Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MEMORANDUM
DATE:
TO:
Board of Education
FROM:
SUBJECT:
PURPOSE
To provide the Board of Education a report on enrollment projections for 2014-2018.
BACKGROUND
The Planning Department and the Long Range Facility Planning Committee (LRFPC)
have evaluated a wide variety of indicators and developed enrollment projections for
2014-2018. The basis for determining these projections is a cohort-survival statistical
model developed by the Planning Department that analyzes the student progression
ratios and migration on a grade-by-grade basis. As part of this analysis, the following
are also evaluated: Monthly enrollment counts; the number of lots with final plat
approval; the number of building permits issued and anticipated by the local
municipalities; birth data; private, charter and home school enrollment; open enrollment
in and out the District; the real estate market; changes in student yield; potential
educational/programmatic changes; economic forecasts developed by other entities;
and impacts from new schools and attendance boundary changes.
PROJECTIONS
The tables below identify a number of the factors reviewed by the Planning Department
and LRFPC which impact enrollment in the St. Vrain Valley School District. Based on
this review, the Long Range Facility Planning Committee concurred that a gain in the
area of 700 additional students was a likely outcome for 2014. Based on a potential
gain of 710 students, enrollment for 2014 would reach 29,905 students, up from 29,195
in 2013. By 2018, based on the current trends and indicators, there is potential for a
gain of over 3,400 students and an enrollment of over 32,600 at the mid-level estimate.
The Mid-Level projection has been the basis over many years for developing staffing
and budgeting. The staffing process for 2014 is currently underway in coordination with
the Human Resources and Finance Departments.
Factors
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
1021
546
53%
475
47%
2117
910
631
642
410
64%
232
36%
1467
631
-191
573
527
92%
46
8%
899
387
48
1063
580
55%
483
45%
472
203
-384
985
561
57%
424
43%
309
133
-819
592
319
54%
273
46%
427
184
336
699
282
40%
417
60%
429
184
-93
1248
1023
82%
225
18%
756
325
108
754
693
92%
61
8%
740
318
615
81.4
1797
1440
-24.6
1892
1438
6.2
1990
1494
-49.5
2133
1564
-105.7
2208
1501
43.3
2137
1679
-12.0
2275
1767
13.9
2277
1710
2334
1815
357
-165
1092
264
454
44
1172
337
496
49
1223
359
569
-141
1307
439
707
-192
1370
464
458
-59
1487
580
508
-39
1328
756
567
-193
1221
1046
1284
1113
-828
-835
-864
-868
-906
-907
-572
-175
-171
2014
886
381
2311
1896
519
415
Carbon
Valley
Flagstaff
2006
2007
CVA adds
grade
CVA
adds
grade
Flagstaff
adds grade
Flagstaff
adds
grade
Altona
Ute
Creek
Closes
Trail Ridge
Twin
Peaks
Exp.
New Erie
High opens
-Middle
Stays
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Mead
High
Mead
High adds
11th
Mead High
adds 12th
New
Frederick
High
Opens
Black
Rock
Thunder
Vly K-8
Opens
New Apex
site
Blue
Mountain
St. Vrain
Montess.
charter
Portables
for pre
#26 at
Erie
Red Hawk
(Erie)
Twin
Peaks HS
adds 11th
Timberline
K-8 opens
Mtn
View-5th
move
Centennial
Expansio
n of Twin
Peaks
Charter
Twin Peaks
Starts HS
9th-10th
Options/
APEX @
3 Sites
Fred. El.
Closes
Imagine
Charter
Expansio
n of
Flagstaff
Charter
Aspen
Ridge
Charter K5 in Erie
Spangler
Closes
CVA
Discontinue
HS
District
On-Line
Educ.
CVA
begins HS
Twin
Peaks HS
adds 12th
642
573
1063
985
592
699
1248
754
3000
2500
28052853
Low
Mid
High
Building Permits
2531
2179
2117
2000
1961
1467
1500
1030
1021
1000
1248
1063
899
592
573
329
500
895
754
710
801
756 740
472
309
1116
427 429
581
531
36000
34000
32000
30000
28000
26000
24000
22000
23854
Low
Mid
High
ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS
Alpine
Est.
Capacity
2011
2012
2013
490
475
637
602
490
490
490
414
490
519
466
395
515
327
490
508
539
325
515
450
423
376
447
429
541
504
470
421
294
282
470
456
376
340
517
444
470
343
400
409
482
1.47%
664
10.30%
528
7.76%
401
-3.14%
542
4.43%
367
-7.09%
330
0.92%
501
-1.38%
310
-4.62%
485
7.78%
360
-4.26%
411
-4.2%
582
15.5%
418
-0.71%
321
13.83%
451
-1.10%
386
13.53%
458
3.15%
344
0.29%
411
0.49%
478
-0.83%
715
7.68%
526
-0.38%
372
-7.23%
565
4.24%
333
-9.26%
339
2.73%
513
2.40%
342
10.32%
533
9.90%
309
-14.17%
374
-9.00%
583
0.17%
428
2.39%
308
-4.05%
477
5.76%
389
0.78%
467
1.97%
346
0.58%
401
-2.43%
650
436
Growth rate
Black Rock
Growth rate
Blue Mountain
Growth rate
Burlington
Growth rate
Centennial
Growth rate
Central
Growth rate
Columbine
Growth rate
Eagle Crest
Growth rate
Erie
Growth rate
Fall River
Growth rate
Hygiene
Growth rate
Indian Peaks
Growth rate
Legacy
Growth rate
Longmont Estates
Growth rate
Lyons
Growth rate
Mead
Growth rate
Mt View (K-4 in 2014)
Growth rate
Niwot
Growth rate
Northridge
Growth rate
Prairie Ridge
Growth rate
Red Hawk
Growth rate
Rocky Mt
447
368
441
397
625
517
775
746
12468
10954
10973
19
Growth rate
Sanborn
Growth rate
Thunder Valley K-5
(Former Fred. El.)
