Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Management
Tuesday 2 December 2014
Time allowed
Reading and planning:
Writing:
15 minutes
3 hours
Paper P4
6,680
Fugae Co
$ million
100
160
380
30
670
Each Avem Co share is currently trading at $750, which is a multiple of 72 of its free cash flow to equity. Avem Co
expects that the total free cash flows to equity of the combined company will increase by $40 million due to synergy
benefits. After adding the synergy benefits of $40 million, Avem Co then expects the multiple of the total free cash
flow of the combined company to increase to 75.
Fugae Cos free cash flow to equity is currently estimated at $765 million and it is expected to generate a return on
equity of 11%. Over the past few years, Fugae Co has returned 773% of its annual free cash flow to equity back to
Nahara Co, while retaining the balance for new investments.
Fugae Cos non-current liabilities consist entirely of $100 nominal value bonds which are redeemable in four years at
the nominal value, on which the company pays a coupon of 54%. The debt is rated at B+ and the credit spread on
B+ rated debt is 80 basis points above the risk-free rate of return.
Proposed luxury transport investment project by Fugae Co
In recent years, the country in which Fugae Co is based has been expanding its tourism industry and hopes that this
industry will grow significantly in the near future. At present tourists normally travel using public transport and taxis,
but there is a growing market for luxury travel. If the tourist industry does expand, then the demand for luxury travel
is expected to grow rapidly. Fugae Co is considering entering this market through a four-year project. The project will
cease after four years because of increasing competition.
The initial cost of the project is expected to be $42,000,000 and it is expected to generate the following after-tax cash
flows over its four-year life:
Year
Cash flows ($000s)
1
3,277.6
2
16,134.3
3
36,504.7
4
35,683.6
The above figures are based on the tourism industry expanding as expected. However, it is estimated that there is a
25% probability that the tourism industry will not grow as expected in the first year. If this happens, then the present
value of the projects cash flows will be 50% of the original estimates over its four-year life.
It is also estimated that if the tourism industry grows as expected in the first year, there is still a 20% probability that
the expected growth will slow down in the second and subsequent years, and the present value of the projects cash
flows would then be 40% of the original estimates in each of these years.
Lumi Co, a leisure travel company, has offered $50 million to buy the project from Fugae Co at the start of the second
year. Fugae Co is considering whether having this choice would add to the value of the project.
If Fugae Co is bought by Avem Co after the project has begun, it is thought that the project will not result in any
additional synergy benefits and will not generate any additional value for the combined company, above any value the
project has already generated for Fugae Co.
Although there is no beta for companies offering luxury forms of travel in the tourist industry, Reka Co, a listed
company, offers passenger transportation services on coaches, trains and luxury vehicles. About 15% of its business
is in the luxury transport market and Reka Cos equity beta is 16. It is estimated that the asset beta of the non-luxury
transport industry is 080. Reka Cos shares are currently trading at $450 per share and its debt is currently trading
at $105 per $100. It has 80 million shares in issue and the book value of its debt is $340 million. The debt beta is
estimated to be zero.
General information
The corporation tax rate applicable to all companies is 20%. The risk-free rate is estimated to be 4% and the market
risk premium is estimated to be 6%.
Required:
(a) Discuss whether or not Nahara Cos acquisition strategies, of pursuing risk diversification and of purchasing
undervalued companies, can be valid.
(7 marks)
(b) Discuss why the European Union (EU) may be concerned about Nahara Cos stated intention and how selling
Fugae Co could reduce this concern.
(4 marks)
(c) Prepare a report for the Board of Directors of Avem Co, which:
(i)
Estimates the additional value created for Avem Co, if it acquires Fugae Co without considering the
luxury transport project;
(10 marks)
(ii) Estimates the additional value of the luxury transport project to Fugae Co, both with and without the
offer from Lumi Co;
(18 marks)
(iii) Evaluates the benefit attributable to Avem Co and Fugae Co from combining the two companies with
and without the project, and concludes whether or not the acquisition is beneficial. The evaluation
should include any assumptions made.
(7 marks)
Professional marks will be awarded in part (c) for the format, structure and presentation of the report.
(4 marks)
(50 marks)
[P.T.O.
