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MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015


Last Close

Avg Daily Vol

52-Week High

Trailing PE

Annual Div

ROE

LTG Forecast

1-Mo Return

41.62 (USD)

31.8M

50.05

16.8

1.24

23.4%

7.5%

-0.2%

April 17, 2015


NASDAQ Exchange

Market Cap

52-Week Low

Forward PE

Dividend Yield

Annual Rev

Inst Own

3-Mo Return

341.4B

38.51

16.1

3.0%

93.5B

72.9%

-10.0%

AVERAGE SCORE
Score Averages

NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: MSFT's current score of


3 places it among the bottom quartile of stocks
scored.

Software & IT Services Group: 4.3


Software & IT Services Sector: 4.3

Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg)


Positive
Neutral
Negative
APR-2012

APR-2013

APR-2014

APR-2015

HIGHLIGHTS

Peers

Mega Market Cap: 6.6


S&P 500 Index: 6.4

-6M

-3M

-1M

-1W

INTU

ORCL

ADBE

MSFT

NR

NR

NR

NR

MOMO

Current

1Y Trend

NR

THOMSON REUTERS I/B/E/S MEAN

- During the past six months, the score category for


MICROSOFT CORPORATION dropped from NEUTRAL to
NEGATIVE.
- The recent change in the Average Score was primarily due to a
decline in the Earnings component score.

Hold

Mean recommendation from all analysts covering


the company on a standardized 5-point scale.

36 Analysts

Sell

Reduce

Hold

Buy

Strong
Buy

PRICE AND VOLUME CHARTS


1-Year Return: 4.0%

5-Year Return: 35.7%

BUSINESS SUMMARY
Microsoft Corporation is engaged in developing, licensing and supporting a range of software products and services. The Company also designs and
sells hardware, and delivers online advertising to the customers. The Company operates in five segments: Devices and Consumer (D&C) Licensing,
D&C Hardware, D&C Other, Commercial Licensing, and Commercial Other. The Company's products include operating systems for computing devices,
servers, phones, and other intelligent devices; server applications for distributed computing environments; productivity applications; business solution
applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; and online advertising. It also offers cloud-based
solutions that provide customers with software, services, and content over the Internet by way of shared computing resources located in centralized
data centers. It provides consulting and product and solution support services.

Page 1 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of six widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, Price Momentum and Insider Trading. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is
normally distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated
differently using alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and
investment styles. Additional criteria should always be used to evaluate a stock.
Earnings

Fundamental

Relative Valuation

Risk

Price Momentum

Insider Trading

OPTIMIZED SCORE
Historically, companies with an optimized score
of 3 have tended to moderately underperform
the market over the following 12-month period.

As an alternative approach to equally weighting each of the six factors, independent


research firm, Verus Analytics, conducted a backtest to empirically determine the
optimal factor blend. Results and weighting vary across four different market
capitalization categories. For large cap stocks, price momentum and insider trading
historically provided the most explanatory power among the six factors and are
weighted heavily in the current optimized score. Among the small cap universe, the
earnings and fundamental factors joined with insider trading and price momentum to
explain returns.

PEER ANALYSIS

Currency in USD
PRICE MOMENTUM

Average
Score Ticker

VALUATION

FUNDAMENTAL

ANALYSTS

Price
(04/17/15)