Timberline K-5
(Former Spangler - Loma Linda)
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate
2013
Capacity
98%
2014
470
112%
744
534
76%
373
590
71%
338
66%
333
105%
516
63%
342
103%
538
73%
310
84%
381
108%
612
91%
428
105%
313
101%
453
103%
334
90%
466
74%
365
100%
425
100%
704
84%
380
95%
433
2014
Capacity
96%
-1.67%
117%
4.06%
109%
1.52%
76%
0.27%
120%
4.42%
73%
1.50%
65%
-1.77%
105%
0.58%
63%
0.00%
104%
0.94%
73%
0.32%
85%
1.87%
113%
4.97%
91%
0.00%
106%
1.62%
96%
-5.03%
89%
-14.14%
90%
-0.21%
78%
5.49%
106%
5.99%
108%
8.47%
85%
0.80%
98%
3.84%
81%
-2.87%
79%
0.99%
2015
477
760
533
380
616
345
341
521
353
544
310
393
634
428
318
467
340
462
366
435
97%
1.49%
119%
2.15%
109%
-0.19%
78%
1.88%
126%
4.41%
74%
2.07%
66%
2.40%
106%
0.97%
65%
3.22%
106%
1.12%
73%
0.00%
88%
3.15%
117%
3.59%
91%
0.00%
108%
1.60%
99%
3.09%
90%
1.80%
89%
-0.86%
78%
0.27%
109%
2.35%
115%
5.82%
87%
2.37%
98%
-0.46%
82%
1.38%
79%
-0.16%
2016
483
786
546
386
630
349
341
533
369
552
315
402
654
426
324
483
344
469
378
453
99%
1.26%
123%
3.42%
111%
2.44%
79%
1.58%
129%
2.27%
75%
1.16%
66%
0.00%
109%
2.30%
68%
4.53%
107%
1.47%
74%
1.61%
90%
2.29%
121%
3.15%
91%
-0.47%
110%
1.89%
103%
3.43%
91%
1.18%
91%
1.52%
80%
3.28%
113%
4.14%
117%
2.28%
88%
1.54%
98%
-0.23%
83%
0.97%
80%
0.82%
2017
488
800
558
391
644
354
351
546
395
549
317
412
673
430
329
501
348
473
382
471
100%
1.04%
126%
1.78%
114%
2.20%
80%
1.30%
131%
2.22%
76%
1.43%
68%
2.93%
111%
2.44%
73%
7.05%
107%
-0.54%
75%
0.63%
92%
2.49%
124%
2.91%
91%
0.94%
112%
1.54%
107%
3.73%
93%
1.16%
91%
0.85%
81%
1.06%
118%
3.97%
120%
2.10%
88%
0.00%
97%
-0.47%
84%
1.15%
81%
1.78%
2018
500
825
570
401
662
364
366
563
425
560
329
429
694
439
339
515
351
479
387
479
649
16.52%
377
4.43%
417
7.20%
523
5.66%
608
-7.46%
11211
11372
11504
238
161
132
212
232
220
332
2.17%
1.44%
1.16%
1.84%
1.98%
1.84%
2.73%
614
92%
431
515
613
11716
94%
395
430
520
618
11948
96%
778
2017
Capacity
557
389
762
2016
Capacity
27.75%
361
-1.9%
389
-2.02%
495
-4.26%
657
-11.93%
508
745
2015
Capacity
395
428
526
629
12168
98%
810
400
434
538
641
12500
2018
Capacity
102%
2.46%
130%
3.13%
116%
2.15%
82%
2.56%
135%
2.80%
78%
2.82%
71%
4.27%
115%
3.11%
79%
7.59%
109%
2.00%
78%
3.79%
96%
4.13%
128%
3.12%
93%
2.09%
115%
3.04%
110%
2.79%
93%
0.86%
93%
1.27%
82%
1.31%
120%
1.70%
125%
4.11%
89%
1.27%
98%
1.40%
86%
2.28%
83%
1.91%
100%
Planning Department
SECONDARY SCHOOLS
Altona Middle
Est.
