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This is a list of classic trading rules that was given to me while on the trading floor .
A senior trader collected these rules from classic trading literature throughout the
twentieth century. They obviously withstand the age-old test of time.
Im sure most everybody knows these truisms in their hearts, but this list is nicely
edited and makes a good read.
1. Plan your trades. Trade your plan.
2. Keep records of your trading results.
3. Keep a positive attitude, no matter how much you lose.
4. Dont take the market home.
5. Continually set higher trading goals.
6. Successful traders buy into bad news and sell into good news.
7. Successful traders are not afraid to buy high and sell low.
8. Successful traders have a well-scheduled planned time for studying the markets.
9. Successful traders isolate themselves from the opinions of others.
10. Continually strive for patience, perseverance, determination, and rational
action.
11. Limit your losses use stops!
12. Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it!
13. Place the stop at the time you make your trade.
14. Never get into the market because you are anxious because of waiting.
15. Avoid getting in or out of the market too often.
16. Losses make the trader studious not profits. Take advantage of every loss to
improve your knowledge of market action.
17. The most difficult task in speculation is not prediction but self-control.
Successful trading is difficult and frustrating. You are the most important element in
the equation for success.
investing, say experts. Even though equities may outperform debt substantially, it
will not be wise to put all your investments in equities.
14. Distinguish between stocks for keeps and trading: A variation of "never let a
trade become an investment."Buy with adequate margin of safety: That's where
attractive purchase prices can help. As a matter of fact, selling stocks is no different
from buying them. Keep a sufficient margin of safety when buying a stock and don't
rely on making a good sale ever.
15. Sell when value is realised: If you feel that your investments are adequately
valued, you should exit regardless of how long you have held them.
16. Keep a watch on relative valuations: The real cost of a stock is not the price you
pay for it, but the opportunity cost of not putting your money in another one.
17. If you realise a mistake, exit immediately
18. Start investing early.
19. Try to invest in things you know.
20. Try to adopt a long-term perspective with regard to investing.
21. Know your risk: Understand the level and amount of investment you are
comfortable with.
22. Play safe, invest in a mutual fund: For those who are still not sure about their
research, use mutual funds.
23. Encash when stock prices dip: Reduce some exposure, lock in some profits.
24. Don't blindly follow media reports on corporate developments, as they could be
misleading.
25. Don't blindly imitate investment decisions of others who may have profited from
their investment decisions.
26. Don't fall prey to promises of guaranteed returns.
Note that these rules are universal, and apply anywhere in the worlkd, as they are
based upon Human Nature and behavior
ORIGINALLY, when I wrote this article 6 years ago, it was entitled the Ten
Commandments. However, this time, there are only nine, as I decided to omit the
one about adultery. When Moses went up Mount Cyanide, he came down with two
heavy tablets made of stone, engraved in Hebrew. Unfortunately, I am much older
than he was, so I took the cable car up Mount Mayon and instead of bringing down
two large tablets, I brought down two capsules. I had them translated from
Mayonaise to English and here they are.
Despite the humorous introduction, the rest of this article will completely change
your investment psychology and you will be a far better investor in the future. What
follows is based on 59 years experience in London and Manila. You can profit from
my observations and mistakes. It will be particularly useful for beginners whose
knowledge of investing is limited. Good luck, and if you find it useful, cut out the
articles and paste them on your bedroom or office wall, in between your pin-ups of
Beyonce and Jessica Alba.
You only BUY when the market has fallen and the technical indicators say that it is
about to turn up. There are many indicators and I will deal with some in due course.
Conversely, you SELL when that index has had a big rise and the indicators show
that momentum is slowing down or is about to decline.
Players do not use their head, they trade on their emotions, and this is nearly
always wrong. I will tell you where to get the necessary fundamental and technical
data, but in the meantime, you can use a 20-day moving average of the index or
any stock, which you hold. If you have a computer program, you have a big
advantage over the average investor.
4. Do not overtrade
If you are trading every day, the only person making money is your broker. The
expense involved is too high. You have to pay two commissions and a 0.5 percent
sales tax. In addition, there is the difference between the bid and offer price, usually
about 1 to 2 per cent. So you have to make four per cent just to break even. This is
fine, so long as you BUY just as the stock is turning up, but if you deal constantly,
the expense will ultimately cripple you.
That small percentage is enough to make all the incredibly costly casinos in Las
Vegas profitable. They can afford to give free rooms, free food and drink, and free
shows to high rollers because they know that a percentage advantage of 3.6% is
enough to guarantee the house a sure profit over the long run. Trade only when the
technical indicators tell you to. For the remainder of the time, do nothing. Patience
is a virtue.