1-Mo
Return

3-Mo
Return

1-Yr
Return

Market
Cap

Trailing
PE

Forward
PE

Dividend
Yield

Net
Margin

LTG I/B/E/S
Forecast Mean

# of
Analysts

MSFT

41.62

-0.2%

-10.0%

4.0%

341.4B

16.8

16.1

3.0%

22.1%

7.5% Hold

36

ORCL

43.00

0.3%

-1.2%

7.3%

187.8B

17.9

14.7

1.4%

26.8%

8.1% Buy

39

ADBE

73.15

-8.2%

2.0%

14.2%

36.6B

128.3

31.3

--

7.7%

11.7% Buy

23

INTU

95.58

-3.4%

10.6%

29.1%

26.4B

35.0

34.5

1.1%

-8.2%

12.6% Buy

18

SYMC

24.24

2.0%

-5.4%

17.0%

16.5B

18.4

12.9

2.5%

13.6%

WDAY

84.37

1.2%

7.6%

5.7%

15.9B

--

--

--

-26.3%

50.0% Buy

37

CHKP

81.75

-2.0%

1.2%

22.1%

15.0B

23.8

20.5

--

44.2%

10.0% Buy

29

ADSK

60.35

-1.8%

6.2%

24.5%

13.7B

172.4

51.1

--

1.7%

8.1% Buy

18

CA

31.20

-1.1%

-0.5%

2.6%

13.6B

17.2

12.9

3.2%

20.2%

-5.7% Hold

13

RHT

73.93

10.2%

13.4%

46.3%

13.6B

76.2

40.8

--

10.3%

15.5% Buy

31

NR

MOMO

10.92

9.2%

-0.3%

--

--

--

--

--

-118.7%

-- Buy

4.8

Average

56.37

0.6%

2.1%

17.3%

68.1B

56.2

26.1

2.2%

-0.6%

12.5% Buy

24.9

7.3% Hold

PEER COMPANIES
MOMO
ORCL
ADBE
INTU
SYMC

MOMO INC
ORACLE CORPORATION
ADOBE SYSTEMS
INTUIT INC
SYMANTEC CORPORATION

Page 2 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

WDAY
CHKP
ADSK
CA
RHT

WORKDAY INC
CHECK POINT SOFTWARE
AUTODESK INC
CA INC
RED HAT INCORPORATED

29

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

EARNINGS

Currency in USD
Earnings Score Averages

NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Weak earnings with


recent analyst downgrades or a history of
missing consensus estimates.

Software & IT Services Group: 6.2


Software & IT Services Sector: 6.2

Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg)


Positive
Neutral
Negative
APR-2012

APR-2013

APR-2014

APR-2015

Mega Market Cap: 6.7


S&P 500 Index: 6.4

Peers

-6M

-3M

-1M

-1W

ADBE

10

INTU

ORCL

MSFT

NR

NR

NR

NR

MOMO

Current

1Y Trend

NR

EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises

Estimate Revisions

Recommendation Changes

(33.3% weight)

(33.3% weight)

(33.3% weight)

ADBE

INTU

INTU
MSFT

ADBE
MOMO
ORCL

ORCL

MSFT

INTU
ORCL
MSFT

MOMO

Last 4 Quarters
# Positive Surprises (> 2%)
# Negative Surprises (< -2%)
# In-Line (within 2%)
Avg Surprise

ADBE
MOMO

Last 4 Weeks
2
1
1
2.5%

# Up Revisions
# Down Revisions
Avg Up Revisions
Avg Down Revisions

HIGHLIGHTS
- MSFT currently has an Earnings Rating of 3, which is significantly
more bearish than the Software Industry average of 6.3. MSFT scores
a bearish 4 or less for two of three component ratings: Estimate
Revision (2) and Broker Recommendation (4).

# Broker Upgrades
# Broker Downgrades

1
5

PRICE TARGET

12-Month Price Target

56.00
52.00

- There have been 1 upward and 5 downward broker recommendation


changes for MICROSOFT CORPORATION over the past 120 days.

40.00

2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

0
13
0.0%
-36.1%

The chart indicates where analysts predict the stock price will be within
the next 12 months, as compared to the current price.

- MSFT's current quarter consensus estimate has decreased over the


past 90 days from 0.54 to 0.51, a loss of -6.6%. Consensus estimates
for the Software Industry have moved an average -5.0% during the
same time period.

Page 3 of 12

Last 120 Days

HIGH

48.00
44.00

36.00

MEAN
41.62

Mean

48.00

High

55.00

Low
Target vs. Current
# of Analysts

LOW

Current Price

Price Target

36.00
15.3%
30

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

EARNINGS PER SHARE


Actuals

Estimates

0.900

Earnings per share (EPS) is calculated


by dividing a company's earnings by the
number of shares outstanding. Analysts
tend to interpret a pattern of increasing
earnings as a sign of strength and flat
or falling earnings as a sign of
weakness.

0.800
0.700

HIGH
0.550

0.600

MEAN

0.540

0.500
0.400

The charts provide a comparison


between a company's actual and
estimated EPS, including the high and
low forecasts.

