.03%, trading at 32.810 at the close of business. Indian rupee was weaker -0.24% at 62.4375. Brazilian real was -1.27% weaker than the open at todays close, when it ended at 2.4099 reais per dollar. Pakistan rupee was -0.01% weaker at 105.3800. Vietnamese dong was unchanged at 21105. Mexican peso was -0.25% weaker today, when it traded at 13.3163 pesos per dollar by the close of business today. Chinese yuan was stronger +0.06%, trading at 6.0603. Argentine peso was +0.41% stronger, trading at 7.8088 pesos per dollar.
Tags: foreign exchange rates

Oryza Afternoon Recap Chicago Rough Rice Futures Rally as Bulls Return in Afternoon Trading
Feb 10, 2014

Chicago rough rice futures for March delivery settled 20.5 cents per cwt (about $5 per ton) higher at $15.545 per cwt (about $343 per ton). Rough rice futures began the week with a bang. Prices were little changed for the majority of the morning, but an afternoon rally saw prices shoot up over 20 cents per cwt (about $4 per ton) to close above $15.500 per cwt (about $342 per ton) for the first time in weeks. Todays move saw prices break through multiple layers of technical resistance and ultimately closed just above a closely monitored moving average. With the initial breaking through of the 20-day moving average, noted at $15.465 per cwt (about $341 per ton), the market had moved into technically positive territory.

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This face likely triggered additional bullishness and was enough to push prices just above the slower moving 50-day moving average at $15.540 per cwt (about $343 per ton). Todays move provides a positive forecast for tomorrows trade direction. The other grains were mostly lower today; soybeans closed about 0.5% lower at $13.2550 per bushel; wheat finished about 1.3% higher at $5.8575 per bushel; and corn finished the day about 0.3% lower at $4.4300 per bushel.U.S. stocks were mixed on Monday after Wall Street's best weekly performance this year, as investors waited to hear from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, who makes her first monetary policy report to lawmakers on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 22.28 points, or 0.1%, to 15,771.80, with 17 of its 30 components in the red. The S&P 500 held near unchanged at 1,796.30, with industrials hardest hit and health care the best performing of its 10 major sectors. The Nasdaq rose 11.84 points, or 0.3%, 4,137.71. Gold is trading about 0.9% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 0.2% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1% lower at about 1:00pm Chicago time.Friday, there were 565 contracts traded, up from 277 contracts traded on Thursday. Open interest the number of contracts outstanding on Friday increased by 147 contracts to 8,324.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures, U.S. rice market, U.S. rice prices

Thailand Government Negotiations with Rice Farmers Fail


Feb 10, 2014

Talks between Thailand rice farmer protesters and the caretaker government have failed with angry farmers walking out of the negotiations after the government declined to give a deadline for clearance of delayed payments under the rice mortgage program.According to the caretaker Commerce minister, the government has to pay farmers about 110 billion baht (about $3.4 billion) for the 2013-14 rice crop starting October 2013. He says that the government is unable to sell sufficient rice to clear delayed payments to farmers. The caretaker government says that it is unable to raise funds because the Election Commission does not permit a caretaker government to leave financial obligations for the new government.However, farmers did not accept the explanation at the meeting today and asked the government to sell rice from its stockpile even at a loss to make payments. Farmers say the government has lost its right to manage rice warehouses and are now are planning to occupy government rice warehouses from today. Farmers are also planning to submit a petition against the government for its failure to pay for rice they pledged under the government's rice pledging scheme.Meanwhile, the caretaker governments latest attempt to raise funds using the Government Pension Fu nd (GPF) and the Social Security Office (SSO) has failed. According to local sources, the government had approached the GPF and the SSO to buy bonds issued by the Finance Ministry to raise 130 billion baht (around $4 billion) to make payments to farmers. However, both the institutions have not accepted the proposal so far due to concerns over the legitimacy of the borrowing. The Caretaker Deputy Commerce Minister says the Ministry would release 1.2 million tons of rice worth 10 billion baht (around $304 million) from the government's stocks on February 13, 2014. About 227,000 tons of rice will be auctioned through the Agricultural Futures Exchange of Thailand (AFET), about 460,000 tons will be sold through a general auction and the remaining 500,000 tons will be auctioned among the millers, he says.
Tags: Thailand rice mortgage program

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Oryza Overnight Recap Chicago Rough Rice Futures Slightly Higher Overnight Despite Mixed Results for Other Grains
Feb 10, 2014

