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  • North-South Airline: Input Data

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    Juan Carlos Vázquez
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    North-South Airline

    Original Title

    P11 Airline

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    North-South Airline

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    20 views12 pages

    North-South Airline: Input Data

    Uploaded by

    Juan Carlos Vázquez
    North-South Airline

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 12

    North-South Airline

    Forecasting

    Causal regression analysis

    Enter
    Enter the
    the (Y,X)
    (Y,X) pairs
    pairs in
    in cells
    cells shaded
    shaded YELLOW.
    YELLOW. Enter
    Enter new
    new value
    value of
    of XX at
    at the
    the bottom
    bottom to
    to forecast
    forecast Y.
    Y.

    Input Data

    Period
    Year 1
    Year 2
    Year 3
    Year 4
    Year 5
    Year 6
    Year 7

    Forecast Error Analysis


    Dep Variable Indep Variable
    (or) (Y)
    (or) (X)
    51.8
    6512
    54.92
    8404
    69.7
    11077
    68.9
    11717
    63.72
    13275
    84.73
    15215
    78.74
    18390

    Intercept
    Slope

    36.097
    0.0026

    Forecast

    36.097

    Forecast
    53.020
    57.937
    64.884
    66.547
    70.596
    75.638
    83.889
    Average

    Error
    -1.220
    -3.017
    4.816
    2.353
    -6.876
    9.092
    -5.149

    Absolute
    error
    1.220
    3.017
    4.816
    2.353
    6.876
    9.092
    5.149
    4.646
    MAD
    SE
    Correlation
    r-squared

    Squared Absolute
    error
    % error
    1.489
    2.36%
    9.103
    5.49%
    23.197
    6.91%
    5.537
    3.42%
    47.277
    10.79%
    82.673
    10.73%
    26.509
    6.54%
    27.969
    6.61%
    MSE
    MAPE
    6.258
    0.877
    0.769

    North-South Airline
    Forecasting

    Causal regression analysis

    Enter
    Enter the
    the (Y,X)
    (Y,X) pairs
    pairs in
    in cells
    cells shaded
    shaded YELLOW.
    YELLOW. Enter
    Enter new
    new value
    value of
    of XX at
    at the
    the bottom
    bottom to
    to forecast
    forecast Y.
    Y.

    Input Data

    Period
    Year 1
    Year 2
    Year 3
    Year 4
    Year 5
    Year 6
    Year 7

    Forecast Error Analysis


    Dep Variable Indep Variable
    (or) (Y)
    (or) (X)
    43.49
    6512
    38.58
    8404
    51.48
    11077
    58.72
    11717
    45.47
    13275
    50.26
    15215
    79.6
    18390

    Intercept
    Slope

    20.571
    0.0026

    Forecast

    20.571

    Forecast
    37.785
    42.786
    49.852
    51.543
    55.662
    60.790
    69.183
    Average

    Error
    5.705
    -4.206
    1.628
    7.177
    -10.192
    -10.530
    10.417

    Absolute
    error
    5.705
    4.206
    1.628
    7.177
    10.192
    10.530
    10.417
    7.122
    MAD
    SE
    Correlation
    r-squared

    Squared Absolute
    error
    % error
    32.550
    13.12%
    17.690
    10.90%
    2.651
    3.16%
    51.503
    12.22%
    103.872
    22.41%
    110.878
    20.95%
    108.524
    13.09%
    61.096
    13.69%
    MSE
    MAPE
    9.248
    0.783
    0.612

    North-South Airline
    Forecasting

    Causal regression analysis

    Enter
    Enter the
    the (Y,X)
    (Y,X) pairs
    pairs in
    in cells
    cells shaded
    shaded YELLOW.
    YELLOW. Enter
    Enter new
    new value
    value of
    of XX at
    at the
    the bottom
    bottom to
    to forecast
    forecast Y.
    Y.

    Input Data

    Period
    Year 1
    Year 2
    Year 3
    Year 4
    Year 5
    Year 6
    Year 7

    Forecast Error Analysis


    Dep Variable Indep Variable
    (or) (Y)
    (or) (X)
    13.29
    5107
    25.15
    8145
    32.18
    7360
    31.78
    5773
    25.34
    7150
    32.78
    9364
    35.56
    8259

    Intercept
    Slope

    4.597
    0.0032

    Forecast

    4.597

    Forecast
    20.959
    30.692
    28.177
    23.093
    27.504
    34.598
    31.057
    Average

    Error
    -7.669
    -5.542
    4.003
    8.687
    -2.164
    -1.818
    4.503

    Absolute
    error
    7.669
    5.542
    4.003
    8.687
    2.164
    1.818
    4.503
    4.912
    MAD
    SE
    Correlation
    r-squared

    Squared Absolute
    error
    % error
    58.810
    57.70%
    30.715
    22.04%
    16.023
    12.44%
    75.471
    27.34%
    4.684
    8.54%
    3.304
    5.55%
    20.273
    12.66%
    29.897
    20.89%
    MSE
    MAPE
    6.470
    0.625
    0.390

    North-South Airline
    Forecasting

    Causal regression analysis

    Enter
    Enter the
    the (Y,X)
    (Y,X) pairs
    pairs in
    in cells
    cells shaded
    shaded YELLOW.
    YELLOW. Enter
    Enter new
    new value
    value of
    of XX at
    at the
    the bottom
    bottom to
    to forecast
    forecast Y.
    Y.

    Input Data

    Period
    Year 1
    Year 2
    Year 3
    Year 4
    Year 5
    Year 6
    Year 7

    Forecast Error Analysis


    Dep Variable Indep Variable
    (or) (Y)
    (or) (X)
    18.86
    5107
    31.55
    8145
    40.43
    7360
    22.1
    5773
    19.69
    7150
    32.58
    9364
    38.07
    8259

    Intercept
    Slope

    -0.671
    0.0041

    Forecast

    -0.671

    Forecast
    20.091
    32.442
    29.250
    22.799
    28.397
    37.397
    32.905
    Average

    Error
    -1.231
    -0.892
    11.180
    -0.699
    -8.707
    -4.817
    5.165

    Absolute
    error
    1.231
    0.892
    11.180
    0.699
    8.707
    4.817
    5.165
    4.670
    MAD
    SE
    Correlation
    r-squared

    Squared Absolute
    error
    % error
    1.515
    6.53%
    0.795
    2.83%
    124.987
    27.65%
    0.488
    3.16%
    75.803
    44.22%
    23.206
    14.79%
    26.677
    13.57%
    36.210
    16.11%
    MSE
    MAPE
    7.120
    0.678
    0.460

    Regression Line
    90
    f(x) = 0.0025987969x + 36.0968244187

    80

    70

    60
    Dependent Variable, Y
    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0
    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000
    Independent Variable, X

    14000

    16000

    18000

    20000

    Regression Line
    90

    80

    70
    f(x) = 0.0026433553x + 20.5712255827
    60
    Dependent Variable, Y
    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0
    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000
    Independent Variable, X

    14000

    16000

    18000

    20000

    Regression Line
    40

    35
    f(x) = 0.0032038696x + 4.5966338916
    30

    Dependent
    Variable, Y
    25

    20

    15

    10

    0
    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000
    Independent Variable, X

    8000

    9000

    10000

    Regression Line
    45

    40
    f(x) = 0.0040653657x - 0.6708541441

    35

    30
    Dependent Variable, Y
    25

    20

    15

    10

    0
    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000
    Independent Variable, X

    8000

    9000

    10000

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