06-14

09-14

Actuals

12-14

06-15

0.507

0.604

High

0.580

0.690

Low

0.460

0.480

27

27

03-15

06-15

Estimates

3.600
HIGH

3.300
3.000
2.650

MEAN

2.630

2.700

LOW

2.400
2.100

2013

2014

2015

MEAN ESTIMATE TREND

Current
30 Days Ago
90 Days Ago
% Change (90 Days)

03-15

Mean

# of Analysts

LOW

03-14

Quarterly
0.710

0.680

Annual

2015

2016

Mean

2.373

2.863

High

2.590

3.330

Low

2.200

2.510

28

33

# of Analysts

2016

ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS

Q
03-15

Q
06-15

Y
2015

Y
2016

0.507
0.517
0.543
-6.6%

0.604
2.373
2.863
46.70
0.619
2.389
2.902
47.10
0.648
2.481
2.943
49.90
-6.8%
-4.4%
-2.7%
-6.4%
Next Expected Report Date: 04/23/15

Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S Mean: Hold (36 Analysts)

Price
Target

Strong Buy

Buy

Hold

15

Reduce

Sell

EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type.
Surprise Summary (Last 12 Quarters)
Surprise Type
Positive Quarters (> 2%)
Negative Quarters (< -2%)
In-Line Quarters (within 2%)

Amount

Percent

7
3
2

58.3%
25.0%
16.7%

Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)


Surprise
Type

Announce
Date

Period End
Date

Actual
EPS

Mean
EPS

Surprise
(%)

IN-LINE
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
POSITIVE
POSITIVE
POSITIVE

01/26/15
10/23/14
07/22/14
04/24/14
01/23/14
10/24/13

12/31/14
09/30/14
06/30/14
03/31/14
12/31/13
09/30/13

0.710
0.540
0.550
0.680
0.780
0.620

0.713
0.486
0.602
0.630
0.679
0.539

-0.4%
11.1%
-8.6%
7.9%
14.9%
15.0%

ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while
flat or falling sales and faltering
earnings may explain a sell
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins,
rather than market expansion. This
chart shows the sales forecast trend of
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next
fiscal year.

Page 4 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

Actuals

Estimates

112B

2015

2016

HIGH

Mean

93.5B

97.7B

98B

MEAN

High

96.2B

105.1B

91B

LOW

Low

92.1B

92.4B

7.7%

12.5%

32

32

105B

86.8B

Forecasted Growth
84B
77B

# of Analysts

77.9B

2013

2014

2015

2016

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

FUNDAMENTAL
Fundamental Score Averages

NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Fundamentals relatively


in-line with the market.

Software & IT Services Group: 3.9


Software & IT Services Sector: 3.9

Fundamental Score Trend


Positive
Neutral
Negative
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2012
2013
2014

Mega Market Cap: 6.3


S&P 500 Index: 6.6

Peers

Q2
2014

Q3
2014

Q4
2014

Q1
2015

ORCL

10

10

10

10

ADBE

MSFT

INTU

MOMO

NR

Current

3Y Trend

FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability

Debt

Earnings Quality

Dividend

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

MSFT
ORCL
INTU

ORCL

ADBE

ADBE
ORCL
MSFT

INTU
ADBE
MSFT

ORCL

MOMO

INTU
MOMO

MOMO

MSFT
INTU
ADBE
MOMO

Revenue Growth
For year over year
ending 12/14
Gross Margin
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14
Return on Equity
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14
Net Margin
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14

12.0% Current Ratio


For year over year
ending 12/14
61.7% Debt-to-Capital
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 06/14
23.4% Interest Funding
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14
22.1% Interest Coverage
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14

2.5 Days Sales in Inv.


For period ending
06/14
18.7% Days Sales in Rec.
For period ending
06/14
5.3%

49.5

38.6

77.8

Div. Growth Rate


For year over year
ending 12/14
Dividend Funding
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 12/14
Dividend Coverage
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 06/14
Current Div. Yield
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 04/15

15.7%

76.8%

3.6

3.0%

HIGHLIGHTS
- MSFT's Fundamental Rating declined significantly over the last
quarter from a bullish 8 to a relatively neutral 5. The average
Fundamental Rating for its Software Industry is 3.7 and the S&P 500
COMPOSITE average is 6.6.
- The company's days sales in inventory has been higher than its
Industry average for each of the past five years.
- The company's current ratio has been higher than its Industry average
for each of the past five years.

