Lovely Professional University, Punjab

Course Code Course Title Course Planner Lectures Tutorials Practicals Credits
MTH302 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS 11359::Rajesh Kumar Gupta 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
Course Category Courses with Numerical focus
TextBooks
Sr No Title Author Edition Year Publisher Name
T-1 FUNDAMENTALS OF
MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS
S.C.GUPTA AND
V.K.KAPOOR
2nd 2007 SULTAN CHAND & SONS
Reference Books
Sr No Title Author Edition Year Publisher Name
R-1 PROBABILITY STATISTICS AND
RANDAM PROCESSES
T VEERARAJAN 3rd 2011 MC GRAW HILL
Relevant Websites
Sr No (Web address) (only if relevant to the course) Salient Features
RW-1 http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/mathematics/18-05-introduction-to-probability-and-
statistics-spring-2005/lecture-notes/
Lecture Notes .
Audio Visual Aids
Sr No (AV aids) (only if relevant to the course) Salient Features
AV-1 http://nptel.iitm.ac.in/courses/111105041/ Video lecture on Probability and Statistics
AV-2 https://www.khanacademy.org/math/probability/independent-dependent-
probability/basic_probability/e/dice_probability
Video Lectures (Small)
AV-3 http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/prob/index.html Virtual Laboratories
Detailed Plan For Lectures
LTP week distribution: (LTP Weeks)
Weeks before MTE 7
Weeks After MTE 7
Spill Over 3
Week
Number
Lecture
Number
Broad Topic(Sub Topic) Chapters/Sections of
Text/reference
books
Other Readings,
Relevant Websites,
Audio Visual Aids,
software and Virtual
Labs
Lecture Description Learning Outcomes Pedagogical Tool
Demonstration/
Case Study /
Images /
animation / ppt
etc. Planned
Live Examples
Week 1 Lecture 1 Basics of Probability
(Sample Space and Events)
T-1:Ch 3- Section 3.1
-3.5
AV-2 Lecture 0 will be
introduction to course
Lecture1 Basic
Terminology and
definition of Probability
.
Student will familiar
with the basic terms .
Discussion Tossing of a
coin .
Lecture 2 Basics of Probability
(Sample Space and Events)
T-1:Ch 3- Section 3.1
-3.5
AV-2 Lecture 0 will be
introduction to course
Lecture1 Basic
Terminology and
definition of Probability
.
Student will familiar
with the basic terms .
Discussion Tossing of a
coin .
Lecture 3 Basics of Probability
(Probability of an Event)
T-1:Ch 3- Section 3.8 AV-2 Axiomatic Approach to
Probability .
Student will learn the
algebra of Events .
Discussion
Week 2 Lecture 4 Basics of Probability(Rules
of Probability)
T-1:Ch 3- Section
3.9.1
Addition Theorem of
Probability.
Student will
understand the
addition theorem .
Discussion Playing Cards.
Lecture 5 Basics of Probability
(Conditional Probability and
Independent Events)
T-1:Ch 3- Section
3.10-3.13
Conditional Probability
and Independent Events
.
Student will learn the
difference between
dependent and
independent events .
Discussion . Rolling dice .
Lecture 6 Basics of Probability
(Conditional Probability and
Independent Events)
T-1:Ch 3- Section
3.10-3.13
Conditional Probability
and Independent Events
.
Student will learn the
difference between
dependent and
independent events .
Discussion . Rolling dice .
Week 3 Lecture 7 Random variables and its
Characterization(Random
Variable ( Discrete and
Continuous ))
T-1:Ch 5 - Section
5.3-5.4 ( 5.4.15.4.3)
AV-1 Discrete and Continuous
Random Variable
(pmf,pdf,df)
Student will learn the
Function of Random
Variable.
Discussion Number of Calls
per minute , Age
, Height ,
Weight.
Lecture 8 Random variables and its
Characterization(Random
Variable ( Discrete and
Continuous ))
T-1:Ch 5 - Section
5.3-5.4 ( 5.4.15.4.3)
AV-1 Discrete and Continuous
Random Variable
(pmf,pdf,df)
Student will learn the
Function of Random
Variable.
Discussion Number of Calls
per minute , Age
, Height ,
Weight.
Lecture 9 Test1
Week 4 Lecture 10 Random variables and its
Characterization
(Expectation and Variance
of a Random Variable)
T-1:Ch 6 - Section
6.2-5.5
RW-1 Expectation and
Variance of Single
Random Variable
Student will learn
that
what will the average
value of the Random
Variable in the long
run.
Discussion Average Value
Week 4 Lecture 11 Random variables and its
Characterization
(Expectation and Variance
of a Random Variable)
T-1:Ch 6 - Section
6.2-5.5
RW-1 Expectation and
Variance of Single
Random Variable
Student will learn
that
what will the average
value of the Random
Variable in the long
run.
