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689703
www.elsevier.comrlocaterautcon
a,),1
Abstract
Australia has a high ratio of infrastructure to population, much of it constructed in a peak period after the end of the
Second World War. 2 This infrastructure is aging and becoming due for renewal. However the growth and easy finance
conditions that gave rise to its initial development no longer exist and the costs of renewal need to be found in a more
difficult economic climate. There is growing anecdotal evidence that some communities may face difficulty in funding
renewal of their inherited infrastructure and there is the possibility that the high ratio of infrastructure to population may, in
some cases, be unsustainable. Unfortunately, information to test this proposition does not generally exist. While Australian
governments, at all levels, are now adopting accrual accounting practices and recording assets in their balance sheets, the
attention to asset recording is of recent vintage. This has resulted in the need for large scale asset data capture exercises and
large scale investment in information technology, but these are being carried out by individual agencies with little or no
co-ordination regionally or across the whole of government. This paper reports a major exception to this pattern: an
information management and data gathering project across the whole of Victoria, which has enabled all 78 councils involved
to predict the cost and timing of their future infrastructure renewal liabilities A$23.3 billion. in time to develop corrective
planning strategies. By using independent consultants to gather data from every council in the state through a standard
survey instrument and presenting the results of the data, after extensive data validation processes, on an aggregate, grouped
and single council basis, councils now have the ability to compare themselves with others and with the general state picture.
The future renewal challenge is now seen to be a general one, reflective of the times, rather than of individual past
management practice, and as such is being tackled with greater vigor. Other States in Australia are now looking to adopt this
renewal projection method. This paper also includes reference to the major strategies that are being adopted. q 1999 Elsevier
Science B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Infrastructure management; Australia; Total asset management
Corresponding author. AMQ International, PO Box 75, Salisbury 5108, Australia. E-mail: penny@amqi.com
Visiting research fellow.
2
The reasons for this high ratio relate to the vast landmass and low population of Australia. In particular, the impact of an extensive rural
industry in the hinterland; the engineering works required to divert, dam and provide water for rural and domestic purposes in the driest
continent; the extensive transport and communication networks; the infrastructure required to service the mining and extractive industries;
the quarter-acre block syndrome where most Australians live in detached housing, increasing the demand for urban infrastructure.
1
0926-5805r99r$ - see front matter q 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
PII: S 0 9 2 6 - 5 8 0 5 9 8 . 0 0 1 1 5 - 0
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1. Introduction
The overall quality of infrastructure in Australia is
high. Over the past 80100 years development has
been rapid, and to some extent, unplanned. The
major growth period took place during the late 1950s,
1960s and 1970s. Growth steadied in the 1980s and
has slowed down in the 1990s. This post war growth
pattern is not dissimilar to that in the United Kingdom. Growth at this time was a reflection of the
release of pent-up demands during the war, the
impact of women entering the workforce in large
numbers, general prosperity, low interest rates and
full employment. This created both the demand for
growth and the ability to satisfy it. In Australia,
major migration, high export prices, and large-scale
foreign investment in the country further fueled this
growth in demand. All of this contributed to a situation where, between 1947 and 1967, the Australian
population grew by 50% but its stock of infrastructure and physical assets more than trebled.
Australians have become used to a high standard
of infrastructure and their expectations are that this
will continue. This is now becoming a matter for
concern as new capital works still predominate in the
public mind and the renewal of existing infrastructure is taken for granted.
Until recently, few records of public infrastructure
condition and value existed. However, in 19861987,
the South Australian Public Accounts Committee
produced a series of eight reports on the cost and
timing of replacing that states public infrastructure
w1x. This series of reports alerted all Australian governments to the need to seriously consider the management of its infrastructure if deterioration of valuable public services were to be avoided. First one
state, then the others, began to produce instruction
manuals for Total Asset Management, providing
guidelines for the production of asset registers, asset
valuation, condition analysis, risk management and
procurement and disposal. These manuals have had
the effect of changing attitudes and management
practices w2x, but data collection, whilst in many
cases tackled enthusiastically, has been largely individual and uncoordinated and has not been directed
at projecting and managing future asset liabilities.