Keshi Co is a large multinational company with a number of international subsidiary companies. A centralised treasury
department manages Keshi Co and its subsidiaries borrowing requirements, cash surplus investment and financial
risk management. Financial risk is normally managed using conventional derivative products such as forwards,
futures, options and swaps.
Assume it is 1 December 2014 today and Keshi Co is expecting to borrow $18,000,000 on 1 February 2015 for a
period of seven months. It can either borrow the funds at a variable rate of LIBOR plus 40 basis points or a fixed rate
of 55%. LIBOR is currently 38% but Keshi Co feels that this could increase or decrease by 05% over the coming
months due to increasing uncertainty in the markets.
The treasury department is considering whether or not to hedge the $18,000,000, using either exchange-traded
March options or over-the-counter swaps offered by Rozu Bank.
The following information and quotes for $ March options are provided from an appropriate exchange. The options
are based on three-month $ futures, $1,000,000 contract size and option premiums are in annual %.
March calls
0882
0648
Strike price
9550
9600
March puts
0662
0902
Option prices are quoted in basis points at 100 minus the annual % yield and settlement of the options contracts is
at the end of March 2015. The current basis on the March futures price is 44 points; and it is expected to be
33 points on 1 January 2015, 22 points on 1 February 2015 and 11 points on 1 March 2015.
Rozu Bank has offered Keshi Co a swap on a counterparty variable rate of LIBOR plus 30 basis points or a fixed rate
of 46%, where Keshi Co receives 70% of any benefits accruing from undertaking the swap, prior to any bank
charges. Rozu Bank will charge Keshi Co 10 basis points for the swap.
Keshi Cos chief executive officer believes that a centralised treasury department is necessary in order to increase
shareholder value, but Keshi Cos new chief financial officer (CFO) thinks that having decentralised treasury
departments operating across the subsidiary companies could be more beneficial. The CFO thinks that this is
particularly relevant to the situation which Suisen Co, a company owned by Keshi Co, is facing.
Suisen Co operates in a country where most companies conduct business activities based on Islamic finance
principles. It produces confectionery products including chocolates. It wants to use Salam contracts instead of
commodity futures contracts to hedge its exposure to price fluctuations of cocoa. Salam contracts involve a commodity
which is sold based on currently agreed prices, quantity and quality. Full payment is received by the seller
immediately, for an agreed delivery to be made in the future.
Required:
(a) Based on the two hedging choices Keshi Co is considering, recommend a hedging strategy for the
$18,000,000 borrowing. Support your answer with appropriate calculations and discussion.
(15 marks)
(b) Discuss how a centralised treasury department may increase value for Keshi Co and the possible reasons for
decentralising the treasury department.
(6 marks)
(c) Discuss the key differences between a Salam contract, under Islamic finance principles, and futures
contracts.
(4 marks)
(25 marks)
Riviere Co is a small company based in the European Union (EU). It produces high quality frozen food which it exports
to a small number of supermarket chains located within the EU as well. The EU is a free trade area for trade between
its member countries.
Riviere Co finds it difficult to obtain bank finance and relies on a long-term strategy of using internally generated funds
for new investment projects. This constraint means that it cannot accept every profitable project and often has to
choose between them.
Riviere Co is currently considering investment in one of two mutually exclusive food production projects: Privi and
Drugi. Privi will produce and sell a new range of frozen desserts exclusively within the EU. Drugi will produce and
sell a new range of frozen desserts and savoury foods to supermarket chains based in countries outside the EU. Each
project will last for five years and the following financial information refers to both projects.
Project Drugi, annual after-tax cash flows expected at the end of each year (000s)
Year
Cash flows (000s)
Current
(11,840)
1
1,230
2
1,680
3
4,350
4
10,240
Privi
2,054,000
176%
134%
Drugi
2,293,000
Not provided
Not provided
1,103,500
860,000
Not provided
Not provided
5
2,200
Both projects net present value has been calculated based on Riviere Cos nominal cost of capital of 10%. It can be
assumed that both projects cash flow returns are normally distributed and the annual standard deviation of project
Drugis present value of after-tax cash flows is estimated to be 400,000. It can also be assumed that all sales are
made in (Euro) and therefore the company is not exposed to any foreign exchange exposure.