Capacity
2011
2012
2013
840
636
840
852
720
555
711
11.79%
904
6.10%
612
10.27%
758
0.26%
962
15.35%
1192
-0.75%
422
0.72%
404
-8.18%
412
3.52%
771
15.59%
1301
0.46%
1013
-2.22%
1318
6.81%
592
1.89%
756
6.33%
771
-14.71%
707
15.52%
775
2.24%
977
1.56%
1192
0.00%
432
2.37%
405
0.25%
417
1.21%
776
0.65%
1313
0.92%
1129
11.45%
1362
3.34%
608
2.70%
221
Growth rate
Coal Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Erie Middle
Growth rate
Erie High
Expansion in 2013
896
756
1100
834
Growth rate
Frederick High
Growth rate
Longmont High
Growth rate
Longs Peak Middle (5-8 in 2014)
Growth rate
Lyons M/SH (6-12)
Growth rate
Mead Middle
Growth rate
Mead High
Growth rate
Niwot High
Growth rate
Silver Creek High
Growth rate
Skyline High
Growth rate
Sunset Middle
Growth rate
Thunder Valley 6-8
1450
1201
630
419
563
440
390
398
825
667
1325
1295
1275
1036
1456
1234
660
581
300
2013
Capacity
90%
2014
778
92%
732
98%
778
86%
808
89%
1016
82%
1186
69%
483
72%
410
107%
423
822
99%
1305
89%
1166
94%
1404
92%
618
264
Timberline 6-8
450
413
840
649
720
619
15280
12369
12585
216
(Former Heritage)
414
0.24%
640
-1.39%
658
6.30%
358
-13.53%
657
2.66%
727
10.49%
13084
499
3.97%
13583
499
3.81%
349
78%
657
101%
764
13963
2014
Capacity
93%
2.91%
87%
-5.06%
108%
10.04%
90%
4.26%
92%
3.99%
82%
-0.50%
77%
11.81%
73%
1.23%
108%
1.44%
100%
5.93%
98%
-0.61%
91%
3.28%
96%
3.08%
94%
1.64%
88%
2015
796
769
821
862
1044
1205
506
416
431
863
1311
1181
1429
633
282
19.46%
78%
-2.51%
78%
0.00%
106%
5.09%
665
91%
14332
349
769
2015
Capacity
95%
2.31%
92%
5.05%
114%
5.53%
96%
6.68%
95%
2.76%
83%
1.60%
80%
4.76%
74%
1.46%
111%
1.89%
105%
4.99%
99%
0.46%
93%
1.29%
98%
1.78%
96%
2.43%
94%
2016
800
784
846
895
1075
1210
521
423
446
893
1322
1189
1442
639
288
6.82%
78%
0.00%
79%
1.22%
107%
0.65%
678
94%
14582
359
772
2016
Capacity
95%
0.50%
93%
1.95%
118%
3.05%
100%
3.83%
98%
2.97%
83%
0.41%
83%
2.96%
75%
1.68%
114%
3.48%
108%
3.48%
100%
0.84%
93%
0.68%
99%
0.91%
97%
0.95%
96%
2017
805
807
862
938
1104
1213
539
426
456
913
1325
1193
1454
650
296
2.13%
80%
2.87%
81%
1.95%
107%
0.39%
688
95%
14809
366
774
2017
Capacity
96%
0.63%
96%
2.93%
120%
1.89%
105%
4.80%
100%
2.70%
84%
0.25%
86%
3.45%
76%
0.71%
117%
2.24%
111%
2.24%
100%
0.23%
94%
0.34%
100%
0.83%
98%
1.72%
99%
2018
815
835
882
981
1142
1219
566
436
469
936
1336
1213
1481
663
306
2.78%
81%
1.95%
82%
1.47%
108%
0.26%
700
97%
15132
372
780
380
369
250
227
323
2.80%
2.64%
1.74%
1.56%
2.18%
2018
Capacity
97%
1.24%
99%
3.47%
123%
2.32%
109%
4.58%
104%
3.44%
84%
0.49%
90%
5.01%
77%
2.35%
120%
2.85%
113%
2.52%
101%
0.83%
95%
1.68%
102%
1.86%
100%
2.00%
102%
3.38%
83%
1.64%
83%
1.74%
108%
0.78%
99%
Planning Department
CHARTER SCHOOLS
Aspen Ridge Charter
2012
2013
178
203
14.04%
272
4.21%
49
8.89%
605
0.00%
252
16.13%
516
9.09%
156
5.41%
152
16.03%
635
6.72%
380
11.11%
262
29.06%
251
-7.72%
41
-16.33%
620
2.48%
265
5.16%
482
-6.59%
142
-8.97%
174
14.47%
621
-2.20%
423
11.32%
2995
417
3220
225
7.51%
3281
61
1.89%
3387
106
3.23%
13216
6050
7287
640
13594
6364
7557
926
13782
6687
7767
959
13944
6756
Growth rate
Carbon Valley K-5
261
Growth rate
Carbon Valley Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter K-5
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (K-5)
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (6-8)
Growth rate
St. Vrain Comm. Montessori K-8
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (K-5)
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (6-12)
Growth rate
45
605
217
473
148
131
595
342
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate
2578
Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection
ALTERNATIVES
Mid-Level
2014
2014
Capacity
315
2015
320
20.23%
239
-4.78%
-1.29%
255
-3.77%
475
-0.41%
142
0.00%
196
242
598
620
-3.70%
502
2013
Capacity
2014
Capacity
14238
7172
8145
1062
2015
Capacity
1.57%
660
12.73%
14493
7362
8280
1094
2016
Capacity
14773
7538
8396
1136
280
176
116
2017
Capacity
15165
7737
1383
1050
803
8570
1172
2018
Capacity
26494
CHANGE
27193
699
28441
1248
29195
754
29905
710
30617
712
31229
612
31843
614
32644
801
Growth rate
2.64%
4.59%
2.65%
282
1023
693
2.43%
604
2.38%
592
2.00%
514
1.97%
489
2.52%
691
106
PR-Sped:
29761.2
29792.5
29823.7
30346.4
30378.2
30410.1
31109.7
31142.4
31175.0
300
Old Col.:
0.953
0.954
0.955
28499.5
28529.4
28559.3
105
Options:
29178.0
29208.6
29239.2
2017
6.06%
3840
110
2.95%
2013
Global Online:
2016
6.45%
3730
125
3.47%
255
190
135
1.55%
700
2012
2015
294
416
-9
3.85%
655
2011
2014
162
69
387
270
645
3605
98
2.79%
0.00%
4.00%
2.42%
9.56%
2.08%
150
260
620
3507
120
3.54%
490
7.14%
3.31%
3.68%
1.89%
4.35%
150
635
550
18.68%
480
250
0.80%
270
1.92%
7.69%
23.47%
10.00%
630
0.81%
-3.16%
-8.45%
12.64%
25.00%
0.00%
140
1.96%
55
265
460
130
2.00%
0.00%
-1.04%
5.88%
260
625
260
1.96%
360
50
-11.11%
1.31%
260
480
2.04%
620
2018
Capacity
2018
3.03%
255
40
-6.25%
2017
Capacity
340
250
620
2017
3.13%
2.51%
17.07%
2016
Capacity
330
45
612
2016
1.59%
245
48
8154
1051
2015
Capacity
2010
GRAND TOTAL
2013
Capacity
2011
2018
540
Planning Department
Est.