5. Do not trade on tips
In England, we say, Where theres a tip, theres a tap. I am sure you all remember
BW. The shares were run up deliberately by a consortium that, by tips and cross
trading, created enormous volume and sent the shares from P0.40 (under a
different name) to P108. Almost everyone except me got sucked in, mostly at the
higher levels, and those speculators, who did not use stop losses, saw their shares
go all the way down to P0.40 and below. One old lady wrote to me that her broker
had recommended it at P104. Would she ever see her money back? I replied,
somewhat unkindly, Only if you believe in reincarnation. These days, fewer people
follow tips.
which are largely devoted to the economic and political situation of the Philippines.
You can also enroll in courses at universities and colleges.
Next, you should have a basic knowledge in fundamental analysis. This means that
you need to know all about companies. You must know how to read a balance sheet,
calculate the earnings per share and from this, the price/earnings ratio. You need to
understand what a yield means, how many times a dividend is covered, and what
preferred and convertible stocks are. You should know book value and understand
such concepts as debt and cash flows.
You can take a course is accounting or business management, and there are plenty
of books, local and imported, in all the major bookstores. Or you can subscribe to
my newsletter, which contains all of the above.
If you want to buy a simple but excellent technical analysis book, try TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS OF THE FUTURES MARKET by John Murphy, available at local bookstores
but expensive. It was written years ago but is still considered to be a classic. Every
aspect is explained simply and it can be used for trading stocks, commodities,
currencies or futures. Also buy Beyond Candlesticks by Steve Nison, a must. There
are many sites on the Internet, which will teach you technical analysis and provide
the necessary charts and parameters. Good Luck!
10 Ways To Lose All The Money In Your Trading Account In 30 Days Or Less Guaranteed!
#10 - Put all of your efforts into finding the perfect technical indicator. Once you
find this magical indicator, it will be like turning on a water faucet. Go all in. The
money will just flow into your account!
#9 - When your technical indicator says that the stock is oversold, BUY IT RIGHT
THEN. Always do what your technical indicator says to do. It takes precedence over
price action.
#8 - Make sure to visit a lot of stock trading forums and ask them for hot stock tips.
Also, ask all your friends and family for stock tips. They are usually right, and acting
on these tips can make you very rich.
#7 - Watch what other traders do and be sure to follow the crowd. After all, they
have been trading a lot longer than you so naturally they are smarter.
#6 - Pay very close attention to the fundamentals of a company. You MUST know the
P/E ratio, book value, profit margins, etc. Once you find a "good company", consider
going on margin to pay for shares in their stock.
#5 - Forget about developing a trading plan. If you see a good stock just buy it.
Don't worry about when your going to sell. No need to get caught up in the details.
Besides, you'll probably get rich the first year of trading anyway.
#4 - Buy expensive computers and trading software. While your at it, buy a couple
more TV's so that you can watch CNBC on multiple screens! You NEED all of these
gadgets in order to trade stocks successfully. Then watch the money roll in!
#3 - Always follow your emotions. They are there for a reason. If you feel nervous,
sell the stock! If you are excited, buy more shares. This is the best way to trade
stocks and fatten up your trading account.
#2 - Don't worry about using stop loss orders. When the time comes, you will be
able to sell your shares and take a loss. Your emotions won't even come into play.
Besides, stop loss orders are for sissies!
#1 - Absolutely, without a doubt, FORGET about managing your money. Don't worry
about how much you can lose on a trade. Only think about how much loot your
gonna make. Then start planning that trip to Fiji!
Well, there you have it - my top 10 tips for new traders.
This list was easy to write.
I followed them all when I first started trading.
investor must look at the pivotal points in the price of a stock or any other
investment security for that matter. A reversal pivotal point is when a stocks price
turns upward after falling for quite some time. That is not the price at which to buy
the stock as that stocks price may again reverse direction soon after and continue
its downward trek. The price to buy the stock is at the level where there is a
confirmation of the upward trend, what he calls the continuation pivotal point.
Livermore also said that time is time, money is money. An investor does not always
have to be invested in the markets. If the expectation is for the market to turn sour,
the investor should take his profits or cut his losses and get out. More importantly,
he says that investors should start cutting losses when such losses already amount
to 10 percent of his investment. Livermore says that investors should never fall in
love with their investments because these dont know how to return that love.
