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$*o distin t trends *ere evident in the food industry of the 198&s2 food preparation *as moving out of the home, and onsumption of restaurant"prepared food *as moving ba k into the home# $hese trends *ere even more pronoun ed in the pizza market# -n 198%, delivery a ounted for only 1#3' of all pizza sales# By 1986, ho*ever, it had gro*n to %&' and ontinued to gro* at 61' per year# $he arryout segment *as gro*ing at 1%' per year, and rea hed 39' of all pizza sales in 1986# $he eat"in segment *as gro*ing at only 4#%5' per year# +lthough the pizza market *as e,perien ing stronger gro*th in 1986 than any other fast"food segment, it *as e,pe ted over the ne,t four years that the delivery segment *ould a ount for 48' and the arryout segment *ould a ount for 43' of the overall pizza market# Pizza Hut had dominated the pizza market sin e 19)1, but it *as lear that the market *as hanging and the ompetition 6!ominos in parti ular7 *as *ell"positioned for the hange#
Pizza Hut has dominated the market sin e 19)1 by providing its ustomers *ith a =uality produ t together *ith a pleasant family dining ambien e in its restaurants# ;ean*hile !ominos has fo used on the segment of the market that is seeking onvenien e over dining ambien e# -n the past, Pizza Hut had served this onvenien e"
seeking segment through its arryout hannel# +lthough more onvenient than eat"in, arryout still re=uires the onsumer to visit the restaurant to bring the food home# $he added onvenien e of home"delivery *ould normal be a servi e that ustomers *ould pay more for, but !ominos provided the servi e at no additional harge to its ustomers# -n fa t, !ominos delivery pri e had proven to be slightly belo* Pizza Huts pri es in its traditional eat"in restaurants# $hese fa tors, *hile hurting Pizza Huts eat"in business, appear to be parti ularly troublesome for their arryout business# $here are t*o possible e,planations for the gro*th of the delivery business# 8irst, it is possible that the delivery operations are bringing ne* ustomers into the pizza market and the gro*th is due to these ne* ustomers# $he se ond, more likely option, is that many of the traditional eat"in ustomers are moving to*ards the onvenien e of the delivery option# +lthough data may suggest other*ise, Pizza Hut management believe that !ominos delivery operations do not signifi antly impa t Pizza Huts eat"in operations# ;anagers believe that the delivery ustomers are either different from the eat" in ustomers, or the ustomers may be the same people, but they are pur hasing for different meal o asions# !ominos management believes the delivery segment ompetes most losely *ith the arryout operations of Pizza Hut# >ven if the previous arguments are orre t, losing signifi ant arryout business *ill have a dramati impa t on Pizza Hut# -n 1986, arryout business a ounted for 4&' of Pizza Huts dollar volume# !ue to in reased osts in vehi les and ustomer servi e enter osts, e,hibit 4 sho*s that eat"in and arryout business are more profitable for Pizza Hut than their delivery"only operations *ith a net ontribution of 13#1' versus 8#8'# ?hile the margins of the eat"in segment and arryout segment are not evaluated separately in the ase, it is likely that osts asso iated *ith arryout *ould be less than those for eat"in given the additional time spent in ustomer servi e and the need for eat"in resour es 6tables, plates, ups, and eating utensils7# Based on this, it is some*hat easy to argue that the arryout segment is urrently the most profitable one for Pizza Hut, and signifi ant losses in this area *ould greatly impa t their overall business# -f management is orre t and the delivery ustomer is different from the eat"in ustomer, an additional =uestion arises# ?hat *ould be the impa t of additional ustomers on Pizza Huts business given a move into the delivery segment1 8igure % estimates this potential#