Page 5 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

- Of the 137 firms within the Software Industry, MICROSOFT


CORPORATION is among the 20 companies that pay a dividend. The
stock's dividend yield is currently 3.0%.
- The company's gross margin has been higher than its Industry
average for each of the past five years.

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

RELATIVE VALUATION
Relative Valuation Score Averages

NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: Multiples relatively in-line


with the market.

Software & IT Services Group: 4.2


Software & IT Services Sector: 4.2

Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg)


Positive
Neutral
Negative
APR-2012

APR-2013

APR-2014

APR-2015

Mega Market Cap: 5.2


S&P 500 Index: 5.1

Peers

-6M

-3M

-1M

-1W

MSFT

ORCL

ADBE

INTU

NR

NR

NR

NR

MOMO

Current

1Y Trend

NR

RELATIVE VALUATION INDICATORS


Forward PEG

Trailing PE

Forward PE

(50% weight)

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

ORCL

MSFT
ORCL

ORCL
MSFT

ADBE
MSFT
INTU

INTU
ADBE

ADBE
INTU

MOMO

MOMO

MOMO

Forward PEG

2.0 Trailing PE

16.8

Forward PE

16.1

5-Yr Average

1.5 5-Yr Average

13.4

5-Yr Average

11.8

Rel. to 5-Yr Avg.

39% Premium Rel. to 5-Yr Avg.

S&P 500 Index


Rel. To S&P 500

2.1 S&P 500 Index


5% Discount Rel. To S&P 500

26% Premium Rel. to 5-Yr Avg.


25.7

S&P 500 Index

35% Discount Rel. To S&P 500

37% Premium
22.8
29% Discount

HIGHLIGHTS
- MSFT's Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, and Forward PEG multiples are all
significantly above (more expensive than) their 5-year averages.
- MSFT's current Trailing P/E of 16.8 represents a 69% Discount to its
Software Industry average.
- MSFT currently has a Valuation Rating of 5 while the S&P 500
COMPOSITE index has an average rating of 5.1.

Page 6 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

- Based on Forward PEG, MSFT currently trades at a 16% Discount to


its Software Industry peers. On average, the company has traded at a
30% Discount over the past five years.
- MSFT's 16.1 Forward P/E is at the high end of its 5-year range (lowest
8.4 to highest 16.8).

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

PRICE TO SALES

TRAILING PE

The most recent week's close price divided by the revenue per share.
Price to Sales:
5-Year Average:
S&P 500 Index Average:
Software Industry Average:
4.8
4.6
4.4
4.2
4.0
3.8
3.6
3.4
3.2
3.0
2.8

3.7
3.6
3.0
5.6

2011

2012

2013

2014

FORWARD PE

2011

2012

2013

2014

FORWARD PEG

Forward PE:
5-Year Average:
S&P 500 Index Average:
Software Industry Average:

2011

The Forward P/E divided by the five-year forecasted growth rate.


16.1
11.8
22.8
40.1

Forward PEG:
5-Year Average:
S&P 500 Index Average:
Software Industry Average:
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8

5-Yr Average

2010

16.8
13.4
25.7
53.4

5-Yr Average

2010

The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four
upcoming quarterly consensus estimates.

18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8

Trailing PE:
5-Year Average:
S&P 500 Index Average:
Software Industry Average:
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8

5-Yr Average

2010

The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four most
recently reported quarterly earnings.

2012

Page 7 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

2013

2014

5-Yr Average

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2.0
1.5
2.1
2.4

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

RISK
Risk Score Averages

POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Consistent return patterns


(low volatility).

Software & IT Services Group: 4.6


Software & IT Services Sector: 4.6

Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg)


Positive
Neutral
Negative
APR-2012

APR-2013

APR-2014

APR-2015

Mega Market Cap: 9.0


S&P 500 Index: 8.4

Peers

-6M

-3M

-1M

-1W

ADBE

INTU

10

10

MSFT

ORCL

NR

NR

NR

NR

MOMO

Current

1Y Trend

NR

RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude Of Returns

Volatility

Beta (1-year)

Correlation

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

(25% weight)

INTU
ADBE
MSFT
ORCL

ADBE
ORCL
INTU

ADBE
MSFT
ORCL
INTU

MSFT

MSFT

INTU
ADBE
ORCL
MOMO

Daily Returns (Last 90 Days)