Discussion Average Value
Lecture 12 Random variables and its
Characterization(Moments
and Moment generating
functions)
T-1:Ch 7 - Section
7.1
R-1:Page 112
Defining Moments , and
an alternative procedure
to find moments .
Student will learn the
two procedure to find
the moments .
Week 5 Lecture 13 Random variables and its
Characterization(Moments
and Moment generating
functions)
T-1:Ch 7 - Section
7.1
R-1:Page 112
Defining Moments , and
an alternative procedure
to find moments .
Student will learn the
two procedure to find
the moments .
Lecture 14 Random variables and its
Characterization
(Characteristic functions)
T-1:Ch 7 - Section
7.3-7.3.1
Defining Characteristic
function .
Student will able to
apply this function in
finding various
characteristics of
random variable.
Discussion .
Lecture 15 Probability Distributions and
Regression(Binomial
Distribution)
T-1:Ch 8 - Section
8.4
AV-1 Defining Binomial
Distribution , Its
parameters and some
real
life problems .
Student will learn the
first Discrete
probability
distribution
and importance of
Discussion Tossing of n
coins
simultaneously .
Week 6 Lecture 16 Probability Distributions and
Regression(Binomial
Distribution)
T-1:Ch 8 - Section
8.4
AV-1 Defining Binomial
Distribution , Its
parameters and some
real
life problems .
Student will learn the
first Discrete
probability
distribution
and importance of
Discussion Tossing of n
coins
simultaneously .
Lecture 17 Test2
Lecture 18 Probability Distributions and
Regression(Poisson
Distribution)
T-1:Ch 8 - Section
8.5
AV-1 Defining Poisson
Distribution , Its
parameters and some
real
life problems .
Student will learn the
Second Discrete
probability
distribution
Discussion Number of
accidents in one
Month.
Week 7 Lecture 19 Probability Distributions and
Regression(Normal
Distribution)
T-1:Ch 9 - Section
9.2
AV-1 Defining Normal
Distribution , Its
parameters and the
shape
of the density curve .
Student will learn
that
how it is applicable
in
real life as it has bell
shaped curve .
Discussion Grading of
marks .
Lecture 20 Probability Distributions and
Regression(Normal
Distribution)
T-1:Ch 9 - Section
9.2
AV-1 Defining Normal
Distribution , Its
parameters and the
shape
of the density curve .
Student will learn
that
how it is applicable
in
real life as it has bell
shaped curve .
Discussion Grading of
marks .
Week 7 Lecture 21 Probability Distributions and
Regression(Regression (
Linear and Multiple ))
T-1:Section 11.2
Section 12.4
Linear Regression and
Defining of Multiple
Regression .
Student will able to
predict on quantity in
terms of others .
Discussion
MID-TERM
Week 8 Lecture 22 Point Estimation(Definition
,Unbiased Estimators)
T-1:Section 14.2-14.3
and 17.1-17.2
Defining Parameter
Statistic and Estimator.
Student will learn to
use the static value to
estimate the
population
parameter .
Lecture 23 Point Estimation(Definition
,Unbiased Estimators)
T-1:Section 14.2-14.3
and 17.1-17.2
Defining Parameter
Statistic and Estimator.
Student will learn to
use the static value to
estimate the
population
parameter .
Lecture 24 Point Estimation(Consistent
Estimators)
T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.2.2
Defining
consistency .
Student will learn the
properties of
Estimator .
Week 9 Lecture 25 Point Estimation(Sufficient
Estimator)
T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.2.4
Defining Sufficiency . Student will utilize
all
the information in a
sample relevant to the
estimation of theta.
Discussion.
Lecture 26 Point Estimation(MLE (
Method of Maximum
Liklihood ))
T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.6.1
RW-1 General Method
Estimation
To understand the
principle on which
the
MLE is based .
Discussion.
Lecture 27 Point Estimation(MLE (
Method of Maximum
Liklihood ))
T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.6.1
RW-1 General Method
Estimation
To understand the
principle on which
the
MLE is based .
Discussion.
Week 10 Lecture 28 Point Estimation(MLE (
Method of Maximum
Liklihood ))
T-1:Ch 17 - Section
17.6.1
RW-1 General Method
Estimation
To understand the
principle on which
the
MLE is based .
Discussion.
Lecture 29 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Limit Theorems)
T-1:9.13
R-1:Page 194
Limit Theorems. Student will learn the
applications of Limit
Theorem.
Discussion.
Lecture 30 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Convergence of
Random Variables)
T-1:Ch 7- Section 7.6
-7.7
AV-3 Convergence in
Probability and Law of
Large Numbers.
Student will learn the
convergence of
Random Variables.
Discussion.
