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BetheSameAgain
BasedonapresentationbyDr.PhilReevesfromEconolyst,atthe
ObjetPressEvent,EuroMold2011
March2012,ObjetLtd.
ChangesInfluencingtheUseof3DPrinting
Thereareanumberofimportantchangestakingplacetodaythat,when
consideredcumulatively,areeffectingandwillincreasinglyeffecthowwedesign
anddevelopproducts.
Thiswhitepaperaimstocategorizethedifferentglobaltrendsthatarechanneling
oureconomiesandsocietiestowardsthemainstreamuseof3Dprintingandthen
toshowhow3Dprintingisrespondinginturntothosechanges.
Despiteitsmultiplealiases,thetechniquevariouslyknownas3Dprinting,rapid
prototypingandadditivemanufacturingisnotaparticularlynewone.Theprocess
ofcreatingasolidobjectbylayingdownsuccessivelayersofmaterialhasbeenin
usefortwentyyears.Inthattimeithasremainedlargelyimmunetomainstream
mediaforces,heardofbyjustahandfulandonlyproperlyunderstoodbyatiny
fraction;thoseinvolveddirectlywithproductdesignonanindustrialscale.
However,inthelasttwotothreeyearstheindustryhasbeguntogainwidespread
exposureatadizzyingpace.Belowweveidentified8trendsthatarenowcausing
themainstreamingof3Dprinting,rapidprototypingandadditivemanufacturing
technologies.Thesetrendscanbegroupedunderthebroadheadingsof;societal,
environmental,economicandtechnologicalchanges.
SocietalChanges
Thefirstofthese,societalchanges,arehavingaprofoundimpactonthenatureof
productionandthesupplyofgoodsaroundtheworld.
1.
Withtheprolongedexposuretoeasilyavailablemassproducedgoods
availablesincethe1950s,acertaindesensitizationofthesenseshasbegun
tosetinamongconsumersoverthelastdecade.
Consumersarenotalwayssatisfiedwithanofftheshelfproduct.Theyalso
increasinglywanttobeinvolvedinthedesignanddevelopmentprocessin
ordertogetanendproductthatmorecloselyfulfillsallaspectsoftheir
demands.Thereactionisnotjustmassproducedgoods,butalsomass
customizedgoods.
Asingleautomobilemodel,forinstance,istodaytypicallyproducedinmillions
ofdifferentcustomizableversions.Butmasscustomizationhasalreadybeen
aroundforquitesometimenow.
Newerstillisthephenomenaknownasmasspersonalization,whichtakes
customizationtothenextlevelbyenablingindividualproductstoconformto
theexactingrequirementsofindividualconsumers.
2.
Demographics in Flux
Theotherbigsocietalchangeisdemographics.Firstlythesheernumberof
peopleonthe
planetisnow
over7billion
representingin
itselfahuge
consumergroup.
Butmore
significant
perhapsiswhere
thegrowthis
takingplace
outsideofEurope
andNorth
America.Considerwhatitmeansforproductdemandandsupply,forexample,
whenacountrysuchasYemenhasthesamepopulationasRussia,asitison
linetodobytheyear2050.
3.
Newcentersofwealthare
springingupindifferentpartsof
theworld.Countriesoutsideof
EuropeandNorthAmericasuch
asChinaandIndianowhave
identifiablestrataofwealth
whichmanufacturingcompanies
aretargeting.
Countriesthatwenever
consideredasconsumersten
yearsagoareverymuchsotoday,
enabledbythechangingfortunes
ofwealth.Brazil,forexample,isnowawealthiercountry(inabsoluteterms)
thantheUKthefirsttimeeverthataWesternEuropeannationhasbeen
overtakenbyaSouthAmericanone.Asinthecaseofshiftingdemographics,
thisinfluenceshowwedevelopnewproductsandthespeedatwhichwe
developthem.
4.
AspartsofEuropefaceveryhighdependencyratiosoverthecomingyearswe
havetoconsiderhowthisaffectswhatandhowweproduce.
Thesocalleddependency
demographicresultingfrom
anageingWestern
populationhasveryspecific
needsintermsof
healthcare,mobility,
independenceand
recreation.Andtheyareall
consumersinfact,oneof
therichestsegmentsin
society.
