Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Initiating Coverage
25 October 2012
HOLD
IDR5,700
IDR5,950
Stock Information
Major Shareholders:
J&Partners Asia Ltd
Key Indicators
ROE annualised (%)
Net cash (IDR b):
NTA/shr (IDR):
Interest cover (x):
49
157
1,478
7.6
Historical Chart
(IDR)
7,250
Close (UnAdjusted)
(Million shares)
8
Close
6,250
5,250
4,250
2,250
1,250
250
Performance:
52-week High/Low
Absolute (%)
Relative (%)
1-mth
39.0
35.8
IDR6,000/IDR1,940
3-mth
41.6
33.0
6-mth
57.2
53.3
1-yr
193.8
176.9
Valuation looks stretched after strong rally. J-Ress share price has
done especially well since its transformation into a gold producer,
posting a 140% jump since early February. The company currently is
valued at USD557m, more than double the price it paid to acquire
Avocets assets (USD260m) just 15 months ago. Valuation, however,
looks stretched, especially on an EV-to-reserves basis, with the stock
trading at a 40% premium over the average multiple of other junior gold
producers. Using a blended valuation approach based on LoM DCF
(WACC of 11.6%), EV/EBITDA target of 4.4x, and EV/reserves target of
USD442/oz (evenly weighted), we arrive at a fair value of
IDR5,950/share. We initiate coverage on J-Res with a HOLD
recommendation.
4
3,250
YTD
193.8
180.0
PER (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
Div Yield (%)
P/BV (x)
Net Gearing (%)
ROE (%)
ROA (%)
Consensus Net Profit (USDm)
Source: Kim Eng
2012A
1,496
750
331
438
N/M
0
2013F
1,756
909
266
351
(78)
0
2014F
3,011
1,406
388
513
46
0
2015F
4,284
2,267
1,018
1,346
163
0
2016F
6,277
4,383
2,636
3,486
159
1,046
3.5
7.2
0
1.6
16.2
7.0
0
1.5
11.1
4.4
0
1.3
4.2
2.4
0
1.0
1.6
0.7
18
0.7
39
44
22
229
72
9
4
389
55
13
6
673
26
27
14
912
net cash
50
32
Q310
Late Stage
negotiation with
Avocet
24 Dec 10
Announced as
preferred bidder
Pay USD10m
1Q11
Pay second
tranche
USD100m
Q2 11
Pay third tranche
USD60m
Q311
Pay last
installment
USD30m
Jan 12
Completed
backdoor listing
The assets J-Res bought are of good quality, in our view. Penjom, for
instance, is Malaysias largest gold mine and still has seven years of
remaining mine life despite having started production since 1996. Its
gold production is set to peak in 2016. The North Lanut mine will be
closed next year as the mine is exhausted after almost 10 years in
production but the Bakan mine that is in the same CoW area is
expected to commence production in 2013 and will compensate for the
lost output. As for the currently non-operating assets, they are in
various stages of development when they were bought. Bakan and
Seruyung will commence production in 2013, followed by Doup in 2014
and Pani in 2015. In all, J-Res controls 904k oz of reserves and 3.68m
oz of resources in its portfolio.
Figure 2: J-Res asset portfolio
Page 2 of 16
Cash cost
25 October 2012
Page 3 of 16
will produce just 11k oz, a 71% YoY down from an anticipated 2012F
production of 39k oz.
We are quite comfortable with developments at Bakan, which already
has a JORC reserves (265k oz) number published. Its location near
North Lanut (around 30km) also means that it can access whatever
equipment and crew the latter can spare. But Seruyung is a different
story. J-Res has not announced the mines reserves and is expecting it
to produce around 150k oz of gold throughout its mine life. This
appears aggressive to us, based on the mines inferred JORC
resources figure of just 161k oz, although the companys in-house
JORC geologists have estimated resource of 381k oz.
The true value of J-Res will only be unlocked in 2016 when Doup and
Pani run at full capacity. Each mine boasts around 1m oz of gold
resources, and combined, will produce around 160k oz of gold pa.
