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silverj6@mchsi.com
Silver J. H. Jones
Why causality?
4
Why networks?
7
Causal microeconets
8
Multicausal socioeconomic networks
10
Using networks to rebalance social power
10
The basic classification of networks
11
Putting network knowledge to work in microsocieties
13
A look at the new phenomena of parasitic computing
16
References
18
Silver J. H. Jones
2008
Copyright © 2002 by Silver (J. H.) Jones. All rights, electronic, multimedia, and print, reserved. A publi-
cation of SSPEN - Systemic Symbiotic Planetary Ecovillage Network.
Duncan Watts is one of the pioneers of the science of networks. In regard to the ubiquitous presence of
emergence is all kinds of nature’s systems he asks us to consider these questions [1]:
“How are we to understand such problems? In fact, what is it about complex connected systems that
makes them so hard to understand in the first place. How is it that assembling a large collection of com-
ponents into a system results in something altogether different from just a disassociated collection of
components? How do populations of fireflies flashing, crickets chirping, or pacemaker cells beating -
manage to synchronize their rhythms without the aid of a central conductor? How do small outbreaks of
disease become epidemics, and new ideas become crazes? How do wild speculative bubbles emerge out
of the investment strategies of otherwise sensible individuals, and when they burst, how does their dam-
age spread throughout a financial system? How vulnerable are large infrastructure networks, like the
power grid, or the Internet, to the random failures or even deliberate attack? How do norms and conven-
tions evolve, and sustain themselves in human societies, and how can they be upset and even replaced?
How can we locate individuals, resources, or answers in a world of overwhelming complexity? And how
do entire business firms innovate and adapt successfully when no one individual has enough information
to solve or even fully understand the problems that the firm faces?
As different as these questions appear, they are all versions of the same question: How does individual
behavior aggregate to collective behavior? As simply as it can be asked, this is one of the most funda-
mental and pervasive questions in all of science. A human brain, for example, is in one sense a trillion
neurons connected together in a big electrochemical lump. But to all of us who have one, a brain is clearly
much more, exhibiting properties like consciousness, memory, and personality, whose nature cannot be
explained simply in terms of an aggregation of neurons.”
A form of networks, referred to a graphs, have been known within mathematics since Leonhard Euler’s
work on graphs in 1736. Since this time networks have found their way into many of the major branches
of science such a physics, computer science, biology, ecology, alife, economics engineering, sociology,
and anthropology [2]. The difference between the most recent attempt to understand networks and the
earlier work in mathematics is that today networks are no longer seen as static entities. Ducan Watts de-
scribes the current perspective on networks [3]:
Why causality?
The true function of causality it not to predetermine our lives, and force us to live out a destiny over
which we have no control. Older monocausal mathematics, science, and religion may have painted a pic-
ture of such a universe. Recent advances in nonlinear mathematics, non-reductionist science, and spiritual
We would like to suggest that this is precisely the objective of universal evolution.
Universes are training schools for future universe designers, simulators, and creators!
Without causality, none of this would be possible. If actions and reactions had no inherent correlation,
there would be no way to learn and improve our modeling. This does not mean that every action has an
immediate and obvious reaction. In large complex systems, feedback may take considerable time before it
becomes obvious to us, and this is one of the reasons we must act cautiously, and utilize simulations prior
to committing to courses of action. Another reality we must also learn to deal with, is the fact that when
we act in the process of our evolution we will not have full knowledge of the universe. We will only have
No more obvious example can be found, than the manner in which we run our political systems, legisla-
tive bodies, and election cycles. We realize the necessity of testing software in smaller controlled envi-
ronments, before releasing it into the larger global computing environment. Why is it that we do not re-
quire the same procedures in running our economy, governance, and other forms of technical infrastruc-
ture. In our modern scientific world, when a scientist shows up at a conference and presents his research -
he does not just say, “here is what I think we should do,” like our current political parties, senators, and
presidential candidates do. If our scientists were to present their ideas, in the manner we have just sug-
gested, the cry from the rest of the scientists in the room would be, “where is your data, your simula-
tions.” An astrophysicist who claims to understand how complex systems, like galaxies, form and evolve,
can not get by simply saying this is what he believes. He must present sophisticated supercomputer simu-
lations that support the paradigm he is proposing. Short of meeting these requirements, his ‘opinions’
would be considered to be of minimal value. Yet we allow political parties, economists, and presidential
candidates to behave in this naive fashion, and we commit trillions of dollars to programs that have
never been tested by the type of sophisticated computer modeling that is now a requirement in most of
our sciences. Weather forecasting and hurricane prediction are the most obvious examples of large com-
puter simulations know to the general public. One presidential candidate says she is going to lower your
tax rate, cut capital gains, and eliminate inheritance tax. The other says just the opposite - and they both
claim that these ‘opinions’ are correct, and that they will lead to an improvement in your individual lives
and within our society as a whole. We have now been doing this for more than two centuries in the USA.