Industryneedstorespondto
theseopportunitiesandalso
takethemintoaccount
whenconsideringthe
manpowercostofproducing
futuregoods.
EnvironmentalPressures
Variousenvironmentalpressuresarechanginghowwedesignandbuildproducts.
Industriesarebeingpressuredbylegislation,taxationandgovernmenttochange
thewaytheyworkandthewaytheydesignandbuildgoods.Itisnowmandatory
inmanyindustriestoknow(andtoreduce)thecarbonfootprintoftheproducts
beingmade.Weneedtodetermineifaproductcanberecycled,reusedandits
endoflife.Allofthisaffectshowwemaketheproductinthefirstplace.
5.
Scarcity of Resources
Wealltakeforgrantedthatcertainproductswillalwaysbehere.Butnotall
materialswillbehereforever.Andthat
changeshowwethinkaboutbuildingand
designingproducts.
Forexample,IMFeconomistsgiveserious
considerationtoascenariowhereoil
productiondeclinesat3.8%annually.
Themostalarmingaspectofthisscenario
isthatsupplyreductionsofjust3.8%
wouldleadtoanoilpricespikeof200%
immediatelyand800%over20years,
seriouslyaffectingmuchoftheplastics
materialsthatgointoourconsumergoods
andpackaging.
Inthegraph,bluelineisoptimisticscenario,redline,
peakoilscenario.Source:
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2011/01/p
df/c3.pdf
6.
Ethical Consumerism
Consumersarealsochangingthewaytheybuyproducts,optingformethods
thatarelessexploitativeofscareresources,fragileecosystemsandcheap
laborpools.Productdevelopmentstrategiesmustincreasinglyrespondto
theseconsiderationsandadapt.
EconomicTravails
7. The Economic Slowdown
Withthesymptomssurfacingin2008,theeconomicslowdownacrossEurope
andtheUSmeansthattoday,
thereissignificantlylesscapital
investmentavailableinthe
market.
Lesscapitalinvestment
translatesintolessmoney
availableforequipment
investmentandmaintenance,
whichintheUSalone,hasled
toamassiveslumpinoverall
productivecapacity.
Source:http://money.msn.com/waystoinvest/5
companiesgrowingtheeconomymirhaydari.aspx
Asaresult,companiesneed
tomitigaterisksinproductdevelopment;increasecertaintythattheproductis
valuableandthatpeoplewillbuyit;andensureafastreturnoninvestmentfor
thoseproductschosenformarket.
8.
Theadvanceofsocialmediaandsocialnetworkingisalsohavingagrowing
effectonhowwemakeandbuyproducts.Itisnowcommonpracticeto
crowdsurftocheckifaproductwillbelikedbeforeweheadintofull
production.
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Oncetheproductsareontheshelves,acompanycannolongerrelyonslick
marketingalonetomaintainsales.Ifaproductdoesntworkorperformas
itshould,thesocialnetworkwilllettheworldknowaboutitwith
potentiallyfatalconsequencesforanycompanyorbrandthatrefusesto
takesufficientheedofthecrowd.
1.
Asaresponsetothegrowingsocietaldemandtobeinvolvedinthe
developmentprocessandagrowingdemandforpersonalizedproduction,
todaywefindaplethoraofverylowcost3Dprintingmachinesforthehome
andfortheeducational&makercommunity.
ThistrendisspurringincreasingdemandforonlineiStorerepositoriesand
librarieswherehomemakerscandownloadandthen3Dprintanever
increasingarrayofproducts.Wewillalsofindinthecomingyearsan
increasingnumberofwebshopsandonlinewebportalswhereconsumerscan
becomecocreatorsbyengagingdirectlywiththeirownproductdesigns.
Thedevelopmentofhomebased3Dprintingandonlinedataallows
consumerstobecomeineffect,minifactories,thuscompressingthesupply
chainfromtheCADterminalstraighttotheconsumer.
2.
