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Anish S. Menon
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
1/9
Fama and Macbeth (1973) developed a method by which to test how risk
factors describe portfolio or asset returns. The main goal of the
Fama-Macbeth two step regression is to find the premium from exposure
to these factors.
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
2/9
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
3/9
In equation form, for n portfolio or asset returns and m factors, in the first
step, the factor exposure s are obtained by calculating n regressions, each
one on m factors (each equation in the following represents a regression).
R1,t = 1 + 1,F1 F1,t + 1,F2 F2,t + + 1,Fm Fm,t + 1,t
R2,t = 2 + 2,F1 F1,t + 2,F2 F2,t + + 2,Fm Fm,t + 2,t
..
.
Rn,t = n + n,F1 F1,t + n,F2 F2,t + + n,Fm Fm,t + n,t
(1)
where Ri,t is the return of the portfolio or asset i (n total) at time t, Fj,t
is the factor j (m total) at time t, i,Fm are the factor exposures, or
loadings, that describe how returns are exposed to the factors, and t goes
from time t through T . Notice that each regression uses the same factors
F , because the purpose is to determine the exposure of each portfolios
return to a given set of factors.
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
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Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
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(2)
where the returns R are the same as those used in the first stage
regression, are regression coefficients that are used to calculate the risk
premium for each factor, and in each regression i goes, from 1 through n.
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
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T
1 X
t
=
T
i =
Anish S. Menon
1
T
(3)
t=1
T
X
i,t
(4)
t=1
Fama Macbeth
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(5)
t=1
T
1 X
1
cov (
) = cov (t ) = 2
(
i,t i )(
j,t j )
T
T
(6)
t=1
This methodology ensures that the standard errors are corrected for
cross-sectional correlation. However it does not correct for time series
autocorrelation since it assumes that yearly estimates of the coefficients
are independent over time. A correction as proposed by Peterson(2009) is
to follow a double clustering methodology where there is clustering by
both firm and time.
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
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m / T
(7)
Anish S. Menon
Fama Macbeth
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