Coupled with peak production at Penjom, the company is set to
produce around 350k oz of gold by 2016. This will put the company in
the league of top junior gold producers, as well as give it the
ammunition to shop for other gold assets in the region, which the
company said is on its priority list.
Figure 4: Reserves and resources at a glance
JORC reserves (June 2012)
Tonnes
Tonnes
Au g/t
Au k oz
Au g/t
(k tonnes)
Au k oz
(k tonnes)
Penjom
Penjom
Proven
1,342
1.21
52.21
Measured
1,342
1.21
52.21
Probable
9,492
2.04
534.53
Indicated
15,688
1.67
842.30
3,495
1.42
159.56
Inferred
N Lanut
Proven
N Lanut
1,079
1.29
44.75
Measured
5,874
1.06
200.18
220
1.15
8.13
Indicated
1,657
1.05
55.94
Inferred
1,695
2.08
113.35
20,876
0.80
536.93
3,908
0.54
67.85
3,440
1.46
161.47
Probable
Bakan
Probable
Bakan
7,460
1.10
263.82
Indicated
Inferred
Total reserves
Proven
Seruyung
2,421
1.25
96.96
Inferred
Probable
15,830
1.58
806.48
Doup
TOTAL
18,251
1.54
903.44
Measured
4,752
1.28
195.55
Indicated
22,885
1.20
882.90
8,919
1.10
315.42
2,400
0.90
69.44
940
1.02
30.83
Measured
11,968
1.16
447.94
Indicated
63,506
1.17
2,387.51
Inferred
22,397
1.18
848.47
TOTAL
97,871
1.17
3,683.92
Inferred
Pani
Indicated
Inferred
Total resources
25 October 2012
Page 4 of 16
Experience
Credentials
CEO
12 years
Colin J Davies
30 years
Budikwanto Kuesar
VP - Operations
30 years
Edi Permadi
VP External Relations
15 years
Jimmy Budiarto
VP - Technical Services
24 years
Former GM of Penjom
Jim Sweeney
GM of Exploration
17 years
25 October 2012
Page 5 of 16
Revenues
Net profit
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
Extraordinarygain
onpurchase of
assets
2,000
1,000
0
2012F
2013F
2014F
2015F
2016F
25 October 2012
Page 6 of 16
m USD
Penjom
North Lanut
Bakan
Seruyung
Doup
Pani
140.0
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
2012F
2013F
2014F
2015F
IDR b
2,500
80.0
2,000
60.0
40.0
1,500
20.0
1,000
0.0
500
(20.0)
(40.0)
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Page 7 of 16
33.00
32.00
31.00
30.00
29.00
Q3 2011
Q1 2012
Q1 2011
Q3 2010
Q1 2010
Q3 2009
Q1 2009
Q3 2008
Q1 2008
Q3 2007
Q1 2007
Q3 2006
Q1 2006
Q3 2005
Q1 2005
Q3 2004
Q1 2004
Q3 2003
Q1 2003
Q3 2002
Q1 2002
Q3 2001
Q1 2001
Q3 2000
Q1 2000
28.00
The changing trend may have something to do with US fall from grace
resulting in more people challenging the status of USD as a reserve
currency. Central banks might feel that they need to diversify their
currency reserves away from USD, even more so because the Fed is
aggressively expanding its balance sheet which should be bearish for
the USD in the long term.
The predicament faced by the central banks is there are not too many
available alternatives to USD. Eurozone is even in a greater mess than
the US today and Chinese Yuan is not a freely traded currency. This
leaves gold as the only reasonable alternative. That said, we believe
there will be even more gold demand from this particular sector,
because many of the countries with the largest reserves hold only a
relatively small portion of their reserves in gold.