Untilquitelateintotheindustrialrevolutionpeoplestilllearnedatradeand
madeproductswiththeirownhands.Theprocesswasslow,inefficientand
relativelyunaffordableforthevastmajorityofpeople.Theindustrial
revolutionbroughtfactoriesandmassproductionmachinesintoplayto
standardizegoodsandensureacheapsupplyofproductstomeetthe
burgeoningdemandofEuropeancitizens.
Today,nowthatmassproducedgoodsarelargelyattainable,weseea
reboundingtrendbacktomoreindividuallydesignedgoods.Thistrendisa
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resultofthesqueezefromboththesocietalmovetomasscustomizationand
personalizationontheoneside;andtheeconomictimeswenowfind
ourselvesin,wherethehighcapitalinvestmentrequiredformassproduction
isprohibitivelyexpensiveformanyentrepreneurstosetupontheirown.
Onepositiveresponsebeingenabledby3DprintingistheQuirkybusiness
modelnamedfortheNewYorkbasedfirmfoundedbyentrepreneurBen
Kaufman.Quirkysbusinessmodelisbasedontheprinciplethattraditional
manufacturingisbecomingincreasinglyaboveandbeyondthereachof
everydaydesignersandentrepreneurs.
Intraditionalmanufacturingplantsitcantakeanywherebetween18to24
monthsofplanningandcapitalinvestmentbeforeanewproductactuallyrolls
offtheproductionlinesandintoshops.Thisprocesseffectivelyraisesthe
barriertoentryforpeoplewhomayhaveanewinnovativeideaandwhowant
toturntheseideasintoacommercialproductwithinareasonabletimeto
market.
Withaninhouse3D
printer,Quirkyis
abletoshortenand
simplifytheproduct
development
processandenable
peoplewithgood
productideastobe
abletorapidlyand
efficientlycreate
workingprototypes
thatcanbeheldand
tested,thus
eliminatingamajorstumblingblockinthewayofbringingtheirproductto
market.TodayQuirkydesignsanddevelopsanumberofnewconsumer
productsfromscratcheverysingleweek.
TheQuirkymodelisanaturalresponsetotheeconomicpressuresoftodays
downturn,thedemographicchangesthatrepresentnewopportunitiesinboth
homeandforeignmarkets,andsocietalchangesthatarepressuringtheway
weconsumeresources.
TheimplicationsoftheQuirkymodelforWesternnationaleconomiesmay
alsobesignificantintheyearsahead.Ifthedeepeningoftherecession
continuestohitmanufacturingcapacity,3Dprintingmaybeabletooffset
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someofthelossbybypassingthetraditionalcapitalintensiveprocess,
enablingthespeedydevelopmentofawiderangeofinnovativeproducts.
Thevalue&differentiationhereinboththeiStoretrendandtheQuirkytrend
isinthecontentandthedevelopmentofusercommunitiesofdesignersand
innovatorswhoarenowabletoproduceforthemselves.Inbothcases,3D
printingrepresentsthehardwareenablertheconsumervalueisinthefast
andrelativelyeasyrealizationofanewideaintoaworkingprototypeandeven
realproduct.
3.
Wewillincreasinglysee3Dprintingasanenablerforcompaniestoengage
acrossthesupplychain.3Dprintingwillincreasinglybeusedasadistribution
solutionwherepartsaremadetoorder,withouttheneedtoholdstocknear
totheconsumer.
Thisishavingaprofoundimpactalreadyinthesmallnumberofapplication
areasusing3DprintingonadailybasissuchaslampshadesandiPhonecovers.
Withtheriseof3Dprintingservicebureaus,andnowevenCloudbased3D
printingservices,makingpartsondemandandnearertotheconsumerwill
continuetomakesupplychainsincreasinglyleanandefficientinthecoming
years.
Thepotentialbenefitsofthistoollessandinventoryfreesupplychaininclude
lowermaterialconsumption,lesswaste,lowercarbonfootprint,reduced
capitalinvestment,mitigatedrisk,andtheabilitytoeasilydifferentiateyour
productfromtherest.
4.
