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Form Labs Game Notes are a quick and easy way to find bets for your short list each week. To get the
best out of the Game Notes and find these most profitable angles, you cant just take them all at face
value. Some Game Notes are stronger than others, something you can learn to spot with a little practice.
This guide helps you understand the Game Notes more with tips on how to best find the strongest angles.
If you have a question about how to use Form Lab or would like more information, please do get in touch
via support@footballformlabs.com
Yours,
Dave Evans
Bet Idea: Over 2.5 match goals @ 1.92. The bookies give odds of 1.92
on there being over 2.5 goals in the match.
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The game indeed ended with over 2.5 goals, landing a +0.92 points profit on the game.
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We suggest you use the Game Notes tab first then use the Match Data tab to help fine tune your
selections.
The game note above is fairly strong and worthy of consideration. The first trend Fulham have won 8/11
home matches is complimented by the second trend Everton have lost by two or more goals in 5/10
trips to top half teams. The third trend also supports the match outcome idea Everton have lost 8/11
away matches against top half teams.
Game Note Readers Guide:
In an ideal world, all three trends would support the headline market, but it doesnt always work
out like that!
The strongest games notes offer stats for both teams in the first sentence that support the
highlighted market, rather than just one team.
Preferably also find Game Notes where the third stat (the second sentence) also supports the
highlighted market.
Be wary of games where the trends agree but the strength is weak E.g. 5/10 is much weaker
than 8/10.
Be wary of trends involving promoted/ relegated teams for the first 10 games of top divisions
and the first 15 games of lower leagues.
Be wary of all Game Notes until at least six games have been played in the season.
The highlighted trends dont always match exactly, but can still offer support for the headline trend. For
example, the headline market might be under 2.5 goals, but the trends refer to half time outcomes. If the
trends are completely contradictory, you can ignore that game note, but there are some complimentary
trends to be aware of.
Draws: A draw trend tends to support an under 2.5 goal trend and vice versa as the majority of
draws involve two goals or less. Likewise a match outcome home or away win tends to support
over 2.5 goals.
HT Outcome: A half time draw trend offers even more support for an under 2.5 goal trend as
most half time draws are 0-0. Likewise a half time home or away win tends to support over 2.5
goals.
First goal: First goal notes tend to offer support for a match outcome bet because the team that
scores first tends to win. You could back the first goal market directly or use it as evidence for a
home/ away win. Double check this trend with further research.
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The second sentence here has nothing to do with the first trend mentioned.
2) West Ham v Man City:
There is nothing about Man City in the first sentence and the second trend mentioned is unrelated. NB in
this case, the third trend contradicted the first two trends and actually was a strong statistic to notice.
3) Liverpool v Newcastle:
The first trend refers to Newcastle only, while the second trend has nothing to do with the first trend and
is actually contradictory.
Match Data
The other seven game notes all look quite appealing so now move onto the Match Data screen to check a
greater array of stats. It is also useful to have some odds to hand at this stage.
Man Utd v Arsenal (Home W/W): Not surprisingly both rank very highly for most key indicators. However,
nd
the Top 3 match indicators (in bottom right of screen) highlight Home Concede Last and Home 2 Half
Lose, and MU look a touch too short at 1.69 to win the game so this is probably best avoided.
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nd
Fulham v Everton (Home Win): Fulham rank 2 for win profitability for their last 20 home games so the
st
home win game note looks very good. They also rank 1 for conceding first in their last 10 home games
against top six teams so that could put us off. However, Everton are the weakest of the top six teams and
Fulham are a good price so this perhaps needs further analysis to see how they do against all top-half
teams.
st
Norwich v Stoke (Home Sc 1 ): The key indicators, both last 10 versus opposition type and last 20 versus
all teams, line up pretty well for the Norwich to score first game note for both teams.
st
Spurs v Wigan (Home Sc 1 ): Surprisingly, Wigan are very profitable for away wins, while Spurs are one of
the least profitable for their last 20 home games. The Top 3 match indicators highlight the Draw/Win and
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the HT 0-0 which given Spurs are 1.33 for the win might be worth a look but the Score 1 or W/W are
probably too short.
Sunderland v Aston Villa (HT Draw): These two are topping the draw profitability tables so HT Draw
makes a lot of sense here. They are also both at the top of the fail to score charts so the HT 0-0 may also
be worth considering.
st
QPR v Reading (Home Sc 1 ): Neither have won a game yet this season but QPR are at the top of the last
20 home win profitability and Reading are clearly there for the taking. Has one or the other had a really
tough fixture list to explain their poor record this season?
WBA v Southampton (WBA Home Win): The league table shows Southampton have lost more matches
and conceded more goals than any other side, and have lost all 4 on the road while WBA have won 4/5 at
home this season.
Conclusion from Match Data: So from this we have ruled out the Man Utd v Arsenal game and lined up a
few specific questions about a couple of other games whilst strengthening our opinions on some others.
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Fulham v Everton: Fulhams home record has been excellent in past year but Everton have lost only 1/18
matches. Fulham have drawn 9/18 home games against TH finishers in the past two seasons so the draw
looks a potential bet and they have a terrible head-to-head record against Everton so there are now
reasons to support all three match outcomes and the match is probably best avoided. No Bet
Norwich v Stoke: Norwich were W6-D3-L0 at home against bottom-half finishers last season (scoring first
in 7/9) and beat Arsenal in last home game. Stoke are winless in 14 away games and have conceded first
st
in 16/24 away since start of last season. Bet - Home Sc 1
Spurs v Wigan: Spurs first half record is a bit inconsistent and this game looks hard to find the best value.
No Bet
Sunderland v Aston Villa: Villa have been poor this season but actually have a good first half record and
with both teams struggling to win the HT draw looks a good bet. Bet - HT Draw
QPR v Reading: QPRs last 7 matches have been against teams currently in the top 9, although Reading
are also yet to play any of the current bottom 7. Reading are a promoted team and QPR are fairly short so
it may be best to leave this match alone for now. No Bet
WBA v Southampton: WBAs home form has been excellent this season and match reports suggest
theyve been very unlucky to not get anything out of their last two matches, against Newcastle and Man
City. Home Win
At this point team news may affect our choice of bets and Form Lab Black Player can help assess this.
Results: Norwich scored first @ odds of 2.0, Sunderland v Aston Villa drew at Half Time @ 2.10 and West
Brom won easily at odds of 1.75.
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If you have a question about how to use Form Lab or would like more information, please do get in touch
via support@footballformlabs.com
http://www.footballformlabs.com
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