An exception to this general pattern has been the
Victorian Infrastructure Study w3x and a similar, but
more limited study in Tasmania for transport infrastructure w4x. Both studies carried out a coordinated,
statewide program of data collection and renewal
modelling that has provided information for the
States own funding decisions and information and a
renewal modelling capability for the individual councils enabling them to project and manage future asset
liabilities. Section 2 describes the background to the
initiation of this project; Section 3 describes the
design of the model and Section 4, the data collection and verification process. The outcomes of the
study are discussed in Section 5. Section 6 considers
the range of asset management strategies that have
been developed to manage the future renewal challenge and Section 7 concludes with an analysis of
the likely future consequences from this study.
2. The Victorian Infrastructure Study
Victoria was the second State to be developed in
Australia, following New South Wales. It is the
second largest state by population in Australia with a
population of 4.5 Million. In 1993 a wide-ranging
amalgamation program began that saw the number of
councils in Victoria fall from 210 to 78. Rates were
slashed in the new councils by government direction
by up to 20% on 1993r94 levels. and then the
Local Government Act was amended to cap rates at
the consumer price index level minus one percent.
Although efficiency gains were made through the
introduction of compulsory competitive tendering it
was not known whether the degree of savings
achieved and achievable would be sufficient, with
the reduced rate levels, to sustain the renewal of
council infrastructure assets. While rates are only
one means of revenue raising, they are the major
revenue source of councils. Many councils believe
that if large increases in renewal funding are required then the funds needed would come by way of
rate increases. At the State level, the emphasis had
been on funding; for example, determining the impact on revenues and ratepayer equity of different
rate bases and encouragement for the use of user
pays pricing systems. Anecdotal evidence was
building, however, to suggest that maybe the current
level of infrastructure could be unsustainable, at least
for some councils, given their economic circumstances and the likely level of funding that could be
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Table 1
Extract from a councils summary renewal profile
Five year period commencing
1997
000s.
2002
000s.
2007
000s.
2012
000s.
229
618
863
1710
153
64
217
30
30
1957
619
723
1957
3299
200
64
264
50
50
811
811
4424
940
1201
884
3025
200
64
264
40
40
821
821
4150
1737
2423
876
5036
55
54
109
200
64
264
40
40
1427
42
1469
6918
number of councils had only reported those infrastructure assets acquired in recent years and there had
been no attempt to adjust the acquisition cost for
subsequent inflation. Distinctions between maintenance and asset renewal for infrastructure assets
varied between councils, as did capitalisation practices.
The approach taken was to devise a survey, with
input from councils, to collect basic data needed to
forecast renewal. Initially it was intended to collect
information on a sample basis. The Office of Local
Government decided that every council should be
visited and this turned out to be extremely beneficial
for it enabled the researchers to speak with the
officers responsible for the data presentation and to
correct misunderstandings on the spot. Although five
regional meetings had been conducted in which the
survey forms were explained in detail to council
officers, it was found that additional officers were
frequently involved in the data gathering exercise. In
many instances different officers within the council
held conflicting assumptions and the infrastructure
study was often the means to better communication
between the different sections of council.
The survey design contained a number of consistency checks and there was an extensive data verification process. The researchers changed no data but
councils were advised of inconsistencies and asked
to reconsider and validate the information provided.
At the end of the exercise, all the cleaned up data
was returned to the Chief Executive Officers of
Council for confirmation before being finally accepted by the study.
Analysis of financial measures was limited to rate
revenues with other measures, e.g., debt levels, incorporated as one of the mechanisms that councils
might choose to manage their situation. It was not
considered appropriate to make recommendations on
debt levels and general pricing and recommendations
were confined to asset expenditures and asset management.