Wecanexpectanexpanding
penetrationofdesktop3D
printersintomoreoffices
andsmallerofficesthanksto
therapidlyincreasing
capabilitiesofthemodels
availabletoday.Whilethe
larger,morecomplex3D
printerswillcontinuetobea
naturalpartofacentralized
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TheObjet30ProfessionalDesktop3DPrinterintheSmall
OfficeEnvironment
prototypinglabinvirtuallyeverylargemanufacturingcompany,theriseofthe
desktop3Dprinterimbuedwithincreasinglysimilarlevelsofaccuracyand
producingcomparable3Dmodelstotheindustrialsizemachines,willbecome
moreandmoredefusedthroughthemanysmallerfirmsandboutiquedesign
houses.
Desktop3Dprintersarebecomingevermoreaffordableandadvancedintheir
accuracy&resolutionqualityandintheirabilitytosuitablysimulatethefitand
formofpartsandproductsenvisionedbydesignersandengineers.Theyalso
offertodayagreaterrangeand
versatilityofmaterialsthanever
before.
TheObjet30desktop3Dprinterfor
exampleoffersarangeof5different
3Dprintingmaterials,including
differentopaqueshadesanda
polypropylenelikematerialfor
prototypingsnapfitparts.
TheObjet30ProfessionalDesktop3DPrinterwitha
Rangeof5PrintingMaterials
Theplethoraofprofessionallevel
desktop3Dprintersavailableforunder$50,000israpidlyexpanding,placing
fastandprofessionalrapidprototypingcapabilitiesattheserviceofvirtually
anydesignhouseorsmallengineeringfirm.
Theresultingriseoftheprofessional
desktopmachineisagamechangerfor
smallerfirmsprovidingbetterrisk
mitigationinaneraofscarcerinvestment
capital,fasterinnovationcycles,better
communicationwithinthesupplychain
andoverallleadtimecompression.This
Architectural3DModelPrintedonanObjet
willenablecompaniesononesideof
3DPrinter.CourtesyofRietveldArchitects.
theworldtorespondagilelytothe
plethoraofnewdemographicand
consumergroupopportunitiesonothersidesoftheworldforexample,in
thenewlyemergingmarketsofAsiaandSouthAmerica.
Thosecompanieswiththeirown3Dprintingcapabilitieswillbeableto
developanedgeenablingthemtocompetewithmuchlargemultinationals
whenitcomestorapidlytransformingideasintoworkingproducts.
5.
Objet260ConnexMulti
Material3DPrinter
ComparethistothelatestObjet260Connexdelivering
doubletheprintqualityfromjusthalfthenumberof
printnozzles,atasignificantlyhigherrunspeedandin
amachinewithhalfthefootprint.
Inplaceofjustonematerial,todaysmachinefeatures
achoiceof68
differentmaterialswithrangingproperties
fromopaquetotransparent,rigidtoflexible,
andstandardtoengineeringplastics.Itcan
alsocombineupto14differentmaterial
propertiesandcolorshadeswithinasingle
modelprototype.
Sonotonlyare3Dprintersbecomingmore
capable,buttherangeandmechanical
propertiesof3Dprintingmaterials,especially
forinkjetbasedtechnology,isexpanding
exponentially.
LampPrototypeCreatedontheObjet
ConnexMultiMaterial3DPrinter.
CourtesyofPatrickGunther.
These
developmentsare
workingto
constantlyreduce
thepriceof3D
printed
components,
compresslead
timesandexpand
therangeand
functionalitiesof3Dprintedparts.Theresultofallthisisthatadvanced3D
printersarebecomingamusthavefixturewithineverylargeproduct
developmentcompanyfromtheautomotivesectortoelectronicgoodsand
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householdappliances.Manufacturerswillbeableinfuturetocutoutmuchof
theirsecondarytoolingprocessessuchasinjectionmolding,resintoolingand
softtooling.Andallofthiswillgointohelpingthemcompresstheirtimeto
market,reducetheircostsandalsoreducetheburdentheyplaceonthe
environment.
Conclusion
Whenfacedwiththerapidpaceofchangeintheyearsahead,3Dprinting
representsapotentdevice,onethatcouldmitigatemanyofthestructural
challengesofoureconomiesandsocieties,allowingmorebusinessestocompete
andtakeadvantageofdevelopingopportunitiesaroundtheworld.