Best
3.1%
Worst
-9.3%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months)
Best
15.7%
Worst
-16.5%

MOMO

Standard Deviation
Last 90 Days
1.76
Last 60 Months
6.26
Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days)
Last 90 Days Avg
1.7%
Last 90 Days Largest
4.0%

HIGHLIGHTS
- MSFT currently has a Risk Rating of 9 while the S&P 500
COMPOSITE index has an average rating of 8.4.
- On days when the market is up, MSFT shares tends to
outperform the S&P 500 COMPOSITE index. However, on
days when the market is down, the shares generally decrease
by more than the S&P 500 COMPOSITE index.
- In both short-term and long-term periods, MSFT has shown
high correlation (>=0.4) with the S&P 500 COMPOSITE index.
Thus, this stock would provide only low levels of diversification
to a portfolio similar to the broader market.
- Over the past 90 days, MSFT shares have been more volatile
than the overall market, as the stock's daily price fluctuations
have exceeded that of 79% of S&P 500 COMPOSITE index
firms.

Page 8 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

MOMO

Beta vs. S&P 500


Positive Days Only
Negative Days Only
Beta vs. Group
Positive Days Only
Negative Days Only

MOMO

1.11
1.23
1.35
0.52
0.50
0.58

Correlation vs. S&P 500


Last 90 Days
Last 60 Months
Correlation vs. Group
Last 90 Days
Last 60 Months

65%
61%
57%
64%

RISK ANALYSIS
Last 90 Days
Worst
#
# Largest
Daily Days Days Intra-Day
Return
Up Down
Swing

Last 60 Months
Best
Worst
Monthly Monthly
Return
Return

Peers

Best
Daily
Return

MSFT

3.1%

-9.3%

30

33

4.0%

15.7%

-16.5%

ADBE

2.7%

-3.5%

37

24

4.6%

21.7%

-17.6%

INTU

6.2%

-4.2%

34

29

4.3%

14.3%

-9.8%

--

--

--

--

--

--

--

ORCL

2.9%

-3.2%

33

29

4.9%

22.9%

-18.2%

S&P 500

1.5%

-1.7%

30

33

2.2%

10.8%

-8.2%

MOMO

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

PRICE MOMENTUM

Currency in USD
Price Momentum Score Averages

NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Weak recent relative


price performance or entering historically poor
seasonal period.

Software & IT Services Group: 5.6


Software & IT Services Sector: 5.6

Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg)


Positive
Neutral
Negative
APR-2012

APR-2013

APR-2014

APR-2015

Peers

Mega Market Cap: 5.8


S&P 500 Index: 5.7

-6M

-3M

-1M

-1W

INTU

ORCL

ADBE

MSFT

NR

NR

NR

NR

MOMO

Current

1Y Trend

NR

PRICE MOMENTUM INDICATORS


Relative Strength

Seasonality

(70% weight)

(30% weight)

INTU
ORCL
ADBE

MOMO
INTU
MSFT
ORCL

MSFT

ADBE

MOMO

Relative Strength Indicator (scale 1-100, 100 is best)


MSFT
Industry Avg
Last 1 Month
46
50
Last 3 Months
46
51
Last 6 Months
49
51

Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)


APR
MAY
JUN
Company Avg
3.1%
-2.1%
0.2%
Industry Avg
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Industry Rank
97 of 116
51 of 116
23 of 116

PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the
performance of the stock as compared to a
relevant index over five time periods.
1-Week

-0.3%
-1.3%

1-Month

-0.2%
-0.1%

DJIA

1.8%
-10.4%

1-Year

Page 9 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

MSFT

DJIA

Close Price (04/17/15)

41.62

17826

52-Week High

50.05

18289

52-Week Low

38.51

16117

- On 04/17/15, MSFT closed at 41.62, 16.8% below its 52-week


high and 8.1% above its 52-week low.
- MSFT shares are currently trading 1.8% below their 50-day
moving average of 42.36, and 7.5% below their 200-day
moving average of 44.98.
- The DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL is currently 2.5% below its 52week high and 10.6% above its 52-week low.

-10%

3-Month

YTD

MSFT

0%
4%
8.6%

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

INSIDER TRADING

Currency in USD
Insider Trading Score Averages

NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Recent or longer-term


trend of selling by company insiders.

