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83%
*Due to rounding, some figures may be higher or lower by less than of one percent.
Hi, this is _______________ (female voice) with Impact Management Group, Inc., and I am conducting a public opinion research survey on voter attitudes. Your answers are completely confidential and the survey will take less than two minutes to complete. . . Q1. Are you registered to vote at this address in Arkansas? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. Q2. YES NO (terminate) Dont Know (terminate) 100% -
Although the next elections are still almost a year away, on a scale of 1-9with 9 being absolutely certain to vote and 1 being not too likely to vote what is your likelihood of voting in the 2014 state and federal elections? Please enter 1 through 9 on your key pad. 1-4 5-6 7-9 Democrat 1-5 5-6 7-9 Grand Total 14% 5% 81% 100% Republican 15% 2% 84% 100% 14% 4% 82% Independent 15% 5% 80% 100% Grand Total 14% 4% 82% 100%
Q3.
If the 2014 elections for United States Congress were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. The Democratic Candidate The Republican Candidate Undecided/Unknown Democrat Democrat Republican Undecided Grand Total 81% 6% 14% 100% Republican 2% 82% 17% 100% 35% 43% 22% Independent 13% 46% 41% 100% Grand Total 35% 43% 22% 100%
Q4.
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Obamacare? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. Favorable Unfavorable Dont Know Democrat Republican 2% 95% 3% 100% 27% 63% 10% Independent 14% 74% 12% 100% Grand Total 27% 63% 10% 100%
Q5.
As part of President Barack Obamas healthcare overhaul plan - known as Obama-care, the Arkansas Legislature passed a law that would add more than 200,000 people to its Medicaid program by using private insurance to purchase health insurance. Do you support or oppose this law? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. Support Oppose Undecided? Democrat Republican 14% 58% 27% 100% 35% 39% 27% Independent 24% 45% 31% 100% Grand Total 35% 39% 27% 100%
Q6.
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party movement? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. Favorable Unfavorable Dont Know Democrat Republican 65% 13% 22% 100% 39% 40% 21% Independent 48% 27% 25% 100% Grand Total 39% 40% 21% 100%
Male
49% 37% 15% 100%
Q7.
Now, thinking about the U. S. Senate race in 2014 if the candidates are Senator Mark Pryor, the Democrat, and Congressman Tom Cotton, the Republican For whom would you vote? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. Senator Mark Pryor Congressman Tom Cotton Undecided Democrat Pryor Cotton Undecided Grand Total 84% 7% 9% 100% Republican 8% 81% 11% 100% 42% 46% 13% Independent 25% 55% 20% 100% Grand Total 42% 46% 13% 100%
Female Pryor Cotton Undecided Grand Total Congressional Dist. Pryor Cotton Undecided Grand Total DMA Pryor Cotton Undecided Grand Total 48% 37% 16% 100%
1
43% 45% 12% 100%
2
43% 46% 11% 100%
3
41% 44% 15% 100%
4
39% 48% 12% 100%
ELD
51% 33% 15% 100%
FSM
43% 43% 15% 100%
JBR
46% 46% 8% 100%
LR
41% 49% 11% 100%
MEM
47% 39% 14% 100%
SHRV
36% 50% 14% 100%
SPR
36% 46% 19% 100%
Q8.
In the race for Governor in 2014, if the candidates are Mike Ross, the Democrat, and Asa Hutchinson, the Republican. For whom would you vote?
Republican
10% 75% 15% 100%
Independent
29% 47% 24% 100%
Male
38% 49% 13% 100%
2
45% 41% 14% 100%
3
40% 43% 17% 100%
4
43% 41% 16% 100%
FSM
40% 42% 18% 100%
JBR
41% 47% 12% 100%
LR
44% 41% 15% 100%
MEM
31% 42% 28% 100%
SHRV
43% 41% 16% 100%
SPR
34% 44% 21% 100%
Q9.
In the race for Lieutenant Governor in 2014, if the candidates are John Burkhalter, the Democrat, and Congressman Tim Griffin, the Republican. For whom would you vote? Press 1. Press 2. Press 3. John Burkhalter Congressman Tim Griffin Undecided Democrat Burkhalter Griffin Undecided Grand Total 65% 9% 26% 100% Republican 2% 80% 18% 100% 30% 45% 25% Independent 15% 50% 35% 100% Grand Total 30% 45% 25% 100%
Female
Burkhalter Griffin Undecided Grand Total 32% 37% 31% 100%
Male
27% 54% 19% 100%
1
Burkhalter Griffin Undecided Grand Total 33% 40% 27% 100%
2
33% 49% 18% 100%
3
26% 44% 30% 100%
4
27% 47% 26% 100%
ELD
Burkhalter Griffin Undecided Grand Total 33% 41% 26% 100%
FSM
28% 38% 34% 100%
JBR
34% 36% 30% 100%
LR
30% 51% 19% 100%
MEM SHRV
35% 35% 31% 100% 25% 52% 23% 100%
SPR
26% 42% 32% 100%
Q10.
Female Male
54% 46%
What is your age? Press Press Press Press Press 1 2 3 4 5 18-34 35-49 5064 65+ Refused 2% 9% 36% 49% 4%
Q12.
Which political party are you most closely affiliated with? Press Press Press Press 1 2 3 4 Democratic Party Republican Party Independent Dont Know/Something Else 39% 36% 26% -
Q13.
Other than being an American, how would you describe your ethnic or racial heritage? Press Press Press Press Press 1 2 3 4 5 Black White Hispanic Other Dont know/No Answer 9% 81% 1% 4% 6%
Q14.
In terms of your households phone usage, do you have a landline only, a cell phone only, or both a landline and a cell phone? Press Press Press Press 1 2 3 4. Landline Only Cell Phone Only Both Landline and Cell Phone. Dont Know/Refused 10% 11% 77% 2%
Media Market: ELD FSM JBR LR 3% 23% 6% 50% MEM SHRV SPR 6% 4% 7%
Congressional District: CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4 25% 25% 25% 25%
1 Arkansas Baxter
300 6 29
Chicot Clay Cleburne Craighead Crittenden Cross Desha Fulton Greene Independence Izard Jackson Lawrence Lee Lincoln Lonoke Mississippi Monroe Phillips Poinsett Prairie Randolph Searcy Sharp St. Francis Stone Woodruff 2 Conway Faulkner Perry Pulaski Saline Van Buren White
4 4 17 32 11 4 15
29 1 42 75 302
Ashley 6 Bradley 9 Calhoun 14 Clark 12 Cleveland 8 Columbia 1 Crawford 6 Dallas 6 Drew 5 Franklin 26 Garland 10 Grant 2 Hempstead 11 Hot Spring 9 Howard 2 Jefferson 10 Johnson 6 Lafayette 13 Little River 10 Logan 13 Madison 3 Miller 300 16 35 8 156 46 10 29 Montgomery Nevada Newton Ouachita Pike Polk Scott Sebastian Sevier 3 Benton Boone Carroll Crawford Marion Newton 300 80 19 15 26 12 1 Union Yell Grand Total
10 5 6 12 6 9 5 3 7 11 40 8 6 11 4 34 11 2 5 11 11 14 4 2 2 10 2 9 2 7 4 19 10 1202