"i#ure * %cenario +nalysis o) t!e I pact o) Ho e Delivery 0 enario 12 :oss sales due to annibalization 6assumptions2 %&' of arryout and 5' of eat"in is onverted to home delivery7# @arryout >at"in ' onvert %& 5 0ales +ffe ted (%1%#)mm ' of business A 4& A 6& 0ales A (1,934mm A (1,934mm $otal 0ales +ffe ted B (154#)mm B (58#&mm (%1%#)mm Profit 6:oss7 B 6(9#%mm7
0 enario %2 Potential gain from home delivery 6assuming Pizza Huts delivery share e=ual to its overall share 615#4'77# ' Potential 0hare 15#4' <e* 0ales (4&mm -nd# !elivery 0ales A %#6 bil# ;argin A 8#8' <e* 0ales B (4&mm Profit 6:oss7 B (35#%mm
0 enario 32 :ost sales 6profit7 due to not offering home delivery 6assumptions2 1&' of urrent sales lost to ompetitors7# 0ales (1,934mm :ost to @ompetition A 1&' :ost 0ales B (193#4mm ;argin A 13#1' Profit 6:oss7 B 6(%5#3mm7
Co petition
!ominos ontrols the delivery segment *ith almost 6&' of the delivery share 66(1#55C(%#6 bil7, and a large lead in the number of delivery units 63,696 vs# )497 versus Pizza Hut# By fo using on delivery"only units, !ominos has be ome an e,pert in this market segment# -n fa t, it is likely that a Pizza Hut move into the segment may initially e,pand the segment overall, in reasing !ominos business# Pizza Hut initially underestimated !ominos impa t on the pizza market# Pizza Hut may have felt that the relatively small !ominos fran hises ould not pose a long"term risk to their large, orporation"o*ned fran hises# -n fa t, !ominos system may have aided their gro*th given the relative po*er of their orporation to the fran hises# $hey *ere able to di tate strategi and operational de isions for their fran hises leading to a unified image in the ustomers mind# <umeri ally, !ominos *eekly sales are signifi antly higher than Pizza Huts 6(9,1%1 versus (6,&&&7 and their stores average ustomer base is signifi antly higher than Pizza Huts 6(9,1%1C(9#5& B 96& ustomers versus (6,&&&C(9#99 A 1#1 6upsizing
harge7 B 5467# +lso given the additional osts asso iated *ith Pizza Huts ustomer servi e enter, it is likely that the !ominos delivery"only unit is more profitable than the Pizza Hut delivery"only unit#
to use the information olle ted from the system to make targeted marketing appeals to e,isting ustomers# $he final strategi element related to this hannel is the on ept of pri ing and upsizing# -t is lear that there are additional osts asso iated *ith this hannel method from @0@ osts to a tual delivery osts# >,hibit 4 from the ase sho*s that these osts alone a ount for 1%' of gross sales# @ertainly upsizing and up"pri ing ould be used to help offset these osts# ?hat is not in luded in the ase are the operational hanges and osts asso iated *ith these hanges# :arger pizzas re=uire larger pans, more dough, more ingredients, and possibly a hange in bo,es# -t *ould also lead to potential operational differen es for the restaurants as *ell# 8or e,ample, *ould arryout re eive the upsizing strategy as *ell1 -f so, *ould ustomers in the store be ome a*are of the size and pri e differen es1 ?ould they be onfused1 -s a medium a medium or is it a medium"small1 ?ith only delivery"only units it *ould be mu h more possible to manage the differen es in the operations, but *ith retrofitted stores as part of the delivery system, these hanges ould lead to onfusion and frustration among ustomers# Based on these arguments, - re ommend that Pizza Hut initially retrofit e,isting stores for delivery# - believe that this *ill be one *ay to ontrol osts to the fran hises and make them more interested in the idea in general# +lso - believe the @0@ system *ould provide many long"term benefits and retrofitted e,isting stores *ould allo* fran hises to a ept the osts of these system more readily# ?hile upsizing *ould help spread the operational osts over a larger dollar amount, these benefits *ould be minimized in the short"term due to hanges in the organizational operations# $herefore *ould ontinue operations in e,isting stores *ith the urrent produ t mi,# - think suggestive selling add"ons su h as appetizers and dessert options *ould be a more effe tive *ay to in rease the average delivery pur hase amount#