Capacity
2011
2012
2013
490
475
637
602
490
490
490
414
490
519
466
395
515
327
490
508
539
325
515
450
423
376
447
429
541
504
470
421
294
282
470
456
376
340
517
444
470
343
400
409
482
1.47%
664
10.30%
528
7.76%
401
-3.14%
542
4.43%
367
-7.09%
330
0.92%
501
-1.38%
310
-4.62%
485
7.78%
360
-4.26%
411
-4.2%
582
15.5%
418
-0.71%
321
13.83%
451
-1.10%
386
13.53%
458
3.15%
344
0.29%
411
0.49%
478
-0.83%
715
7.68%
526
-0.38%
372
-7.23%
565
4.24%
333
-9.26%
339
2.73%
513
2.40%
342
10.32%
533
9.90%
309
-14.17%
374
-9.00%
583
0.17%
428
2.39%
308
-4.05%
477
5.76%
389
0.78%
467
1.97%
346
0.58%
401
-2.43%
650
436
Growth rate
Black Rock
Growth rate
Blue Mountain
Growth rate
Burlington
Growth rate
Centennial
Growth rate
Central
Growth rate
Columbine
Growth rate
Eagle Crest
Growth rate
Erie
Growth rate
Fall River
Growth rate
Hygiene
Growth rate
Indian Peaks
Growth rate
Legacy
Growth rate
Longmont Estates
Growth rate
Lyons
Growth rate
Mead
Growth rate
Mt View
Growth rate
Niwot
Growth rate
Northridge
Growth rate
Prairie Ridge
Growth rate
Red Hawk
Growth rate
Rocky Mt
447
368
441
397
625
517
775
746
12468
10954
10973
19
Growth rate
Sanborn
Growth rate
Thunder Valley K-5
(Former Freder Elem)
Timberline K-5
(Former Spangler- Loma Linda)
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate
2013
Capacity
98%
2014
467
112%
740
531
76%
371
586
71%
336
66%
331
105%
513
63%
340
103%
535
73%
308
84%
379
108%
608
91%
425
105%
311
101%
450
103%
332
90%
463
74%
363
100%
422
100%
700
84%
378
95%
430
2014
Capacity
95%
-2.26%
116%
3.43%
108%
0.91%
76%
-0.33%
120%
3.80%
72%
0.89%
64%
-2.36%
105%
-0.02%
63%
-0.60%
104%
0.33%
73%
-0.28%
85%
1.26%
112%
4.34%
91%
-0.60%
106%
1.01%
96%
-5.60%
88%
-14.65%
90%
-0.81%
77%
4.86%
106%
5.35%
108%
7.82%
85%
0.19%
98%
3.21%
81%
-3.45%
79%
0.38%
2015
471
751
527
375
609
341
337
515
349
537
306
388
626
423
314
461
336
456
362
430
96%
0.88%
118%
1.53%
107%
-0.79%
77%
1.26%
124%
3.78%
73%
1.45%
65%
1.78%
105%
0.36%
65%
2.59%
104%
0.50%
72%
-0.60%
87%
2.53%
116%
2.97%
90%
-0.60%
107%
0.98%
98%
2.47%
89%
1.18%
88%
-1.46%
77%
-0.33%
107%
1.74%
113%
5.19%
86%
1.75%
97%
-1.06%
81%
0.77%
78%
-0.77%
2016
475
773
537
379
619
343
335
524
363
543
310
395
643
419
318
475
338
461
372
445
97%
0.75%
121%
2.90%
110%
1.92%
77%
1.06%
126%
1.76%
74%
0.65%
65%
-0.51%
107%
1.79%
67%
4.00%
105%
0.96%
73%
1.10%
88%
1.77%
119%
2.63%
89%
-0.97%
108%
1.37%
101%
2.90%
90%
0.66%
89%
1.00%
79%
2.76%
111%
3.61%
115%
1.76%
87%
1.03%
96%
-0.74%
82%
0.46%
78%
0.31%
2017
477
782
546
382
630
346
343
534
386
537
310
403
658
421
322
490
340
463
374
461
97%
0.52%
123%
1.26%
111%
1.68%
78%
0.78%
129%
1.70%
74%
0.92%
67%
2.41%
109%
1.92%
72%
6.50%
104%
-1.05%
73%
0.12%
90%
1.97%
122%
2.38%
89%
0.43%
109%
1.03%
104%
3.20%
91%
0.65%
89%
0.34%
79%
0.54%
115%
3.44%
117%
1.58%
86%
-0.51%
95%
-0.97%
82%
0.64%
79%
1.26%
2018
486
802
554
390
643
354
356
547
413
544
320
417
674
427
329
500
341
465
376
465
649
16.52%
377
4.43%
417
7.20%
523
5.66%
608
-7.46%
11211
11372
11435
238
161
63
140
169
155
247
2.17%
1.44%
0.55%
1.23%
1.46%
1.32%
2.08%
610
92%
426
509
606
11575
93%
388
423
511
607
11745
94%
761
2017
Capacity
557
384
749
2016
Capacity
27.75%
361
-1.9%
389
-2.02%
495
-4.26%
657
-11.93%
505
736
2015
Capacity
386
419
514
615
11900
95%
787
389
422
523
623
12148
2018
Capacity
99%
1.81%
126%
2.47%
113%
1.50%
80%
1.91%
131%
2.14%
76%
2.17%
69%
3.61%
112%
2.46%
77%
6.91%
106%
1.36%
76%
3.13%
93%
3.47%
125%
2.47%
91%
1.45%
112%
2.39%
106%
2.14%
91%
0.22%
90%
0.63%
80%
0.67%
116%
1.05%
121%
3.45%
87%
0.62%
96%
0.76%
84%
1.63%
80%
1.26%
97%
Planning Department
Est.