Chicago rough rice futures for March delivery are currently paused 4 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) higher at $15.380 per cwt (about $339 per ton) as of 8:00am Chicago time. The other grains are seen mixed this morning ahead of floor trading in Chicago: soybeans are currently seen about 0.2% higher, wheat was paused about 0.7% lower, and corn is noted about 0.4% lower.U.S. stock index futures signaled a mostly lower Wall Street open on Monday, despite gains in global shares. Shares in Europe and Asia traded higher early on Monday, helped by Friday's bumper close on Wall Street. This followed the U.S. government's non-farm payrolls report, which showed that 113,000 jobs were created in January, and that unemployment fell to 6.6 percent. Although the job creation number was worse than forecast, investors welcomed the figures and U.S. indexes cleared weekly losses and posted their best two-day gain in four months. U.S. stock index futures are currently trading about 0.2% lower, gold is currently trading about 0.9% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 0.3% lower, and the U.S. dollar is currently trading marginally lower at 8:00am Chicago time.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures

USDA Post Lowers China MY 2013-14 Rice Import Forecast to 3.2 Million Tons
Feb 10, 2014

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The USDA Post in Beijing has lowered its estimate for China's MY 2013-14 rice imports to 3.2 million tons, down about 6% or 200,000 tons from official estimates of 3.4 million tons due to higher rice prices in Vietnam and Thailand.Rice production and consumption estimates remain unchanged at 141.5 million tons and 146 million tons respectively. The Post lowered the Chinas total rice supply in MY 2013-14 to 191.48 million tons, down from official estimate of 191.68 million tons, and lowered the estimate for the countrys ending stocks to 45.13 million tons from official estimate of 45.33 million tons. The Chinese government has announced a change in the country's food security policy in December 2013, according to the USDA Post. The policy change was highlighted in the "Number One Document" issued on January 19, 2014. The new policy identifies "Ensuring overall food security" in the country as number one economic task for the government in 2014. The new policy maintains goals to achieve complete self-sufficiency in rice and the existing minimum support price and reserve programs will be maintained, according to the USDA Post. The Post says that government measures may boost farmer income and rice production in China, but will also cause domestic prices to exceed international prices.
Tags: China rice production, China rice imports, Document number one

Universiti Brunei Darussalam Students Use Biotechnology to Increase Rice Production


Feb 10, 2014

A team of studen ts from the Unive rsiti Brune i Darus

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salam have used biotechnology to increase rice production in Brunei Darussalam, according to local sources.Using biotechnology, the team found the effect of salinity on growth performance of two high-yielding varieties like Paddy Laila, which is a hybrid line variety developed as a part of the government target to increase rice production to 60% self sufficiency by 2015. It is known to mature faster than some traditional paddy varieties such as Pusu.A basic salinity study by the University team on Paddy Laila and Pusu varieties showed that Paddy Laila was more resistant to salinity compared to Paddy Pusu. Later, using biotechnology, a transgenic paddy Laila variety was developed and both transgenic and non-transgenic varieties were exposed to different salinity levels and their growth performance and yield were also compared. The results proved that the transgenic variety line showed better growth performance and higher yield when compared to the nontransgenic variety. The team also studied the genetic variation of selected rice varieties that have been cultivated in Brunei using microsatellite markers. The results of study would be useful for the plant breeders to select the best parents to produce a new generation which shows better performance compared to that of both parents, the team said. Both the studies could be used for further research on developing high-yielding varieties and help ensure food security in the country.In 2008, the Sultan of Brunei said that Brunei Darussalam should not be dependent on other countries for its rice supply and should have their own strategic plan to ensure food security. However, Bruneis rice production has remained at around 1,000 tons since 2002, and the country imports most of rice required for domestic consumption. The USDA estimates Brunei's milled rice production to remain at 1,000 tons in the MY 2013-14, while rice consumption is estimated at 51,000 tons in MY 2013-14, up 11% from last year's 46,000 tons. The USDA estimates the country to import around 50,000 tons in MY 2013-14, 11% more than last year's import of 45,000 tons.
Tags: Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Brunei Darussalam rice production, Brunei Darussalam rice imports

Nigeria Targets Rice Exports by 2017


Feb 10, 2014

Nigerias Federal Minister of Agriculture hopes the increase in the milling capacity of rice in the country will help the nation become a net exporter of rice by 2017.The minister says that rice milling capacity has increased by about 300% in 2013 and growing local investments in the countrys rice sector would boost rice production and help the nation become self-sufficient in rice as well as become a net exporter of rice by 2017. He adds that local investment has helped the country to produce long grain and quality fiber rice which is popular among consumers.According to the minister, the dry season farm support program under the Agricultural Transformation Agenda (ATA) will also help boost rice production. The ATA initially targeted involving 400,000 farmers but the Agriculture Ministry has covered around 600,000 farmers under the program, he says.According to the USDA, Nigerias rice production in MY 2013-14 is expected to reach around 2.8 million tons (basis milled), up about 18% from around 2.37 million tons in MY