Figure 11. Gold reserves as % of total reserves
Gold holding is prevalent in European countries
tonnes
tonnes
% of reserves
10,000
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
United States Germany
Italy
France
United
Kingdom
ECB
tonnes
tonnes
1,200
% of reserves
12
1,000
10
800
600
400
200
0
China
Russia
Japan
India
Brazil
Against this backdrop, we expect gold price will perform well in the near
future as we expect a tepid global economic growth in 2013 and believe
there is a strong possibility of an extended period of sub-par growth
thereafter. We maintain our belief that it will take some time for the US
and Eurozone to solve the structural problems caused by too much
deficit spending and over-leveraging economy.
25 October 2012
Page 8 of 16
We assume that gold price will average USD1,900/Toz over the next
four years before stabilising at USD1,550/Toz. In addition to strong
demand from central banks, we also expect some appetite for gold by
individuals and ETFs for investment purposes.
Figure 12. Sentiment on gold price rises and falls
Gold price
1700
1400
1100
800
500
Oct-07
Jun-08
Feb-09
Oct-09
Jun-10
Feb-11
Oct-11
Jun-12
Source: Bloomberg
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2012F
2013F
2014F
2015F
2016F
25 October 2012
Page 9 of 16
EV/EBITDA
EV/Reserves
Assumptions
Cost of equity
13.9%
Cost of debt
6.5%
WACC
11.6%
1,406
Reserves (k Toz)
904
Discounted EBITDA
1,259
443
EV in USD (USDm)
400
4.4
Terminal growth
0.0%
PV of FCF (IDR b)
6,952
(1,058)
Less debt
(1,058)
Less debt
(1,058)
159
Add cash
159
Add cash
159
EV
6,053
No of shares (m)
756
5,479
4,580
No of shares (m)
8,007
Blended valuation
9,433
3,773
756
USD/IDR
EV
3,773
No of shares (m)
6,058
756
3,802
5,950
EV
PER
2012
2013
2012
Reserve
figure
EV/EBITDA
EV/reserve
2013
2012
2013
Gold (Moz)
Senior producers
Barrick
4,005
55,652
55,672
10.4
8.3
7.0
5.9
139.9
Newmont
2,041
34,888
34,893
13.6
10.9
7.5
6.3
98.8
357
Anglogold
1,516
14,950
14,921
8.7
6.7
4.9
3.8
75.6
199
Gold Fields
398
972
10,875
10,858
9.5
6.3
4.2
3.3
85.1
128
Goldcorp
1,550
36,882
36,876
24.0
15.1
12.7
8.8
64.7
574
Newcrest
1,082
25,022
25,032
20.8
15.3
10.8
8.4
79.1
316
Kinross Gold
794
12,357
12,353
15.1
9.0
6.3
4.9
62.6
198
Polyus Gold
827
10,143
10,149
12.6
11.5
7.5
6.7
90.4
112
Harmony Gold
314
3,526
3,524
11.1
8.0
4.9
3.8
41.6
85
3,086
39,971
40,044
12.2
8.2
5.6
4.0
33.9
1,179
876
15,063
15,068
14.2
12.8
9.1
8.0
33.5
449
12.6
9.0
7.0
5.9
Freeport
Zijin Mining
Average
316
Intermediate producers
Petropavlovsk
203
2,691
2,692
6.3
4.4
4.8
4.0
10.3
Agnico-Eagle
284
9,671
9,672
32.2
23.3
12.2
10.6
18.8
516
Randgold
516
11,199
11,196
22.3
16.7
13.9
10.4
16.3
688
Golden Star
Eldorado
Aurico
263
33
555
556
15.7
10.7
3.6
2.6
4.1
134
345
10,891
10,895
31.2
20.6
16.5
11.6
19.0
572
64
2,175
2,175
30.6
11.9
11.8
6.2
6.5
337
New Gold
187
5,896
5,896
30.8
17.5
13.7
8.6
7.9
750
High River
145
1,198
1,199
8.1
5.8
4.2
3.4
3.6
336
Coeur D'alene
127
2,498
2,502
20.4
11.1
5.6
4.0
2.3
1,097
64
1,106
1,106
19.2
10.3
5.8
4.5
2.7
417
21.4
11.5
8.8
5.3
Semafo
Average
466
Source: Bloomberg
25 October 2012
Page 10 of 16
EV
2012
PER
Reserve
figure
EV/EBITDA
EV/reserve
2013
2012
2013
2012
2013
Gold (Moz)
Junior producers
Imperial
28
954
955
34.7
30.3
12.3
8.5
0.9
1,058
Medusa
122
1,131
1,131
9.4
5.0