We had little choice for the first 175 years, but that is no longer the case. We now have numerous large
supercomputer facilities, which can simulate the economic effects of different combinations of proposals -
allowing us to test these proposals and compare the results, prior to actually initiating them in our econo-
mies untested, which is our current practice. So every time a political party or a candidate tells you
what they are going ‘to do’ on your behalf, based upon their ‘opinions,’ why is the public not
screaming out - “where’s the data, and the simulations which substantiate that your ideas are worth
testing them in the real world.” Each election cycle when we go through the absolutely absurd name
calling, and blame game, we must demand that each party and candidate present us with highly sophisti-
cated computer simulations, that model and test their proposals. Their ‘opinions’ are of no more value
The latest sub-prime mortgage, securitization instruments, credit default swaps, and high leverage eco-
nomic model, prevalent in the first decade of the 21st century, which has now spread throughout the
world economy, with devastating results - is a perfect example of the dangers inherent in utilizing un-
tested models. Even more foolish, is the initiation of new untested economic policies to correct the exist-
ing problems, which were the result of initiating untested economic policies.
If the coming century can truly be characterized as the century of complexity, then we are very much go-
ing to need a wide and diversified testing network, where a much greater degree of innovation and ex-
perimentation can be practiced in our effort to fully comprehend, model, and manage complexity. We be-
lieve that such communities are absolutely essential to our potential survival. These communities
should not be feared or shunned by the larger society or civilization. Microsocieties should be em-
braced and supported for the very valuable role they will play in the next stage of our evolution.
Why networks?
Why has the universe been designed in a fashion so that the individual components of the universe each
exist in ‘relative’ isolation, and yet at the same time, they are only able to complete their course of evolu-
tion by coordinating their actions within ever larger dynamical causal networks?
If we think of complex systems as both networks and nodes, then we can propose a universal model,
where each seemingly individual object is internally a network, and externally a node in a larger layered
multidimensional network. Every node is super-embedded, meaning that it has networks above it, and
below it, arranged in a self-similar or self-affine fashion. If we apply either a microscope or a macro-
scope, at any new magnification perspective - we see the same general systemic patterning. By progress-
ing up or down the network levels, we gain a greater understanding of the complexity, intraconnectivity,
interconnectivity, and extraconnectivity of the universe. All of these relationships together form a dy-
namical causal network, which incorporates both hierarchical and heterarchical dynamic organization. We
swim in a see of super-embedded dynamic holomotion. The level of the attractors in these networks is
also multidimensional, and continuously shifting, depending on which level we choose to observe the
network from. This is the method our universe has adopted to challenge us to discover more than just our-
selves, and our local environment. With each new stage of evolution, we are asked to look deeper within,
and further out, than we have ever looked before. Now this must be accomplished in a manner, so that we
are not overwhelmed by the enormous systemic nature of this complexity. So systems are designed on the
surface, to appear as if they are individual object. Only gradually, and progressively, do we encounter
deeper levels of structures and dynamics within the object. Greater levels of interconnectivity and mutual
interoperability, reveal themselves to us only gradually, as our maturity and capacity for cocreatorship
increases. We come to understand how the ‘object’ does not exist in isolation, and how it is systemically
interconnected in a much larger network of interactions that we are just beginning to understand. Each
object has causal relationships at its own native level, at lower levels, and at higher levels of network
dynamics, and this is why we speak of multicausal networks and multicausal universes. The multi-
causal nature of the universe, at all levels of existence, forces us to deal with the complexity of the uni-
verse, yet it allows us to function adequately at every level, with less than complete understanding, as we
ascend up the ladder of complexity awareness. As we gain greater understanding of the degrees of com-
plexity in our universe, we are afforded greater degrees of freedom in the exercise of our free will cocrea-
torship. Our potential cocreatorship, increases in power with each new level of understanding - of the
Causal microeconets
Microeconets are highly parallel and distributed network nodes that are dedicated to designing, model-
ing, and testing long-term sustainable social systems that preserve the ecological viability of our eco-
sphere, while simultaneously supporting the technological advancement of civilization. They are dedi-
cated to understanding the multicausal relationships and implication of the technological era of planetary
evolution. Highly distributed microeconets are a new model for civilization encountering the complexity
era of evolution. Why? Because they provide the safest and most efficient means for a civilization to
navigate through the complexity era. Microeconets provide many advantages:
• Because the complexity era is so dependent on massive simulation, in the process of studying complex-
ity - a massively parallel and distributed social and economic architecture is ideal for this stage of evo-
lution. Microeconets provide just such an architecture.
• The relative isolation of each separate node (microsociety) within the network, assures a degree of cir-
cumscribed controlled experimentation, yet allows rapid communication of each node within the larger
network, ensuring rapid assimilation and dissemination of information.