Capacity
2011
2012
2013
840
636
840
852
720
555
711
11.79%
904
6.10%
612
10.27%
758
0.26%
962
15.35%
1192
-0.75%
422
0.72%
404
-8.18%
412
3.52%
771
15.59%
1301
0.46%
1013
-2.22%
1318
6.81%
592
1.89%
756
6.33%
771
-14.71%
707
15.52%
775
2.24%
977
1.56%
1192
0.00%
432
2.37%
405
0.25%
417
1.21%
776
0.65%
1313
0.92%
1129
11.45%
1362
3.34%
608
2.70%
221
Growth rate
Coal Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Erie Middle
Growth rate
Erie High
Expansion in 2013
896
756
1100
834
Growth rate
Frederick High
Growth rate
Longmont High
1450
1201
630
419
563
440
364
398
825
667
1325
1295
1275
1036
1456
1234
660
581
Growth rate
Longs Peak Middle
Growth rate
Lyons M/SH (6-12)
Growth rate
Mead Middle
Growth rate
Mead High
Growth rate
Niwot High
Growth rate
Silver Creek High
Growth rate
Skyline High
Growth rate
Sunset Middle
Growth rate
Thunder Valley 6-8
300
2013
Capacity
90%
2014
773
92%
728
98%
773
86%
803
89%
1010
82%
1179
69%
480
72%
408
115%
420
817
99%
1297
89%
1159
94%
1396
92%
614
262
Timberline 6-8
450
413
840
649
720
619
15254
12585
216
(Former Heritage)
414
0.24%
640
-1.39%
658
6.30%
358
-13.53%
657
2.66%
727
10.49%
13084
499
3.97%
13583
499
3.81%
347
78%
653
101%
759
13879
2014
Capacity
92%
2.29%
87%
-5.63%
107%
9.38%
90%
3.63%
92%
3.37%
81%
-1.10%
76%
11.13%
72%
0.63%
116%
0.83%
99%
5.29%
98%
-1.21%
91%
2.66%
96%
2.47%
93%
1.03%
87%
18.74%
77%
-3.10%
78%
-0.60%
105%
4.46%
91%
2015
786
760
811
852
1031
1191
500
411
426
853
1295
1167
1412
625
279
345
657
760
14160
2015
Capacity
94%
1.70%
90%
4.42%
113%
4.89%
95%
6.04%
94%
2.14%
82%
0.99%
79%
4.13%
73%
0.85%
117%
1.28%
103%
4.35%
98%
-0.15%
92%
0.68%
97%
1.17%
95%
1.81%
93%
6.17%
77%
-0.60%
78%
0.61%
106%
0.05%
93%
2016
786
771
832
880
1057
1189
512
416
438
878
1300
1169
1417
628
283
353
666
759
14334
2016
Capacity
94%
-0.01%
92%
1.43%
116%
2.52%
98%
3.30%
96%
2.45%
82%
-0.09%
81%
2.44%
74%
1.17%
120%
2.96%
106%
2.95%
98%
0.33%
92%
0.17%
97%
0.40%
95%
0.44%
94%
1.61%
78%
2.34%
79%
1.44%
105%
-0.12%
94%
2017
787
789
843
917
1080
1186
527
417
446
893
1296
1167
1422
636
289
358
673
757
14483
2017
Capacity
94%
0.11%
94%
2.41%
117%
1.37%
102%
4.27%
98%
2.18%
82%
-0.26%
84%
2.93%
74%
0.20%
123%
1.72%
108%
1.72%
98%
-0.28%
92%
-0.17%
98%
0.32%
96%
1.20%
96%
2.26%
80%
1.43%
80%
0.96%
105%
-0.25%
95%
2018
792
811
857
953
1110
1185
550
424
456
910
1298
1179
1439
644
297
362
680
758
14705
296
281
174
149
222
2.18%
2.02%
1.23%
1.04%
1.53%
2018
Capacity
94%
0.60%
97%
2.81%
119%
1.67%
106%
3.92%
101%
2.79%
82%
-0.14%
87%
4.34%
75%
1.70%
125%
2.20%
110%
1.87%
98%
0.19%
92%
1.03%
99%
1.21%
98%
1.35%
99%
2.72%
80%
1.00%
81%
1.10%
105%
0.14%
96%
Planning Department
2013
Capacity
203
14.04%
272
4.21%
49
8.89%
605
0.00%
252
16.13%
516
9.09%
156
5.41%
152
16.03%
635
6.72%
380
11.11%
262
29.06%
251
-7.72%
41
-16.33%
620
2.48%
265
5.16%
482
-6.59%
142
-8.97%
174
14.47%
621
-2.20%
423
11.32%
2995
417
3220
225
7.51%
3281
61
1.89%
3367
86
2.61%
13216
6050
7287
640
13594
6364
7557
926
13782
6687
7767
959
13860
6915
2010
2011
2012
2013
26494
CHANGE
27193
699
28441
1248
29195
754
29726
531
30250
524
30698
449
31142
444
31723
581
Growth rate
2.64%
4.59%
2.65%
282
1023
693
1.82%
445
1.76%
426
1.48%
370
1.45%
340
1.87%
497
105
PR-Sped:
29255.3
29286.0
29316.7
0.983
29678.8
29709.9
29741.0
0.978
30232.4
30264.2
30295.9
0.9718
261
Growth rate
Carbon Valley Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter K-5
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (K-5)
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (6-8)
Growth rate
St. Vrain Comm. Montessori
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (K-5)
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (6-12)