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2012-13. The U.S. agency estimates Nigerias domestic consumption at 6 million tons in MY 2013 -14, about 11% more than 5.4 million tons in the last marketing year. The country would need to import around 3 million tons of rice in this year compared to 2.9 million tons imported last year, according to the USDA.Nigeria is planning to ban rice imports by 2015, but farmers and analysts say that the government should postpone the ban to 2019 as the country is still not ready for commercial large-scale rice production and a ban in 2015 would be counterproductive to the countrys economy.
Tags: Nigeria rice production, nigeria rice imports

Vietnam Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today; India Rice Sellers Increase Most of Their Quotes
Feb 10, 2014

Vietnam rice sellers lowered their quotes for 5% broken rice and Jasmine rice by about $5 per ton and $20 per ton respectively today. India rice sellers increased most of their quotes by about $5 per ton. Thailand and Pakistan rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged. 5% Broken Rice Thai 5% rice (of new crop) is quoted around $435 - $445 per ton, about a $45 per ton premium over Viet 5% rice shown around $390 - $400 per ton, down about $5 per ton from last week. Indian 5% rice is quoted around $415 - $425 per ton, up about $5 per ton from Friday and about a $25 per ton premium over Pak 5% rice quoted around $390 - $400 per ton. 25% Broken Rice Thai 25% rice (of new crop) is quoted about $390 - $400 per ton, about a $25 per ton premium over Viet 25% rice shown around $365 - $375 per ton. Indian 25% rice is quoted about $360 - $370 per ton, up about $5 per ton from Friday and about a $15 per ton premium over Pak 25% rice quoted around $345 - $355 per ton. Parboiled Rice Thai parboiled rice of the old crop is quoted around $450 - $460 per ton. Indian parboiled rice is quoted around $400 - $410 per ton, up about $5 per ton from Friday and about $5 per ton discount to Pak parboiled rice quoted around $405 - $415 per ton. 100% Broken Rice Thai broken rice, A1 Super, of the old crop is quoted around $310 - $320 per ton, about a $40 per ton discount to Viet broken rice shown around $350 - $360 per ton. Indian broken sortexed rice is quoted about $300 - $310 per ton, up about $5 per ton from Friday and about a $20 per ton discount to Pak broken sortexed rice quoted around $320 - $330 per ton.
Tags: Asia rice quotes, Thailand rice quotes, Vietnam rice quotes, India rice quotes, Pakistan rice quotes

Bangladesh Agriculture Minister Urges Scientists to Develop Stress-Tolerant High Yield Rice; Targets Rice Exports by 2017
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Feb 10, 2014

Bangladesh Agriculture Minister has urged the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute (BRRI) scientists to develop stress-tolerant high yield rice varieties (HYV) to increase domestic production significantly and help make Bangladesh a rice-exporting nation.The Minister says that it is important for Bangladesh to attain selfsufficiency in food production and aim at rice exports by 2017. Increasing internal food storage capacity is also vital to combat disasters, she adds. The Minister also emphasized the need for increasing subsidy in fertilizer, seeds and irrigation and for providing agricultural loans at lower interest rates to help boost rice production. The BRRI has so far developed 61 HYV varieties and four hybrid varieties, according to the BRRI Director General. "At present BRRI varieties cover 80% of the total rice area that accounts for 90% of the total rice production of the country," he says. High-yield Boro varieties Brridhan 28 and Brridhan 29, and Aman variety BR11 are very popular at the farm level, and the BRRI has also developed a series of cold, submergence, drought and saline tolerant varieties such as Brridhan 36, 40, 41, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56 and 57, he adds. The DG also says that the recently released Brridhan 62 is the world's first zin-enriched rice variety.According to the USDA, Bangladesh's rice production in MY 2013-14 (May 2013 - April 2014) is expected to increase to around 34.59 million tons, up about 2% from around 33.82 million tons in MY 2012-13. The US agency estimates the country's domestic consumption to be at 34.6 million tons in MY 2013-14, up slightly compared to 34.47 million tons in MY 2012-13. The USDA estimates Bangladesh to import 220,000 tons in MY 2013-14, up about 530% from around 35,000 tons in MY 2012-13.
Tags: Bangladesh rice exports, Bangladesh rice production, Bangladesh Rice Research Institute (BRRI)