Two reference groups of experienced council officers, one on roads and one on parks and recreation,
assisted in guiding the process. The Roads Reference
Group was supplemented with an independent consultant regarded as an expert in road construction
and maintenance, and officer from the State road
authority and two persons from the Australian Road
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5. Outcomes
As a result of the study, the Office of Local
Government now has a database of broad asset information across local government in Victoria, collected
on a comparable basis. The complete database includes asset age profiles, condition profiles, economic lives and replacement costs for major asset
groupings. Councils have already used this information to refine their own assessments of economic life
and appropriate service standards. The database includes a self-assessment of the state of asset management practices within councils on a range of asset
activities. Individual data has been returned to councils on a computer disc with a modelling capability
to enable them to examine the impacts on their
future renewal requirements of changing age profile,
economic life, andror replacement cost assumptions.
The study revealed that infrastructure in Victorian
Councils was worth around A$23.3 billion in current
replacement terms, or approximately A$13,000 per
household. Councils in Victoria have responsibility
for roads, drainage, social services including libraries, parks and recreation facilities but not education or housing which are the responsibility of the
state level of government.
The outcomes from the study have been grouped
in five categories, namely asset renewal issues, organisationalrmanagement issues, accountingrfinan-
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Fig. 1.
4
The use of average rates of decay is a modelling assumption
many factors, not the least of which are asset usage and
maintenance and renewal regimes, play a significant role in how
an asset declines in value and it is not intended to suggest that
asset decay is linearit is not!
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expected to rise. Many councils are currently renewing the much smaller cohort of assets that were
added pre war and just after the war. The asset
cohorts increase in size as the echoes of the growth
period arise, some 30 years and more after the initial
development.
5.1.5. Growth-replacement funding link broken
In the past, councils have paid for assets needing
renewal from the increased revenues that have come
by way of population growth. But growth has slowed
down and the rate of renewal is about to increase.
The link between growth revenues and renewal needs
has therefore been broken. New strategies are now
needed to cope with renewal funding.
5.1.6. The picture for indiidual councils: period-toperiod fluctuations
The previous bar chart reflects the renewal situation for the State of Victoria as a whole. It has
ironed out a lot of the fluctuations that individual
councils face. The following two line graphs Figs. 2
and 3. indicates the period-to-period fluctuation that
councils need to manage.
Fig. 3 shows that, in addition to period-to-period
fluctuations, this council has serious near-term renewal requirements. This has been identified as a
Fig. 2. Council Aa council that does not have much increase in renewal for the next ten years.
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Fig. 3. Council Ba council that has serious near term renewal requirements.
council in need. Such councils must urgently re-examine and improve the quality of their near-term
data, the service standards they are adopting and
their financial practices.
Fig. 4.
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Fig. 5.
Fig. 6.
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saving, will also have to record increased depreciation resulting from early renewal and a resultant
reduction in asset value.
The study pointed out that the Road Traffic Authority in New South Wales was known to use this
method for its road assets and that the Council of
Australian Governments was considering adopting
the method for all water agencies. New Zealand uses
a similar system for its council infrastructure depreciation. It was recommended that CBD, as well as
the asset management plans, which are the foundation for CBD, also be adopted by Victorian councils.
5.3.2. Distinguishing different capital expenditure
types
The second major accountingrfinance issue was
the way in which capital expenditure was recorded.
The study required councils to differentiate between
capital expenditure that was designed to renew existing services, called renewal capital; capital expenditure designed to extend the same level of services
enjoyed by existing ratepayers to newly developing
areas, called expansion capital; and capital expenditure designed to increase or upgrade the level of
services received by ratepayers called upgrade capital. Professional and technical staff may have a
different view of renewal, upgrade and expansion
expenditure but the study carefully used the above
definitions as the corporate perspective of capital
expenditure, because of the impacts shown in Table
2.
The impact of any amount of capital spending on
councils future renewal liability, as well as on its
maintenance and operations spending and on its revenues, depends on how capital spending is allocated
between these three categories.
The Infrastructure Study required councils to allocate their capital spending for the past two historic
years, the current budget year, and for two forward
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Table 2
Impact of capital expenditure categories on future maintenance, operations, revenue and renewal costs
Impactrcapital type
Maintenance impact
Operations impact
Revenue impact
Renewal impact
Renewal
Upgrade
Expansion
Decrease
Increase
Increase
May decrease
Increase or decrease
Increase
Nil
Nil
Increase
Nil
Increase
Increase
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any type of growth asset expenditure, either extension or upgrade will increase it as well as increasing
the level of future renewal liabilities.