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL
45
605
217
473
148
131
595
342
0
CHANGE
Growth rate
Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection
ALTERNATIVES
Low-Level
GRAND TOTAL
Global Online:
19.51%
238
0.97%
242
-5.35%
48
44
608
-1.88%
0.70%
-4.35%
-1.01%
-0.60%
195
239
594
613
-4.28%
499
298
0.953
0.954
0.955
2014
Old Col.:
28328.5
28358.2
28387.9
0.994
78
228
138
2014
Capacity
104
14067
7086
8047
1049
2015
Options:
28827.9
28858.1
28888.4
0.988
207
171
142
2015
Capacity
14247
7237
8139
1075
2016
262
645
2016
Capacity
0.91%
680
5.91%
3648
104
2.94%
179
151
92
3.19%
637
1.06%
12.16%
3544
79
2.27%
-0.63%
3.47%
631
609
3465
98
2.92%
6.60%
1.90%
8.90%
1.44%
146
254
624
543
3.82%
2.78%
3.05%
17.96%
2013
Capacity
246
1.24%
476
147
7.15%
22.72%
0.16%
262
1.40%
-3.65%
-9.00%
11.97%
0.29%
469
138
9.30%
612
259
-0.51%
-1.64%
128
1.31%
53
611
452
5.21%
24.36%
-0.51%
1.35%
469
141
49
256
14448
7373
8211
1111
2017
2018
Capacity
253
1.48%
-11.56%
609
257
477
7905
1045
39
2018
350
2.51%
249
1.52%
-6.82%
613
253
2.60%
246
1.89%
16.37%
2017
333
2017
Capacity
178
2016
324
2016
Capacity
2013
Growth rate
2015
316
2015
Capacity
2012
2014
313
2014
Capacity
2011
5.39%
3732
84
2.30%
201
136
72
2017
Capacity
14737
7519
8328
1139
2018
955
832
561
2018
Capacity
537
Planning Department
Est.
Capacity
2011
2012
2013
490
475
637
602
490
490
490
414
490
519
466
395
515
327
490
508
539
325
515
450
423
376
447
429
541
504
470
421
294
282
470
456
376
340
517
444
470
343
400
409
482
1.47%
664
10.30%
528
7.76%
401
-3.14%
542
4.43%
367
-7.09%
330
0.92%
501
-1.38%
310
-4.62%
485
7.78%
360
-4.26%
411
-4.2%
582
15.5%
418
-0.71%
321
13.83%
451
-1.10%
386
13.53%
458
3.15%
344
0.29%
411
0.49%
478
-0.83%
715
7.68%
526
-0.38%
372
-7.23%
565
4.24%
333
-9.26%
339
2.73%
513
2.40%
342
10.32%
533
9.90%
309
-14.17%
374
-9.00%
583
0.17%
428
2.39%
308
-4.05%
477
5.76%
389
0.78%
467
1.97%
346
0.58%
401
-2.43%
650
436
Growth rate
Black Rock
Growth rate
Blue Mountain
Growth rate
Burlington
Growth rate
Centennial
Growth rate
Central
Growth rate
Columbine
Growth rate
Eagle Crest
Growth rate
Erie
Growth rate
Fall River
Growth rate
Hygiene
Growth rate
Indian Peaks
Growth rate
Legacy
Growth rate
Longmont Estates
Growth rate
Lyons
Growth rate
Mead
Growth rate
Mt View
Growth rate
Niwot
Growth rate
Northridge
Growth rate
Prairie Ridge
Growth rate
Red Hawk
Growth rate
Rocky Mt
447
368
441
397
625
517
Timberline K-5
775
746
12468
10973
19
Growth rate
Sanborn
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL
CHANGE
Growth rate
2013
Capacity
98%
2014
473
112%
749
537
76%
375
594
71%
340
66%
335
105%
519
63%
344
103%
541
73%
312
84%
383
108%
616
91%
431
105%
315
101%
456
103%
336
90%
469
74%
367
100%
428
100%
708
84%
382
95%
436
2014
Capacity
97%
-1.06%
118%
4.70%
110%
2.15%
77%
0.89%
121%
5.07%
73%
2.13%
65%
-1.16%
106%
1.21%
64%
0.62%
105%
1.56%
74%
0.95%
86%
2.50%
114%
5.63%
92%
0.62%
107%
2.25%
97%
-4.44%
89%
-13.61%
91%
0.40%
78%
6.15%
107%
6.64%
109%
9.15%
86%
1.42%
99%
4.48%
82%
-2.27%
80%
1.61%
2015
483
770
540
385
624
349
345
528
358
551
314
398
642
434
322
473
344
468
371
441
99%
2.18%
121%
2.84%
110%
0.49%
79%
2.57%
127%
5.11%
75%
2.76%
67%
3.09%
108%
1.65%
66%
3.91%
107%
1.80%
74%
0.68%
89%
3.85%
119%
4.29%
92%
0.68%
110%
2.28%
101%
3.79%
92%
2.48%
91%
-0.19%
79%
0.95%
110%
3.04%
116%
6.54%
88%
3.06%
99%
0.21%
83%
2.06%
80%
0.51%
2016
493
802
557
394
643
356
348
544
376
563
321
410
667
435
330
493
351
478
386
462
101%
1.96%
126%
4.14%
114%
3.15%
80%
2.28%
131%
2.98%
76%
1.86%
68%
0.69%
111%
3.01%
70%
5.25%
109%
2.17%
76%
2.32%
92%
3.00%
123%
3.87%
92%
0.22%
112%
2.59%
105%
4.14%
93%
1.88%