Philippines Farmer Groups Oppose Private Sector Rice Imports


Feb 10, 2014

Some farmer groups in the Philippines are opposing the National Food Authority's (NFA) recent decision to allow private traders to import around 163,000 tons of rice in 2014, according to local sources.Farmer groups say that the government should revoke its decision in the light of increased rice smuggling in the country and reiterate that the NFA should be the sole importer of rice in the country .Last week, the NFA invited applications from the private importers to secure permits for imports of around 163,000 tons of rice under the "2014 Minimum Access Volume - Country Specific Quota" program. However, farmer groups say that allowing private traders to import rice will result in increased graft and corruption. They also say that imported rice will compete with locally produced rice and Filipino farmers would be at a loss.The chair of the Senate Committee on Agriculture and Food, which is investigating smuggling of rice in to the country, has also urged the government to stop the issuance of import permits to private traders. She says that a proposal made during one of her Committee hearings bans importation of rice by private businesses and only the NFA is allowed to import rice. She also says that the government lost around P8.4 billion (around $186

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million) in 2012 and P10 billion (around $222 million) in 2013 due to rice smuggling. She adds that not only the government, farmers are also at loss as they get low prices for their produce because of the imported rice. However, NFA officials say that there is an executive order that allows private participation in rice imports. The NFA Spokesperson says that there is now a stricter policy in the accreditation process for rice imports. The Agriculture Department is looking at ways to lower farmers' production costs and says that higher production may help stop rice smuggling.
Tags: Rice Smuggling in the Philippines, National Food Authority (NFA), philippine rice imports

Oryza January 2014 Rice Market Review


Feb 10, 2014

The Oryza White Rice Index, a weighted average of global white rice export quotes, ended the month of January at $464 per ton, up about $2 per ton from December and down about $19 per ton from a year ago.

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Brazil remains the most expensive origin, ending the month at about $665 per ton for 5% broken rice and Pakistan remains the cheapest origin, ending the month at around $395 per ton for 5% broken rice. Separately, International grain council (IGC) said in report that world rice output and consumption are expected to be closely matched, at an average of about 0.8% and 1% respectively during the next five years to 2018-19. According to the IGC, overall world rice stocks would remain comfortable during the period but the rice stock to-use ration is forecast to decline slightly to 21% in 2018-19 from 23% in 2013-14.Global rice traded is expected to increase by an average pace of about 2.5% each year starting from 2013-14 to 2018-19 thanks to higher demand in Asia. Thailand Thailand 5% broken rice ended the month at $440 per ton, up about 4% from about $425 per ton recorded in same time in last month and down about 21% from about $555 per ton recorded during same time in last year. Thailand's National Rice Policy Committee, headed by the caretaker Prime Minister has decided to terminate the government rice mortgage program, which is due to expire at the end of February 2014. The Thai government is already under pressure to clear delayed payments for purchase of paddy from farmers under the rice mortgage program. Thailand government was expecting to clear delayed payment by January15, 2014, but failed and extended the deadline for completing delayed payments by end of January 2014, but unfortunately it failed again due to lack of funds. Thailand rice farmers are continuously protesting as they await payment needed to repay loans and cover the costs of future crop plantings. Meanwhile Thailand rice farmers want to extend the debt-moratorium, which it offered in 2011 when the great flood hit all regions of the country, by another three years, which will offer alternative means of protecting farmers from further financial burdens. Rice farmers are also demand that the government should sell rice from its stockpiles even at lower prices to generate money to pay them. The caretaker government of Thailand was planning to sell about 400,000 tons of different grades of rice in an auction in early February at a median price based on the global rice price, but the sale was delayed. Most probably, bidding for this 400,000 tons rice tender will start the second week of February. Separately, the Thai government sold about one million tons of rice in January 2014, of which about 860,000 tons were sold to private players who had export orders and another 110,000 tons were sold through the Agricultural Futures Exchange of Thailand, according to local sources. Separately, China has canceled a deal to buy 1.2 million tons of Thai rice after Thailand's anti-corruption agency launched investigations into a state rice-buying scheme. Thailand officials said private Chinese importers may still buy Thai rice. The Thailand government is facing several issues to collect funding to pay rice farmers under rice mortgage program. Earlier in January, The Bank of Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC) board rejected a proposal by the caretaker Finance Minister that the government could use the banks surplus liquidity to pay rice farmers if needed. The Thai government also issued bonds in the debt market to raise funds worth about 75 billion baht (about $2.27 billion) to run the 2013-14 rice mortgage program (October September), but has