Lastly, Livermore said that investors should take hold of their emotions, particularly
hope, greed, ignorance and fear. These emotions would only distract the investor in
executing his investing strategies.
On the other hand, the acknowledged practitioner for the buy and hold strategy is
no other than Warren Buffet, the worlds greatest investor. Buffet had four lessons
for the investor. First, once the investor buys a security he should stop monitoring
its price movements. Buffet refused to be influenced by the daily gyrations of
security prices and interest rates as well as the periodic reporting of macroeconomic
figures. He is able to do this because of his second lesson, which is that he buys
companies that profit regardless of the economy. This basically means that he buys
companies that he thinks are inflation-proof and recession-proof.
Thirdly, he buys a business and not just a stock. To Buffet, stocks are meaningless
unless they are connected with the underlying business of the issuer. If the business
of a company is lifeless, its stock is also worthless. More specifically, Buffet looks at
how well companies practice sound business management, financial and market
tenets.
Lastly, Buffet spreads his risks by diversifying his portfolio. He truly believes in the
old adage of not putting your eggs in one basket. At the same time, he does not
believe in over-diversifying.
The proof of the pudding is in the eating as they say. So what happened to the two
gentlemen? Jessie Livermore started his career at the age of 14 with just $5 in his
pocket. Through his mastery of trading strategies, he was able to earn a cool $1
million in one day in 1907 and another $100 million during the 1929 stock market
crash. Yes, crash. He apparently saw that stocks were already too expensive in
1929. As a result, he began to sell stocks short. Other traders at that time knew that
Jessie Livermore was a great trader and they followed suit. As more and more
people started to sell down the markets, prices fell deeper. Eventually, Livermore
was able to buy back what he sold short at bargain basement prices, which earned
for him his $100 million.
After that stupendous trade, Livermore lived like a king. $100 million in 1929 was a
great deal of money. He was able to buy a mansion. He had a yacht moored behind
his mansion. He had a live-in barber and he had women crawling all over him. And
eventually he shot himself in the head at age 62 and left just $10,000 in assets and
$361,010 in liabilities. He died a poor and broken man.
Contrast that with Warren Buffet who also started his career at a young age but who
is still alive and kicking at age 75. At the end of 2005, Warren Buffets net worth was
$42 billion, only $8 billion smaller than that of Bill Gates. Buffet earned the title of
being the worlds second richest man, and all from investing.
So which is the best strategy? Many studies have shown that the trading strategy
just incurs unnecessary transaction costs for a portfolio and in the long run,
produces returns that are inferior to the buy and hold strategy. Much more factors
will have to be considered though, including investment horizon, risk appetite,
investment goals and the like. What is indeed certain is that the trading strategy
brings on more risk. Just make sure you get the commensurate return for the extra
risk taken.
Happy investing.
Once you have defined these facets of your trading plan, you are in an excellent
position to have a strategy to control your emotions when trading. Make sure to
review your plan on a regular basis to create effective trading habits
1. How you will enter trades? The key to good entries is putting on trades where
there is relatively low risk compared to much higher reward. You also should write
down a clear catalyst for the expected stock move.
2. How will you exit trades? You should define an initial stop point for your trade, at
the point where the trend is invalidated. You will also need a 'trailing stop' technique
to protect your profits.
3. What type of orders will you use to enter and exit? When entering, I like to use
limit orders, good for the day only, while exits are often market orders. Why?
Because limit orders allow me to define my risk and reward clearly on the entry of a
trade, while when I need to get out, market orders allows immediate exit compared
to the risk of missing my exit with a limit order.
4. How much capital will you need to trade successfully? There are economies of
scale as you increase the amount of capital you trade with. Costs related to
commissions, quote systems and equipment begin to diminish as the percentage of
capital invested goes up.
5. What percentage of your capital will you invest in each trade? The amount of
capital I typically use is 10% per trade in my own accounts. I know traders who
commit anywhere from 5% of their account per trade to 20% of their account per
trade. You goal should be to keep portfolio risk per trade at less than 2% per trade
(for example if you invest 20% of your portfolio in a trade, a 10% loss on that
position would lead to a 2% loss on your portfolio)
6. How many positions will you focus on at once? I like to concentrate my portfolio
in my best ideas, plus I like to stay focused on how each stock is acting. If my
portfolio is too big (I'd say more than 7 stocks is too many to focus on), then I will
lose focus and invariably miss an exit on a trade that I should have previously
exited.