8.4
4.8
0.6
1,991
Resolute
147
1,158
1,158
8.6
9.6
4.0
4.2
4.5
259
B2gold
69
1,591
1,593
24.1
7.5
13.1
4.7
0.8
1,899
442
Dundee
44
1,177
1,178
27.4
7.4
9.0
4.4
2.7
Oceana
1,039
1,039
346.8
9.0
8.0
3.6
3.7
285
Avocet
15
216
217
20.0
11.9
4.3
3.3
1.7
130
24.1
9.0
8.4
4.4
Average
442
Source: Bloomberg
25 October 2012
Page 11 of 16
FY Dec
2012
2013F
2014F
2015F
FY Dec
2012
2013F
2014F
2015F
Revenue
EBITDA
Depreciation & Amortisation
Operating Profit (EBIT)
Interest Exp/(Inc)
Associates
One-offs
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Minority Interest
Net Profit
Recurring Net Profit
1,496
750
324
426
(89)
0
933
1,269
(60)
10
1,219
331
1,756
909
379
530
(121)
0
0
409
(102)
(41)
266
266
3,011
1,406
586
820
(151)
0
0
669
(205)
(76)
388
388
4,284
2,267
644
1,623
(116)
0
0
1,506
(413)
(76)
1,018
1,018
Fixed Assets
Other LT Assets
Cash/ST Investments
Other Current Assets
Total Assets
1,111
3,890
159
356
5,517
1,725
4,244
138
536
6,643
2,687
3,822
73
541
7,123
3,467
3,515
63
567
7,611
ST Debt
Other Current Liabilities
LT Debt
Other LT Liabilities
Minority Interest
Shareholders' Equity
Total Liabilities-Capital
250
292
999
865
343
2,768
5,517
490
337
1,709
856
378
2,873
6,643
529
612
1,379
821
454
3,327
7,123
529
748
660
788
542
4,345
7,611
N/M
N/M
N/M
N/M
N/M
5
17
21
24
(78)
(20)
25
71
55
55
46
46
31
42
61
98
163
163
27
756
1,249
1,090
224
756
2,199
2,061
336
756
1,909
1,835
2
756
1,189
1,126
(118)
2012
2013F
2014F
2015F
FY Dec
2012
2013F
2014F
2015F
1,269
324
(89)
0
(60)
(3,013)
(1,569)
(805)
0
0
(805)
1,243
1,374
409
379
(121)
(142)
(102)
66
490
(811)
0
(464)
(1,275)
950
0
669
586
(151)
232
(205)
27
1,157
(1,198)
0
0
(1,198)
(290)
0
1,506
644
(116)
72
(413)
(7)
1,687
(1,065)
0
0
(1,065)
(720)
0
EBITDA Margin %
Op. Profit Margin %
Net Profit Margin %
ROE %
ROA %
Net Margin Ex. EI %
Dividend Cover (x)
Interest Cover (x)
Asset Turnover (x)
Asset/Debt (x)
Debtors Turn (days)
Creditors Turn (days)
Inventory Turn (days)
50
28
82
44
22
22
N/M
8.4
0.3
2.0
4
54
7
52
30
15
9
4
15
N/M
7.3
0.3
1.8
4
50
6
47
27
13
13
6
13
N/M
9.1
0.4
1.9
4
42
8
53
38
24
27
14
24
N/M
19.2
0.6
2.3
4
50
10
0
(90)
0
2,528
0
(124)
(187)
639
0
(154)
267
(177)
0
(118)
87
(750)
Net Gearing %
Debt/EBITDA (x)
Debt/Market Cap (x)
39
1.7
0.3
72
2.4
0.5
55
1.4
0.4
26
0.5
0.3
25 October 2012
Page 12 of 16
RESEARCHOFFICES
REGIONAL
P K BASU
Regional Head, Research & Economics
(65) 6432 1821 pk.basu@maybank-ke.com.sg
WONG Chew Hann, CA
Acting Regional Head of Institutional Research
(603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com
THAM Mun Hon
Regional Strategist
(852) 2268 0630 thammunhon@kimeng.com.hk
ECONOMICS
Suhaimi ILIAS
Chief Economist
Singapore | Malaysia
(603) 2297 8682 suhaimi_ilias@maybank-ib.com
Luz LORENZO
Economist
Philippines | Indonesia
(63) 2 849 8836 luz_lorenzo@maybank-atrke.com
MALAYSIA
WONG Chew Hann, CA Head of Research
(603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com
Strategy
Construction & Infrastructure
Desmond CHNG, ACA
(603) 2297 8680 desmond.chng@maybank-ib.com
Banking - Regional
LIAW Thong Jung
(603) 2297 8688 tjliaw@maybank-ib.com
Oil & Gas
Automotive
Shipping
ONG Chee Ting
(603) 2297 8678 ct.ong@maybank-ib.com
Plantations
Mohshin AZIZ
(603) 2297 8692 mohshin.aziz@maybank-ib.com
Aviation
Petrochem
Power