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raised only about half of amount . Separately, Thailand's State Council has allowed the caretaker government to raise 130 billion (about $4 billion) through loans and bond issues to pay rice farmers, according to local sources. The Philippines may consider buying rice from Thailand if the Thai government renews its rice supply agreement with the Philippines, which expired last year, according to the National Food Authority (NFA) spokesperson. According to USDA estimates, Thailand rice exports have declined for the second consecutive year, reaching about 6.6 million tons in the calendar year 2013, down about 5% from about 6.9 million tons exported in 2012, and down about 17% from the government target of 8 million tons. Meanwhile, the Thai Rice Exporters Association (TREA) expects that Thailand could export about 7.5 million tons rice in 2014, while Thai Commerce Ministry expected that country would export about 8 million tons rice in this year. India India 5% broken rice ended the month at $415 per ton, up about $1 per ton from last month and down about 3% from a year ago, when price was recorded at $430 per ton. India's average wholesale rice prices in January declined to about Rs. 2,808 per quintal (about $446 per ton, using current exchange rate) in January 2014, down about 4% from about Rs. 2,922 per quintal (about $473 per ton, using historical exchange rate) recorded in December 2013 and up about 1% from about Rs.2,783 per quintal (about $523 per ton, using historical exchange rate) in January 2013. According to local source, milled rice prices in India could increase significantly as Indian Finance Ministry excluded milled rice from the agricultural produce category thus making rice ineligible for exemption of the 12.36%.service tax. According to the USDA, India is expected to be the worlds largest rice exporter for the third consecutive year, with about 10.5 million tons of rice exports in 2013, followed by Vietnam exported about 7.2 million tons rice and Thailand, which exported about 6.6 million tons rice in 2013. The USDA added that Indias rice exports in 2014 are likely to account for about 25% of total global rice trade of about 40.2 million tons, despite slightly lower rice production this year. Meanwhile, Indias basmati rice exports are forecast to reach about 4 million tons in FY 2013-14 (April March), the highest annual basmati rice exports on record and up about 12.5% from about 3.5 million tons in FY 2012-13, due to firm demand, especially from the Middle East countries including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iran. According to official sources, India's basmati rice exports to Iran have increased by 77% on a year-onyear basis between April and September 2013. Separately, the Indian government has denied the charges by some countries including the U.S. and Pakistan that India exports subsidized rice and wheat grains, according to local sources. In late January, the U.S., Pakistan and Canada had questioned India whether its grain exports followed the World Trade Organization

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(WTO) rules amid domestic subsidies designed to ensure sufficient rice supplies for the national food program. The Indian governments rice procurement in the MY 2012-13 (October September) declined to 34.1 million tons, down about 15% from the targeted 40.2 million tons and down about 3% from about 35 million tons procured in MY 2011-12. The government rice procurement target for MY 2013-14 stands at 34.5 million tons, but local sources say that rice procurement is likely to decline to about 31-32 million tons this year due to high open-market prices and lower supplies in key rice growing states. As of January 1, 2014, Indias rice stocks in the central pool has reached at about 29.85 million tons (including milled equivalent of about 15.15 million tons of paddy rice), down about 7% from last year. According to the USDA, India's rice production is expected to decline to about 103 million tons in 2013-14, down about 2% from about 105.3 million tons in 2011-12, while consumption is expected to increase to about 95 million tons in 2013-14, up about 2% from about 93.3 million tons in 2011-12. Vietnam Vietnam 5% broken rice ended the month at about $405 per ton, down about 1% from a month ago and up about 4% from a year ago. The Vietnam Food Association (VFA) expects Vietnam rice exporters will face stiff competition in 2014 due to reduced prices and higher supplies in the global rice market. According to the VFA, Vietnams rice exports are expected to reach about 6.5 - 7 million tons in 2014, compared to about 6.88 million tons in 2013. According to the USDA, Vietnam's 2013-14 rice production is expected to remain at 27.7 million tons while rice exports are likely to reach about 7.5 million tons in 2013-14, well above Vietnams own estimate. Separately, The Vietnamese government is planning to shift about 130,000 hectares of rice area to other crops such as soybeans and corn as part of the changes in agriculture and rural development in 2014. However, production is estimated to remain at about 43.4 million tons of paddy as higher yields are expected to make up for slightly lower acreage. According to the USDA, Vietnams rice production is expected to reach about 27.7 million tons (basis milled) in MY 2013-14. Pakistan Pakistan 5% broken rice ended the month at $395 per ton, up about 1% from a month ago and down about 7% from a year ago. Pakistan is trying to increase its rice exports China, now the worlds largest rice importer. In the beginning of January, a delegation of the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP) visited China to explore possibilities of improving rice exports. According to Pakistan Officials, Pakistan has a free trade agreement and currency swap arrangements with China. The Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP) senior vicechairman says Pakistan rice exports to China are expected to grow to about 0.7 - 1 million tons in the FY 2013-