Notwithstanding how profitable project Drugi may appear to be, Riviere Cos board of directors is concerned about the
possible legal risks if it invests in the project because they have never dealt with companies outside the EU before.
Required:
(a) Discuss the aims of a free trade area, such as the European Union (EU), and the possible benefits to
Riviere Co of operating within the EU.
(5 marks)
(b) Calculate the figures which have not been provided for project Drugi and recommend which project should
be accepted. Provide a justification for the recommendation and explain what the value at risk measures.
(13 marks)
(c) Discuss the possible legal risks of investing in project Drugi which Riviere Co may be concerned about and
how these may be mitigated.
(7 marks)
(25 marks)
[P.T.O.
Kamala Co, a listed company, manufactures parts and machinery for the construction industry. About five years ago,
Kamala Co started to manufacture parts and machinery for hospitals and companies engaged in biomedical research
using largely the same manufacturing and processing systems it already had in place. In 2011, a young and
ambitious chief executive officer (CEO) took over the running of the company.
With the publication of the latest financial statements for the year to 30 November 2014, the CEO made a brief
statement and it includes the following two points:
The CEO was very pleased with growth in the financial ratios provided and sales revenue from 2012 to 2014.
More pleasing was growth in the share price, which increased even faster than the growth in the market index,
suggesting that Kamala Co has been a successful company.
The CEO expressed a desire to make Kamala Co the leading manufacturer of parts and machinery for the
construction industry by acquiring a major rival manufacturer in 2015, and financing the acquisition through an
issue of a new bond and a small rights issue.
An analyst, after examining the recent financial statements and the two points above, was less positive about
Kamala Cos future prospects.
Given below are extracts from the recent financial statements, some ratios, and other financial information for
Kamala Co.
Kamala Co
Year ending 30 November (all amounts in $m)
Sales revenue
Operating profit
Finance costs
Profit before tax
Taxation
Profit for the year
Dividends
2012
3,760
714
97
617
154
463
2013
4,054
819
168
651
163
488
2014
5,230
1,098
269
829
207
622
139
137
152
Kamala Co
Year ending 30 November (all amounts in $m)
Total non-current assets
Total current assets
Total non-current and current assets
Equity
Ordinary shares ($025)
Reserves
Total equity
Non-current liabilities
Bank loans
Bonds
Total non-current liabilities
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables
Bank overdraft
Total current liabilities
Total non-current and current liabilities
2012
3,962
980
4,942
2013
5,507
1,410
6,917
2014
7,669
1,880
9,549
750
1,476
2,226
750
1,827
2,577
750
2,297
3,047
476
1,008
1,484
1,176
1,008
2,184
1,316
2,218
3,534
1,232
1,232
2,716
1,540
616
2,156
4,340
2,016
952
2,968
6,502
2012
2013
2014
2,420
1,340
2,644
1,410
3,660
1,570
460
254
489
330
693
405
2012
190%
33
154c
40%
2013
202%
36
163c
46%
2014
210%
41
207c
54%
30 November
2012
169
4,539
840
92:1
30 November
2013
201
5,447
1,092
121:1
30 November
2014
269
6,550
1,422
153:1
2013
($m)
2014
($m)
826
990
150
1,150
1,380
170
Ratios: Kamala Co
Operating profit margin
Dividend cover
Earnings per share
Gearing [(debt/debt + equity)]
Other financial information
Kamala Cos cost of capital is estimated to be 10%. The companys corporation tax rate is 25%.
Required:
(a) Discuss the advantages and drawbacks of using the economic value added (EVATM) technique to assess a
companys performance.
(6 marks)
(b) Estimate Kamala Cos EVATM for the years ending 30 November 2013 and 30 November 2014. (5 marks)
(c) Evaluate Kamala Cos performance and conclude whether the analysts opinion or the chief executive
officers opinion has the greater validity. Include any additional ratio and activity trends, and share price
analysis, which are deemed to be relevant to the evaluation.
(14 marks)
(25 marks)
[P.T.O.