YIN Shao Yang, CPA
(603) 2297 8916 samuel.y@maybank-ib.com
Gaming Regional
Media
Power
WONG Wei Sum, CFA
(603) 2297 8679 weisum@maybank-ib.com
Property & REITs
LEE Yen Ling
(603) 2297 8691 lee.yl@maybank-ib.com
Building Materials
Manufacturing
Technology
LEE Cheng Hooi Head of Retail
chenghooi.lee@maybank-ib.com
Technicals
INDIA
Jigar SHAH Head of Research
(91) 22 6623 2601 jigar@kimeng.co.in
Oil & Gas
Automobile
Cement
Anubhav GUPTA
(91) 22 6623 2605 anubhav@kimeng.co.in
Metal & Mining
Capital goods
Property
Ganesh RAM
(91) 226623 2607 ganeshram@kimeng.co.in
Telecom
Contractor
25 October 2012
SINGAPORE
Stephanie WONG Head of Research
(65) 6432 1451 swong@maybank-ke.com.sg
Strategy
Small & Mid Caps
Gregory YAP
(65) 6432 1450 gyap@maybank-ke.com.sg
Technology & Manufacturing
Telcos - Regional
Wilson LIEW
(65) 6432 1454 wilsonliew@maybank-ke.com.sg
Hotel & Resort
Property & Construction
James KOH
(65) 6432 1431 jameskoh@maybank-ke.com.sg
Logistics
Resources
Consumer
Small & Mid Caps
YEAK Chee Keong, CFA
(65) 6433 5730 yeakcheekeong@maybank-ke.com.sg
Healthcare
Offshore & Marine
Alison FOK
(65) 6433 5745 alisonfok@maybank-ke.com.sg
Services
S-chips
Bernard CHIN
(65) 6433 5726 bernardchin@maybank-ke.com.sg
Transport (Land, Shipping & Aviation)
ONG Kian Lin
(65) 6432 1470 ongkianlin@maybank-ke.com.sg
REITs / Property
Wei Bin
(65) 6432 1455 weibin@maybank-ke.com.sg
S-chips
Small & Mid Caps
INDONESIA
Katarina SETIAWAN Head of Research
(62) 21 2557 1125 katarina.setiawan@maybank-ke.co.id
Consumer
Strategy
Telcos
Lucky ARIESANDI, CFA
(62) 21 2557 1127 lucky.ariesandi@maybank-ke.co.id
Base metals
Coal
Oil & Gas
Rahmi MARINA
(62) 21 2557 1128 rahmi.marina@maybak-ke.co.id
Banking
Multifinance
Pandu ANUGRAH
(62) 21 2557 1137 pandu.anugrah@maybank-ke.co.id
Auto
Heavy equipment
Plantation
Toll road
Adi N. WICAKSONO
(62) 21 2557 1130 adi.wicaksono@maybank-ke.co.id
Generalist
Anthony YUNUS
(62) 21 2557 1136 anthony.yunus@maybank-ke.co.id
Cement
Infrastructure
Property
Arwani PRANADJAYA
(62) 21 2557 1129 arwani.pranadjaya@maybank-ke.co.id
Technicals
THAILAND
Sukit UDOMSIRIKUL Head of Research
(66) 2658 6300 ext 5090
Sukit.u@maybank-ke.co.th
Maria LAPIZ Head of Institutional Research
Dir (66) 2257 0250 | (66) 2658 6300 ext 1399
Maria.L@maybank-ke.co.th
Consumer/ Big Caps
Andrew STOTZ Strategist
(66) 2658 6300 ext 5091
Andrew@maybank-ke.co.th
Mayuree CHOWVIKRAN
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1440 mayuree.c@maybank-ke.co.th
Strategy
Suttatip PEERASUB
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1430 suttatip.p@maybank-ke.co.th
Media
Commerce
Sutthichai KUMWORACHAI
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1400 sutthichai.k@maybank-ke.co.th
Energy
Petrochem
Termporn TANTIVIVAT
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1520 termporn.t@maybank-ke.co.th
Property
Woraphon WIROONSRI
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1560 woraphon.w@maybank-ke.co.th
Banking & Finance
Jaroonpan WATTANAWONG
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1404 jaroonpan.w@maybank-ke.co.th
Transportation
Small cap.
Chatchai JINDARAT
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1401 chatchai.j@maybank-ke.co.th
Electronics
Pongrat RATANATAVANANANDA
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1398 pongrat.R@maybank-ke.co.th
