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LECTURER
Excellence is at the base of success in the 21st Century. While Innovation will
gain you the competitive edge, Anticipation provides the information needed
and Guts will allow you to anticipate your customer's needs, innovate the
product to fulfill need, and to produce the product with excellence. It is about
anticipation and innovation.
The Future is where our greatest leverage is outlines how the Swiss, supreme
watch makers, did not anticipate the demise of mainsprings and such for the
battery and electronics as espoused by the Japanese. The irony is that the Swiss
were the ones who introduced electronic quartz and let it go. Hopefully we learn
from the past, the present is too slim in which to act, it is with the future we
must prepare.
The Importance of Anticipation is that you must shape your own future,
because, if you don't, someone else surely will. The study is divided into two
fields: Content futurist specializing in an area of info about the future and
Process futurism which focuses on the whats and how to manipulate the info.
Reaction Theory is if you anticipate the problem, you won't have to react. You
simply work around the problem and avoid it altogether. Good anticipation is the
product of good exploration. Five components to strategic exploration:
choices.
Mapping: draw pathways to get from present to future.
Imaging: to picture words or drawings or models of the future as found in
exploration.
Paradigm are defined as words that represent subsets of the paradigm concept:
theory, model, methodology, principles, standards, protocol, routines,
assumptions, conventions, patterns, habits, common sense, conventional
wisdom, mind-set, values, frames of reference, traditions, customs, prejudices,
ideology, inhibitions, superstitions, rituals, compulsions, addictions, doctrine,
dogma.
2.
A paradigm shift is a change to a new game, a new set of rules. The key is what
instigated the change in the first place? Four questions about paradigms:
anticipate.
What kind of person is a paradigm shifter? He who changes the rules will
dictate terms.
Who are the early followers of the paradigm shifters and why do they follow
them?
How does a paradigm shift affect those who go through it?
A new paradigm begins when some problems are solved and represent the start.
understood.
Phase B indicates an increase in problems being solved in shorter time.
Phase C sees a slowing in problem solving.
This is the Paradigm Curve, classic S curve: slow in phase A because we don't
know the rules, fast in phase B because we know how to play the game, and
slow again in phase C because we have left difficult problems.
Who are the Paradigm Pioneers? The pioneer takes the risk. Once the paradigm
is discovered the pioneer will trek. Pioneers bring the brains, brawn, time, effort,
and capital. The pioneer must act alone or in the face of contradictions. Intuitive
judgment in the face of incomplete data and on faith, pioneers use more heart
than head. Pioneers may risk everything on the new paradigm. Frustration of the
old may be a catalyst. They see the big picture or can project.
The Leverage of Pioneering, you may not be the first, but if you are listening you
can act and enjoy. Get in early and stay the course is the key to successful
paradigm shifting. Japanese Kaizen which means to make small improvements
every day, being a pioneer and kaizen means you always on top.
What may be perfectly clear and visible to one person is invisible to another
because of differing paradigms. This is the Paradigm Effect. One paradigm blinds
you, deafens you to other possibilities and other paradigms. Old paradigms
block ability to view new paradigms. New paradigms must get through filters of
old. Paradigms can trap us into seeing the world in only one way; and how wrong
experts can be because of that entrapment. Paradigms give a particular
perspective and perspective determines ones vision. What is obvious to one is
not to another. Paradigm enhancing innovations are easy to see, but paradigm
shifting innovations blind us because they don't follow our paradigm. It just
means we must trust others or put our paradigms aside so we can see theirs.
Paradigms are common in that they give the practitioner the vision. One
change in one rule does not make for a paradigm shift.
2.
Paradigms are functional they are necessary, they are the rules. Mixing of
paradigms gives us diversity which lets us deal with the complexity around
us.
3.
4.
There is almost always more than one right answer allows for more
perspectives. Two people see the same thing two different ways.
5.
6.
Paradigm pliancy is the best strategy in turbulent times, means you should
always seek to solve the impossible. If the old paradigm does not work
make a new one. When your paradigm is challenged ask for further
explanation.
7.
To leaders:
A leader is a person you will follow to a place you wouldn't go by yourself. You
manage within a paradigm, you lead between paradigms. Managers
employ paradigm enhancement. This means you make the rules better.
Leader-manager
perspective.
The manager asks how and when; the leader asks what and why.
The manager has his eye on the bottom line; the leader has his eye on the
horizon.
The manager accepts the status quo; the leader challenges it.
Many times paradigm shifts are driven by people who take the leader's role
when no one else will. Visionaries are not necessarily leaders. Most leaders are
not visionaries. Some are visionaries, some are leaders, some are managers,
and some are followers. Few are all four. This is why teams are crucial.
About Paradigms:
changing them.
It is the outsider who usually creates new paradigms.
Practitioners of the old paradigms who choose to change to the new
paradigm early must do so as an act of faith.
Those who change to a successful new paradigm gain a new way of seeing
the world and new approaches for solving problems as a result of the shift
leverage.
In turbulent times practice paradigm pliancy.
problems and the community sees a new way to deal with the world.
Certainly during turbulence many paradigms will crop up, the key is the snatch
the right ones. It is a risk to accept a new paradigm. Trial Balloon day is a day
when people come up with ideas without ridicule. Be open because folks will be
doing things and saying things without time to explain. Take stock of your
paradigms. List other people's paradigm, those with whom you disagree, then
figure out how to find consensus.