Interrater Reliability of the SAVRY

Study SAVRY SAVRY

Risk Total ICC Risk Judgment ICC

McEachran, 2001 .83 .72

Catchpole & Gretton, 2003 .81 .77

Dolan & Rennie, 2008 .97 .88

Lodewijks et al., 2008-b .81 .77

Meyers & Schmidt, 2008 .97 .95

Vilojen, et al., 2008 .91 N/A

ICC = Intraclass Correlation Coefficient

Studies of the predictive validity of the SAVRY on institutional or

community violent recidivism

Study Design Strength of association

Gammelgård, Eronen, & Institutional violence Violent incidents:

Kaltiala-Heino (2007) Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .71**

N = 147 (boys and girls)

Gammelgård, Weitzman- Community violence Violent incidents:

Henelius, & Kaltiala-Heino Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .71**

(2008) N = 208 (boys and girls) Risk Total, OR = 27.85 (high-low)

Risk Total, OR = 3.83 (mod-low)

Lodewijks, Doreleijers, De Institutional violence Violent incidents:

Ruiter, & Borum (2008-b) Prospective study Risk Total, AUC = .80***
 N = 66 (boys) Risk Rating, AUC = .86***

Follow-up: 18 months Aggressive incidents:

Risk Total, AUC = .73*

Catchpole & Gretton Community violence Violent recidivism:

(2003) Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .73**

N = 66 (90% boys)

Follow-up: 12 months post

release

Dolan & Rennie (2008) Community violence Violent recidivism:

Prospective study Risk Total, AUC = .64*

N = 99 (boys) Risk Rating, AUC = .64*

Follow-up: 6 months post General recidivism:

release Risk Total, AUC = .69*

Risk Rating, AUC = .69*

Fitch (2002) Community violence Males: Risk Total, r = .50**:

Retrospective study Females: Risk Total, r = .72***

N = 82 (47 boys, 35 girls) Males and females:

 Follow-up: 18 months Risk Total, r = 56**

Gretton &Abramowitz Community violence Violent recidivism:

(2002) Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .67*

N = 176 (94% boys) Risk Rating, AUC = .74**

Follow-up: 12 months

Hilterman (2007) Community violence Violent recidivism:

Prospective study Risk Total, AUC = .78**

N = 85 (72 boys; 13 girls) Risk Rating, AUC = .74**

Follow-up: 10 -18 months

Lodewijks, De Ruiter, & Community violence Violent recidivism: Risk Total,

Doreleijers (2008-c) Prospective study AUC = .76** (boys); .84* (girls)

N = 82 (47 boys, 35 girls) Risk Rating,

Follow-up: 18 months post AUC = .82*** (boys); .85*** (girls)

release

Lodewijks, Doreleijers, & Community violence Violent recidivism:

De Ruiter (2008-a Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .65*

N = 117 ( 95% boys) Risk Rating, AUC = .71*

Follow-up: 36 months

McEachran (2001) Community violence Violent recidivism:

Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .70*

N = 108 (boys) Risk Rating, AUC = .89**

Follow-up after release: 36

months

Myers & Schmidt (2008) Community violence (Statistical significance levels not reported)

Prospective study Violent recidivism:

N = 121 Risk Total (1yr), AUC = .66

Follow-up: 1 yr and 3 yr Risk Total (3yr), AUC = .77

General recidivism:

Risk Total (1yr), AUC = .75

Risk Total (3yr), AUC = .76

Non-violent recidivism:

Risk Total (1yr), AUC = .80

Risk Total (3yr), AUC = .68

Rieger, Stadtland, Community violence Violent recidivism:

Freisleder, & Nedopil Retrospective study Risk Total, AUC = .69*

(2006) N = 89 (boys)

Follow-up: 12 months

Viljoen, Scalora, Ullman, Institutional Offending & Sexual aggression during treatment:

Cuadra, Bader, Chavez, & Community Offending Risk Total, AUC = .52

Lawrence (2008). Prospective study Risk Rating, AUC = .51

N = 169 boys adjudicated for Non-sexual aggression during treatment:

sexual offenses Risk Total, AUC = .69***

Follow-up: 1 yr in Tx Risk Rating, AUC = .59

6.5 yrs in community Sexual offense in community:

Risk Total, AUC = .53

Risk Rating, AUC = .51

Serious non-sexual violent offense in community:

Risk Total, AUC = .69*

Risk Rating, AUC = .56

 Any offense in community:

Risk Total, AUC = .58

Risk Rating, AUC = .50

Welsh, et al (2008) Community violence (Statistical significance levels not reported)

Prospective study Violent recidivism:

N = 133 Risk Total AUC = .81

Avg. Follow-up: = 35.8 months General recidivism:

Risk Total AUC = .77

Note. AUC = Area Under the Curve. OR = Odds Ratio. r = Pearson correlation coefficient.
*
p < .05, ** p < .01, *** p < .001 (two-tailed).
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