Software & IT Services Group: 4.7


Software & IT Services Sector: 4.7

Insider Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg)


Positive
Neutral
Negative
APR-2012

APR-2013

APR-2014

APR-2015

Mega Market Cap: 3.6


S&P 500 Index: 3.8

Peers

-6M

-3M

-1M

-1W

MSFT

INTU

ADBE

ORCL

NR

NR

NR

NR

MOMO

Current

1Y Trend

NR

INSIDER TRADING INDICATORS


Short-Term Insider
(70% weight)

Long-Term Insider
(30% weight)

ADBE
INTU

Name
Gates, William H III
Brod, Frank H
Gates, William H III

MSFT

ORCL

INTU
ADBE
ORCL

MSFT

MOMO

MOMO

Most Recent Buys and Sells (Last 90 days)


Role
Tran Date
Tran Type
D
02/05/15 - 02/06/15
S
O
02/04/15
S
D
01/28/15 - 02/04/15
S

HIGHLIGHTS

MONTHLY BUYS AND SELLS

- MSFT currently has an Insider Rating of 3, while the Software Industry


average is 4.74.
- Executives at MICROSOFT CORPORATION have not purchased or
sold any shares thus far this quarter. Over the past five years, the
average purchase and sell totals for Q2 have been $198,832 and
$948,685, respectively.

20

TOP INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS


Inst.
Type
Inv Mgmt
Inv Mgmt
Inv Mgmt
Inv Mgmt
Inv Mgmt

2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

Excludes
derivative
and option
exercises

0
10
SELLS
M J
J

TOP EXECUTIVE HOLDERS


%
O/S
5.2%
4.3%
4.2%
4.0%
2.6%

Shares
Held
428M
349M
344M
326M
213M

Reported
Date
12/31/14
12/31/14
12/31/14
12/31/14
12/31/14

Updated daily as of 04/19/15

Page 10 of 12

$ Market Value - Millions

BUYS

10

20

Institution
The Vanguard Group Inc
State Street Global
Capital World Investors
BlackRock Institutional
Fidelity Management

Insider Summary (Last 6 Months)


Total Shares Acquired
2,992,501
Total Shares Disposed
40,198,215
Net Shares
-37,205,714
Sector Average
11,659

Shares
2,000,000
6,000
6,000,000

Insider Name
Ballmer, Steven A
Gates, William H III
Nadella, Satya
Turner, Brian Kevin
Smith, Bradford Lee

Role
D
D
CEO
CO
O

Direct
Shares
333M
239M
1.30M
1.22M
0.94M

Value
13.9B
9.95B
54.1M
50.7M
39.2M

Reported
Date
08/19/14
02/09/15
09/18/14
09/18/14
11/26/14

Updated monthly as of 04/19/15

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015

DETAILED STOCK REPORT TIPS


The Thomson Reuters Stock Report is a comprehensive, company-specific analysis
that includes a proprietary Stock Rating along with underlying component indicators
and supportive data elements. The report is updated daily, although some of the
data elements and the ratings are updated weekly.
Average Score
The Average Score combines a quantitative analysis of six widely-used investment
decision making tools - Earnings, Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, Price
Momentum, and Insider Trading. First, a simple average of the six underlying
component ratings is calculated. Then, a normal distribution is used to rank each
stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A
score of 8 to 10 is considered positive, 4 to 7 is neutral, and 1 to 3 is negative. These
six factors may be evaluated differently using alternative methodologies, and the
importance of individual factors varies across groups, market capitalization and
investment styles. Additional criteria should always be used to evaluate a stock.
A company must have sufficient data available for at least four of the six component
indicators in order to receive an overall Average Score. Approximately 85% of the
stocks within the coverage universe meet the criteria to generate a score.
Optimized Score
As an alternative to the average score, the Stock Report includes an Optimized Score
generated by independent research firm, Verus Analytics. It uses the same six
component ratings, but rather than equally weighting each of the factors, the
weighting varies by market capitalization of the underlying security based on
backtesting research. These scores are also updated weekly and distributed
normally on a 1 to 10 scale, with 10 being best. The variable size is assigned
monthly by ranking the market capitalization and assigning the appropriate category
as follows:
Large
Mid
Small
Micro