Services/ Small Caps
VIETNAM
Michael KOKALARI, CFA Head of Research
+84 838 38 66 47 michael.kokalari@kimeng.com.vn
Strategy
Nguyen Thi Ngan Tuyen
+84 844 55 58 88 x 8081 tuyen.nguyen@kimeng.com.vn
Food and Beverage
Oil and Gas
Ngo Bich Van
+84 844 55 58 88 x 8084 van.ngo@kimeng.com.vn
Banking
Nguyen Quang Duy
+84 844 55 58 88 x 8082 duy.nguyenquang@kimeng.com.vn
Rubber
Dang Thi Kim Thoa
+84 844 55 58 88 x 8083 thoa.dang@kimeng.com.vn
Consumer
Nguyen Trung Hoa
+84 844 55 58 88 x 8088 hoa.nguyen@kimeng.com.vn
Steel
Sugar
Macro
PHILIPPINES
Luz LORENZO Head of Research
+63 2 849 8836 luz_lorenzo@maybank-atrke.com
Strategy
Laura DY-LIACCO
(63) 2 849 8840 laura_dyliacco@maybank-atrke.com
Utilities
Conglomerates
Telcos
Lovell SARREAL
(63) 2 849 8841 lovell_sarreal@maybank-atrke.com
Consumer
Media
Cement
Kenneth NERECINA
(63) 2 849 8839 kenneth_nerecina@maybank-atrke.com
Conglomerates
Property
Ports/ Logistics
Katherine TAN
(63) 2 849 8843 kat_tan@maybank-atrke.com
Banks
Construction
Ramon ADVIENTO
(63) 2 849 8842 ramon_adviento@maybank-atrke.com
Mining
Page 13 of 16
25 October 2012
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DISCLOSURES
Legal Entities Disclosures
Malaysia: This report is issued and distributed in Malaysia by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938-H) which is a Participating Organization of Bursa
Malaysia Berhad and a holder of Capital Markets and Services License issued by the Securities Commission in Malaysia. Singapore: This material is issued
and distributed in Singapore by Maybank KERPL (Co. Reg No 197201256N) which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Indonesia: PT Kim
Eng Securities (PTKES) (Reg. No. KEP-251/PM/1992) is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the BAPEPAM LK. Thailand:
MBKET (Reg. No.0107545000314) is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and
Exchange Commission.Philippines:MATRKES (Reg. No.01-2004-00019) is a member of the Philippines Stock Exchange and is regulated by the Securities
and Exchange Commission. Vietnam: Kim Eng Vietnam Securities Company (KEVS) (License Number: 71/UBCK-GP) is licensed under the
StateSecuritiesCommission of Vietnam.Hong Kong: KESHK (Central Entity No AAD284) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission. India: Kim
Eng Securities India Private Limited (KESI) is a participant of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (Reg No: INF/INB 231452435) and the Bombay
Stock Exchange (Reg. No. INF/INB 011452431) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. KESI is also registered with SEBI as Category 1
Merchant Banker (Reg. No. INM 000011708) US: Maybank KESUSA is a member of/ and is authorized and regulated by the FINRA Broker ID 27861. UK:
Maybank KESL (Reg No 2377538) is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.
Disclosure of Interest
Malaysia: MKE and its Representatives may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further
act as market maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment
banking services, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies.
Singapore: Maybank KERPL and the covering analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.