93%
2.22%
82%
3.99%
116%
4.86%
120%
2.99%
90%
2.24%
99%
0.46%
85%
1.67%
81%
1.51%
2017
501
822
573
402
661
364
360
561
406
564
326
423
691
442
338
515
357
486
392
484
102%
1.73%
129%
2.48%
117%
2.90%
82%
1.99%
135%
2.92%
78%
2.13%
70%
3.64%
114%
3.14%
75%
7.78%
109%
0.14%
77%
1.33%
95%
3.19%
128%
3.61%
94%
1.63%
115%
2.24%
109%
4.44%
95%
1.86%
94%
1.55%
83%
1.75%
121%
4.69%
123%
2.80%
91%
0.69%
100%
0.22%
86%
1.85%
83%
2.48%
2018
518
855
591
415
686
377
379
583
440
580
341
444
719
455
351
534
364
496
401
496
649
16.52%
377
4.43%
417
7.20%
523
5.66%
608
-7.46%
11211
11372
11575
238
161
203
293
319
310
453
2.17%
1.44%
1.79%
2.53%
2.68%
2.54%
3.63%
618
93%
437
522
621
11868
95%
403
439
530
630
12187
98%
799
2017
Capacity
557
394
777
2016
Capacity
27.75%
361
-1.9%
389
-2.02%
495
-4.26%
657
-11.93%
511
755
2015
Capacity
406
440
540
646
12497
100%
839
414
450
557
664
12950
2018
Capacity
106%
3.36%
134%
4.03%
121%
3.05%
85%
3.46%
140%
3.70%
81%
3.73%
74%
5.19%
119%
4.02%
82%
8.54%
113%
2.90%
81%
4.70%
99%
5.04%
133%
4.02%
97%
2.99%
119%
3.94%
114%
3.70%
97%
1.75%
96%
2.16%
85%
2.20%
124%
2.59%
129%
5.03%
93%
2.15%
102%
2.29%
89%
3.18%
86%
2.80%
104%
Planning Department
Est.
Capacity
2011
2012
2013
840
636
840
852
720
555
711
11.79%
904
6.10%
612
10.27%
758
0.26%
962
15.35%
1192
-0.75%
422
0.72%
404
-8.18%
412
3.52%
771
15.59%
1301
0.46%
1013
-2.22%
1318
6.81%
592
1.89%
756
6.33%
771
-14.71%
707
15.52%
775
2.24%
977
1.56%
1192
0.00%
432
2.37%
405
0.25%
417
1.21%
776
0.65%
1313
0.92%
1129
11.45%
1362
3.34%
608
2.70%
221
Growth rate
Coal Ridge Middle
Growth rate
Erie Middle
Growth rate
Erie High
Expansion in 2013
896
756
1100
834
Growth rate
Frederick High
Growth rate
Longmont High
1450
1201
630
419
563
440
364
398
825
667
1325
1295
1275
1036
1456
1234
660
581
Growth rate
Longs Peak Middle
Growth rate
Lyons M/SH (6-12)
Growth rate
Mead Middle
Growth rate
Mead High
Growth rate
Niwot High
Growth rate
Silver Creek High
Growth rate
Skyline High
Growth rate
Sunset Middle
Growth rate
Thunder Valley 6-8
300
2013
Capacity
90%
2014
783
92%
737
98%
783
86%
813
89%
1022
82%
1193
69%
486
72%
413
115%
426
827
99%
1313
89%
1173
94%
1413
92%
622
266
Timberline 6-8
450
413
840
649
720
619
15254
12585
216
(Former Heritage)
414
0.24%
640
-1.39%
658
6.30%
358
-13.53%
657
2.66%
727
10.49%
13084
499
3.97%
13583
499
3.81%
351
78%
661
101%
769
14050
2014
Capacity
93%
3.55%
88%
-4.47%
109%
10.72%
91%
4.90%
93%
4.64%
82%
0.11%
77%
12.50%
73%
1.86%
117%
2.07%
100%
6.58%
99%
0.01%
92%
3.92%
97%
3.72%
94%
2.27%
89%
20.20%
78%
-1.91%
79%
0.62%
107%
5.74%
92%
2015
806
779
832
873
1058
1221
513
421
437
874
1328
1196
1448
641
286
354
674
779
14518
2015
Capacity
96%
3.01%
93%
5.76%
116%
6.24%
97%
7.40%
96%
3.45%
84%
2.29%
81%
5.47%
75%
2.15%
120%
2.58%
106%
5.70%
100%
1.14%
94%
1.97%
99%
2.47%
97%
3.12%
95%
7.54%
79%
0.68%
80%
1.90%
108%
1.33%
95%
2016
816
800
863
913
1097
1234
531
431
455
911
1348
1213
1471
652
294
366
692
787
14874
2016
Capacity
97%
1.20%
95%
2.66%
120%
3.76%
102%
4.55%
100%
3.68%
85%
1.11%
84%
3.68%
77%
2.39%
125%
4.20%
110%
4.19%
102%
1.54%
95%
1.37%
101%
1.61%
99%
1.65%
98%
2.83%
81%
3.58%
82%
2.66%
109%
1.08%
98%
2017
827
829
885
963
1134
1246
554
438
468
938
1361
1225
1493
668
304
376
707
795
15209
2017
Capacity
98%
1.32%
99%
3.64%
123%
2.59%
108%
5.52%
103%
3.40%
86%
0.94%
88%
4.16%
78%
1.40%
129%
2.94%
114%
2.94%
103%
0.91%
96%
1.03%
103%
1.52%
101%
2.42%
101%
3.48%
84%
2.65%
84%
2.17%
110%
0.95%
100%
2018
844
865
914
1016
1183
1263
586
452
486
970
1384
1257
1534
687
317
385
725
808
15677
467
469
355
335
468
3.43%
3.34%
2.45%
2.25%
3.08%
2018
Capacity
101%
2.13%
103%
4.38%
127%
3.22%
113%
5.50%
108%
4.35%