The differential impacts of the various capital
expenditure categories are summarised in Table 2.
5.4. Engineeringr technical issues
5.4.1. Condition assessments not sufficient
The Infrastructure Study found that for those
councils that had carried out condition assessments,
they formed the only information for future asset
planning. Condition assessments, however, are limited to near-term renewal requirements; they can
generally only discern those assets in need of attention within the next two to three years. Looking
further forward than that with a condition assessment
is not possible. For longer term projections, a modelling capacity is required as discussed in Section 3
Age based modelling process. Modelling renewal
requires the projection of the economic lives of
assets, as was carried out in the Infrastructure Study
over-ridden where necessary for the early years of
the projections where the more specific condition
information is available..
5.4.2. Economic lies and asset age data
Renewal modelling is necessary for strategic asset
planning and this requires sound knowledge of economic lives and the ages of assets. Many councils
had difficulty assessing the ages of their assets.
During the verification phase, as described in Section
4 above, one of the major tasks was to correlate the
age, economic life and condition of asset data provided by councils. Whilst few councils had directly
recorded the age of assets, many were able to make
reasonable estimates based on one of two methods.
Method One was to estimate residual life by a
condition assessment and then to use appropriate
economic lives to estimate the likely age. Method
Two was to use whatever knowledge was available
on the periods of growth and information on related
asset ages e.g., roads and drains were constructed at
the same time. to make educated guesses as to the
age profile of assets. More work can be done by both
methods to refine the information initially provided
by councils and one of the results of the study is that
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6.2. Rationalisation
General guidelines have been available to councils for a number of years on how to evaluate
projects and carry out benefitcost analysis, but the
indications were that, even where the guidelines
were said to be in use, the project evaluation itself
needed to be vastly improved.
7. Conclusions
The results of the study indicate that the initial
hypothesis that Local Government is likely to have
difficulty sustaining current infrastructure is likely to
be correct. Furthermore, the results are consistent
with a major expansion of infrastructure following
World War 2 and therefore the future replacement is
likely to be very uneven with a sharp peak in 10 to
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The timing of renewal is a function of the economic life and this is, in turn, a function of the
asset standards that the community set. Costs can
be reduced by choosing asset standards more
appropriate to community requirements.
7.1. Continuing interest
The Victorian Grants Commission has already
established an interest in using the data for the
allocation of State grant funds to councils and is
arranging for an annual update of certain elements of
the information base. The Study has provided the
State Government with asset management performance indicators to add to its suite of indicators for
assessing council performance.
Other State Governments are interested in adopting the model and data collection procedures to
establish their own databases for future asset planning, management of renewal costs and proper
charging.
The study has emphasised that whilst lack of
compliance may be costly, compliance itself may be
even more costly if it diverts resources from management-worthy information to mere data collections
for external reporting. There is some indication, from
current professional literature w17x, that a changed
focus on internal management data is beginning to
take place. The Infrastructure Study is a good example of provision of information for both management
and accountability purposes.
References
w1x 53rd Report, Summary Report on Asset Replacement, Report
to Parliament by the South Australian Public Accounts Committee, Government Printer, Adelaide, 1987.
w2x P. Burns, Using Assets Effectively: Lessons from Australia
and New Zealand A report produced by the Local Government Management Board, London, 1998.
w3x P. Burns, D. Hope, J. Roorda, Facing the Renewal Challenge, A report to the Office of Local Government, the
Department of Infrastructure, Victoria, May 1998.
w4x J. Roorda, Capitalisation and Reporting of Road Assets in
Tasmania, in: G. Priestly Ed.., Auditor-General Special
Report No 26, Parliament of Tasmania, Government Printer,
Tasmania. ISBN 0 7246 7200-1, 1998.
w5x 44th Report. Housing Asset Replacement, Report to Parliament by the South Australian Public Accounts Committee,
Government Printer, Adelaide, 1986.
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