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estate market didn't experience the boom and bust of Ireland and
Spain. But a protracted downturn-national output has shrunk 10% in
about six years- has depressed the sector, with residential prices
dropping by 11% since 2006. Prices of office buildings and
industrial property were down 7% and 21%, respectively, in 2013
compared with 2006, according to Scenari Immobiliari, a think
tank.Valuations are proving to be difficult because of a decline
in the number of transactions. According to national statistics
institute Istat, residential and commercial-property sales have
fallen by half since 2006. The drawn- out process of foreclosures
and auctions in Italy also is clogging up the flow of sales.This
has made it harder for banks to find comparable data as benchmarks
to price their assets, especially for commercial real estate,
which made up only 6% of all realestate transactions in the final
three months of last year. The surge in bad loans, which have more
than tripled in the past five years, also has made it tough to
keep valuations up to date.That means banks are facing higher
losses on bad debt than they initially had planned for, or must
sell smaller portfolios than they hoped. Some are putting off or
even yanking deals altogether, say investors and bank
executives.For instance, investors began eyeing Release, a large
portfolio of loans and properties offered by Banco Popolare and
other smaller banks, early this year. Popolare has assigned a net
book value of 3.2 billion to the portfolio, which includes two
office buildings on the outskirts of Rome, one rented by Telecom
Italia and another by Ericsson, valued at a combined 356 million.
The portfolio originally had been valued at 3.9 billion. About
60% is made up of nonperforming loans.Investors who mulled or
presented offers are Blackstone, Lone Star, GWM Holding, which
joined with the Pacific Investment Group, and Fortress, which is
teaming up with Prelios. One group said it would pay no more than
1.5 billion, according to people close to the talks.The bank's
executives defend their pricing."Properties never betray you,"
Banco Popolare's chief executive, Pier Francesco Saviotti, told
analysts in May. "When you have something that is reasonably good,
you will never be let down... we don't want to sell out at a
discount."Banco Popolare will now seek to sell small packages of
loans and even single properties.Elsewhere, UniCredit is trying to
sell its debt-collection unit together with 4.4 billion of gross
bad loans; the proceeds of the sale of the debt collector are
earmarked to cover losses on the debt, people familiar with the
deal say.But the figures quoted for the debt have been low. A
person familiar with the deal said at least one investor was
considering an offer of 500 million only for the bad-loans
package, or 11% its face value.
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Change Short position LLC, have been more active in other hard-hit
European markets such as Spain and Ireland. That is because realestate sales in those countries have started to gather steam,
making it easier to value properties.Another factor: Many of
Italy's biggest banks have set aside less than regional
competitors to cover bad loans of all types, according to Morgan
Stanley. As a result, selling at the highly discounted prices
investors are demanding would mean painful losses at a time the
banks may need to increase capital to meet tougher regulatory
requirements."In recent years, Italian banks haven't written down
the value of their assets as their euro-zone peers did," said
Massimo Caputi, deputy chairman of Italian real-estate group
Prelios. "Some banks are simply not in a position to sell those
bad loan portfolios."The Italian real-estate market didn't
experience the boom and bust of Ireland and Spain. But a
protracted downturn-national output has shrunk 10% in about six
years-has depressed the sector, with residential prices dropping
by 11% since 2006. Prices of office buildings and industrial
property were down 7% and 21%, respectively, in 2013 compared with
2006, according to Scenari Immobiliari, a think tank.Valuations
are proving to be difficult because of a decline in the number of
transactions. According to national statistics institute Istat,
residential and commercial-property sales have fallen by half
since 2006. The drawn-out process of foreclosures and auctions in
Italy also is clogging up the flow of sales.This has made it
harder for banks to find comparable data as benchmarks to price
their assets, especially for commercial real estate, which made up
only 6% of all real-estate transactions in the final three months
of last year. The surge in bad loans, which have more than tripled
in the past five years, also has made it tough to keep valuations
up-to-date.That means banks are facing higher losses on bad debt
than they initially had planned for, or must sell smaller
portfolios than they hoped. Some are putting off or even yanking
deals altogether, say investors and bank executives.For instance,
investors began examining Release, a large portfolio of loans and
properties offered by Banco Popolare and other smaller banks,
early this year. Popolare has assigned a net book value of 3.2
billion to the portfolio, which includes two office buildings on
the outskirts of Rome, one rented by Telecom Italia and another by
Ericsson, valued at a combined 356 million. The portfolio
originally had been valued at 3.9 billion. About 60% is made up
of nonperforming loans. Investors who weighed or presented offers
are Blackstone, Lone Star, GWM Holding, which joined with the
Pacific Investment Group, and Fortress, which is teaming up with
Prelios. The investors view the Release portfolio as overvalued,
with one group saying it would pay no more than 1.5 billion,
according to people close to the talks.The bank's executives
defend their pricing."Properties never betray you," Banco
04/07/2014 pg. 16
ed. Nazionale