87%
1.38%
93%
5.93%
80%
3.24%
133%
3.75%
118%
3.42%
104%
1.71%
99%
2.57%
105%
2.75%
104%
2.89%
106%
4.28%
86%
2.53%
86%
2.64%
112%
1.66%
103%
Planning Department
CHARTER SCHOOLS
2013
Capacity
203
14.04%
272
4.21%
49
8.89%
605
0.00%
252
16.13%
516
9.09%
156
5.41%
152
16.03%
635
6.72%
380
11.11%
262
29.06%
251
-7.72%
41
-16.33%
620
2.48%
265
5.16%
482
-6.59%
142
-8.97%
174
14.47%
621
-2.20%
423
11.32%
2995
417
3220
225
7.51%
3281
61
1.89%
3408
127
3.87%
13216
6050
7287
640
13594
6364
7557
926
13782
6687
7767
959
14030
7000
2010
2011
2012
2013
26494
CHANGE
27193
699
28441
1248
29195
754
30090
895
31015
925
31854
839
32703
849
33819
1116
Growth rate
2.64%
4.59%
2.65%
282
1023
693
3.07%
768
3.07%
780
2.70%
714
2.67%
696
3.41%
969
107
PR-Sped:
30356.5
30388.3
30420.2
1.02
31165.7
31198.4
31231.1
1.027
32229.7
32263.5
32297.3
1.036
261
Growth rate
Carbon Valley Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter K-5
Growth rate
Flagstaff Charter 6-8
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (K-5)
Growth rate
Imagine Charter (6-8)
Growth rate
St. Vrain Comm. Montessori
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (K-5)
Growth rate
Twin Peaks (6-12)
Growth rate
SUB TOTAL
45
605
217
473
148
131
595
342
0
CHANGE
Growth rate
Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection
ALTERNATIVES
High-Level
GRAND TOTAL
Global Online:
20.97%
240
-4.19%
48
46
616
-0.68%
1.99%
-3.18%
0.20%
0.62%
197
245
602
628
-3.11%
505
302
2014
Old Col.:
28676.2
28706.3
28736.3
1.0062
248
313
235
2014
Capacity
106
14423
7266
8250
1076
2015
Options:
29557.3
29588.3
29619.3
1.013
393
266
248
2015
Capacity
14783
7509
8445
1116
2016
280
678
2016
Capacity
2.44%
725
7.18%
3831
154
4.18%
360
244
195
4.76%
679
2.27%
13.51%
3677
125
3.50%
0.88%
4.71%
662
632
3553
145
4.24%
7.88%
3.13%
10.30%
2.98%
155
267
648
557
5.06%
4.02%
4.38%
19.41%
2013
Capacity
255
2.78%
508
154
8.44%
24.30%
1.68%
280
2.62%
-2.49%
-7.83%
13.34%
1.50%
493
143
10.96%
653
272
0.69%
-0.37%
132
2.85%
57
642
469
6.81%
25.86%
0.69%
2.65%
481
143
51
265
15172
7742
8622
1167
2017
2018
Capacity
269
2.70%
-10.50%
632
263
483
8002
1058
41
2018
373
3.74%
262
2.75%
-5.62%
628
257
3.84%
255
3.20%
17.80%
0.953
0.954
0.955
1.0062
2.27%
248
2017
349
2017
Capacity
178
2016
337
2016
Capacity
2013
Growth rate
2015
324
2015
Capacity
2012
2014
317
2014
Capacity
2011
6.99%
3978
148
3.85%
389
232
177
2017
Capacity
15711
8016
8878
1214
2018
1929
1329
1111
2018
Capacity
543
Planning Department
Low
Mid
High
Enrollment Growth
Low
Mid
High
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
26494
26494
26494
27193
27193
27193
28441
28441
28441
29195
29195
29195
29726
29905
30090
30250
30617
31015
30698
31229
31854
31142
31843
32703
31723
32644
33819
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1063
1063
1063
699
699
699
1248
1248
1248
754
754
754
531
710
895
524
712
925
449
612
839
444
614
849
581
801
1116
34000
33819
32644
33000
32000
31000
30000
29195
28441
29000
28000
27000
31723
30090
29905
29726
27193
26494
High
26000
Mid
25000
Low
24000
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1200
1248
1116
1063
1000
895
800
754
699
710
925
531
400
849
612
614
801
712
754
600
839
581
524
449
444
High
Mid
200
Low
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2010
12900
5889
7112
Elementary Projection
Middle Projection
High School Projection
2011
13216
6050
7287
2012
13594
6364
7557
2013
13913
6447
7899
2014
14221
6890
7862
2015
14428
7133
8002
2016
14708
7402
8159
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
Elementary Projection
4000
Middle Projection
2000
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2017
15060
7626
8365