• The bringing together of highly innovative individuals, into a supportive and rich research environment,
will considerably accelerate forms of progress which might be perceived by the larger civilization as
moving to fast.
• The benefit to planetary civilization as a whole, is that it has the luxury of adopting only the very best
models which have already been thoroughly tested within the more limited confines of the micro-
econets.
• The potential cost of funding microeconets, should be more than compensated for by the cost savings
realized by preventing the implementation of less perfected models on a much larger scale before dis-
covering their inherent weaknesses, and unanticipated nonlinear consequences. Newer models will pro-
gressively be adopted into the larger civilization as they become available, after thorough testing across
the entire microeconetwork. The causal efficacy of these models, will have been subjected to a much
more rigorous and robust testing than they would have received in our current social and economic
models.
Causality can either be a friend or a foe. It is more likely to be a friend to those who perform progressive
design, modeling, and testing than to those who adopt new innovations in a non-progressive manner. The
planetary ecosphere we inhabit, and the universe which supports it, are the product of relentless simu-
lation and testing. If we wish civilizations of our own design to have the same degree of robustness as
the biosphere and the universe we inhabit, we must design our civilizations in a similar manner. Ide-
ologies can serve as starting points, but they should not, and can not, be adopted wholesale, without the
rigorous and progressive testing for their inherent efficacy as long-term survivable solutions. We can no
longer afford to adopt models simply based upon emotional, historical, or cognitive preferences, with-
• It would be helpful to understand how different economic systems effect social systems.
• We should strive to obtain a better understanding of how technological innovations affect our educa-
tional systems, our social life, our economy, our ecology, and our spiritual growth.
• We should attempt to determine how much of a role heterogeneity and homogeneity play in determining
the functional aspects of systems. We should attempt to determine when some combination of ap-
proaches works best, and we should also attempt to determine how these variables change and function
at different dimensional levels of the network.
A centralized network has all of its nodes connected to a central hub. A decentralized network has a num-
ber of locations in the overall network, where groups of nodes cluster towards a single node that act as a
local center, but there is no overall central hub. A highly distributed network has the least degree of clus-
tering, with most of its nodes connected to only one, or a few other nodes. For many years it was thought
that this classification system was sufficient and complete. From our description of the network topolo-
gies, it should be obvious why the vulnerabilities increases as we go down the list. In the centralized net-
work, if you take out the central hub, the whole network collapses, and is unable to communicate. In the
decentralized network, it is somewhat harder to disable the network, but it can be done to a significant
degree, if you take out a large percentage of the sub-hubs or clustered star centers. A good example of
decentralized damage would be the nuclear strategy of taking out the major industrial, transportation, and
communication city centers in a given country. Once these sub-hubs are taken out, the ability of smaller
nodes to reach others destinations becomes almost impossible. Highly distributed networks look very
much like triangulated grids, with only a few links extending from each node. You can shoot a lot of holes
into a grid like this, but the vast majority of the connections remain intact, and these nodes can reroute
signals around the few broken connections. The high degree of distribution in these networks makes them
hard to degrade. Unfortunately we have recently learned that the WWW and the internet have a much
higher degree of vulnerability than these topological arguments would indicate.
Because we must have some way to navigate such large networks, we have directories like Google and
Yahoo to help us locate resources we seek to investigate or utilize. As a result of this, minor and obscure
nodes in these networks, can be much more highly connected to these major directories than one would
expect. Recent studies have shown that the numbers of links between obscure web pages, and these high
traffic center, is much smaller than one would expect. If you would like to study some visual representa-
tions of the way the internet and the WWW are connected, visit these very visual web sites:
http://www.cybergeography.org/atlas/atlas.html
Without going into all the details of this fascinating subject, we can learn a great deal just from skimming
over the surface. For a much more complete and fascinating discussion of this topic see Barabasi [5],
There are causal consequences within networks, and understanding how to maintain the connectivity of
the existing nodes, attract and add new nodes to the network, and scale your network without compromis-
ing service and quality to already existing customers, is a science and an art that microsocieties would be
well advised to learn and implement.
A single microsociety, or a small cluster of networked microsocieties, might be said to be roughly similar
to the case of MAI in our example. But hundreds, thousands, or tens of thousands of microsocieties all
linked via systemic and symbiotic networks, and working as a cohesive force is more than an 800 pound
gorilla. Individually, microsocieties are extremely vulnerable to larger local government institutions like
zoning commissions, and building and development offices, economic systems, local corporations, na-
tional corporations, and transnational corporations. Linked up in a highly interactive and activist network
- microsocieties become a true force in the world economy. Let us take a single small example. A 1000
microsocieties with a population of between 30,000 and 50,000 people (the population of a major univer-
sity) almost equals or exceeds the combined population of the state of California in the United State of
America. This is the 7th largest economy in the world!
We look forward to the day when, if you watch the Superbowl, you will see a big ecovillage network add
saying: