Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EST
CB10-12
Erica Filipek or Stephen Cooper
Manufacturing and Construction Division
(301) 763-5160
Sales of new one-family houses in December 2009 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 342,000, according to
estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This
is 7.6 percent (±14.6%)* below the revised November rate of 370,000 and is 8.6 percent (±15.2%)* below the December
2008 estimate of 374,000.
The median sales price of new houses sold in December 2009 was $221,300; the average sales price was $290,600. The
seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of December was 231,000. This represents a supply of 8.1
months at the current sales rate.
An estimated 374,000 new homes were sold in 2009. This is 22.9 percent (±2.9%) below the 2008 figure of 485,000.
New Residential Sales data for January 2010 will be released on Wednesday, February 24, 2010, at 10:00 A.M. EST.
Our Internet site is: http://www.census.gov/newhomesales
http://www.census.gov/newhomesales
EXPLANATORY NOTES
These statistics are estimated from sample surveys. They are subject to sampling variability as well as nonsampling error including bias and variance from response,
nonreporting, and undercoverage. Estimated average relative standard errors of the preliminary data are shown in the tables. Whenever a statement such as “2.5 percent
(±3.2%) above” appears in the text, this indicates the range (-0.7 to +5.7 percent) in which the actual percent change is likely to have occurred. All ranges given for
percent changes are 90-percent confidence intervals and account only for sampling variability. If a range does not contain zero, the change is statistically significant. If it
does contain zero, the change is not statistically significant; that is, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. The same policies apply to the confidence
intervals for percent changes shown in the tables. Changes in seasonally adjusted statistics often show irregular movement. It takes 4 months to establish a trend for new
houses sold. Preliminary new home sales figures are subject to revision due to the survey methodology and definitions used. The survey is primarily based on a sample
of houses selected from building permits. Since a “sale” is defined as a deposit taken or sales agreement signed, this can occur prior to a permit being issued. An
estimate of these prior sales is included in the sales figure. On average, the preliminary seasonally adjusted estimate of total sales is revised about 3 percent. Changes in
sales price data reflect changes in the distribution of houses by region, size, etc., as well as changes in the prices of houses with identical characteristics. Explanations of
confidence intervals and sampling variability can be found on our web site listed above.
* 90% confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero.
Table 1. New Houses Sold and For Sale
[Thousands of houses. Detail may not add to total because of rounding]
r
October 408 33 56 224 95 242 7.1
r
November 370 28 73 192 77 235 7.6
Percent Change:
December 2009 from November 2009 -7.6% 42.9% -41.1% -7.3% 5.2% -1.7% 6.6%
4
90% Confidence Interval ± 14.6 ± 61.9 ± 24.0 ± 18.0 ± 30.8 ± 1.3 ± 20.0
December 2009 from December 2008 -8.6% 33.3% -27.1% -7.8% -12.0% -34.0% -27.7%
4
90% Confidence Interval ± 15.2 ± 64.8 ± 25.6 ± 22.6 ± 26.0 ± 2.9 ± 14.3
Year to Year Percent Change 5 -22.9% -11.4% -22.9% -24.1% -23.7% (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X)
4
90% Confidence Interval ± 2.9 ± 11.5 ± 11.2 ± 4.4 ± 5.8 (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X) (X)
r
October 33 3 5 19 8 242 28 42 122 50 7.3 213,700 262,200
r
November 26 2 5 14 5 234 28 39 119 48 8.9 210,300 270,000
p r
Preliminary. Revised. RSE Relative standard error. X Not applicable. Z Less than 0.5 percent.
1 2 3
Seasonally adjusted houses sold are published at annual rates. Ratio of houses for sale to houses sold. Average RSE for the latest 6-month period.
4
See the Explanatory Notes in the accompanying text for an explanation of 90% confidence intervals. 5
Computed using unrounded data.
RSE (%) 3 10 7 5 7 10 11 17
April 32 6 8 10 4 2 1 1
May 34 5 9 11 4 3 2 1
June 37 6 10 11 5 2 2 1
July 38 6 11 10 5 2 2 1
August 36 8 9 10 4 3 2 1
r
September 30 5 8 10 3 2 2 1
r
October 33 6 8 12 4 2 1 1
r
November 26 5 7 8 3 1 1 1
Decemberp 23 4 5 6 3 1 2 1
Percent distribution
2008: 100 16 22 31 14 7 6 4
2009: 100 18 26 30 12 6 5 3
April 100 18 24 31 14 7 4 3
May 100 15 25 32 13 9 5 2
June 100 17 28 30 12 4 5 3
July 100 17 28 27 14 5 6 3
August 100 22 26 28 10 8 5 1
r
September 100 15 26 32 11 5 8 3
r
October 100 19 24 35 11 5 4 2
r
November 100 20 27 30 11 5 3 4
Decemberp 100 19 24 24 14 5 8 7
p r
Preliminary. Revised. RSE Relative standard error. X Not applicable. Z Less than 0.5 percent.
1
Houses for which sales price was not reported have been distributed proportionally to those for which sales price was reported.
2
Average RSE for the latest 6-month period.
RSE (%) 3 7 5 5 3 5 4 6 8
r
October 33 6 11 16 242 30 106 106 13.7
r
November 26 6 8 12 234 28 105 101 13.8
p r
Preliminary. Revised. RSE Relative standard error. Z Less than 0.5 percent.
1
Median number of months for sale since completion.
2
Average RSE for the latest 6-month period.