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14 (July June), which is up about 19% - 70% from about 589,277 tons of rice in FY 2012-13. Separately, Pakistan rice exporters are expecting that brown rice export to EU could increase significantly due to the implementation of the EU's generalized scheme of preferences (GSP) which provides developing countries preferential access to the EU market through reduced tariffs. According REAP representatives, Pakistan has exported about 52,000 tons of brown rice to the EU in current fiscal year 2013-14 (July June) so far, and Pakistan can now export an additional 250,000 tons of brown rice due to duty-free access to the EU markets due to the implementation of GSP plus status on Pakistan with effect from January 1, 2014. Cambodia Cambodia 5% broken rice ended the month at $455 per ton, down about 2% from a month ago. Cambodia exported about 21,536 tons of rice in January 2014, down about 16% from about 25,726 tons of rice exported during same time in last year. Thailand did not make the list of top 32 destinations for Cambodia rice in January 2014; in 2013, Thailand was the sixth highest destination market for Cambodia rice. Cambodia will achieve its goal of exporting one million tons of rice in 2015, the country's Minister of Commerce said in January. However, according to local sources, this goal has serious challenges due to large infrastructure shortfalls. In 2013 Cambodia shipped about 380,000 tons of rice. Meanwhile, The EU trade commission denies that it made any allegations of contamination in rice imports from Cambodia and says that no customs circumvention has been identified so far in rice imports from Cambodia. A local source told to Oryza in December 2013, that the EU trade Commissioner had expressed concerns about the surge in Cambodia rice exports to the EU in recent years and had alleged that up to 30% of rice imports from Cambodia could be of Vietnam origin. There are signs Cambodia could be in danger of losing its biggest destination market, the EU. In support of the local rice industry, the Italian Government is asking the European Union (EU) to stop allowing zero duty imports from Eba (Everything but Arms) countries, such as Cambodia and Myanmar. Italy is the EUs largest rice producing nation. Separately, a new bill is under review for updating the labeling system for Italys rice. Italian Parliament could approve the bill within the month of February following a recent meeting in Milan, at Ente Nazionale Risi. Meanwhile, a Cambodian rice exporter and South Korean corporation have signed an agreement to begin exporting Cambodian rice to South Korea, starting from January 2014. The South Korean corporation reportedly paid $2m for nearly 5,000 tons of jasmine rice and the promise for future business. The USDA estimates Cambodias MY 2013-14 rice production to reach about 4.9 million tons (milled basis), up about 6.5% from about 4.6 million tons in the MY 2012-13. Brazil

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Brazil 5% broken rice ended the month at $665 per ton, down about 3% from about $685 per ton recorded during same time in last month. According to Brazil's National Grains Supply Company, Conab, Brazils paddy rice production in 2013-14 is expected to reach about 12.351 million tons, up about 1.1% from December's forecast and up about 5% from last year's production. The average paddy yield in Brazil for 2013-14 is forecast to reach at about 5.08 tons per hectares, up about 0.6% from last month's forecast and up about 3.4% from last year. Brazil's paddy acreage in 2013-14 is also expected to reach about 2.432 million hectares, slightly up from Decembers projection of about 2.421 million hectares and up about 2% from last year. Meanwhile, USDA forecast that Brazil milled rice production in MY2013-14(April-March) will reach about 8.33 million tons, up about 4% from last year. USDA expects that Brazil's rice acreage will increase about 1% in MY2013-14, from last year. Brazils rice exports are forecast to reach about 925,000 tons in MY 2013-14, up about 75,000 tons or 9% from about 850,000 tons in MY 2012-13. Separately, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) says that huge investments are required to help exports of rice and other grains achieve maximum potential. IBGE expected that Brazil would produce about 12.2 million tons of paddy this year, up about 5% from last year's production. Conab offered about 286,812.85 tons of paddy in January via many auctions and sold about 241,845.85 tons of paddy in those auctions. U.S. U.S. 4% broken rice ended the month at $590 per ton down about 1% from a month ago and 4% from a year ago. The front month CBOT rough rice futures contract ended the month at $15.4 per cwt (about $340 per ton), up about 1% from a month ago, and down about 1% from a year ago. According to USDA, total rice production in the U.S. has reached at about 6.6 million tons in CY 2013, down about 8.3% from last year, partly due to farmers switching crops in hopes of higher profits. Average paddy rice prices in 2013 increased by about 6.2% to about $340.24 per ton from the previous year, USDA said. Separately, U.S. Senate passed the new five-year Farm Bill 72-22 after two years of debate and revision. Africa Nigeria is considering banning rice imports completely in 2015, but Nigerian rice dealers appealed to the federal government to extend the date of proposed ban on rice imports from 2015 to 2019. Meanwhile, the government hiked rice import tariffs sharply in the beginning of 2013 and some rice farmers and millers in Nigeria said rice smuggling is increasing due to the government decision to hike rice import tariffs. Separately, Nigerias milled rice production is likely to increase to about 3.1 million tons in 2014, up about 29% from about 2.4 million tons in 2013. However, Nigerias rice imports in 2014 are likely to remain at 2013 levels of about 2.9 million tons to meet an annual consumption demand of about 6 million tons, according to the USDA. The Association of Ghana-Cote d'Ivoire Rice Importers and Sellers (GISA) have appealed to the Ghana