Top 5.55%
Next 13.87%
Next 34.68%
Remaining 45.9%

Indicator Components
The six indicators that comprise the stock rating are displayed. Like the stock rating,
the component rating scale is 1 to 10, with 10 being best. A company will receive
an NR for No Rating if the required data elements or criteria are not met. A
detailed section for each component is included in the report.
Indicator Trends
Within each component section, historical score trends are displayed, typically using
a 4-week moving average over a timeframe of the past three years. The dotted
orange line indicates the average of the scores over those three years. The most
recent occurrence of the best and worst scores are also displayed on the chart in
grey boxes to put the current score into historical context.
Next to the trend chart for the company, current score averages are included, along
with peer company comparisons of values from 6 months ago, 3 months ago, 1
month ago, the most recent value from 1 week ago, and the current score. The four
closest industry peers are presented based on similar market capitalization.
Peer Analysis
The Thomson Reuters Business Classification (TRBC) system is used for
industry comparisons. It is designed to track and display the primary business of
a corporation by grouping together correlated companies that offer products and
services into similar end markets. The system includes 10 Economic Sectors, 28
Business Sectors, 54 Industry Groups, and 136 Industries.
The Peer Analysis section of the report compares the company to its ten closest
peers. The peers are selected from the industry based on similar market
capitalization. The peer listing may have fewer than ten companies if there are
fewer than ten companies classified within that industry.
Highlights
The Thomson Reuters proprietary automated text-generation system creates
highlights summarizing the most noteworthy data. The bullets will vary by company
and will change from week to week as different criteria are met.
Earnings
The Earnings Rating is based on a combination of three factors: earnings surprises,
estimate revisions, and recommendation changes. Each factor is equally weighted.
Then, equal deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1
to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A stock needs to have at least two of the three
earnings factors in order to receive a score.

Page 11 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

Earnings Surprises - The number of positive and negative surprises within the

last 4 quarters.
Estimate Revisions - The number of up and down revisions and the average

percentage change of those revisions within a 4 week period.


Recommendation Changes - The number of broker upgrades and downgrades in

the last 120 days.


Price Target
The price target is based on the predictions of analysts covering the stock and
shows the high, low and mean price expected within the next 12 months.
Earnings Per Share
The quarterly and annual earnings per share are presented when available, along
with the mean, high and low. Quarterly data is displayed for the past 4 quarters
(actual) and the next 2 quarters (estimated). Annual data is displayed for the past 2
years (actual) and the next 2 years (estimated).
Mean Estimate Trend
The mean estimates show how the consensus has changed over the past 30 days
and 90 days for the upcoming two quarters and two years. The percentage change
is calculated for the company as a means for comparison by measuring the
difference between the current consensus estimate and that of 90 days ago.
Analyst Recommendations
The Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S Mean is the mean recommendation of all analysts
covering the stock. The recommendations are presented on a five-point
standardized scale: strong buy, buy, hold, reduce, and sell.
Earnings Surprises
The surprise summary includes the total number of quarters (and percentage) in
the past 12 quarters in which earnings surprises were positive, negative, or inline. In order to be recognized as a positive or negative surprise, the percent
must be greater than 2% above or 2% below the consensus, respectively.
The surprise detail section includes a listing of the company's quarterly earnings
reported for the most recent 6 quarters. The consensus analyst estimate is
provided to determine if the actual earnings report represented a positive
surprise, negative surprise, or in-line result.
Fundamental
The Fundamental Rating is based on a combination of four factors: profitability,
debt, earnings quality, and dividend. Companies that do not pay a dividend are not
penalized. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles are used to rank
each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A
stock needs to have at least three of the four fundamental factors present for a
given fiscal quarter in order to receive a score.
Profitability is comprised of four data elements.
- Revenue Growth: (Net Sales Previous Net Sales) / Previous Net Sales
- Gross Margin: Gross Profit / Net Sales
- Return on Equity: Net Income / Total Equity
- Net Margin: Net Profit / Net Sales
Debt is comprised of four data elements.
- Current Ratio: Current Assets / Current Liabilities
- Debt-to-Capital: Total Debt / Total Capital
- Interest Funding: Interest Expense / Operating Cash Flow
- Interest Coverage: (Pre-Tax Income + Interest Expense) / Interest Expense
Earnings Quality is comprised of two data elements.
- Days Sales in Inventory: 365 / (Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory)
- Days Sales in Receivables: 365 / (Net Sales (Revenues) / Receivables)
Dividend is comprised of four data elements. The company must have a current