Formulae
Modigliani and Miller Proposition 2 (with tax)
k e = kie + (1 T)(kie k d )
Vd
Ve
V (1 T)
Ve
d
a =
e +
d
(Ve + Vd (1 T)) (Ve + Vd (1 T))
Do (1 + g)
(re g)
e
d
k +
k (1 T)
WACC =
Ve + Vd e Ve + Vd d
(1+hc )
F0 = S0 x
(1+hb )
(1+ic )
(1+ib )
PV n
MIRR = R 1 + re 1
PVI
ln(Pa / Pe ) + (r+0.5s2 )t
s t
d2 = d1 s t
The Put Call Parity relationship
p = c Pa + Pe e rt
[P.T.O.
r = discount rate
n = number of periods until payment
Discount rate (r)
Periods
(n)
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
1
2
3
4
5
0990
0980
0971
0961
0951
0980
0961
0942
0924
0906
0971
0943
0915
0888
0863
0962
0925
0889
0855
0822
0952
0907
0864
0823
0784
0943
0890
0840
0792
0747
0935
0873
0816
0763
0713
0926
0857
0794
0735
0681
0917
0842
0772
0708
0650
0909
0826
0751
0683
0621
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0942
0933
0923
0914
0905
0888
0871
0853
0837
0820
0837
0813
0789
0766
0744
0790
0760
0731
0703
0676
0746
0711
0677
0645
0614
0705
0665
0627
0592
0558
0666
0623
0582
0544
0508
0630
0583
0540
0500
0463
0596
0547
0502
0460
0422
0564
0513
0467
0424
0386
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0896
0887
0879
0870
0861
0804
0788
0773
0758
0743
0722
0701
0681
0661
0642
0650
0625
0601
0577
0555
0585
0557
0530
0505
0481
0527
0497
0469
0442
0417
0475
0444
0415
0388
0362
0429
0397
0368
0340
0315
0388
0356
0326
0299
0275
0350
0319
0290
0263
0239
11
12
13
14
15
(n)
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
1
2
3
4
5
0901
0812
0731
0659
0593
0893
0797
0712
0636
0567
0885
0783
0693
0613
0543
0877
0769
0675
0592
0519
0870
0756
0658
0572
0497
0862
0743
0641
0552
0476
0855
0731
0624
0534
0456
0847
0718
0609
0516
0437
0840
0706
0593
0499
0419
0833
0694
0579
0482
0402
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0535
0482
0434
0391
0352
0507
0452
0404
0361
0322
0480
0425
0376
0333
0295
0456
0400
0351
0308
0270
0432
0376
0327
0284
0247
0410
0354
0305
0263
0227
0390
0333
0285
0243
0208
0370
0314
0266
0225
0191
0352
0296
0249
0209
0176
0335
0279
0233
0194
0162
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0317
0286
0258
0232
0209
0287
0257
0229
0205
0183
0261
0231
0204
0181
0160
0237
0208
0182
0160
0140
0215
0187
0163
0141
0123
0195
0168
0145
0125
0108
0178
0152
0130
0111
0095
0162
0137
0116
0099
0084
0148
0124
0104
0088
0074
0135
0112
0093
0078
0065
11
12
13
14
15
10
Annuity Table
(1 + r)n
Present value of an annuity of 1 i.e. 1
r
Where
r = discount rate
n = number of periods
Discount rate (r)
Periods
(n)
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
1
2
3
4
5
0990
1970
2941
3902
4853
0980
1942
2884
3808
4713
0971
1913
2829
3717
4580
0962
1886
2775
3630
4452
0952
1859
2723
3546
4329
0943
1833
2673
3465
4212
0935
1808
2624
3387
4100
0926
1783
2577
3312
3993
0917
1759
2531
3240
3890
0909
1736
2487
3170
3791
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
5795
6728
7652
8566
9471
5601
6472
7325
8162
8983
5417
6230
7020
7786
8530
5242
6002
6733
7435
8111
5076
5786
6463
7108
7722
4917
5582
6210
6802
7360
4767
5389
5971
6515
7024
4623
5206
5747
6247
6710
4486
5033
5535
5995
6418
4355
4868
5335
5759
6145
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
10368
11255
12134
13004
13865
9787
10575
11348
12106
12849
9253
9954
10635
11296
11938
8760
9385
9986
10563
11118
8306
8863
9394
9899
10380
7887
8384
8853
9295
