ENERGY, TECHNOLOGY, AND THE

FUTURE
Digital Government Summit
Roger Duncan

Agenda

Energy and Technology

The Future of Buildings,

Transportation and
Power

Information in
Technology

The role of IT

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SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGY
The conversion of fuel to work with

LESS
WASTE

LESS
POLLUTION

LESS TOTAL
ENERGY
CONVERSION

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We are meeting workloads with:

LESS
MATERIAL

LESS
MOTION

LESS
TIME

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Technology Megatrend

More productivity from less material

Accelerating
Ephemeralization
Fuller

Law of
Accelerating
Returns
Kurzweil

Moores Law
Moore

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"Smaller Faster Lighter Denser

Cheaper"
- Robert Bryce
Printing Press

Vacuum Tube
Diesel Engine
Jet Turbine
AK-47
Telescope/Microscope
Digital Communications
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Will we eventually
get everything from
nothing?

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Smallest technology limit is

Nanotechnology

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Atomic Precision
Manufacturing
Highest Quality
Zero Waste Manufacturing

New materials
Nanocomputers
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Radical Abundance
- Eric Drexler

Stronger and lighter structures with less mass

Radical Cost Reductions

Less rare materials

CAMD (Molecular Design)

Bottom Up Manufacturing

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How is Technology Doing

This?

INFORMATION
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INFORMATION IN

TECHNOLOGY
Materials

Design and
Engineering

Sensors

Processors

Effectors

Communication
Technology

Automation/Robot
ics

Autonomy
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PCMs Release and Absorb Heat to Balance

Temperatures

PHASECHANGE Energy Solutions

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Nanopore Insulation

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Lovins Reinventing Fire 2011

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3
D

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Disposable Housing

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Nanotechnology and
Buildings
Smart Matter

Smart Walls
Smart furniture
Buildings that can reconfigure and repair
themselves
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IoT
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Appliances that Learn

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Enchanted Objects
- David Rose

Wallets

Livescribe pens
Furniture that melts
Understanding lights
Traffic situation key fobs
Umbrellas that read weather reports
Pill bottles
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Future Smart James Canton

6 waves of the Internet

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Future Smart James Canton

1. ARPANET
2. Graphics and Video
3. Social Web

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Fourth Wave Collaboration Web

Dynamic Interaction
Deep Learning
Managing the Big Data tsunami

31
UT Austin

Fifth Wave Evolutionary Networking

Always Aware Internet

Personality
Voice Activation

32
UT Austin

Sixth Wave Living Ecosystem

Independent knowledge
agents
Self-organizing and creative
Smart, Aware physical spaces

33
UT Austin

The Future Mind Michio Kaku

Telepathy
Telekinesis
Augmented Reality
--------------------------------------Brain Net

34
UT Austin

The Age of Robotics

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Autonomy

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47

Spintel s.r.l.

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Electric Microgrid

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Solar Roof Shingles

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Solar Generating Windows

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Solar Paints

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Conventional Energy System

Petroleum
Vehicle

Fossil Fuel Power

Plant

Office Building
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Sentient Appearing
Autonomous
Unified Energy System
Zero Energy Home

PHEV/BEV

Distributed Utility
Fossil
Fuels

Nuclear

Solar

Wind
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SAAM

Sentient-Appearing Autonomous Machines

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RELATIONSHIP?
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RACE AGAINST THE MACHINE

Andrew McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson

Man working with Machine is superior

to either alone
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Artificial Intelligence

Artificial General Intelligence

Artificial Super Intelligence

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ENHANCEMENT
Man/Machine Merger

Enhanced Senses

Internet Connected

Strength (Exoskeletons)

Implants

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Will we develop classes

of enhanced and
unenhanced?
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The role of
IT

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What happens when

everything is smart,
connected and
interacting with you?

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Everything
becomes
an IT
problem!!
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Summit
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IT Problems
Health
Transportation
Energy Security
Buildings

HR Issues
Employment
Entertainment

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New Communication Skills

Chatting with SAAM
Mediating between people and machines
Dealing with enhanced people
Post-human skills?
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Will IT
Personnel be
the first
PostHumans?
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70

QUESTIONS
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