dividend yield.
- Dividend Growth Rate: (Dividends per Share Previous Dividends per Share)
/ Previous Dividends per Share
- Dividend Funding: Dividends / Operating Cash Flow
- Dividend Coverage: (Pre-Tax Income + Interest Expense) / (Interest Expense
+ Dividends)
- Dividend Yield: Annual Dividends per Share / Current Market Price per Share
Indicator Trend
The fundamental indicator trend displays quarterly scores over the past three years.
The best and worst scores over that timeframe can be easily determined from the
values shown on the chart for each quarter.

MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT-O)

DETAILED STOCK REPORT

Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / Software

Report Date: April 20, 2015


Relative Valuation
The Relative Valuation Rating is based on a combination of three factors: Forward
PEG (50% weight), Trailing P/E (25% weight), and Forward P/E (25% weight). After
the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are used
to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. These common valuation metrics are evaluated against the overall
market, the index, and the company's own historic 5-year averages. A stock needs
to have at least one of the three relative valuation factors in order to receive a score.
Trailing P/E: Close Price / Most Recent 4 Quarters of Earnings
Forward P/E: Close Price/ Upcoming 4 Quarters of Earnings
Forward PEG: Forward P/E / Long-Term Forecasted Growth Rate

Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current companys values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the companys ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
Magnitude of Returns The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the

best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.


Volatility The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and

Long-Term Insider Looks at buying, selling and option exercise decisions over

the past six months relative to other stocks within the same business sector. The
net shares are presented alongside the business sector average as a means of
comparison.
Monthly Buys and Sells
The total market value of open-market buying and selling is displayed by month in
the chart for easy comparison. Transactions by trusts and corporations are
excluded, along with buys greater than $10 million and sales greater than $50
million. Transactions for the exercise of derivatives and option exercises are
excluded from the totals.
Institutional Holders
The top five institutional holders of the company are listed in descending order,
based on their total share holdings. Possible values for the institution type include
Brokerage, Funds, Inv Mgmt, or Strategic.
Executive Holders
The top five executive insiders of the company are listed in descending order, based
on their total direct common share holdings (options are not considered). Indirect
holdings are excluded, as the owner may not actually have investment discretion
over these shares. This table is updated monthly. Insiders who have not filed any
transactions or holdings over the past two years are excluded as this may indicate
that the individual is no longer associated with the company. Additionally, direct
shares held must be greater than 1,000 to be considered.
Insider Roles
AF - Affiliate
B - Beneficial Owner
CB - Chairman
CEO - Chief Executive Officer
CFO - Chief Financial Officer
CM - Committee Member
CO - Chief Operating Officer
CT - Chief Technology Officer
D - Director
EVP - Exec Vice President
GC - General Counsel

O - Officer
OH - Other
P - President
R - Retired
SH - Shareholder
SVP - Senior Vice President
T - Trustee
TR - Treasurer
VC - Vice Chairman
VP - Vice President

last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
Beta Measures the tendency of a securitys returns to respond to swings in the

market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
Correlation Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant

index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the S&P 500 is provided over two time periods.
Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics are used
for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
Relative Strength The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3

months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.


Seasonality The average monthly return (price performance) for the current

month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the S&P 500 is also displayed as a means of comparison.
Insider Trading
The Insider Trading Rating is based on short-term (60% weight) and long-term (40%
weight) legal insider trading behavior. After the weightings are considered to
combine individual factors, a function similar to a normal distribution is used to rank
each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most favorable. A
stock needs to have at least one of the two insider trading factors in order to receive
a score.
Short-Term Insider Uses insider buy and sell transactions within the past 90

days. This factor is based on the Thomson Reuters quantitative insider trading
model that considers the insider's role, consensus, number of shares, market
capitalization of the company, and the historic stock performance following trades
by the given insider.

Page 12 of 12
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

DISCLAIMER
All information in this report is assumed to be accurate to the best of our ability.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The information contained in
this report is not to be construed as advice and should not be confused as any sort
of advice. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making
their investment decision.

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