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government to lift the ban on rice imports from neighboring Cote d'Ivoire, according to some local sources. The Ghana government banned rice imports from Cote d'Ivoire since the beginning of this year. GISA says that the ban would lead to unemployment in the region, as many rice importers and workers would lose their jobs. GISA also claims that the ban would lead to lower rice supplies and is the main reason behind the increase of about 20% -25% in rice prices since the implementation of the ban. China According to Chinas Customs General Administration (CGA), China has imported about 2.24 million tons of rice in CY2013, down about 5% from about 2.36 million tons in 2012 estimated by China National Grain and Oils Information Center (CNGOIC). Meanwhile, the USDA says that Chinas rice imports could increase to about 3.4 million tons in 2013-14. It estimates that China needs 146 million tons of rice for domestic consumption in 2013-14, up about 14% from about 144 million tons in 2012-13. However, the countrys production is likely to fall by about 10.5% to 141.5 million tons in 2013-14 from 143 million tons in 2012-13 due to adverse weather conditions. Philippines The Philippines paddy rice production in CY 2013 stood at about 18.44 million tons, down about 1.56 million tons or 8% from the targeted 20 million tons under the government's Food Staples Sufficiency Program (FSSP). However, paddy rice production in 2013 is up about 2% compared to about 18.03 million tons produced in 2012. Meanwhile, the Philippines paddy rice production in January-June 2014 is forecast to increase to about 8.43 million tons (4.53 million tons in January March, and 3.9 million tons in April June), up about 5.4% from an estimated 7.99 million tons produced during the same period in 2013. As on December 1, 2013, Philippines total rice stock has reached at about 2.49 million tons, down about 5% from about 2.62 million tons during the same time in last year. The Philippines may consider buying rice from Thailand if the Thai government renews its rice supply agreement with the Philippines, according to the National Food Authority (NFA) spokesperson. Thailand's rice supply agreement expired last year and it was not renewed so far. Separately, the Philippines government is planning to establish an inter-agency team to fight rice smuggling. The new team will include representatives from the Department of Justice (DOJ), the Department of Agriculture (DOA), the National Food Authority (NFA), and the Bureau of Customs (BOC), locals sources say. Meanwhile, the Philippines Department of Agriculture (DA) is aiming to reduce paddy rice production costs to P5 (about $0.11) per kilogram and increase yield to about 10 tons per hectare under the Palayabangan: 10-5 Challenge" project to curb smuggling of rice in to the Philippines. According to DA, average rice yield in Philippines currently stand at about 4 tons per hectare and farmers spend about P11-12 (about $0.24-$0.26) for producing one kilogram of paddy rice. A Philippines consumer group, Action for Consumerism and Transparency for Nation Building (Action), has also urged the government to form clear and definitive import rules for farmers' cooperatives to curb rampant rice smuggling in to the country.

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The Philippines government is also planning to shift its focus from rice self-sufficiency to encourage farmers to grow alternative, high-value crops, according to local sources. Separately, The Philippines rice buying agency National Food Authority (NFA) has begun accepting applications from private importers for the import 163,000 tons of well-milled rice from Thailand, India, China and Australia, under the 2014 Minimum Access Volume (MAV) - Country Specific Quota (CSQ) program from February 1, 2014. Other Markets Indonesias state-owned logistics board (Bulog) will buy about 3.85 million tons of rice from domestic farmers in 2013-14, up about 6% from about 3.62 million tons of rice procured in 2012-13. Meanwhile, earlier in January, Indonesia agriculture Ministry said that Indonesia would not require any rice imports in 2014. According to Ministry, the country's production of paddy rice is expected to increase to 76.57 million tons (about 42.5 million tons, basis milled) in 2014, up about 8% from about 70.87 million (about 39 million tons, basis milled) in 2013. Indonesia also has a buffer carry-over stock of 2 million tons at the end of 2013. Separately, Indonesia's State Audit Board (BPK) says it will investigate from all perspectives the controversial import of about 16,000 tons of non-specialty rice from Vietnam last year, according to local sources. Russia's paddy rice production in 2013 stood at about 926,000 tons, down about 12% from about 1.05 million tons in 2012, mainly due to reduced area cultivated and yields, according to data released in January from the Russian State Statistical Service (Rosstat). According to data, Russia rice acreage declined by about 11,000 hectares to 190,000 hectares in 2013 from last year's acreage of about 201,000 hectares. Average yield per hectare in Russia declined to 4.96 tons in 2013, down about 10% from 5.49 tons in 2012. Separately, according to the USDA, total milled rice production in Russia is expected to decline to 615,000 tons in the MY 2013-14 (May 2013 - April 2014), down about 10% from 684,000 tons in MY 2012-13. The USDA estimates Russias rice exports to reach about 120,000 tons in MY 2013-14, down about 43% from 210,000 tons in MY 2012-13. The agency estimates that Russia will also import 250,000 tons of rice in MY 2013-14, up 25% from previous year's imports of 200,000 tons. Spains paddy rice production in 2013 has declined to about 867,700 tons, down about 3.5% from about 899,600 tons produced in 2012, according to Eurostat. The decline in Spains paddy rice production in 2013 is mostly due to a decline in rice yield. According to Eurostat, the average rice yield in Spain stood at about 7.7 tons per hectare in 2013, down about 4% from about 8 tons per hectare in the previous year. Spain is the second largest rice producer in the EU and produces about 30% of about 2 million tons of rice (basis milled) produced in the EU. Industry Forecasts by USDA, FAO, and IGC:

