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Apa ??
Hypo = lemah
Thesis : dugaan
Uji Hypotesis : menguji dugaan yg lemah
An educated guess
A claim or statement about a property of
a population
Hypothesis Testing
Test Result
True State
H0 True
H0 False
H0 True
H0 False
Correct
Decision
Type I Error
Type II Error
Correct
Decision
Power of a Test
Power - Probability a test rejects H0 (depends on m1- m2)
H0 True: Power = P(Type I error) =
H0 False: Power = 1-P(Type II error) = 1-
Pasang nya
Bandingkan p dengan
T .S . : zobs
y1 y 2
s12 s22
n1 n2
Rejection Region - Set of values of the test statistic that are consistent
with HA, such that the probability it falls in this region when H0 is true is
(we will always set =0.05)
R.R. : zobs z
0.05 z 1.645
Power of a Test
Distribution (H0)
Distribution (HA)
ESTIMATION
Pudji lestari dr, MKes
Public Health Dept School of Medicine Airlangga
University
some risk,
so statistics is deal with
calculating the risk,
then estimation is the
way to express it
Sampling Review
Some possible samples = some sample means and sample
standard deviations
These sample means
the sampling distribution of the
mean (Normal)
mean of the sampling distribution =
the standard deviation of the sampling distribution =
x / n
once the sample size is 30 or more
Point Estimates
a single number from sample used to estimate the
Confidence Intervals
an interval in which we are confident the population
xz
n
s
x t 1 (dk )
n
2
Example:
As a consultant I have been employed to estimate the average
6
3
21
29
8
16
17
20
16
12
11
21
25
15
Solution:
To construct a 90% confidence interval to estimate the average
amount of extra time per week worked by a nurse in the hospital ,
I assume that comp time is normally distributed in the
population.
The sample size is 18, so df = 17.
A 90% level of confidence results in an / 2 = .05 area in each tail.
Interpretation:
The point estimate for this problem is 13.56 hours,
with an error of +/- 3.20 hours.
I am 90% confident that the average amount of comp
time accumulated by a Nurse per week in this
hospital is between 10.36 and 16.76 hours.
Recommendations:
From these figures, the hospital could attempt to
build a reward system for such extra work or
evaluate the regular 40-hour week to determine
how to use the normal work hours more effectively
and thus reduce comp time.
Proportion Estimation
Proportion Estimation
p z SE ( p)
2
Variance Estimation
S
2
2
1 12 / dk
1 / dk
2
Example
Ten students have monthly money variance 300 ribu rupiah ,