Week 11 Lecture 31 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Convergence of
Random Variables)
T-1:Ch 7- Section 7.6
-7.7
AV-3 Convergence in
Probability and Law of
Large Numbers.
Student will learn the
convergence of
Random Variables.
Discussion.
Week 11 Lecture 32 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Stochastic
processes)
R-1:Ch-7 - Page 397 Special model of
random
or Stochastic process (
Markov Process )
Student will learn
that
such type of models
has
applications in
Engineering.
Discussion.
Lecture 33 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Elementary concept
related to Markov chains)
R-1:Ch-7 - Page 397 Special model of
random
or Stochastic process (
Markov Process )
Student will learn
that
such type of models
has
applications in
Engineering.
Discussion.
Week 12 Lecture 34 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Elementary concept
related to Markov chains)
R-1:Ch-7 - Page 397 Special model of
random
or Stochastic process (
Markov Process )
Student will learn
that
such type of models
has
applications in
Engineering.
Discussion.
Lecture 35 Limit Theorem ,
Convergence and Stochastic
Process(Elementary concept
related to Markov chains)
R-1:Ch-7 - Page 397 Special model of
random
or Stochastic process (
Markov Process )
Student will learn
that
such type of models
has
applications in
Engineering.
Discussion.
Lecture 36 Test3
Week 13 Lecture 37 Hypothesis Testing(Types of
Error)
T-1:Ch 14 - Section
14.4
Type-I and Type-II
error.
Student will learn the
relevance of errors in
testing of hypothesis .
Discussion.
Lecture 38 Hypothesis Testing(Student
t-test)
T-1:Ch 16 - Section
16.3
AV-1 Test Concerning the
mean of a population
Student will able to
test
the hypothesis .
Discussion .
Lecture 39 Hypothesis Testing(Student
t-test)
T-1:Ch 16 - Section
16.3
AV-1 Test Concerning the
mean of a population
Student will able to
test
the hypothesis .
Discussion .
Week 14 Lecture 40 Hypothesis Testing
(Goodness of a Fit)
T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6
Formula of Chi Square
Test and problems based
on it .
It will help the
students
in deciding whether
the
observed differences
among the sample
proportions .
Discussion.
Hypothesis Testing(Chi-
Square Test)
T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6
RW-1 Formula of Chi Square
Test and problems based
on it .
It will help the
students
in deciding whether
the
observed differences
among the sample
proportions .
Discussion.
Week 14 Lecture 41 Hypothesis Testing(Chi-
Square Test)
T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6
RW-1 Formula of Chi Square
Test and problems based
on it .
It will help the
students
in deciding whether
the
observed differences
among the sample
proportions .
Discussion.
Hypothesis Testing
(Goodness of a Fit)
T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6
Formula of Chi Square
Test and problems based
on it .
It will help the
students
in deciding whether
the
observed differences
among the sample
proportions .
Discussion.
Lecture 42 Hypothesis Testing
(Goodness of a Fit)
T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6
Formula of Chi Square
Test and problems based
on it .
It will help the
students
in deciding whether
the
observed differences
among the sample
proportions .
Discussion.
Hypothesis Testing(Chi-
Square Test)
T-1:Ch15-Section
15.6
RW-1 Formula of Chi Square
Test and problems based
on it .
It will help the
students
in deciding whether
the
observed differences
among the sample
proportions .
Discussion.
SPILL OVER
Week 15 Lecture 43 Spill Over
Lecture 44 Spill Over
Lecture 45 Spill Over
Scheme for CA:
Component Frequency Out Of Each Marks Total Marks
Test 2 3 10 20
Total :- 10 20
Details of Academic Task(s)
AT No. Objective Topic of the Academic Task Nature of Academic Task
(group/individuals/field
work
Evaluation Mode Allottment /
submission Week
Test1 To Test the
understanding level
of students .
Basics of Probability : Sample Space and Events, Probability of
an Event, Rules of
Probability, Conditional Probability and Independent Events.
Individual A test of 30 marks
consisting of 4
questions ( 2 of 5
marks , 2 of 10
marks )
2 / 3
Test2 Observe the
performance of
students .
Random Variable ( Discrete and Continuous ), Expectation and
variance of a Random Variable , Moments and Moment
generating functions ,Characteristic functions .
Individual A test of 30 marks
consisting of 4
questions ( 2 of 5
marks , 2 of 10
marks )
5 / 6
Test3 Observe the
performance of
students .
Point Estimation , Unbiased Estimator , Consistent Estimator ,
Sufficient Estimator ,MLE ( Method of Maximum Liklihood ) .
Limit Theorems.
Convergence of Random Variables,
Individual A test of 30 marks
consisting of 4
questions ( 2 of 5
marks , 2 of 10
marks )
10 / 11