PRINT EXCLUSIVE: CALGARY HERALD & EDMONTON JOURNAL

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5:30 AM MST - APRIL 9, 2015

WILDROSE LEADS & NDP GAINS
April 9th, 2015. A new Mainstreet Technologies poll of 3,270 Albertans continues to find a volatile race with
the Wildrose Party maintaining support at 24%, and the Progressive Conservatives dropping to 21%. The
NDP have extended a commanding lead in Edmonton to 40% and have jumped province wide to 20%.The
poll carries an overall margin of error of +/- 1.78%, 19/20.
The first few days of this campaign are showing signs of a tremendously competitive race. Wildrose is
holding steady but the sudden surge of new support for the NDP in both Edmonton and across Alberta is
the real story, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Technologies. "PCs still maintain a slim lead in
Calgary over the Wildrose party where a large number of seats are up for grabs."
"The real bad news for the PCs in these numbers is that among those certain and likely to vote, the numbers
get worse, they trail the Wildrose Party 33%-27% with the NDP not far back at 25% among decided certain
and likely voters. The NDP could become a contender in this three way race with some growth in Calgary
and if they can motivate those who might and are unlikely to vote."
"It is clear from these numbers that there is a lot of movement occurring among the Alberta electorate.
Undecided voters increased by 4% this week, likely due to the anybody but PC effect. If this is any
indication of the coming weeks, we may see more drastic swings as the campaign unfolds. It appears we
are in for a wild ride."
Highlights:
- PCs and NDP are statistically tied (numbers are within the margin of error)
- NDP has increased support; +4% in Edmonton, +5% in Calgary, +5% in the Rest of Alberta
- Alberta Liberal and Alberta Party support slips to 9% and 2% respectively
- Undecided has increased 4%
-30For more information or further comment:
David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreettechnologies.ca
Available for interview from Toronto, April 8th/9th/10th:
Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreettechnologies.ca
Methodology
The poll surveyed a random sample of Alberta residents by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) on April 7th,
2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated. Regional Margins of Error:
Edmonton +/- 2.94; Calgary +/- 3.07; Rest of Alberta +/- 2.9.
About Mainstreet Technologies
Mainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience
at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion,
having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia,
and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of
Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: CALGARY HERALD & EDMONTON JOURNAL

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5:30 AM MST - APRIL 9, 2015

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
BREAKDOWNS

21%
24%
9%
20%
2%
24%

-3%
-5%
+5%
-2%
+4%

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male

17%
20% 22% 28% 18%
20% 24% 28% 25% 27%
12%
11%
6%
8%
9%
25%
13%
23% 16% 20%
4%
2%
2%
2%
3%
23%
31%
20% 22% 22%
368
488
1146 1268 1440

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE

EDMONTON
16%
7%
10%
39%
3%
25%
1108

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY
UNDECIDED

CERTAIN
24%
28%
8%
17%
2%
21%

CALGARY
26%
24%
9%
16%
3%
22%
1018

LIKELY
14%
22%
13%
30%
1%
21%

MIGHT
16%
10%
4%
12%
4%
54%

Female
23%
20%
10%
19%
2%
26%
1830

REST OF AB
20%
29%
10%
15%
2%
25%
1144
UNLIKELY
17%
7%
12%
19%
4%
40%

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: CALGARY HERALD & EDMONTON JOURNAL

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5:30 AM MST - APRIL 9, 2015

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE
WILDROSE PARTY
ALBERTA LIBERAL PARTY
ALBERTA NDP
ALBERTA PARTY

EDMONTON
21%
10%
13%
52%
5%

CERTAIN
30%
35%
11%
21%
3%

27%
31%
12%
26%
3%

-3%
+1%
-5%
+8%
-2%

CALGARY
33%
31%
11%
21%
4%

LIKELY
17%
28%
16%
38%
1%

CERTAIN/LIKELY
27%
33%
12%
25%
3%

MIGHT
34%
21%
10%
26%
9%

REST OF AB
27%
38%
13%
20%
2%

UNLIKELY
29%
12%
20%
32%
7%

MIGHT/UNLIKELY
31%
15%
16%
30%
8%