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Research and Scientific Development: Trials on the Indian flood-resistant hybrid rice variety 'Swarna-Sub1' show that the variety can produce 45% higher yield even when it was submerged underwater for 14 to 17 days. http://oryza.com/news/research-development/irri-trials-show-45-higher-yield-flood-resistant-swarna-sub1-rice-

variety Indias new basmati rice variety, Pusa 1509, is likely to replace most of Pusa 1121, according to scientists from the Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI). http://oryza.com/news/research-development/indias-new-basmati-rice-variety-may-soon-replace-pusa-1121say-scientists IRRI will launch new crop planting resource tool -ORYZA3000- IRRI to Launch New Crop Planting Resource Tool ORYZA3000 - which will provides information such as rice yield estimates for a given planting period based on data such as temperature, wind speed, and precipitation. http://oryza.com/news/research-development/irri-launch-new-crop-plating-resource-tool-%E2%80%93oryza3000 SPIKE gene can boost rice yields in Asia and Southeast Asia significantly and contribute to global food security in coming years, according to IRRI. http://oryza.com/news/research-development/rice-spike-gene-research-aims-boost-global-food-security-says-irri IRRI is developing a new variety of rice, "3-in-1"climate tolerant rice, which can tolerate flooding, a prolonged dry season, and saltiness near coastal areas. http://oryza.com/news/research-development/irri-developing-%E2%80%983-1%E2%80%99-climate-resilientrice-variety January Tenders: Qatar is seeking to purchase 24,000 tons of rice http://oryza.com/news/qatar-tenders-buy-24000-tons-india-basmati-rice-0

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Japan announced a tender to buy 51,000 tons of rice, for delivery April 1-May 10, 2014. http://oryza.com/news/tenders/japan-tenders-buy-51000-tons-rice Iraq announced a tendered to buy 30,000 tons of rice. http://www.oryza.com/news/tenders/iraq-tenders-buy-30000-tons-rice Iraq issued a tender to buy about 15,000 tons of Basmati rice. http://oryza.com/news/tenders/maldives-tenders-buy-9000-tons-parboiled-rice Maldives issued a tender to purchase about 9,000 tons of rice. http://oryza.com/news/tenders/maldives-tenders-buy-9000-tons-parboiled-rice South Korea issued a tender to buy about 78,334 tons of rice. http://oryza.com/news/tenders/south-korea-tenders-buy-78334-tons-rice
Tags:Monthly Market Review

Oryza Global Rice Quotes


February 10th, 2014 Long grain white rice - high quality Thailand 100% B grade 450-460 Vietnam 5% broken 390-400 India 5% broken 415-425 Pakistan 5% broken 390-400 Cambodia 5% broken 450-460 U.S. 4% broken 575-585 Uruguay 5% broken 625-635 Argentina 5% broken 625-635 Long grain white rice - low quality Thailand 25% broken 390-400 Vietnam 25% broken 365-375 Pakistan 25% broken 345-355 Cambodia 25% broken 420-430 India 25% broken 360-370 U.S. 15% broken 550-560

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Long grain parboiled rice Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 450-460 Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 405-415 India parboiled 5% broken stxd 400-410 U.S. parboiled 4% broken 660-670 Brazil parboiled 5% broken 590-600 Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ Long grain fragrant rice Thailand Hommali 92% 945-955 Vietnam Jasmine 535-545 India basmati 2% broken 1515 -1525 Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ Cambodia Phka Malis 895-905 Brokens Thailand A1 Super 310-320 Vietnam 100% broken 350-360 Pakistan 100% broken stxd 320-320 Cambodia A1 Super 365-375 India 100% Broken stxd 300-310 Egypt medium grain brokens NQ U.S. pet food 470-480 Brazil half grain 345-355 Medium grain milled U.S. Calrose 4% broken Egypt medium grain 6%

620-630 NQ

All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com

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