9712
7499
7943
8358
8745
9108
7139
7536
7904
8244
8559
6805
7161
7487
7786
8061
6495
6814
7103
7367
7606
11
12
13
14
15
(n)
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
1
2
3
4
5
0901
1713
2444
3102
3696
0893
1690
2402
3037
3605
0885
1668
2361
2974
3517
0877
1647
2322
2914
3433
0870
1626
2283
2855
3352
0862
1605
2246
2798
3274
0855
1585
2210
2743
3199
0847
1566
2174
2690
3127
0840
1547
2140
2639
3058
0833
1528
2106
2589
2991
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4231
4712
5146
5537
5889
4111
4564
4968
5328
5650
3998
4423
4799
5132
5426
3889
4288
4639
4946
5216
3784
4160
4487
4772
5019
3685
4039
4344
4607
4833
3589
3922
4207
4451
4659
3498
3812
4078
4303
4494
3410
3706
3954
4163
4339
3326
3605
3837
4031
4192
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
6207
6492
6750
6982
7191
5938
6194
6424
6628
6811
5687
5918
6122
6302
6462
5453
5660
5842
6002
6142
5234
5421
5583
5724
5847
5029
5197
5342
5468
5575
4836
4988
5118
5229
5324
4656
4793
4910
5008
5092
4486
4611
4715
4802
4876
4327
4439
4533
4611
4675
11
12
13
14
15
11
[P.T.O.
00
01
02
03
04
000
00000
00398
00793
01179
01554
001
00040
00438
00832
01217
01591
002
00080
00478
00871
01255
01628
003
00120
00517
00910
01293
01664
004
00160
00557
00948
01331
01700
005
00199
00596
00987
01368
01736
006
00239
00636
01026
01406
01772
007
00279
00675
01064
01443
01808
008
00319
00714
01103
01480
01844
009
00359
00753
01141
01517
01879
05
06
07
08
09
01915
02257
02580
02881
03159
01950
02291
02611
02910
03186
01985
02324
02642
02939
03212
02019
02357
02673
02967
03238
02054
02389
02704
02995
03264
02088
02422
02734
03023
03289
02123
02454
02764
03051
03315
02157
02486
02794
03078
03340
02190
02517
02823
03106
03365
02224
02549
02852
03133
03389
10
11
12
13
14
03413
03643
03849
04032
04192
03438
03665
03869
04049
04207
03461
03686
03888
04066
04222
03485
03708
03907
04082
04236
03508
03729
03925
04099
04251
03531
03749
03944
04115
04265
03554
03770
03962
04131
04279
03577
03790
03980
04147
04292
03599
03810
03997
04162
04306
03621
03830
04015
04177
04319
15
16
17
18
19
04332
04452
04554
04641
04713
04345
04463
04564
04649
04719
04357
04474
04573
04656
04726
04370
04484
04582
04664
04732
04382
04495
04591
04671
04738
04394
04505
04599
04678
04744
04406
04515
04608
04686
04750
04418
04525
04616
04693
04756
04429
04535
04625
04699
04761
04441
04545
04633
04706
04767
20
21
22
23
24
04772
04821
04861
04893
04918
04778
04826
04864
04896
04920
04783
04830
04868
04898
04922
04788
04834
04871
04901
04925
04793
04838
04875
04904
04927
04798
04842
04878
04906
04929
04803
04846
04881
04909
04931
04808
04850
04884
04911
04932
04812
04854
04887
04913
04934
04817
04857
04890
04916
04936
25
26
27
28
29
04938
04953
04965
04974
04981
04940
04955
04966
04975
04982
04941
04956
04967
04976
04982
04943
04957
04968
04977
04983
04945
04959
04969
04977
04984
04946
04960
04970
04978
04984
04948
04961
04971
04979
04985
04949
04962
04972
04979
04985
04951
04963
04973
04980
04986
04952
04964
04974
04981
04986
30
04987
04987
04987
04988
04988
04989
04989
04989
04990
04990
This table can be used to calculate N(d), the cumulative normal distribution functions needed for the Black-Scholes model
of option pricing. If di > 0, add 05 to the relevant number above. If di < 0, subtract the relevant number above from 05.
12