Thailand: MBKET may have a business relationship with or may possibly be an issuer of derivative warrants on the securities /companies mentioned in the
research report. Therefore, Investors should exercise their own judgment before making any investment decisions. MBKET, its associates, directors,
connected parties and/or employees may from time to time have interests and/or underwriting commitments in the securities mentioned in this report.
Hong Kong: KESHK may have financial interests in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant referred to as defined by the requirements under
Paragraph 16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for Persons Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission.
KESHK and the authoring analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.
MKE may have, within the last three years, served as manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities for, or currently may make a primary market in
issues of, any or all of the entities mentioned in this report or may be providing, or have provided within the previous 12 months, significant advice or
investment services in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment.
OTHERS
Analyst Certification of Independence
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analysts personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part
of the research analysts compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.
Reminder
Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are
capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved. The market value of any structured security may be affected by changes in economic, financial
and political factors (including, but not limited to, spot and forward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions and volatility and the
credit quality of any issuer or reference issuer. Any investor interested in purchasing a structured product should conduct its own analysis of the product and
consult with its own professional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase.
No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior consent of MKE.
Definition of Ratings
Maybank Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system:
BUY
HOLD
SELL
Applicability of Ratings
The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only
applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry
investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.
25 October 2012
PE = Price Earnings
PEG = PE Ratio To Growth
PER = PE Ratio
QoQ = Quarter-On-Quarter
ROA = Return On Asset
ROE = Return On Equity
ROSF = Return On Shareholders Funds
WACC = Weighted Average Cost Of
YoY = Year-On-Year
YTD = Year-To-Date
Page 15 of 16
Malaysia
Philippines
Singapore
London
Hong Kong
Indonesia
Tel: (91).22.6623.2600
Fax: (91).22.6623.2604
Thailand
Vietnam
Connie TAN
connie@maybank-ke.com.sg
Tel: (65) 6333 5775
US Toll Free: 1 866 406 7447
New York
India
Saudi Arabia
In association with
In association with
Anfaal Capital
Villa 47, Tujjar Jeddah
Prince Mohammed bin Abdulaziz
Street P.O. Box 126575
Jeddah 21352
Eddie LAU
eddielau@kimeng.com.hk
Tel: (852) 2268 0800
US Toll Free: 1 866 598 2267
www.maybank-ke.com | www.kimengresearch.com
25 October 2012
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