Thegrowthofpersonalmanufacturingandonlinecontentinitselfhasthe
potentialtoreinventwholeeconomies.Bolsteredbytheemergenceofthe
Quirkymodel,3Dprintingmaybringalevelofselfsufficiencybackinthefaceof
scarcerresources,greaterethicalconsumerism,moredemandforpersonalization,
shiftingdemographicsandnewcentersofwealth.
3DprintinghasthepotentialtohelpoffsetthedeclineinWesternmanufacturing,
replacingthetopheavytoobigtofailmodelwithalighter,moreagileandmore
evenlyspreadproductionbase
providinghigheraddedvalue.
Suchamodelputsinnovationback
intothehandsofmorecitizenryand
couldspuranewroundofglobaland
technologicalinnovationsleadingtoa
new,grassrootsprosperity.While
perhapsstillashadowyvision,the
DragonPrototype3DPrintedinObjetClear
TransparentMaterial
visionisbeingrapidlyanimatedby
theincreasingcapabilitiesof3D
printingitselflowerprices,moreadvancedprototypingcapabilities,smaller
machinesandagreaterrangeof3Dprintingmaterialsthaneverbefore.
Withallofthetrendstakentogether,itsasafebettoassumethatthefutureof
productdesignanddevelopmentwilllookverydifferentadecadehence.But
ratherthanfrighten,thisknowledgeshouldhelptoinvigorateentrepreneursand
businessesintorenewedaction.3Dprintingwillhelpbybecominganessential
componentinlevelingtheproductdevelopmentplayingfieldenablingevery
companytoleveragethemostfromtheopportunitiesthatarecomingtothefore
evennow,aswespeak.
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About Objet
ObjetLtd.,isaleadingproviderofhighquality,costeffectiveinkjetbased3D
printingsystemsandmaterials.Aglobalcompany,ObjethasofficesinNorth
America,Europe,Japan,China,HongKong,andIndia.
Objets3Dprintingsystemsand3Dprintingmaterialsareidealforanycompany
involvedinthemanufactureordesignofphysicalproductsusing3Dsoftwareor
other3Dcontent.CompaniesusingObjetssolutionscanbetypicallyfoundin
sectorssuchasconsumergoods&electronics,aerospace&defense,automotive,
education,dental,medicalandmedicaldevices,architecture,industrial
machinery,footwear,sportinggoods,toysandservicebureaus.
Foundedin1998,thecompanyhasthousandsofcustomersworldwideincludinga
substantialshareoftherelevantFortune100andFortune500.Itsawardwinning
technology(12awardsin5years)isbaseduponover110patentsandpatent
pendinginventions.
Objetsadvanced3Dprintingsystemsandrangeofover65materialsenable
professionalstobuildprototypesthataccuratelysimulatethetruelook,feeland
functionofanendproduct,evencomplex,assembledgoods.TheObjetConnex
lineofmultimaterial3Dprintersfeaturestheworldsonlytechnologyto
simultaneouslyjet2materials.Withthis,userscanprintmanydifferentmaterials
intoasinglepartandprintvariousmixedpartsonthesamebuildtray.Userscan
alsocreateadvancedcompositematerials,orDigitalMaterialsfeaturingunique
mechanicalandthermalproperties.Objetsrangeofover603Dprintingmaterials
simulatepropertiesrangingfromrigidtorubberlike,transparenttoopaqueand
standardtoABSgradeengineeringplastics,withalargenumberofinbetween
shoregradesandshades.
Objets3Dprintersareavailableinarangeofformfactors,fromcosteffective
desktop3Dprintersidealforentrylevelprofessionalsallthewaytoindustrial
scalemultimaterialmachinesforfrontlinedesignersandtopmanufacturers.
Objets3Dprintersfeaturetheindustryshighestresolution3Dprintingquality,
basedon16micron(0.0006in.)superthinlayering,widematerialversatility,
officefriendlinessandeaseofoperation.
Formoreinformation,visitusatwww.objet.com,andformoreabout3Dprinting
industryrelatednews,businessissuesandtrends,readtheObjetblog.
Trademarkedcompanyandproductnamesarethepropertyoftheirrespectiveowners.
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