7. What will your Trading Journal look like? In my Trading Journal, I note daily
observations, particularly related to my ability to execute my trading plan. I also
commit to doing a post-trade analysis every month. I note what I did right and
wrong, and seek to learn from mistakes to minimize future errors in similar
circumstances, while also looking for winning patterns where I seek to repeat big
successes.
8. What is your Position Review process? Have an end-of-day routine to close your
day. Review your trades, and assess if you followed your plan. Keep a log of all your
trades, and make comments on each position.
9. What is your Preparation process before trading? You need defined time to
prepare for the next trading day to build up your trading confidence. I prepare after
the close for the next day's trading, which allows me to formulate a plan of action
BEFORE I get into the heat of battle. This keeps my trading proactive instead of
reactive.
10. What broker will you use? Most traders mistakenly think that commissions are
the number one factor they can control. In reality, commissions are a small cost
compared to the broker's effectiveness at executing your trade. Your focus should
be finding a broker who gets you speedy and fair execution of your orders.
Stock Investment Advice - Common Trading Mistakes
The best Stock Market advice you will ever read is to learn from mistakes when
someone else has made them. So, this stock market advice list I made a list of some
of the most common trading mistakes that are made. Even Ive made some of
these. If you have already made some of the mistakes, you can rest assured that
you arent alone in making them. If you havent made them, then heres a way to
get around having to learn by making the mistakes yourself, by reading my stock
market advice list.
The Stock Market advice tip #1, and worst mistake that people make is that they
believe trading is the easy answer, a way to get rich quickly. People will often expect
to become wizards in the market overnight, but they fail to realize that trading is
like any profession; you must learn how to do it first.
For example, would you attend a weekend doctors seminar and expect to conduct
heart surgery on Monday? Of course not! I am shocked at what people expect when
they go to a weekend trading seminar. They think they will create wealth without
having to work, invest or think, and it just doesnt happen that way.
After treating trading like a get rich quick scheme, my next stock market advice tip
#2 and most common mistake, is to approach the market without a plan. Without a
trading plan, traders approach the market in an inconsistent manner. One day they
trade stocks and the next they trade the foreign exchange. Or, they may use one
set of indicators one day, and the next day they will throw these indicators out the
window and take on a completely new set. Without a consistent approach, the only
thing governing their trading decisions is really emotions, and that will doom them
to failure.
If a new trader has managed to skip these last two mistakes, they often fall down
when they try to go it alone. This is my Stock Market advice #3, all traders should
find themselves a coach, or a mentor. Someone who can help them spot the errors
in their system that they might not have noticed. An outside point of view can help
you avoid other costly mistakes, and greatly increase your profits.
These are some common and quite basic mistakes. The next errors Ill mention are
ones that are just as prevalent in the trading industry, but they often occur once
traders have been around for a while. I have some personal experience with these
mistakes. Lets call this stock market advice list, the three most expensive mistakes
Ive made.
My stock market advice mistake tip #4, or the first most expensive mistake, I made
was to search for the Holy Grail of trading. This was an incredible waste of both
time and money. During the first three years of my trading career, I spent over
$25,677 on a library full of books, videos and seminars as well as spending
thousands of hours in search of the perfect trading methods. Honestly, 95% of what
I bought was pure junk I should have listened to my mentor earlier and realized
the Holy Grail of trading is simply excellent money management!
My stock market advice mistake tip #5 or the second most expensive mistake I
made was not having a predefined exit point. Early in my trading career, I
remember trading a stock I thought had a high percentage chance of rising. I was
too confident. I fully leveraged the position. Unfortunately, when things did not go
as planned, I did not know when to exit, and was paralysed. I kept rationalizing why
I should hold onto that stock. As the stock continued to fall, I made more and more
excuses. At the very end, I remember thinking, I cant take it anymore!
The only reason someone gives you a tip is so he can get out, said Jimmy. The
person wants to get the stock moving, so he can get out at a higher price. The
person is using you by giving you the tip. If that's not the case, then the person
might have insider information, which is illegal to trade on.
6. You don't have a profit until you sell.
We've all been brainwashed not to sell, said Jimmy, but "it's the only way to be sure
that you get rich." Paper gains are not the same as booked gains because gains
don't necessarily stay gains. Also, don't be reluctant to sell because you want to
avoid paying taxes.
If you buy a stock based on observing multiple trades to the upside, you're trading
flow. That means "you have no idea why people are buying," said Jim, and "you are
trading on ignorance. Ignorant traders never win, ever," he said. You will lose far
more than you will make because many investments people make are ill-considered.
Thus, attempting to trade off of them is nonsensical. What's more, how will you
know when to sell?